Titan Gym · at Fullerton · Conference game
Closing line
CSUF -9.5✓ CSUF covered by 6.5
CSUF -9.5✓ CSUF covered by 6.5Closing total157.5Under by 9.5
 CSUB | This season | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| 6-16 | Record | 9-13 |
| 9-13 | ATS | 12-9 |
| 9-13 | O/U | 9-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CSUB 76–84 CSUF · ✓ CSUF (77%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSUB | 23 | 43 | 66 |
| CSUF | 46 | 36 | 82 |
1st half: CSUB 23, CSUF 46 (CSUF by 23). The model had CSUF by 4.8 and a total of 74.6 (actual 69).
Team stats
| CSUB | CSUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-61 39% | Field goals | 27-64 42% |
| 5-22 23% | 3-pointers | 11-31 35% |
| 13-24 54% | Free throws | 17-23 74% |
| 41 14 off | Rebounds | 41 12 off |
| 15 | Assists | 20 |
| 8 | Steals | 7 |
| 8 | Blocks | 6 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 22 | Fouls | 22 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 21 |
Players
| CSUB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ George G | 32 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3-10 | 0-2 |
| Ronald Jessamy F | 31 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 6-14 | 0-1 |
| Dailin Smith G | 26 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-10 | 2-8 |
| Mike Price G | 17 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 6-8 | 1-3 |
| Pierre Geneste Jr. C | 15 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tom Mark F | 32 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1-6 | 1-4 |
| Kadar Waller G | 23 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Bentley Waller G | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Dylan Purnell G | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: TJ James Jr., Colin Darby, CJ Hardy, Caleb McCarty, Jaden Alexander
| CSUF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro G | 31 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 3-10 | 0-3 |
| Christian Williams G | 26 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 3-9 | 1-5 |
| Joshua Ward G | 24 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Davis White G | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-6 |
| Kendrick De Luna F | 15 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Landon Seaman F | 25 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 6-9 | 3-3 |
| KJ Garris Jr. G | 19 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2-8 | 2-5 |
| Bailey Nunn G | 17 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Bryce Cofield G | 13 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jaden Henderson G | 10 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Matthew Quinlan, Nicholas Khatchikian, Cam Smith, Karan Kolappa, Ben Winker, Yesan Warren, Kidus Tilahun
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCSUF -9.5
ModelCSUF -8.3
Model edgeCSUB +1.2
L CSUF covered
Total
Market157.5
Model159.5
Model edgeOver 2.0
L Under
Projected score
CSUB 75.6 · CSUF 83.9
CSUB 66 · CSUF 82
Win probability
CSUF 77%
1st half
Spread
CSUF -4.8
CSUF -23.0
Total
74.6
69 points
Projected score
CSUB 34.9 · CSUF 39.7
CSUB 23 · CSUF 46
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCSUF -8.5
1 → CSUF
CloseCSUF -9.5
1 pt toward CSUF
Total
Open157.5
no move
Close157.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
CSUB +390 · CSUF -520
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CSUF -8.5 · closed CSUF -9.5 · moved 1 toward CSUFmodel CSUF -8.5
model CSUF -8.5
Opened 157.5 · unchangedmodel 159.5
model 159.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSUB | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| CSUF | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 1-9 10% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
CSUB 3–5 CSUFCSUF leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · CSUB has won the last 3 meetings · CSUB 2-5-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | CSUF 54 @ CSUB 91 | CSUB -9.5 | CSUB W |
| Jan 23, 2024-25 | CSUB 71 @ CSUF 68 | CSUF +4.5 | CSUF W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | CSUF 71 @ CSUB 73 | CSUB -2 | P |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | CSUB 50 @ CSUF 68 | CSUF -4.5 | CSUF W |
| Feb 25, 2022-23 | CSUF 70 @ CSUB 66 | CSUB +6.5 | CSUB W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Bakersfield
22 games played
Straight up
6-16
27% wins
Against the spread
9-13
41% covers · avg −2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-13
41% overs · avg +4.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CAL | L 60-87 | +15.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 11 | vs WIU | W 74-58 | -7.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 14 | @ MISS | L 60-82 | +23.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 17 | @ PRST | L 80-93 | +8.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 22 | vs MVSU | W 86-70 | -21.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 25 | @ FSU | L 59-89 | +26.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 30 | vs FRES | W 76-71 | +10.5 | W +15.5 | 150.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 4 | @ CSUN | L 66-87 | +5.5 | L −15.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 6 | @ UCSB | L 84-109 | +12.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 11 | vs NDSU | L 69-80 | +7.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | vs PEPP | L 62-70 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 147.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 23 | vs IDHO | W 64-63 | +7.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 1 | vs UCI | L 77-81 | +11.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 3 | @ UCD | W 81-79 | +9.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 8 | vs UCR | W 67-66 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 10 | @ LBSU | L 75-81 | +6.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 15 | vsUCSB | L 69-75 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vs UCSD | L 62-83 | +8.5 | L −12.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 22 | @ HAW | L 71-98 | +17.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 29 | vs CP | L 79-104 | +1.5 | L −23.5 | 161.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 31 | vsUCD | L 72-80 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 5 | @UCI | L 62-78 | +16.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CAL
CALL 60-87
−11.5
11
vsWIU
WIUW 74-58
+8.5
14
@MISS
MISSL 60-82
+1.5
17
@PRST
PRSTL 80-93
−4.5
22
vsMVSU
MVSUW 86-70
−5.5
25
@FSU
FSUL 59-89
−3.5
30
vsFRES
FRESW 76-71
+15.5
4
@CSUN
CSUNL 66-87
−15.5
6
@UCSB
UCSBL 84-109
−12.5
11
vsNDSU
NDSUL 69-80
−3.5
13
vsPEPP
PEPPL 62-70
−9.5
23
vsIDHO
IDHOW 64-63
+8.5
1
vsUCI
UCIL 77-81
+7.5
3
@UCD
UCDW 81-79
+11.5
8
vsUCR
UCRW 67-66
−2.5
10
@LBSU
LBSUL 75-81
+0.5
15
vsUCSB
UCSBL 69-75
+1.5
17
vsUCSD
UCSDL 62-83
−12.5
22
@HAW
HAWL 71-98
−9.5
29
vsCP
CPL 79-104
−23.5
31
vsUCD
UCDL 72-80
−2.5
5
@UCI
UCIL 62-78
+0.5
covered 9didn’t cover 13avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CAL
CALL 60-87
−0.5
11
vsWIU
WIUW 74-58
−9.5
14
@MISS
MISSL 60-82
+1.5
17
@PRST
PRSTL 80-93
+31.5
22
vsMVSU
MVSUW 86-70
+17.5
25
@FSU
FSUL 59-89
−11.5
30
vsFRES
FRESW 76-71
−3.5
4
@CSUN
CSUNL 66-87
−2.5
6
@UCSB
UCSBL 84-109
+47.5
11
vsNDSU
NDSUL 69-80
−0.5
13
vsPEPP
PEPPL 62-70
−15.5
23
vsIDHO
IDHOW 64-63
−23.5
1
vsUCI
UCIL 77-81
+14.5
3
@UCD
UCDW 81-79
+8.5
8
vsUCR
UCRW 67-66
−14.5
10
@LBSU
LBSUL 75-81
+13.5
15
vsUCSB
UCSBL 69-75
−0.5
17
vsUCSD
UCSDL 62-83
−2.5
22
@HAW
HAWL 71-98
+24.5
29
vsCP
CPL 79-104
+21.5
31
vsUCD
UCDL 72-80
−0.5
5
@UCI
UCIL 62-78
−4.5
over 9under 13avg +4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Fullerton
22 games played
Straight up
9-13
41% wins
Against the spread
12-9
57% covers · avg +2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-12
43% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ WYO | L 82-92 | +15.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 10 | @CAL | L 65-93 | +22.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 15 | vs PAC | L 73-85 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 21 | @ PORT | L 85-103 | +6.5 | L −11.5 | 164.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 22 | vs STMN | W 88-80 | +11.5 | W +19.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 23 | vs UNCO | L 93-97 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | O 190 |
| Nov 29 | vsPEPP | W 83-69 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 161.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 4 | vsCP | L 91-94 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 177.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 6 | @HAW | L 59-69 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13 | @ DEN | W 105-86 | +3.5 | W +22.5 | 165.5 | O 191 |
| Dec 21 | @ OKST | L 89-94 | +19.5 | W +14.5 | 176.5 | O 183 |
| Dec 28 | @ SMU | L 63-110 | +21.5 | L −25.5 | 170.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 1 | vsUCSB | W 95-84 | +3.5 | W +14.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 3 | vsUCI | L 64-86 | +3.5 | L −18.5 | 160.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 8 | @UCSD | W 88-71 | +13.5 | W +30.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 10 | vsCSUN | W 86-79 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 173.5 | U 165 |
| Jan 15 | @UCD | L 69-74 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 166.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 17 | @UCR | L 72-81 | -3.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 22 | vsLBSU | W 71-61 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 160.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 24 | @CP | W 93-78 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 173.5 | U 171 |
| Jan 31 | @UCSB | L 69-83 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 5 | vsUCR | W 78-72 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@WYO
WYOL 82-92
+5.5
10
@CAL
CALL 65-93
−5.5
15
vsPAC
PACL 73-85
−5.5
21
@PORT
PORTL 85-103
−11.5
22
vsSTMN
STMNW 88-80
+19.5
23
vsUNCO
UNCOL 93-97
+4.5
29
vsPEPP
PEPPW 83-69
+12.5
4
vsCP
CPL 91-94
−4.5
13
@DEN
DENW 105-86
+22.5
21
@OKST
OKSTL 89-94
+14.5
28
@SMU
SMUL 63-110
−25.5
1
vsUCSB
UCSBW 95-84
+14.5
3
vsUCI
UCIL 64-86
−18.5
8
@UCSD
UCSDW 88-71
+30.5
10
vsCSUN
CSUNW 86-79
+5.5
15
@UCD
UCDL 69-74
−1.5
17
@UCR
UCRL 72-81
−12.5
22
vsLBSU
LBSUW 71-61
+6.5
24
@CP
CPW 93-78
+13.5
31
@UCSB
UCSBL 69-83
−5.5
5
vsUCR
UCRW 78-72
+0.5
covered 12didn’t cover 9avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@WYO
WYOL 82-92
+19.5
10
@CAL
CALL 65-93
−4.5
15
vsPAC
PACL 73-85
−1.5
21
@PORT
PORTL 85-103
+23.5
22
vsSTMN
STMNW 88-80
+5.5
23
vsUNCO
UNCOL 93-97
+25.5
29
vsPEPP
PEPPW 83-69
−9.5
4
vsCP
CPL 91-94
+7.5
13
@DEN
DENW 105-86
+25.5
21
@OKST
OKSTL 89-94
+6.5
28
@SMU
SMUL 63-110
+2.5
1
vsUCSB
UCSBW 95-84
+23.5
3
vsUCI
UCIL 64-86
−10.5
8
@UCSD
UCSDW 88-71
−7.5
10
vsCSUN
CSUNW 86-79
−8.5
15
@UCD
UCDL 69-74
−23.5
17
@UCR
UCRL 72-81
−4.5
22
vsLBSU
LBSUW 71-61
−28.5
24
@CP
CPW 93-78
−2.5
31
@UCSB
UCSBL 69-83
−1.5
5
vsUCR
UCRW 78-72
−6.5
over 9under 12avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Bakersfield
6-16 overall · 2-10 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UC Irvine62–78
- Lvs UC Davis72–80
- Lvs Cal Poly79–104
- L@ Hawai'i71–98
- Lvs UC San Diego62–83
2 days since their last game.
Fullerton
9-13 overall · 6-6 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UC Riverside78–72
- L@ Santa Barbara69–83
- W@ Cal Poly93–78
- Wvs Long Beach St71–61
- L@ UC Riverside72–81
2 days since their last game.