Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall · at Indiana · Conference game
Closing line
IU -10.5✓ IU covered by 7.5
IU -10.5✓ IU covered by 7.5Closing total143.5Over by 22.5
 ORE | This season | IU |
|---|---|---|
| 8-15 | Record | 16-8 |
| 7-16 | ATS | 12-12 |
| 10-13 | O/U | 11-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ORE 70–79 IU · ✓ IU (79%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ORE | 30 | 44 | 74 |
| IU | 36 | 56 | 92 |
1st half: ORE 30, IU 36 (IU by 6). The model had IU by 5.3 and a total of 69.9 (actual 66).
Team stats
| ORE | IU | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-56 45% | Field goals | 30-50 60% |
| 7-19 37% | 3-pointers | 11-27 41% |
| 17-25 68% | Free throws | 21-27 78% |
| 25 8 off | Rebounds | 29 5 off |
| 17 | Assists | 22 |
| 5 | Steals | 0 |
| 0 | Blocks | 1 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 21 | Fouls | 18 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| ORE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Bittle C | 34 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 3-14 | 1-5 |
| Takai Simpkins G | 33 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| Sean Stewart F | 30 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Kwame Evans Jr. F | 21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Drew Carter G | 19 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4-6 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Wei Lin G | 21 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 6-12 | 3-5 |
| Dez Lindsay F | 19 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Oleksandr Kobzystyi F | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Luke Johnson F | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jamari Phillips G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Efe Vatan F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Devon Pryor, Ege Demir, Rian Gonzales, JJ Frakes, Miles Stewart, Jackson Shelstad
| IU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Enright G | 36 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Lamar Wilkerson G | 35 | 41 | 5 | 3 | 13-20 | 6-12 |
| Nick Dorn G | 34 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2-7 | 2-7 |
| Tucker DeVries F | 33 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5-10 | 2-6 |
| Sam Alexis F | 25 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 8-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Reed Bailey F | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jasai Miles G | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Trent Sisley F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tayton Conerway G | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Aleksa Ristic G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ian Stephens G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Drew Snively, Tryce Grensing, Andrej Acimovic, Josh Harris, Deuce Drake, Jordan Rayford
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketIU -10.5
ModelIU -9.0
Model edgeORE +1.5
L IU covered
Total
Market143.5
Model149.4
Model edgeOver 5.9
W Over
Projected score
ORE 70.2 · IU 79.2
ORE 74 · IU 92
Win probability
IU 79%
1st half
Spread
IU -5.3
IU -6.0
Total
69.9
66 points
Projected score
ORE 32.3 · IU 37.6
ORE 30 · IU 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenIU -11.5
1 → ORE
CloseIU -10.5
1 pt toward ORE
Total
Open142.5
▲ 1
Close143.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
ORE +525 · IU -750
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened IU -11.5 · closed IU -10.5 · moved 1 toward OREmodel IU -9
model IU -9
Opened 142.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 1 upmodel 149.5
model 149.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ORE | 1-9 10% | 3-7 30% | 2-8 20% |
| IU | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
ORE 2–0 IUORE leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · ORE has won the last 2 meetings · ORE 2-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2024-25 | IU 59 vs ORE 72 | ORE -1.5 | ORE W |
| Mar 4, 2024-25 | IU 64 @ ORE 73 | ORE -6.5 | ORE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Oregon
23 games played
Straight up
8-15
35% wins
Against the spread
7-16
30% covers · avg −3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-13
43% overs · avg −0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs HAW | W 60-59 | -11.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 7 | vs RICE | W 67-63 | -15.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 12 | vs SDST | W 83-69 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 17 | vs ORST | W 87-75 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 24 | vs AUB | L 73-84 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs SDSU | L 80-97 | -2.5 | L −19.5 | 141.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 27 | vs CREI | L 66-76 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 2 | vs USC | L 77-82 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | @ UCLA | L 63-74 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 13 | vs UCD | W 104-62 | -13.5 | W +28.5 | 146.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 17 | vs PORT | W 94-69 | -19.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs GONZ | L 82-91 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 155.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 28 | vs OMA | W 80-57 | -21.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 2 | @ MD | W 64-54 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 5 | @ RUTG | L 85-88 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 139.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 8 | vs OSU | L 62-72 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 13 | @ NEB | L 55-90 | +10.5 | L −24.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 17 | vs MICH | L 71-81 | +18.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 20 | vs MSU | L 52-68 | +10.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 25 | @ WASH | L 57-72 | +7.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 28 | vsUCLA | L 57-73 | +4.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 1 | vs IOWA | L 66-84 | +9.5 | L −8.5 | 133.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 7 | @ PUR | L 64-68 | +19.5 | W +15.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsHAW
HAWW 60-59
−10.5
7
vsRICE
RICEW 67-63
−11.5
12
vsSDST
SDSTW 83-69
−2.5
17
vsORST
ORSTW 87-75
−1.5
24
vsAUB
AUBL 73-84
−6.5
25
vsSDSU
SDSUL 80-97
−19.5
27
vsCREI
CREIL 66-76
−7.5
2
vsUSC
USCL 77-82
−2.5
6
@UCLA
UCLAL 63-74
−2.5
13
vsUCD
UCDW 104-62
+28.5
17
vsPORT
PORTW 94-69
+5.5
21
vsGONZ
GONZL 82-91
+3.5
28
vsOMA
OMAW 80-57
+1.5
2
@MD
MDW 64-54
+8.5
5
@RUTG
RUTGL 85-88
−7.5
8
vsOSU
OSUL 62-72
−11.5
13
@NEB
NEBL 55-90
−24.5
17
vsMICH
MICHL 71-81
+8.5
20
vsMSU
MSUL 52-68
−5.5
25
@WASH
WASHL 57-72
−7.5
28
vsUCLA
UCLAL 57-73
−11.5
1
vsIOWA
IOWAL 66-84
−8.5
7
@PUR
PURL 64-68
+15.5
covered 7didn’t cover 16avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsHAW
HAWW 60-59
−25.5
7
vsRICE
RICEW 67-63
−15.5
12
vsSDST
SDSTW 83-69
+6.5
17
vsORST
ORSTW 87-75
+20.5
24
vsAUB
AUBL 73-84
+1.5
25
vsSDSU
SDSUL 80-97
+35.5
27
vsCREI
CREIL 66-76
−8.5
2
vsUSC
USCL 77-82
+4.5
6
@UCLA
UCLAL 63-74
−9.5
13
vsUCD
UCDW 104-62
+19.5
17
vsPORT
PORTW 94-69
+8.5
21
vsGONZ
GONZL 82-91
+17.5
28
vsOMA
OMAW 80-57
−14.5
2
@MD
MDW 64-54
−28.5
5
@RUTG
RUTGL 85-88
+33.5
8
vsOSU
OSUL 62-72
−18.5
13
@NEB
NEBL 55-90
−1.5
17
vsMICH
MICHL 71-81
−5.5
20
vsMSU
MSUL 52-68
−19.5
25
@WASH
WASHL 57-72
−14.5
28
vsUCLA
UCLAL 57-73
−6.5
1
vsIOWA
IOWAL 66-84
+16.5
7
@PUR
PURL 64-68
−12.5
over 10under 13avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Indiana
24 games played
Straight up
16-8
67% wins
Against the spread
12-12
50% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-13
46% overs · avg −0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs AAMU | W 98-51 | -30.5 | W +16.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 9 | vs MARQ | W 100-77 | -3.5 | W +19.5 | 156.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 12 | vs MILW | W 101-70 | -24.5 | W +6.5 | 165.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 16 | vs UIW | W 69-61 | -28.5 | L −20.5 | 157.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 20 | vs LIN | W 73-53 | -32.5 | L −12.5 | 155.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 25 | vs KSU | W 86-69 | -10.5 | W +6.5 | 164.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 29 | vs BCU | W 100-56 | -29.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 3 | @ MINN | L 64-73 | -7.5 | L −16.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | vs LOU | L 78-87 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 9 | vs PSU | W 113-72 | -14.5 | W +26.5 | 152.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 13 | @ UK | L 60-72 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 20 | vs CHST | W 78-58 | -38.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 22 | vs SIE | W 81-60 | -21.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 4 | vsWASH | W 90-80 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 7 | @MD | W 84-66 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | vsNEB | L 77-83 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 13 | @MSU | L 60-81 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 17 | vsIOWA | L 57-74 | -3.5 | L −20.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 20 | @MICH | L 72-86 | +15.5 | W +1.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 23 | @RUTG | W 82-59 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 27 | vsPUR | W 72-67 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 31 | @UCLA | W 98-97 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | O 195 |
| Feb 3 | @USC | L 75-81 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 7 | vs WIS | W 78-77 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | U 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsAAMU
AAMUW 98-51
+16.5
9
vsMARQ
MARQW 100-77
+19.5
12
vsMILW
MILWW 101-70
+6.5
16
vsUIW
UIWW 69-61
−20.5
20
vsLIN
LINW 73-53
−12.5
25
vsKSU
KSUW 86-69
+6.5
29
vsBCU
BCUW 100-56
+14.5
3
@MINN
MINNL 64-73
−16.5
6
vsLOU
LOUL 78-87
−5.5
9
vsPSU
PSUW 113-72
+26.5
13
@UK
UKL 60-72
−8.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 78-58
−18.5
22
vsSIE
SIEW 81-60
−0.5
4
vsWASH
WASHW 90-80
+0.5
7
@MD
MDW 84-66
+10.5
10
vsNEB
NEBL 77-83
−10.5
13
@MSU
MSUL 60-81
−14.5
17
vsIOWA
IOWAL 57-74
−20.5
20
@MICH
MICHL 72-86
+1.5
23
@RUTG
RUTGW 82-59
+15.5
27
vsPUR
PURW 72-67
+9.5
31
@UCLA
UCLAW 98-97
+4.5
3
@USC
USCL 75-81
−7.5
7
vsWIS
WISW 78-77
−2.5
covered 12didn’t cover 12avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsAAMU
AAMUW 98-51
+1.5
9
vsMARQ
MARQW 100-77
+20.5
12
vsMILW
MILWW 101-70
+5.5
16
vsUIW
UIWW 69-61
−27.5
20
vsLIN
LINW 73-53
−29.5
25
vsKSU
KSUW 86-69
−9.5
29
vsBCU
BCUW 100-56
+7.5
3
@MINN
MINNL 64-73
−7.5
6
vsLOU
LOUL 78-87
+2.5
9
vsPSU
PSUW 113-72
+32.5
13
@UK
UKL 60-72
−24.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 78-58
−16.5
22
vsSIE
SIEW 81-60
−4.5
4
vsWASH
WASHW 90-80
+17.5
7
@MD
MDW 84-66
+2.5
10
vsNEB
NEBL 77-83
+9.5
13
@MSU
MSUL 60-81
−4.5
17
vsIOWA
IOWAL 57-74
−15.5
20
@MICH
MICHL 72-86
−5.5
23
@RUTG
RUTGW 82-59
−6.5
27
vsPUR
PURW 72-67
−11.5
31
@UCLA
UCLAW 98-97
+50.5
3
@USC
USCL 75-81
+2.5
7
vsWIS
WISW 78-77
−2.5
over 11under 13avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Oregon
8-15 overall · 1-11 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Purdue64–68
- Lvs Iowa66–84
- Lvs UCLA57–73
- L@ Washington57–72
- Lvs Michigan St52–68
2 days since their last game.
Indiana
16-8 overall · 7-6 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Wisconsin78–77
- L@ USC75–81
- W@ UCLA98–97
- Wvs Purdue72–67
- W@ Rutgers82–59
2 days since their last game.