Jon M. Huntsman Center · at Utah · Conference game
Closing line
TCU -4.5✓ UTAH covered by 7.5
TCU -4.5✓ UTAH covered by 7.5Closing total154.5Over by 6.5
| TCU | This season | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| 11-6 | Record | 8-9 |
| 10-7 | ATS | 7-10 |
| 7-10 | O/U | 13-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TCU 80–75 UTAH · ✗ TCU (68%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCU | 30 | 49 | 79 |
| UTAH | 38 | 44 | 82 |
1st half: TCU 30, UTAH 38 (UTAH by 8). The model had TCU by 3.3 and a total of 72.6 (actual 68).
Team stats
| TCU | UTAH | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-60 50% | Field goals | 30-59 51% |
| 4-15 27% | 3-pointers | 9-24 38% |
| 15-22 68% | Free throws | 13-22 59% |
| 31 10 off | Rebounds | 40 14 off |
| 16 | Assists | 17 |
| 7 | Steals | 3 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 18 | Fouls | 19 |
| 52 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| TCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Pierre G | 34 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 4-11 | 0-2 |
| Brock Harding G | 32 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| David Punch F | 29 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 10-16 | 0-1 |
| Xavier Edmonds F | 21 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Liutauras Lelevicius F | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Micah Robinson G | 28 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 3-8 | 1-5 |
| Tanner Toolson G | 25 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| Jace Posey G | 17 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
Did not play: RJ Jones, Vianney Salatchoum, Drew McElroy, Adam Stewart, Ashton Simmons, Trey Stuart, Kayden Edwards, Malick Diallo
| UTAH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seydou Traore G | 33 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 4-10 | 2-6 |
| Terrence Brown G | 33 | 26 | 1 | 2 | 9-15 | 4-5 |
| Keanu Dawes F | 32 | 10 | 14 | 3 | 4-9 | 1-3 |
| Don McHenry G | 28 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 4-10 | 0-4 |
| James Okonkwo F | 19 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kendyl Sanders F | 20 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Obomate Abbey G | 19 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Josh Hayes F | 16 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Lucas Langarita, Jacob Patrick, Alvin Jackson III, Colin McHaney, Jahki Howard, Ibrahima Traore, Jerry Huang, Elijah Moore, Babacar Faye
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTCU -4.5
ModelTCU -5.3
Model edgeTCU +0.8
L UTAH covered
Total
Market154.5
Model155.0
Model edgeOver 0.5
W Over
Projected score
TCU 80.2 · UTAH 74.8
TCU 79 · UTAH 82
Win probability
TCU 68%
1st half
Spread
TCU -3.3
UTAH -8.0
Total
72.6
68 points
Projected score
TCU 37.9 · UTAH 34.6
TCU 30 · UTAH 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTCU -4.5
no move
CloseTCU -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open152.5
▲ 2
Close154.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
TCU -205 · UTAH +170
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TCU -4.5 · unchangedmodel TCU -5.5
model TCU -5.5
Opened 152.5 · closed 154.5 · moved 2 upmodel 155
model 155
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCU | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| UTAH | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
TCU 2–1 UTAHTCU leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · TCU 2-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2024-25 | UTAH 73 @ TCU 65 | TCU -3.5 | UTAH W |
| Dec 21, 2022-23 | TCU 75 @ UTAH 71 | UTAH -1.5 | TCU W |
| Dec 8, 2021-22 | UTAH 62 vs TCU 76 | TCU -2.5 | TCU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
TCU
17 games played
Straight up
11-6
65% wins
Against the spread
10-7
59% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-10
41% overs · avg −1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NOLA | L 74-78 | -21.5 | L −25.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 6 | vs SFPA | W 104-63 | -27.5 | W +13.5 | 153.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 10 | vs LAM | W 78-65 | -18.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 14 | vs MICH | L 63-67 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 164.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 19 | vs KC | W 81-45 | -23.5 | W +12.5 | 150.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 27 | vs FLA | W 84-80 | +11.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 28 | vs WIS | W 74-63 | +5.5 | W +16.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 5 | vs ND | L 85-87 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 7 | @ UNT | W 65-55 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 15 | vs UIW | W 69-65 | -19.5 | L −15.5 | 143.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 18 | vs ORU | W 72-53 | -23.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 21 | vs FAMU | W 80-56 | -29.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 29 | vs JKST | W 115-64 | -30.5 | W +20.5 | 143.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 3 | vs BAY | W 69-63 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 6 | @ KU | L 100-104 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | O 204 |
| Jan 10 | vs ARIZ | L 73-86 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 14 | @ BYU | L 70-76 | +13.5 | W +7.5 | 162.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNOLA
NOLAL 74-78
−25.5
6
vsSFPA
SFPAW 104-63
+13.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 78-65
−5.5
14
vsMICH
MICHL 63-67
+3.5
19
vsKC
KCW 81-45
+12.5
27
vsFLA
FLAW 84-80
+15.5
28
vsWIS
WISW 74-63
+16.5
5
vsND
NDL 85-87
−8.5
7
@UNT
UNTW 65-55
+0.5
15
vsUIW
UIWW 69-65
−15.5
18
vsORU
ORUW 72-53
−4.5
21
vsFAMU
FAMUW 80-56
−5.5
29
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-64
+20.5
3
vsBAY
BAYW 69-63
+3.5
6
@KU
KUL 100-104
+2.5
10
vsARIZ
ARIZL 73-86
−5.5
14
@BYU
BYUL 70-76
+7.5
covered 10didn’t cover 7avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNOLA
NOLAL 74-78
+2.5
6
vsSFPA
SFPAW 104-63
+13.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 78-65
−4.5
14
vsMICH
MICHL 63-67
−34.5
19
vsKC
KCW 81-45
−24.5
27
vsFLA
FLAW 84-80
+8.5
28
vsWIS
WISW 74-63
−20.5
5
vsND
NDL 85-87
+30.5
7
@UNT
UNTW 65-55
−15.5
15
vsUIW
UIWW 69-65
−9.5
18
vsORU
ORUW 72-53
−22.5
21
vsFAMU
FAMUW 80-56
−6.5
29
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-64
+35.5
3
vsBAY
BAYW 69-63
−22.5
6
@KU
KUL 100-104
+60.5
10
vsARIZ
ARIZL 73-86
+1.5
14
@BYU
BYUL 70-76
−16.5
over 7under 10avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Utah
17 games played
Straight up
8-9
47% wins
Against the spread
7-10
41% covers · avg −1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-4
76% overs · avg +4.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SJSU | W 84-75 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 8 | vs WEB | W 92-89 | -15.5 | L −12.5 | 148.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 10 | vs HC | W 87-69 | -21.5 | L −3.5 | 155.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 15 | vs SHSU | W 85-79 | -12.5 | L −6.5 | 159.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 18 | vs PFW | W 85-77 | -13.5 | L −5.5 | 161.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 20 | vs CP | L 85-92 | -14.5 | L −21.5 | 167.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 25 | vs GCU | L 58-68 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 26 | vs MISS | W 75-74 | +10.5 | W +11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 2 | @ CAL | L 72-79 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 6 | vs CBU | W 91-85 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 13 | vs MSST | L 74-82 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 20 | vs EWU | W 101-77 | -10.5 | W +13.5 | 160.5 | O 178 |
| Dec 29 | @ WASH | L 65-74 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 3 | vsARIZ | L 78-97 | +17.5 | L −1.5 | 162.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 7 | @ COLO | L 73-85 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 10 | vsBYU | L 84-89 | +14.5 | W +9.5 | 168.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 14 | @ TTU | L 74-88 | +17.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSJSU
SJSUW 84-75
−2.5
8
vsWEB
WEBW 92-89
−12.5
10
vsHC
HCW 87-69
−3.5
15
vsSHSU
SHSUW 85-79
−6.5
18
vsPFW
PFWW 85-77
−5.5
20
vsCP
CPL 85-92
−21.5
25
vsGCU
GCUL 58-68
−4.5
26
vsMISS
MISSW 75-74
+11.5
2
@CAL
CALL 72-79
+0.5
6
vsCBU
CBUW 91-85
+0.5
13
vsMSST
MSSTL 74-82
−6.5
20
vsEWU
EWUW 101-77
+13.5
29
@WASH
WASHL 65-74
+3.5
3
vsARIZ
ARIZL 78-97
−1.5
7
@COLO
COLOL 73-85
−2.5
10
vsBYU
BYUL 84-89
+9.5
14
@TTU
TTUL 74-88
+3.5
covered 7didn’t cover 10avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSJSU
SJSUW 84-75
+12.5
8
vsWEB
WEBW 92-89
+32.5
10
vsHC
HCW 87-69
+0.5
15
vsSHSU
SHSUW 85-79
+4.5
18
vsPFW
PFWW 85-77
+0.5
20
vsCP
CPL 85-92
+9.5
25
vsGCU
GCUL 58-68
−27.5
26
vsMISS
MISSW 75-74
+4.5
2
@CAL
CALL 72-79
−1.5
6
vsCBU
CBUW 91-85
+30.5
13
vsMSST
MSSTL 74-82
+2.5
20
vsEWU
EWUW 101-77
+17.5
29
@WASH
WASHL 65-74
−18.5
3
vsARIZ
ARIZL 78-97
+12.5
7
@COLO
COLOL 73-85
−4.5
10
vsBYU
BYUL 84-89
+4.5
14
@TTU
TTUL 74-88
+2.5
over 13under 4avg +4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
TCU
11-6 overall · 1-3 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ BYU70–76
- Lvs Arizona73–86
- L@ Kansas100–104
- Wvs Baylor69–63
- Wvs Jackson St115–64
3 days since their last game.
Utah
8-9 overall · 0-4 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Texas Tech74–88
- Lvs BYU84–89
- L@ Colorado73–85
- Lvs Arizona78–97
- L@ Washington65–74
3 days since their last game.