Crisler Center · at Michigan · Conference game
Closing line
MICH -16.5✓ OSU covered by 4.5
MICH -16.5✓ OSU covered by 4.5Closing total165.5Under by 29.5
 OSU | This season | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| 13-5 | Record | 17-1 |
| 8-10 | ATS | 9-9 |
| 9-9 | O/U | 7-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: OSU 75–92 MICH · ✓ MICH (92%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OSU | 30 | 32 | 62 |
| MICH | 33 | 41 | 74 |
1st half: OSU 30, MICH 33 (MICH by 3). The model had MICH by 9.5 and a total of 78.1 (actual 63).
Team stats
| OSU | MICH | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-59 41% | Field goals | 27-52 52% |
| 8-27 30% | 3-pointers | 5-23 22% |
| 6-9 67% | Free throws | 15-25 60% |
| 27 12 off | Rebounds | 36 12 off |
| 9 | Assists | 16 |
| 6 | Steals | 10 |
| 1 | Blocks | 6 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 20 | Fouls | 16 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| OSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Royal F | 36 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-4 |
| John Mobley Jr. G | 35 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 9-16 | 4-9 |
| Bruce Thornton G | 34 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 3-11 | 1-5 |
| Christoph Tilly C | 30 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 6-12 | 2-4 |
| Amare Bynum F | 29 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ivan Njegovan C | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Colin White F | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Gabe Cupps G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Taison Chatman G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Puff Johnson G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mathieu Grujicic, Myles Herro, Braylen Nash, Josh Ojianwuna, Brandon Noel
| MICH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaxel Lendeborg F | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 7-13 | 1-5 |
| Aday Mara C | 29 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. F | 27 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 6-6 | 0-0 |
| Elliot Cadeau G | 25 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Nimari Burnett G | 14 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1-6 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trey McKenney G | 21 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Roddy Gayle Jr. G | 21 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| L.J. Cason G | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-3 |
| Will Tschetter F | 14 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Oscar Goodman, Ricky Liburd, Malick Kordel, Howard Eisley Jr., Winters Grady, Harrison Hochberg, Charlie May
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMICH -16.5
ModelMICH -16.2
Model edgeOSU +0.3
W OSU covered
Total
Market165.5
Model166.9
Model edgeOver 1.4
L Under
Projected score
OSU 75.4 · MICH 91.6
OSU 62 · MICH 74
Win probability
MICH 92%
1st half
Spread
MICH -9.5
MICH -3.0
Total
78.1
63 points
Projected score
OSU 34.3 · MICH 43.8
OSU 30 · MICH 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMICH -15.5
1 → MICH
CloseMICH -16.5
1 pt toward MICH
Total
Open162.5
▲ 3
Close165.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
OSU +1100 · MICH -2100
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MICH -15.5 · closed MICH -16.5 · moved 1 toward MICHmodel MICH -16
model MICH -16
Opened 162.5 · closed 165.5 · moved 3 upmodel 167
model 167
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OSU | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| MICH | 9-1 90% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
OSU 2–4 MICHMICH leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · OSU 2-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2024-25 | MICH 86 @ OSU 83 | OSU -1.5 | MICH W |
| Mar 3, 2023-24 | MICH 61 @ OSU 84 | OSU -12.5 | OSU W |
| Jan 15, 2023-24 | OSU 65 @ MICH 73 | MICH -1.5 | MICH W |
| Feb 5, 2022-23 | OSU 69 @ MICH 77 | MICH -3.5 | MICH W |
| Mar 6, 2021-22 | MICH 75 @ OSU 69 | OSU -6 | MICH W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Ohio State
18 games played
Straight up
13-5
72% wins
Against the spread
8-10
44% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-9
50% overs · avg +1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs IUIN | W 118-102 | -33.5 | L −17.5 | 172.5 | O 220 |
| Nov 7 | vs PFW | W 94-68 | -24.5 | W +1.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | vs APP | W 75-53 | -23.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 16 | vs ND | W 64-63 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 20 | vs WMU | W 91-58 | -26.5 | W +6.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 25 | vs MSM | W 113-60 | -30.5 | W +22.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 28 | @ PITT | L 66-67 | -5.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 6 | @ NU | W 86-82 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 9 | vs ILL | L 80-88 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 13 | vs WVU | W 89-88 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 20 | vs UNC | L 70-71 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 23 | vs GRAM | W 89-63 | -28.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 2 | @ RUTG | W 80-73 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 5 | vs NEB | L 69-72 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 8 | @ ORE | W 72-62 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 11 | @ WASH | L 74-81 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 17 | vs UCLA | W 86-74 | -4.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 20 | vs MINN | W 82-74 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsIUIN
IUINW 118-102
−17.5
7
vsPFW
PFWW 94-68
+1.5
11
vsAPP
APPW 75-53
−1.5
16
vsND
NDW 64-63
−8.5
20
vsWMU
WMUW 91-58
+6.5
25
vsMSM
MSMW 113-60
+22.5
28
@PITT
PITTL 66-67
−6.5
6
@NU
NUW 86-82
+2.5
9
vsILL
ILLL 80-88
−4.5
13
vsWVU
WVUW 89-88
−2.5
20
vsUNC
UNCL 70-71
+1.5
23
vsGRAM
GRAMW 89-63
−2.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 80-73
−2.5
5
vsNEB
NEBL 69-72
−5.5
8
@ORE
OREW 72-62
+11.5
11
@WASH
WASHL 74-81
−5.5
17
vsUCLA
UCLAW 86-74
+7.5
20
vsMINN
MINNW 82-74
+0.5
covered 8didn’t cover 10avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsIUIN
IUINW 118-102
+47.5
7
vsPFW
PFWW 94-68
+2.5
11
vsAPP
APPW 75-53
−19.5
16
vsND
NDW 64-63
−29.5
20
vsWMU
WMUW 91-58
−10.5
25
vsMSM
MSMW 113-60
+21.5
28
@PITT
PITTL 66-67
−15.5
6
@NU
NUW 86-82
+12.5
9
vsILL
ILLL 80-88
+5.5
13
vsWVU
WVUW 89-88
+31.5
20
vsUNC
UNCL 70-71
−16.5
23
vsGRAM
GRAMW 89-63
−1.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 80-73
+1.5
5
vsNEB
NEBL 69-72
−14.5
8
@ORE
OREW 72-62
−18.5
11
@WASH
WASHL 74-81
−0.5
17
vsUCLA
UCLAW 86-74
+13.5
20
vsMINN
MINNW 82-74
+12.5
over 9under 9avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Michigan
18 games played
Straight up
17-1
94% wins
Against the spread
9-9
50% covers · avg +5.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-11
39% overs · avg −0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs OAK | W 121-78 | -24.5 | W +18.5 | 156.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 11 | vs WAKE | W 85-84 | -15.5 | L −14.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 14 | @ TCU | W 67-63 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 19 | vs MTSU | W 86-61 | -27.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 24 | vs SDSU | W 94-54 | -6.5 | W +33.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 25 | vs AUB | W 102-72 | -4.5 | W +25.5 | 163.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | vs GONZ | W 101-61 | +3.5 | W +43.5 | 165.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 6 | vsRUTG | W 101-60 | -25.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 9 | vs VILL | W 89-61 | -17.5 | W +10.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | @ MD | W 101-83 | -19.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 21 | vs LAS | W 102-50 | -40.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 29 | vs MCN | W 112-71 | -24.5 | W +16.5 | 161.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 2 | vs USC | W 96-66 | -22.5 | W +7.5 | 173.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 6 | @ PSU | W 74-72 | -24.5 | L −22.5 | 169.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 10 | vs WIS | L 88-91 | -19.5 | L −22.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 14 | @WASH | W 82-72 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 17 | @ORE | W 81-71 | -18.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 20 | vs IU | W 86-72 | -15.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsOAK
OAKW 121-78
+18.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEW 85-84
−14.5
14
@TCU
TCUW 67-63
−3.5
19
vsMTSU
MTSUW 86-61
−2.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUW 94-54
+33.5
25
vsAUB
AUBW 102-72
+25.5
26
vsGONZ
GONZW 101-61
+43.5
6
vsRUTG
RUTGW 101-60
+15.5
9
vsVILL
VILLW 89-61
+10.5
13
@MD
MDW 101-83
−1.5
21
vsLAS
LASW 102-50
+11.5
29
vsMCN
MCNW 112-71
+16.5
2
vsUSC
USCW 96-66
+7.5
6
@PSU
PSUW 74-72
−22.5
10
vsWIS
WISL 88-91
−22.5
14
@WASH
WASHW 82-72
−2.5
17
@ORE
OREW 81-71
−8.5
20
vsIU
IUW 86-72
−1.5
covered 9didn’t cover 9avg +5.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsOAK
OAKW 121-78
+42.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEW 85-84
+0.5
14
@TCU
TCUW 67-63
−34.5
19
vsMTSU
MTSUW 86-61
−12.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUW 94-54
−0.5
25
vsAUB
AUBW 102-72
+10.5
26
vsGONZ
GONZW 101-61
−3.5
6
vsRUTG
RUTGW 101-60
+7.5
9
vsVILL
VILLW 89-61
−6.5
13
@MD
MDW 101-83
+20.5
21
vsLAS
LASW 102-50
−3.5
29
vsMCN
MCNW 112-71
+21.5
2
vsUSC
USCW 96-66
−11.5
6
@PSU
PSUW 74-72
−23.5
10
vsWIS
WISL 88-91
+9.5
14
@WASH
WASHW 82-72
−11.5
17
@ORE
OREW 81-71
−5.5
20
vsIU
IUW 86-72
−5.5
over 7under 11avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Ohio State
13-5 overall · 5-3 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Minnesota82–74
- Wvs UCLA86–74
- L@ Washington74–81
- W@ Oregon72–62
- Lvs Nebraska69–72
3 days since their last game.
Michigan
17-1 overall · 7-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Indiana86–72
- W@ Oregon81–71
- W@ Washington82–72
- Lvs Wisconsin88–91
- W@ Penn State74–72
3 days since their last game.