Mizzou Arena · at Missouri
Closing line
MIZ -20.5✓ MIZ covered by 1.5
MIZ -20.5✓ MIZ covered by 1.5Closing total146.5Under by 4.5
 BCU | This season | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| 2-6 | Record | 9-2 |
| 4-4 | ATS | 4-7 |
| 4-4 | O/U | 5-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BCU 68–87 MIZ · ✓ MIZ (96%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BCU | 25 | 35 | 60 |
| MIZ | 39 | 43 | 82 |
1st half: BCU 25, MIZ 39 (MIZ by 14). The model had MIZ by 11.7 and a total of 72.7 (actual 64).
Team stats
| BCU | MIZ | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-45 42% | Field goals | 34-59 58% |
| 6-12 50% | 3-pointers | 7-19 37% |
| 16-21 76% | Free throws | 7-11 64% |
| 20 5 off | Rebounds | 34 11 off |
| 6 | Assists | 16 |
| 10 | Steals | 10 |
| 1 | Blocks | 7 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 12 | Fouls | 19 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 50 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| BCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakobi Heady G | 33 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 5-9 | 1-1 |
| Arterio Morris G | 29 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4-9 | 1-2 |
| Daniel Perez-Rouzan F | 29 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Rickey Mitchell Jr. G | 24 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Quentin Heady F | 14 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ariel Bland F | 27 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Johnson G | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Tyler Andrews G | 16 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| William Gonzalez G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dailon Minor, Trayvon Barbary, Reggie Ward Jr., Seneca Willoughby, Doctor Bradley, Simeon Womack, David Onanina
| MIZ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Crews G | 32 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 8-9 | 3-4 |
| Anthony Robinson II G | 30 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 6-9 | 0-2 |
| Mark Mitchell Jr. G | 28 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 8-12 | 1-2 |
| Annor Boateng G | 22 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Shawn Phillips Jr. C | 17 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sebastian Mack G | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| T.O. Barrett F | 18 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Jevon Porter F | 15 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Luke Northweather F | 14 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-4 |
| Nicholas Randall F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Trent Burns C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jayden Stone, Aaron Rowe, Trent Pierce
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMIZ -20.5
ModelMIZ -19.6
Model edgeBCU +0.9
L MIZ covered
Total
Market146.5
Model155.3
Model edgeOver 8.8
L Under
Projected score
BCU 67.8 · MIZ 87.4
BCU 60 · MIZ 82
Win probability
MIZ 96%
1st half
Spread
MIZ -11.7
MIZ -14.0
Total
72.7
64 points
Projected score
BCU 30.5 · MIZ 42.2
BCU 25 · MIZ 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMIZ -19.5
1 → MIZ
CloseMIZ -20.5
1 pt toward MIZ
Total
Open152.5
▼ 6
Close146.5
Down 6 since the open
Moneyline
BCU +1500 · MIZ -3600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MIZ -19.5 · closed MIZ -20.5 · moved 1 toward MIZmodel MIZ -19.5
model MIZ -19.5
Opened 152.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 6 downmodel 155.5
model 155.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BCUlast 8 | 2-6 25% | 4-4 50% | 4-4 50% |
| MIZ | 8-2 80% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Bethune
8 games played
Straight up
2-6
25% wins
Against the spread
4-4
50% covers · avg −1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-4
50% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ AUB | L 90-95 | +24.5 | W +19.5 | 153.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 6 | @ MIA | L 61-101 | +16.5 | L −23.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 15 | @ DAY | L 82-91 | +21.5 | W +12.5 | 148.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 19 | @ OHIO | W 76-73 | +6.5 | W +9.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 24 | vs JAX | L 64-69 | -3.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 25 | vs STBK | L 54-61 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 115 |
| Nov 29 | @ IU | L 56-100 | +29.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 5 | vs SCST | W 80-59 | -13.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@AUB
AUBL 90-95
+19.5
6
@MIA
MIAL 61-101
−23.5
15
@DAY
DAYL 82-91
+12.5
19
@OHIO
OHIOW 76-73
+9.5
24
vsJAX
JAXL 64-69
−8.5
25
vsSTBK
STBKL 54-61
−11.5
29
@IU
IUL 56-100
−14.5
5
vsSCST
SCSTW 80-59
+7.5
covered 4didn’t cover 4avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@AUB
AUBL 90-95
+31.5
6
@MIA
MIAL 61-101
+7.5
15
@DAY
DAYL 82-91
+24.5
19
@OHIO
OHIOW 76-73
−8.5
24
vsJAX
JAXL 64-69
−10.5
25
vsSTBK
STBKL 54-61
−30.5
29
@IU
IUL 56-100
+7.5
5
vsSCST
SCSTW 80-59
−9.5
over 4under 4avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Missouri
11 games played
Straight up
9-2
82% wins
Against the spread
4-7
36% covers · avg −4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-6
45% overs · avg −1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ HOW | W 88-67 | -20.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 7 | vs SEMO | W 89-84 | -25.5 | L −20.5 | 157.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 9 | vs VMI | W 106-68 | -23.5 | W +14.5 | 161.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 12 | vs MINN | W 83-60 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 17 | vs PV | W 91-73 | -35.5 | L −17.5 | 166.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 20 | vs SDAK | W 102-68 | -24.5 | W +9.5 | 171.5 | U 170 |
| Nov 25 | vsSCST | W 98-66 | -34.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 28 | vs CLE | W 86-59 | -31.5 | L −4.5 | 170.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 2 | @ ND | L 71-76 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 7 | vs KU | L 60-80 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 11 | vs ALST | W 85-77 | -26.5 | L −18.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@HOW
HOWW 88-67
+0.5
7
vsSEMO
SEMOW 89-84
−20.5
9
vsVMI
VMIW 106-68
+14.5
12
vsMINN
MINNW 83-60
+15.5
17
vsPV
PVW 91-73
−17.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 102-68
+9.5
25
vsSCST
SCSTW 98-66
−2.5
28
vsCLE
CLEW 86-59
−4.5
2
@ND
NDL 71-76
−6.5
7
vsKU
KUL 60-80
−14.5
11
vsALST
ALSTW 85-77
−18.5
covered 4didn’t cover 7avg −4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@HOW
HOWW 88-67
−3.5
7
vsSEMO
SEMOW 89-84
+15.5
9
vsVMI
VMIW 106-68
+12.5
12
vsMINN
MINNW 83-60
−15.5
17
vsPV
PVW 91-73
−2.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 102-68
−1.5
25
vsSCST
SCSTW 98-66
+3.5
28
vsCLE
CLEW 86-59
−25.5
2
@ND
NDL 71-76
+0.5
7
vsKU
KUL 60-80
−10.5
11
vsALST
ALSTW 85-77
+6.5
over 5under 6avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Bethune
2-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs SC State80–59
- L@ Indiana56–100
- Lvs Stony Brook54–61
- Lvs Jacksonville64–69
- W@ Ohio76–73
A week or more of rest.
Missouri
9-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Alabama St85–77
- Lvs Kansas60–80
- L@ Notre Dame71–76
- Wvs Cleveland St86–59
- Wvs SC State98–66
3 days since their last game.