Bender Arena · at American · Conference game
Closing line
AMER -8.5✓ HC covered by 19.5
AMER -8.5✓ HC covered by 19.5Closing total137.5Over by 19.5
 HC | This season | AMER |
|---|---|---|
| 4-10 | Record | 7-7 |
| 7-7 | ATS | 9-5 |
| 5-9 | O/U | 9-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HC 66–74 AMER · ✗ AMER (74%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HC | 38 | 46 | 84 |
| AMER | 37 | 36 | 73 |
1st half: HC 38, AMER 37 (HC by 1). The model had AMER by 4.2 and a total of 65.5 (actual 75).
Team stats
| HC | AMER | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-51 55% | Field goals | 24-58 41% |
| 4-16 25% | 3-pointers | 2-24 8% |
| 24-33 73% | Free throws | 23-26 88% |
| 31 5 off | Rebounds | 30 10 off |
| 7 | Assists | 9 |
| 6 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 0 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 23 | Fouls | 24 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| HC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Nugent F | 35 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Tyler Boston G | 34 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 7-15 | 0-4 |
| Gabe Warren G | 34 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 7-8 | 0-1 |
| Aidan Richard F | 23 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Aiden Disu F | 12 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| DeAndre Williams G | 33 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
| Declan Ryan F | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| John St. Germain III G | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Chuck Hare F | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Will Aljancic F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Austin Mejia, Jude Haigh, Tim Finau, Ethan Clark, Ben Capron, Jaden Kirkwood
| AMER | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Mayock F | 31 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-3 |
| Greg Jones F | 30 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 5-10 | 0-1 |
| Geoff Sprouse G | 28 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1-8 | 0-7 |
| Julen Iturbe F | 28 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 3-9 | 0-4 |
| Wyatt Nausadis G | 20 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Madden Collins G | 27 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 10-17 | 1-5 |
| Kade Sebastian G | 21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Chris Eagan F | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Luke Brown F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Carson McDonald, Noah Jones, Matthew Casey, Jack Anderson, Dean Hogans, Adrian Samuels, Eric Michaels, Shane O'Reilly, Kamran Prince, Gibraltar Coleman
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAMER -8.5
no move
CloseAMER -8.5
No change since the open
Total
Open135.5
▲ 2
Close137.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
HC +340 · AMER -440
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened AMER -8.5 · unchangedmodel AMER -7.5
model AMER -7.5
Opened 135.5 · closed 137.5 · moved 2 upmodel 140
model 140
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | AMER -8.5 | AMER -7.3 | HC +1.2 | W HC covered |
| Total | 137.5 | 139.9 | Over 2.4 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | HC 66.3 · AMER 73.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | AMER -4.2 | HC -1.0 |
| 1H total | 65.5 | 75 |
| 1H projected score | HC 30.7 · AMER 34.9 | HC 38 · AMER 37 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HC | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
| AMER | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
HC 2–7 AMERAMER leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · AMER has won the last 2 meetings · HC 3-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | AMER 74 @ HC 65 | HC +1.5 | AMER W |
| Jan 5, 2024-25 | HC 64 @ AMER 75 | AMER -6.5 | AMER W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | AMER 56 @ HC 58 | HC +5.5 | HC W |
| Jan 24, 2023-24 | HC 65 @ AMER 84 | AMER -10.5 | AMER W |
| Feb 11, 2022-23 | HC 74 @ AMER 66 | AMER -10.5 | HC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Holy Cross
14 games played
Straight up
4-10
29% wins
Against the spread
7-7
50% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-9
36% overs · avg −6.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ PROV | L 79-89 | +23.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | @ BYU | L 53-98 | +38.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 10 | @ UTAH | L 69-87 | +21.5 | W +3.5 | 155.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 16 | vs HAMP | W 67-61 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 18 | @ BRWN | L 49-68 | +2.5 | L −16.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 21 | @ SHU | L 66-79 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 24 | vs SIE | L 69-73 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 3 | vs NE | W 76-59 | +8.5 | W +25.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 6 | @ FOR | W 70-69 | +10.5 | W +11.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 16 | vs DART | L 64-89 | +1.5 | L −23.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 20 | @ HARV | L 53-81 | +10.5 | L −17.5 | 136.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 31 | vs BUCK | W 65-58 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 3 | vs NAVY | L 58-65 | +5.5 | L −1.5 | 137.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 7 | @ LEH | L 58-66 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@PROV
PROVL 79-89
+13.5
8
@BYU
BYUL 53-98
−6.5
10
@UTAH
UTAHL 69-87
+3.5
16
vsHAMP
HAMPW 67-61
+10.5
18
@BRWN
BRWNL 49-68
−16.5
21
@SHU
SHUL 66-79
−5.5
24
vsSIE
SIEL 69-73
+5.5
3
vsNE
NEW 76-59
+25.5
6
@FOR
FORW 70-69
+11.5
16
vsDART
DARTL 64-89
−23.5
20
@HARV
HARVL 53-81
−17.5
31
vsBUCK
BUCKW 65-58
+8.5
3
vsNAVY
NAVYL 58-65
−1.5
7
@LEH
LEHL 58-66
−5.5
covered 7didn’t cover 7avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PROV
PROVL 79-89
+15.5
8
@BYU
BYUL 53-98
−14.5
10
@UTAH
UTAHL 69-87
+0.5
16
vsHAMP
HAMPW 67-61
−20.5
18
@BRWN
BRWNL 49-68
−24.5
21
@SHU
SHUL 66-79
−7.5
24
vsSIE
SIEL 69-73
+4.5
3
vsNE
NEW 76-59
−10.5
6
@FOR
FORW 70-69
+0.5
16
vsDART
DARTL 64-89
+5.5
20
@HARV
HARVL 53-81
−2.5
31
vsBUCK
BUCKW 65-58
−10.5
3
vsNAVY
NAVYL 58-65
−14.5
7
@LEH
LEHL 58-66
−13.5
over 5under 9avg −6.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
American
14 games played
Straight up
7-7
50% wins
Against the spread
9-5
64% covers · avg +1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-5
64% overs · avg +3.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ WAKE | L 74-88 | +19.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 9 | vs PENN | W 84-78 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 12 | @ GW | L 67-107 | +17.5 | L −22.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 18 | @ RUTG | L 71-80 | +16.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 28 | vs ME | W 74-61 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 133.5 | O 135 |
| Nov 29 | vsSIE | L 55-59 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 137.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 30 | vs LONG | W 92-66 | -5.5 | W +20.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 3 | vs DREX | W 75-73 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 6 | vs UMES | W 78-60 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 130.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 18 | @ VCU | L 83-105 | +19.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 22 | @ UVA | L 51-95 | +27.5 | L −16.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 31 | vs L-MD | W 84-69 | -8.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 3 | @ BU | W 64-62 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 7 | @ COLG | L 62-64 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | U 126 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@WAKE
WAKEL 74-88
+5.5
9
vsPENN
PENNW 84-78
+7.5
12
@GW
GWL 67-107
−22.5
18
@RUTG
RUTGL 71-80
+7.5
28
vsME
MEW 74-61
+5.5
29
vsSIE
SIEL 55-59
−1.5
30
vsLONG
LONGW 92-66
+20.5
3
vsDREX
DREXW 75-73
−2.5
6
vsUMES
UMESW 78-60
+7.5
18
@VCU
VCUL 83-105
−2.5
22
@UVA
UVAL 51-95
−16.5
31
vsL-MD
L-MDW 84-69
+6.5
3
@BU
BUW 64-62
+3.5
7
@COLG
COLGL 62-64
+3.5
covered 9didn’t cover 5avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@WAKE
WAKEL 74-88
+22.5
9
vsPENN
PENNW 84-78
+7.5
12
@GW
GWL 67-107
+22.5
18
@RUTG
RUTGL 71-80
+7.5
28
vsME
MEW 74-61
+1.5
29
vsSIE
SIEL 55-59
−23.5
30
vsLONG
LONGW 92-66
+9.5
3
vsDREX
DREXW 75-73
+10.5
6
vsUMES
UMESW 78-60
+7.5
18
@VCU
VCUL 83-105
+33.5
22
@UVA
UVAL 51-95
−7.5
31
vsL-MD
L-MDW 84-69
−1.5
3
@BU
BUW 64-62
−16.5
7
@COLG
COLGL 62-64
−22.5
over 9under 5avg +3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Holy Cross
4-10 overall · 1-2 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Lehigh58–66
- Lvs Navy58–65
- Wvs Bucknell65–58
- L@ Harvard53–81
- Lvs Dartmouth64–89
3 days since their last game.
American
7-7 overall · 2-1 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Colgate62–64
- W@ Boston U64–62
- Wvs Loyola MD84–69
- L@ Virginia51–95
- L@ VCU83–105
3 days since their last game.