Pauley Pavilion · at UCLA · Conference game
Closing line
UCLA -4.5✓ WASH covered by 0.5
UCLA -4.5✓ WASH covered by 0.5Closing total144.5Over by 5.5
 WASH | This season | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| 12-11 | Record | 16-7 |
| 14-9 | ATS | 10-13 |
| 8-15 | O/U | 11-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WASH 72–76 UCLA · ✓ UCLA (65%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WASH | 34 | 39 | 73 |
| UCLA | 30 | 47 | 77 |
1st half: WASH 34, UCLA 30 (WASH by 4). The model had UCLA by 2.5 and a total of 69.5 (actual 64).
Team stats
| WASH | UCLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-56 50% | Field goals | 23-56 41% |
| 5-17 29% | 3-pointers | 8-18 44% |
| 12-18 67% | Free throws | 23-29 79% |
| 30 11 off | Rebounds | 30 12 off |
| 15 | Assists | 11 |
| 6 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 0 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 24 | Fouls | 17 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| WASH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Yates III G | 40 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 9-17 | 2-7 |
| Hannes Steinbach F | 37 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Bryson Tucker F | 33 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Zoom Diallo G | 24 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 2-7 | 0-0 |
| Franck Kepnang C | 16 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Quimari Peterson G | 24 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4-9 | 3-8 |
| Lathan Sommerville C | 21 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Jacob Ognacevic F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Courtland Muldrew, BJ Roy, Christian Nitu, Nikola Dzepina, Jasir Rencher, Mady Traore, Desmond Claude, JJ Mandaquit
| UCLA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Dent G | 40 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 5-16 | 0-2 |
| Trent Perry G | 37 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 5-9 | 3-3 |
| Eric Dailey Jr. F | 30 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 5-12 | 2-4 |
| Xavier Booker C | 24 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-2 |
| Tyler Bilodeau F | 24 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 7-12 | 3-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brandon Williams F | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jamar Brown G | 14 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Steven Jamerson II F | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Markell Alston, Anthony Peoples Jr., Christian Horry, Eric Freeny, Skyy Clark, Jack Seidler, Evan Manjikian
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCLA -4.5
ModelUCLA -4.4
Model edgeWASH +0.1
W WASH covered
Total
Market144.5
Model148.5
Model edgeOver 4.0
W Over
Projected score
WASH 72 · UCLA 76.4
WASH 73 · UCLA 77
Win probability
UCLA 65%
1st half
Spread
UCLA -2.5
WASH -4.0
Total
69.5
64 points
Projected score
WASH 33.5 · UCLA 36
WASH 34 · UCLA 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCLA -5.5
1 → WASH
CloseUCLA -4.5
1 pt toward WASH
Total
Open146.5
▼ 2
Close144.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
WASH +190 · UCLA -230
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCLA -5.5 · closed UCLA -4.5 · moved 1 toward WASHmodel UCLA -4.5 matches the line
model UCLA -4.5 = line ✓
Opened 146.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 2 downmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WASH | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% | 2-8 20% |
| UCLA | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
WASH 1–8 UCLAUCLA leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · UCLA has won the last 3 meetings · WASH 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2025-26 | UCLA 82 @ WASH 80 | WASH +2.5 | WASH W |
| Jan 24, 2024-25 | UCLA 65 @ WASH 60 | WASH +5.5 | WASH W |
| Dec 3, 2024-25 | WASH 58 @ UCLA 69 | UCLA -11.5 | WASH W |
| Feb 29, 2023-24 | UCLA 77 @ WASH 94 | WASH -3.5 | WASH W |
| Jan 14, 2023-24 | WASH 61 @ UCLA 73 | UCLA -0.5 | UCLA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Washington
23 games played
Straight up
12-11
52% wins
Against the spread
14-9
61% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-15
35% overs · avg −1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UAPB | W 94-50 | -34.5 | W +9.5 | 160.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 6 | vs DEN | W 84-70 | -27.5 | L −13.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 9 | @ BAY | L 69-78 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 156.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 14 | @ WSU | W 81-69 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 18 | vs SOU | W 99-93 | -23.5 | L −17.5 | 157.5 | O 192 |
| Nov 27 | vs NEV | W 83-66 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 28 | vs COLO | L 68-81 | -2.5 | L −15.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 3 | vsUCLA | L 80-82 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 6 | @ USC | W 84-76 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 154.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 13 | vs SUU | W 105-69 | -25.5 | W +10.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 19 | @ SEA | L 66-70 | -7.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 22 | vs USD | W 86-56 | -18.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 29 | vs UTAH | W 74-65 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 4 | @ IU | L 80-90 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 7 | @ PUR | L 73-81 | +16.5 | W +8.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 11 | vs OSU | W 81-74 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 14 | vs MICH | L 72-82 | +12.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 17 | vs MSU | L 63-80 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 21 | @ NEB | L 66-76 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 25 | vs ORE | W 72-57 | -7.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 29 | @ ILL | L 66-75 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 31 | @ NU | W 76-62 | +1.5 | W +15.5 | 146.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 4 | vs IOWA | L 74-84 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | O 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUAPB
UAPBW 94-50
+9.5
6
vsDEN
DENW 84-70
−13.5
9
@BAY
BAYL 69-78
−2.5
14
@WSU
WSUW 81-69
+3.5
18
vsSOU
SOUW 99-93
−17.5
27
vsNEV
NEVW 83-66
+13.5
28
vsCOLO
COLOL 68-81
−15.5
3
vsUCLA
UCLAL 80-82
+0.5
6
@USC
USCW 84-76
+12.5
13
vsSUU
SUUW 105-69
+10.5
19
@SEA
SEAL 66-70
−11.5
22
vsUSD
USDW 86-56
+11.5
29
vsUTAH
UTAHW 74-65
−3.5
4
@IU
IUL 80-90
−0.5
7
@PUR
PURL 73-81
+8.5
11
vsOSU
OSUW 81-74
+5.5
14
vsMICH
MICHL 72-82
+2.5
17
vsMSU
MSUL 63-80
−13.5
21
@NEB
NEBL 66-76
+0.5
25
vsORE
OREW 72-57
+7.5
29
@ILL
ILLL 66-75
+3.5
31
@NU
NUW 76-62
+15.5
4
vsIOWA
IOWAL 74-84
−7.5
covered 14didn’t cover 9avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUAPB
UAPBW 94-50
−16.5
6
vsDEN
DENW 84-70
+0.5
9
@BAY
BAYL 69-78
−9.5
14
@WSU
WSUW 81-69
−8.5
18
vsSOU
SOUW 99-93
+34.5
27
vsNEV
NEVW 83-66
+3.5
28
vsCOLO
COLOL 68-81
−2.5
3
vsUCLA
UCLAL 80-82
+20.5
6
@USC
USCW 84-76
+5.5
13
vsSUU
SUUW 105-69
+20.5
19
@SEA
SEAL 66-70
−15.5
22
vsUSD
USDW 86-56
−17.5
29
vsUTAH
UTAHW 74-65
−18.5
4
@IU
IUL 80-90
+17.5
7
@PUR
PURL 73-81
−0.5
11
vsOSU
OSUW 81-74
−0.5
14
vsMICH
MICHL 72-82
−11.5
17
vsMSU
MSUL 63-80
−2.5
21
@NEB
NEBL 66-76
−10.5
25
vsORE
OREW 72-57
−14.5
29
@ILL
ILLL 66-75
−12.5
31
@NU
NUW 76-62
−8.5
4
vsIOWA
IOWAL 74-84
+16.5
over 8under 15avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
UCLA
23 games played
Straight up
16-7
70% wins
Against the spread
10-13
43% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-12
48% overs · avg +2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs EWU | W 80-74 | -29.5 | L −23.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 7 | vs PEPP | W 74-63 | -29.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 10 | vs WGA | W 83-62 | -30.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 14 | vs ARIZ | L 65-69 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 18 | vs SAC | W 79-48 | -27.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | vs PRES | W 86-46 | -25.5 | W +14.5 | 131.5 | O 132 |
| Nov 25 | vs CAL | L 72-80 | -7.5 | L −15.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 3 | @WASH | W 82-80 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 6 | vsORE | W 74-63 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 13 | vs GONZ | L 72-82 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 17 | vs ASU | W 90-77 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 19 | vs CP | W 108-87 | -24.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 23 | vs UCR | W 97-65 | -24.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 3 | @IOWA | L 61-74 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 6 | @ WIS | L 72-80 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 10 | vs MD | W 67-55 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 14 | @ PSU | W 71-60 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 17 | @OSU | L 74-86 | +4.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 20 | vsPUR | W 69-67 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 24 | vsNU | W 71-64 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 28 | @ORE | W 73-57 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 31 | vsIU | L 97-98 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | O 195 |
| Feb 3 | vs RUTG | W 98-66 | -13.5 | W +18.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsEWU
EWUW 80-74
−23.5
7
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-63
−18.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 83-62
−9.5
14
vsARIZ
ARIZL 65-69
−2.5
18
vsSAC
SACW 79-48
+3.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 86-46
+14.5
25
vsCAL
CALL 72-80
−15.5
3
@WASH
WASHW 82-80
−0.5
6
vsORE
OREW 74-63
+2.5
13
vsGONZ
GONZL 72-82
+0.5
17
vsASU
ASUW 90-77
+3.5
19
vsCP
CPW 108-87
−3.5
23
vsUCR
UCRW 97-65
+7.5
3
@IOWA
IOWAL 61-74
−6.5
6
@WIS
WISL 72-80
−4.5
10
vsMD
MDW 67-55
−1.5
14
@PSU
PSUW 71-60
+6.5
17
@OSU
OSUL 74-86
−7.5
20
vsPUR
PURW 69-67
+7.5
24
vsNU
NUW 71-64
−0.5
28
@ORE
OREW 73-57
+11.5
31
vsIU
IUL 97-98
−4.5
3
vsRUTG
RUTGW 98-66
+18.5
covered 10didn’t cover 13avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsEWU
EWUW 80-74
+4.5
7
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-63
−15.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 83-62
−1.5
14
vsARIZ
ARIZL 65-69
−19.5
18
vsSAC
SACW 79-48
−19.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 86-46
+0.5
25
vsCAL
CALL 72-80
+8.5
3
@WASH
WASHW 82-80
+20.5
6
vsORE
OREW 74-63
−9.5
13
vsGONZ
GONZL 72-82
+6.5
17
vsASU
ASUW 90-77
+24.5
19
vsCP
CPW 108-87
+33.5
23
vsUCR
UCRW 97-65
+13.5
3
@IOWA
IOWAL 61-74
−5.5
6
@WIS
WISL 72-80
−0.5
10
vsMD
MDW 67-55
−25.5
14
@PSU
PSUW 71-60
−17.5
17
@OSU
OSUL 74-86
+13.5
20
vsPUR
PURW 69-67
−11.5
24
vsNU
NUW 71-64
−8.5
28
@ORE
OREW 73-57
−6.5
31
vsIU
IUL 97-98
+50.5
3
vsRUTG
RUTGW 98-66
+21.5
over 11under 12avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Washington
12-11 overall · 4-8 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Iowa74–84
- W@ Northwestern76–62
- L@ Illinois66–75
- Wvs Oregon72–57
- L@ Nebraska66–76
3 days since their last game.
UCLA
16-7 overall · 8-4 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Rutgers98–66
- Lvs Indiana97–98
- W@ Oregon73–57
- Wvs Northwestern71–64
- Wvs Purdue69–67
4 days since their last game.