Capital One Arena · at Georgetown · Conference game
Closing line
GTWN -4.5✓ XAV covered by 7.5
GTWN -4.5✓ XAV covered by 7.5Closing total149.5Over by 7.5
 XAV | This season | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| 8-4 | Record | 8-3 |
| 5-7 | ATS | 3-8 |
| 6-6 | O/U | 7-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: XAV 75–79 GTWN · ✗ GTWN (61%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| XAV | 35 | 45 | 80 |
| GTWN | 40 | 37 | 77 |
1st half: XAV 35, GTWN 40 (GTWN by 5). The model had GTWN by 1.8 and a total of 72.0 (actual 75).
Team stats
| XAV | GTWN | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-67 46% | Field goals | 23-57 40% |
| 7-22 32% | 3-pointers | 6-17 35% |
| 11-14 79% | Free throws | 25-43 58% |
| 45 14 off | Rebounds | 36 12 off |
| 18 | Assists | 14 |
| 5 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 5 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 27 | Fouls | 16 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| XAV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Messina-Moore G | 37 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 5-12 | 2-7 |
| Filip Borovicanin F | 34 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 5-9 | 1-3 |
| Jovan Milicevic F | 34 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 3-8 | 2-4 |
| Tre Carroll F | 28 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 9-15 | 1-2 |
| All Wright G | 14 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Roddie Anderson G | 25 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 5-12 | 1-3 |
| Pape N'Diaye F | 14 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Walker G | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Anthony Robinson F | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mier Panoam, Ian Sabourin, Michael Wolf, Henry Thole, Luke Naser, Gabriel Pozzato, Kason Westphal
| GTWN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Williams F | 35 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Malik Mack G | 32 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 8-19 | 3-10 |
| Julius Halaifonua C | 31 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| KJ Lewis G | 29 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 3-13 | 0-1 |
| Isaiah Abraham F | 22 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jeremiah Williams G | 24 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 0-5 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Fort F | 14 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Kayvaun Mulready G | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Langston Love G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Seal Diouf, Vince Iwuchukwu, Hashem Asadallah, Mason Moses, Austin Montgomery, Michael Van Raaphorst, DeShawn Harris-Smith
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketGTWN -4.5
ModelGTWN -3.2
Model edgeXAV +1.3
W XAV covered
Total
Market149.5
Model153.8
Model edgeOver 4.3
W Over
Projected score
XAV 75.3 · GTWN 78.5
XAV 80 · GTWN 77
Win probability
GTWN 61%
1st half
Spread
GTWN -1.8
GTWN -5.0
Total
72.0
75 points
Projected score
XAV 35.1 · GTWN 36.9
XAV 35 · GTWN 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGTWN -4.5
no move
CloseGTWN -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open150.5
▼ 1
Close149.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
XAV +180 · GTWN -218
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GTWN -4.5 · unchangedmodel GTWN -3
model GTWN -3
Opened 150.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 1 downmodel 154
model 154
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| XAV | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| GTWN | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
XAV 6–1 GTWNXAV leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · XAV 2-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2024-25 | GTWN 69 @ XAV 74 | XAV -8.5 | GTWN W |
| Jan 3, 2024-25 | XAV 63 @ GTWN 69 | GTWN -1.5 | GTWN W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | XAV 98 @ GTWN 93 | GTWN +8.5 | GTWN W |
| Jan 19, 2023-24 | GTWN 91 @ XAV 92 | XAV -12.5 | GTWN W |
| Jan 21, 2022-23 | GTWN 82 @ XAV 95 | XAV -16.5 | GTWN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Xavier
12 games played
Straight up
8-4
67% wins
Against the spread
5-7
42% covers · avg −3.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-6
50% overs · avg +0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MRST | W 66-62 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 139.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 6 | vs LEM | W 74-69 | -24.5 | L −19.5 | 156.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 10 | vs SCU | L 68-87 | -3.5 | L −22.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 14 | @ IOWA | L 62-81 | +15.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 18 | vs ODU | W 99-69 | -10.5 | W +19.5 | 150.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 21 | vs UGA | L 77-78 | +10.5 | W +9.5 | 165.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 23 | vs WVU | W 78-68 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 140.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 28 | vs AMCC | W 88-67 | -13.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 1 | vs SFPA | W 96-74 | -27.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 5 | vs CIN | W 79-74 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 12 | vs MOST | W 75-57 | -18.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 17 | vs CREI | L 57-98 | -2.5 | L −43.5 | 151.5 | O 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMRST
MRSTW 66-62
−8.5
6
vsLEM
LEMW 74-69
−19.5
10
vsSCU
SCUL 68-87
−22.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-81
−3.5
18
vsODU
ODUW 99-69
+19.5
21
vsUGA
UGAL 77-78
+9.5
23
vsWVU
WVUW 78-68
+15.5
28
vsAMCC
AMCCW 88-67
+7.5
1
vsSFPA
SFPAW 96-74
−5.5
5
vsCIN
CINW 79-74
+6.5
12
vsMOST
MOSTW 75-57
−0.5
17
vsCREI
CREIL 57-98
−43.5
covered 5didn’t cover 7avg −3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMRST
MRSTW 66-62
−11.5
6
vsLEM
LEMW 74-69
−13.5
10
vsSCU
SCUL 68-87
−0.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-81
−0.5
18
vsODU
ODUW 99-69
+17.5
21
vsUGA
UGAL 77-78
−10.5
23
vsWVU
WVUW 78-68
+5.5
28
vsAMCC
AMCCW 88-67
+8.5
1
vsSFPA
SFPAW 96-74
+17.5
5
vsCIN
CINW 79-74
+5.5
12
vsMOST
MOSTW 75-57
−19.5
17
vsCREI
CREIL 57-98
+3.5
over 6under 6avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Georgetown
11 games played
Straight up
8-3
73% wins
Against the spread
3-8
27% covers · avg −3.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-4
64% overs · avg +5.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MORG | W 87-70 | -27.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 7 | @ MD | W 70-60 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 12 | vs BING | W 83-70 | -27.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 15 | vs CLEM | W 79-74 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 22 | vs WAG | W 92-75 | -25.5 | L −8.5 | 140.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 27 | vs DAY | L 79-84 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 28 | vs MIA | L 65-78 | +5.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 3 | vs UMBC | W 90-81 | -19.5 | L −10.5 | 149.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 7 | @ UNC | L 61-81 | +10.5 | L −9.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs SPU | W 76-68 | -20.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | O 144 |
| Dec 17 | @ MARQ | W 78-69 | +6.5 | W +15.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMORG
MORGW 87-70
−10.5
7
@MD
MDW 70-60
+14.5
12
vsBING
BINGW 83-70
−14.5
15
vsCLEM
CLEMW 79-74
+6.5
22
vsWAG
WAGW 92-75
−8.5
27
vsDAY
DAYL 79-84
−3.5
28
vsMIA
MIAL 65-78
−7.5
3
vsUMBC
UMBCW 90-81
−10.5
7
@UNC
UNCL 61-81
−9.5
13
vsSPU
SPUW 76-68
−12.5
17
@MARQ
MARQW 78-69
+15.5
covered 3didn’t cover 8avg −3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMORG
MORGW 87-70
+2.5
7
@MD
MDW 70-60
−14.5
12
vsBING
BINGW 83-70
+11.5
15
vsCLEM
CLEMW 79-74
+10.5
22
vsWAG
WAGW 92-75
+26.5
27
vsDAY
DAYL 79-84
+17.5
28
vsMIA
MIAL 65-78
−8.5
3
vsUMBC
UMBCW 90-81
+21.5
7
@UNC
UNCL 61-81
−7.5
13
vsSPU
SPUW 76-68
+3.5
17
@MARQ
MARQW 78-69
−2.5
over 7under 4avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Xavier
8-4 overall · 0-1 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Creighton57–98
- Wvs Missouri St75–57
- Wvs Cincinnati79–74
- Wvs Saint Francis Red Wolves96–74
- Wvs Texas A&M-CC88–67
3 days since their last game.
Georgetown
8-3 overall · 1-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Marquette78–69
- Wvs Saint Peter's76–68
- L@ North Carolina61–81
- Wvs UMBC90–81
- Lvs Miami65–78
3 days since their last game.