Purcell Pavilion · at Notre Dame · Conference game
Closing line
CLEM -3.5✓ CLEM covered by 11.5
CLEM -3.5✓ CLEM covered by 11.5Closing total133.5Over by 3.5
| CLEM | This season | ND |
|---|---|---|
| 13-3 | Record | 10-5 |
| 9-7 | ATS | 10-5 |
| 7-9 | O/U | 8-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CLEM 71–68 ND · ✓ CLEM (58%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLEM | 39 | 37 | 76 |
| ND | 34 | 27 | 61 |
1st half: CLEM 39, ND 34 (CLEM by 5). The model had CLEM by 1.6 and a total of 65.2 (actual 73).
Team stats
| CLEM | ND | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-58 47% | Field goals | 20-47 43% |
| 7-26 27% | 3-pointers | 9-21 43% |
| 15-18 83% | Free throws | 12-18 67% |
| 31 8 off | Rebounds | 29 6 off |
| 11 | Assists | 7 |
| 7 | Steals | 2 |
| 1 | Blocks | 3 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| CLEM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Godfrey F | 32 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Jestin Porter G | 32 | 26 | 0 | 2 | 9-14 | 2-6 |
| Dillon Hunter G | 31 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Jake Wahlin F | 30 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1-8 | 1-7 |
| Carter Welling F | 27 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5-9 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Butta Johnson G | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Nick Davidson F | 13 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Ace Buckner G | 13 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Chase Thompson F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Dallas Thomas F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Blake Davidson, Zac Foster, Trent Steinour
| ND | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Towt F | 32 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Braeden Shrewsberry G | 32 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-4 |
| Logan Imes G | 28 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 5-9 | 3-5 |
| Jalen Haralson G | 27 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 6-11 | 3-4 |
| Garrett Sundra F | 13 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cole Certa G | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-3 |
| Brady Koehler F | 20 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2-8 | 0-2 |
| Kebba Njie F | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Mark Zackery IV G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Sir Mohammed G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Ryder Frost F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Matthew MacLellan, Luke Devine, Tommy Ahneman, Brady Stevens, Markus Burton
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCLEM -3.5
ModelCLEM -2.4
Model edgeND +1.1
L CLEM covered
Total
Market133.5
Model139.0
Model edgeOver 5.5
W Over
Projected score
CLEM 70.7 · ND 68.3
CLEM 76 · ND 61
Win probability
CLEM 58%
1st half
Spread
CLEM -1.6
CLEM -5.0
Total
65.2
73 points
Projected score
CLEM 33.4 · ND 31.8
CLEM 39 · ND 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCLEM -2.5
1 → CLEM
CloseCLEM -3.5
1 pt toward CLEM
Total
Open133.5
no move
Close133.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
CLEM -175 · ND +145
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CLEM -2.5 · closed CLEM -3.5 · moved 1 toward CLEMmodel CLEM -2.5
model CLEM -2.5
Opened 133.5 · unchangedmodel 139
model 139
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLEM | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
| ND | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
CLEM 2–3 NDND leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · CLEM 2-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2024-25 | ND 68 @ CLEM 83 | CLEM -14.5 | CLEM W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | CLEM 62 @ ND 69 | ND +5.5 | ND W |
| Mar 4, 2022-23 | ND 64 @ CLEM 87 | CLEM -9.5 | CLEM W |
| Feb 12, 2021-22 | ND 76 @ CLEM 61 | CLEM -1.5 | ND W |
| Jan 12, 2021-22 | CLEM 56 @ ND 72 | ND -2.5 | ND W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Clemson
16 games played
Straight up
13-3
81% wins
Against the spread
9-7
56% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-9
44% overs · avg −2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UNH | W 88-38 | -29.5 | W +20.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 7 | vs GWEB | W 97-59 | -29.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 11 | vs MORE | W 83-56 | -29.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 15 | @ GTWN | L 74-79 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 17 | vs UNA | W 81-61 | -25.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 21 | vs WVU | W 70-67 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | O 137 |
| Nov 23 | vs UGA | W 97-94 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 28 | vs AAMU | W 92-56 | -27.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 3 | @ ALA | L 84-90 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 9 | vs BYU | L 64-67 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 13 | vs MER | W 70-63 | -22.5 | L −15.5 | 152.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 16 | vs SC | W 68-61 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 21 | vs CIN | W 68-65 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | @ SYR | W 64-61 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 3 | @ PITT | W 73-68 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 7 | vs SMU | W 74-70 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUNH
UNHW 88-38
+20.5
7
vsGWEB
GWEBW 97-59
+8.5
11
vsMORE
MOREW 83-56
−2.5
15
@GTWN
GTWNL 74-79
−6.5
17
vsUNA
UNAW 81-61
−5.5
21
vsWVU
WVUW 70-67
−1.5
23
vsUGA
UGAW 97-94
+1.5
28
vsAAMU
AAMUW 92-56
+8.5
3
@ALA
ALAL 84-90
+2.5
9
vsBYU
BYUL 64-67
+1.5
13
vsMER
MERW 70-63
−15.5
16
vsSC
SCW 68-61
−5.5
21
vsCIN
CINW 68-65
−0.5
31
@SYR
SYRW 64-61
+1.5
3
@PITT
PITTW 73-68
+1.5
7
vsSMU
SMUW 74-70
+0.5
covered 9didn’t cover 7avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUNH
UNHW 88-38
−20.5
7
vsGWEB
GWEBW 97-59
+10.5
11
vsMORE
MOREW 83-56
−12.5
15
@GTWN
GTWNL 74-79
+10.5
17
vsUNA
UNAW 81-61
−2.5
21
vsWVU
WVUW 70-67
+4.5
23
vsUGA
UGAW 97-94
+38.5
28
vsAAMU
AAMUW 92-56
+6.5
3
@ALA
ALAL 84-90
+8.5
9
vsBYU
BYUL 64-67
−21.5
13
vsMER
MERW 70-63
−19.5
16
vsSC
SCW 68-61
−13.5
21
vsCIN
CINW 68-65
−7.5
31
@SYR
SYRW 64-61
−15.5
3
@PITT
PITTW 73-68
+5.5
7
vsSMU
SMUW 74-70
−5.5
over 7under 9avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Notre Dame
15 games played
Straight up
10-5
67% wins
Against the spread
10-5
67% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-7
53% overs · avg −2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LIU | W 89-67 | -15.5 | W +6.5 | 135.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 7 | vs DETM | W 102-70 | -21.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 11 | vs EIU | W 78-58 | -23.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 16 | @ OSU | L 63-64 | +9.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 19 | vs BELL | W 86-79 | -24.5 | L −17.5 | 150.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 24 | vs KU | L 61-71 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 25 | vs RUTG | W 68-63 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 26 | vs HOU | L 56-66 | +11.5 | W +1.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 2 | vs MIZ | W 76-71 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 5 | @ TCU | W 87-85 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 10 | vs IDHO | W 80-65 | -11.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 13 | vs EVAN | W 82-58 | -14.5 | W +9.5 | 136.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 21 | vs PFW | L 69-72 | -11.5 | L −14.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 30 | @ STAN | W 47-40 | +6.5 | W +13.5 | 143.5 | U 87 |
| Jan 2 | @ CAL | L 71-72 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | O 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLIU
LIUW 89-67
+6.5
7
vsDETM
DETMW 102-70
+10.5
11
vsEIU
EIUW 78-58
−3.5
16
@OSU
OSUL 63-64
+8.5
19
vsBELL
BELLW 86-79
−17.5
24
vsKU
KUL 61-71
−4.5
25
vsRUTG
RUTGW 68-63
−1.5
26
vsHOU
HOUL 56-66
+1.5
2
vsMIZ
MIZW 76-71
+6.5
5
@TCU
TCUW 87-85
+8.5
10
vsIDHO
IDHOW 80-65
+3.5
13
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-58
+9.5
21
vsPFW
PFWL 69-72
−14.5
30
@STAN
STANW 47-40
+13.5
2
@CAL
CALL 71-72
+2.5
covered 10didn’t cover 5avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLIU
LIUW 89-67
+20.5
7
vsDETM
DETMW 102-70
+24.5
11
vsEIU
EIUW 78-58
−7.5
16
@OSU
OSUL 63-64
−29.5
19
vsBELL
BELLW 86-79
+14.5
24
vsKU
KUL 61-71
−11.5
25
vsRUTG
RUTGW 68-63
−9.5
26
vsHOU
HOUL 56-66
−10.5
2
vsMIZ
MIZW 76-71
+0.5
5
@TCU
TCUW 87-85
+30.5
10
vsIDHO
IDHOW 80-65
+0.5
13
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-58
+3.5
21
vsPFW
PFWL 69-72
−8.5
30
@STAN
STANW 47-40
−56.5
2
@CAL
CALL 71-72
+4.5
over 8under 7avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Clemson
13-3 overall · 3-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs SMU74–70
- W@ Pitt73–68
- W@ Syracuse64–61
- Wvs Cincinnati68–65
- Wvs South Carolina68–61
3 days since their last game.
Notre Dame
10-5 overall · 1-1 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ California71–72
- W@ Stanford47–40
- Lvs Purdue FW69–72
- Wvs Evansville82–58
- Wvs Idaho80–65
A week or more of rest.