Marriott Center · at BYU · Conference game
Closing line
BYU -13.5✓ TCU covered by 7.5
BYU -13.5✓ TCU covered by 7.5Closing total162.5Under by 16.5
 TCU | This season | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| 11-5 | Record | 15-1 |
| 9-7 | ATS | 9-7 |
| 7-9 | O/U | 8-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TCU 72–83 BYU · ✓ BYU (83%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCU | 36 | 34 | 70 |
| BYU | 30 | 46 | 76 |
1st half: TCU 36, BYU 30 (TCU by 6). The model had BYU by 6.5 and a total of 72.8 (actual 66).
Team stats
| TCU | BYU | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-61 41% | Field goals | 24-68 35% |
| 8-27 30% | 3-pointers | 5-24 21% |
| 12-18 67% | Free throws | 23-29 79% |
| 36 9 off | Rebounds | 51 21 off |
| 16 | Assists | 11 |
| 3 | Steals | 5 |
| 4 | Blocks | 4 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 22 | Fouls | 19 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| TCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Harding G | 31 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 4-11 | 0-5 |
| Xavier Edmonds F | 28 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 6-14 | 2-4 |
| Liutauras Lelevicius F | 26 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-3 |
| David Punch F | 23 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Pierre G | 22 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tanner Toolson G | 27 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-5 |
| Micah Robinson G | 27 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 4-10 | 1-6 |
| Jace Posey G | 16 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Vianney Salatchoum, Drew McElroy, Adam Stewart, Ashton Simmons, RJ Jones, Trey Stuart, Kayden Edwards, Malick Diallo
| BYU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Wright III G | 39 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 5-14 | 1-3 |
| Kennard Davis Jr. G | 36 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1-7 | 0-4 |
| AJ Dybantsa F | 33 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 8-22 | 2-7 |
| Keba Keita F | 27 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Richie Saunders G | 26 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 4-12 | 1-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Khadim Mboup F | 15 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Mihailo Boskovic F | 15 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Tyler Mrus F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Aleksej Kostic G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dominique Diomande F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Xavion Staton, Brody Kozlowski, KJ Perry, Abdullah Ahmed, Nate Pickens, Jared McGregor, Dawson Baker
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBYU -13.5
ModelBYU -11.1
Model edgeTCU +2.4
W TCU covered
Total
Market162.5
Model155.4
Model edgeUnder 7.1
W Under
Projected score
TCU 72.2 · BYU 83.2
TCU 70 · BYU 76
Win probability
BYU 83%
1st half
Spread
BYU -6.5
TCU -6.0
Total
72.8
66 points
Projected score
TCU 33.2 · BYU 39.6
TCU 36 · BYU 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBYU -12.5
1 → BYU
CloseBYU -13.5
1 pt toward BYU
Total
Open155.5
▲ 7
Close162.5
Up 7 since the open
Moneyline
TCU +625 · BYU -950
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BYU -12.5 · closed BYU -13.5 · moved 1 toward BYUmodel BYU -11
model BYU -11
Opened 155.5 · closed 162.5 · moved 7 upmodel 155.5
model 155.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCU | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| BYU | 10-0 100% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
TCU 1–1 BYUSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · TCU 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | BYU 67 @ TCU 71 | TCU +2.5 | TCU W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | TCU 75 @ BYU 87 | BYU -6.5 | BYU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
TCU
16 games played
Straight up
11-5
69% wins
Against the spread
9-7
56% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-9
44% overs · avg −0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NOLA | L 74-78 | -21.5 | L −25.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 6 | vs SFPA | W 104-63 | -27.5 | W +13.5 | 153.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 10 | vs LAM | W 78-65 | -18.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 14 | vs MICH | L 63-67 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 164.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 19 | vs KC | W 81-45 | -23.5 | W +12.5 | 150.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 27 | vs FLA | W 84-80 | +11.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 28 | vs WIS | W 74-63 | +5.5 | W +16.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 5 | vs ND | L 85-87 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 7 | @ UNT | W 65-55 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 15 | vs UIW | W 69-65 | -19.5 | L −15.5 | 143.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 18 | vs ORU | W 72-53 | -23.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 21 | vs FAMU | W 80-56 | -29.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 29 | vs JKST | W 115-64 | -30.5 | W +20.5 | 143.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 3 | vs BAY | W 69-63 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 6 | @ KU | L 100-104 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | O 204 |
| Jan 10 | vs ARIZ | L 73-86 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNOLA
NOLAL 74-78
−25.5
6
vsSFPA
SFPAW 104-63
+13.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 78-65
−5.5
14
vsMICH
MICHL 63-67
+3.5
19
vsKC
KCW 81-45
+12.5
27
vsFLA
FLAW 84-80
+15.5
28
vsWIS
WISW 74-63
+16.5
5
vsND
NDL 85-87
−8.5
7
@UNT
UNTW 65-55
+0.5
15
vsUIW
UIWW 69-65
−15.5
18
vsORU
ORUW 72-53
−4.5
21
vsFAMU
FAMUW 80-56
−5.5
29
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-64
+20.5
3
vsBAY
BAYW 69-63
+3.5
6
@KU
KUL 100-104
+2.5
10
vsARIZ
ARIZL 73-86
−5.5
covered 9didn’t cover 7avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNOLA
NOLAL 74-78
+2.5
6
vsSFPA
SFPAW 104-63
+13.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 78-65
−4.5
14
vsMICH
MICHL 63-67
−34.5
19
vsKC
KCW 81-45
−24.5
27
vsFLA
FLAW 84-80
+8.5
28
vsWIS
WISW 74-63
−20.5
5
vsND
NDL 85-87
+30.5
7
@UNT
UNTW 65-55
−15.5
15
vsUIW
UIWW 69-65
−9.5
18
vsORU
ORUW 72-53
−22.5
21
vsFAMU
FAMUW 80-56
−6.5
29
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-64
+35.5
3
vsBAY
BAYW 69-63
−22.5
6
@KU
KUL 100-104
+60.5
10
vsARIZ
ARIZL 73-86
+1.5
over 7under 9avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
BYU
16 games played
Straight up
15-1
94% wins
Against the spread
9-7
56% covers · avg +1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-8
50% overs · avg −3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs VILL | W 71-66 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 8 | vs HC | W 98-53 | -38.5 | W +6.5 | 165.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 11 | vs DEL | W 85-68 | -35.5 | L −18.5 | 164.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 15 | vs CONN | L 84-86 | +6.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 21 | vsWIS | W 98-70 | -4.5 | W +23.5 | 165.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 27 | vs MIA | W 72-62 | -7.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 28 | vs DAY | W 83-79 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 3 | vs CBU | W 91-60 | -18.5 | W +12.5 | 153.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 9 | vs CLEM | W 67-64 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 13 | vs UCR | W 100-53 | -33.5 | W +13.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 16 | vs PAC | W 93-57 | -23.5 | W +12.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 19 | vs ACU | W 85-67 | -33.5 | L −15.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 22 | vs EWU | W 109-81 | -34.5 | L −6.5 | 168.5 | O 190 |
| Jan 3 | @ KSU | W 83-73 | -7.5 | W +2.5 | 174.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 7 | vs ASU | W 104-76 | -17.5 | W +10.5 | 168.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 10 | @ UTAH | W 89-84 | -14.5 | L −9.5 | 168.5 | O 173 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsVILL
VILLW 71-66
−4.5
8
vsHC
HCW 98-53
+6.5
11
vsDEL
DELW 85-68
−18.5
15
vsCONN
CONNL 84-86
+4.5
21
vsWIS
WISW 98-70
+23.5
27
vsMIA
MIAW 72-62
+2.5
28
vsDAY
DAYW 83-79
−5.5
3
vsCBU
CBUW 91-60
+12.5
9
vsCLEM
CLEMW 67-64
−1.5
13
vsUCR
UCRW 100-53
+13.5
16
vsPAC
PACW 93-57
+12.5
19
vsACU
ACUW 85-67
−15.5
22
vsEWU
EWUW 109-81
−6.5
3
@KSU
KSUW 83-73
+2.5
7
vsASU
ASUW 104-76
+10.5
10
@UTAH
UTAHW 89-84
−9.5
covered 9didn’t cover 7avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsVILL
VILLW 71-66
−16.5
8
vsHC
HCW 98-53
−14.5
11
vsDEL
DELW 85-68
−11.5
15
vsCONN
CONNL 84-86
+13.5
21
vsWIS
WISW 98-70
+2.5
27
vsMIA
MIAW 72-62
−31.5
28
vsDAY
DAYW 83-79
+11.5
3
vsCBU
CBUW 91-60
−2.5
9
vsCLEM
CLEMW 67-64
−21.5
13
vsUCR
UCRW 100-53
−2.5
16
vsPAC
PACW 93-57
+0.5
19
vsACU
ACUW 85-67
+5.5
22
vsEWU
EWUW 109-81
+21.5
3
@KSU
KSUW 83-73
−18.5
7
vsASU
ASUW 104-76
+11.5
10
@UTAH
UTAHW 89-84
+4.5
over 8under 8avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
TCU
11-5 overall · 1-2 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Arizona73–86
- L@ Kansas100–104
- Wvs Baylor69–63
- Wvs Jackson St115–64
- Wvs Florida A&M80–56
4 days since their last game.
BYU
15-1 overall · 3-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Utah89–84
- Wvs Arizona St104–76
- W@ Kansas St83–73
- Wvs E Washington109–81
- Wvs Abilene Chrstn85–67
4 days since their last game.