Hart Center Arena · at Holy Cross · Conference game
Closing line
NAVY -5.5✓ NAVY covered by 1.5
NAVY -5.5✓ NAVY covered by 1.5Closing total137.5Under by 14.5
| NAVY | This season | HC |
|---|---|---|
| 7-5 | Record | 4-8 |
| 6-6 | ATS | 7-5 |
| 4-8 | O/U | 5-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NAVY 72–68 HC · ✓ NAVY (65%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY | 28 | 37 | 65 |
| HC | 21 | 37 | 58 |
1st half: NAVY 28, HC 21 (NAVY by 7). The model had NAVY by 2.8 and a total of 65.5 (actual 49).
Team stats
| NAVY | HC | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-50 48% | Field goals | 20-55 36% |
| 2-12 17% | 3-pointers | 7-24 29% |
| 15-18 83% | Free throws | 11-14 79% |
| 32 8 off | Rebounds | 32 12 off |
| 13 | Assists | 15 |
| 6 | Steals | 5 |
| 5 | Blocks | 1 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 14 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| NAVY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Benigni G | 37 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 6-19 | 0-3 |
| Aidan Kehoe C | 34 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 9-10 | 0-0 |
| Mike Woods F | 28 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Jinwoo Kim G | 27 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Donovan Draper F | 26 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Pennick G | 25 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Cam Cole G | 23 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Jerry Ashley Jr., Steven McLeod, Colin Pollock, Jordan McConnell, Matt Gaffney, Luke Morgan, C.J. Kearns, Owen Gray, Cooper Jackson, Tobi Raji, David Burnett, Davyn de Jongh and 6 more
| HC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Nugent F | 38 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 4-7 | 3-5 |
| Gabe Warren G | 37 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| Tyler Boston G | 35 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 5-13 | 3-7 |
| Aiden Disu F | 22 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Aidan Richard F | 16 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Declan Ryan F | 19 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 4-9 | 0-2 |
| John St. Germain III G | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| DeAndre Williams G | 13 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Will Aljancic F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Austin Mejia, Ethan Clark, Tim Finau, Ben Capron, Jude Haigh, Chuck Hare, Jaden Kirkwood
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNAVY -5.5
ModelNAVY -4.4
Model edgeHC +1.1
L NAVY covered
Total
Market137.5
Model139.9
Model edgeOver 2.4
L Under
Projected score
NAVY 72.1 · HC 67.7
NAVY 65 · HC 58
Win probability
NAVY 65%
1st half
Spread
NAVY -2.8
NAVY -7.0
Total
65.5
49 points
Projected score
NAVY 34.1 · HC 31.4
NAVY 28 · HC 21
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNAVY -4.5
1 → NAVY
CloseNAVY -5.5
1 pt toward NAVY
Total
Open136.5
▲ 1
Close137.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
NAVY -258 · HC +210
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NAVY -4.5 · closed NAVY -5.5 · moved 1 toward NAVYmodel NAVY -4.5
model NAVY -4.5
Opened 136.5 · closed 137.5 · moved 1 upmodel 140
model 140
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
| HC | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
NAVY 5–3 HCNAVY leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · NAVY 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2024-25 | HC 77 @ NAVY 83 | NAVY -6.5 | HC W |
| Jan 8, 2024-25 | NAVY 59 @ HC 70 | HC -1.5 | HC W |
| Feb 25, 2023-24 | HC 66 @ NAVY 76 | NAVY -4.5 | NAVY W |
| Jan 10, 2023-24 | NAVY 80 @ HC 70 | HC +3.5 | NAVY W |
| Feb 4, 2022-23 | NAVY 86 @ HC 68 | HC +6.5 | NAVY W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Navy
12 games played
Straight up
7-5
58% wins
Against the spread
6-6
50% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-8
33% overs · avg −2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ PRES | W 76-55 | -3.5 | W +17.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 7 | vs YALE | L 68-97 | +5.5 | L −23.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 11 | @ PSU | L 71-80 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 18 | @ UNC | L 61-73 | +26.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 22 | vs NJIT | W 86-70 | -17.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 26 | vs GWEB | W 84-51 | -10.5 | W +22.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 28 | @ UNCW | L 57-87 | +8.5 | L −21.5 | 138.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 29 | vs SELA | L 65-69 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 136.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 3 | @ DSU | W 66-59 | -15.5 | L −8.5 | 132.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 7 | vs AF | W 61-56 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 133.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 19 | vs COPP | W 88-55 | -20.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 31 | vs BU | W 82-77 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 137.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@PRES
PRESW 76-55
+17.5
7
vsYALE
YALEL 68-97
−23.5
11
@PSU
PSUL 71-80
+2.5
18
@UNC
UNCL 61-73
+14.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 86-70
−1.5
26
vsGWEB
GWEBW 84-51
+22.5
28
@UNCW
UNCWL 57-87
−21.5
29
vsSELA
SELAL 65-69
−7.5
3
@DSU
DSUW 66-59
−8.5
7
vsAF
AFW 61-56
−4.5
19
vsCOPP
COPPW 88-55
+12.5
31
vsBU
BUW 82-77
+0.5
covered 6didn’t cover 6avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PRES
PRESW 76-55
−10.5
7
vsYALE
YALEL 68-97
+17.5
11
@PSU
PSUL 71-80
−4.5
18
@UNC
UNCL 61-73
−26.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 86-70
+15.5
26
vsGWEB
GWEBW 84-51
−18.5
28
@UNCW
UNCWL 57-87
+5.5
29
vsSELA
SELAL 65-69
−2.5
3
@DSU
DSUW 66-59
−7.5
7
vsAF
AFW 61-56
−16.5
19
vsCOPP
COPPW 88-55
−2.5
31
vsBU
BUW 82-77
+21.5
over 4under 8avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Holy Cross
12 games played
Straight up
4-8
33% wins
Against the spread
7-5
58% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-7
42% overs · avg −5.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ PROV | L 79-89 | +23.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | @ BYU | L 53-98 | +38.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 10 | @ UTAH | L 69-87 | +21.5 | W +3.5 | 155.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 16 | vs HAMP | W 67-61 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 18 | @ BRWN | L 49-68 | +2.5 | L −16.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 21 | @ SHU | L 66-79 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 24 | vs SIE | L 69-73 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 3 | vs NE | W 76-59 | +8.5 | W +25.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 6 | @ FOR | W 70-69 | +10.5 | W +11.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 16 | vs DART | L 64-89 | +1.5 | L −23.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 20 | @ HARV | L 53-81 | +10.5 | L −17.5 | 136.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 31 | vs BUCK | W 65-58 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@PROV
PROVL 79-89
+13.5
8
@BYU
BYUL 53-98
−6.5
10
@UTAH
UTAHL 69-87
+3.5
16
vsHAMP
HAMPW 67-61
+10.5
18
@BRWN
BRWNL 49-68
−16.5
21
@SHU
SHUL 66-79
−5.5
24
vsSIE
SIEL 69-73
+5.5
3
vsNE
NEW 76-59
+25.5
6
@FOR
FORW 70-69
+11.5
16
vsDART
DARTL 64-89
−23.5
20
@HARV
HARVL 53-81
−17.5
31
vsBUCK
BUCKW 65-58
+8.5
covered 7didn’t cover 5avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PROV
PROVL 79-89
+15.5
8
@BYU
BYUL 53-98
−14.5
10
@UTAH
UTAHL 69-87
+0.5
16
vsHAMP
HAMPW 67-61
−20.5
18
@BRWN
BRWNL 49-68
−24.5
21
@SHU
SHUL 66-79
−7.5
24
vsSIE
SIEL 69-73
+4.5
3
vsNE
NEW 76-59
−10.5
6
@FOR
FORW 70-69
+0.5
16
vsDART
DARTL 64-89
+5.5
20
@HARV
HARVL 53-81
−2.5
31
vsBUCK
BUCKW 65-58
−10.5
over 5under 7avg −5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Navy
7-5 overall · 1-0 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Boston U82–77
- Wvs Coppin St88–55
- Wvs Air Force61–56
- W@ Delaware St66–59
- Lvs SE Louisiana65–69
3 days since their last game.
Holy Cross
4-8 overall · 1-0 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Bucknell65–58
- L@ Harvard53–81
- Lvs Dartmouth64–89
- W@ Fordham70–69
- Wvs Northeastern76–59
3 days since their last game.