Swinney Center · at Kansas City · Conference game
Closing line
SDAK -2.5✓ SDAK covered by 4.5
SDAK -2.5✓ SDAK covered by 4.5Closing total156.5Over by 0.5
| SDAK | This season | KC |
|---|---|---|
| 9-12 | Record | 1-19 |
| 12-9 | ATS | 5-15 |
| 10-11 | O/U | 11-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SDAK 82–79 KC · ✓ SDAK (60%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SDAK | 23 | 41 | 18 | 82 |
| KC | 31 | 33 | 11 | 75 |
1st half: SDAK 23, KC 31 (KC by 8). The model had SDAK by 1.9 and a total of 75.5 (actual 54).
Team stats
| SDAK | KC | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-60 40% | Field goals | 31-62 50% |
| 6-23 26% | 3-pointers | 4-12 33% |
| 28-35 80% | Free throws | 9-13 69% |
| 35 8 off | Rebounds | 33 6 off |
| 12 | Assists | 12 |
| 11 | Steals | 6 |
| 1 | Blocks | 7 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 18 |
| 13 | Fouls | 22 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 20 |
Players
| SDAK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uzziah Buntyn G | 44 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 5-14 | 1-7 |
| Jordan Crawford G | 39 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 4-16 | 4-10 |
| Silas Bennion G | 35 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Cameron Fens C | 33 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 7-13 | 0-0 |
| Vince Buzelis G | 33 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trent Hudgens G | 16 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Evan Anderson G | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jake Brack F | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Ethan Kizer F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Luke Bruns, Jesse McIntosh, Jonah Funk, Porter Ihnen, Jalen Hayes, Isaac Bruns, Shey Eberwein, Josiah Dotzler, Caleb Kizer, Ashton Smith
| KC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Petty G | 43 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Karmello Branch G | 38 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 5-12 | 1-6 |
| CJ Evans G | 31 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 5-13 | 1-1 |
| Chris Dockery F | 27 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 7-9 | 1-1 |
| Baba Mbengue C | 24 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kasheem Grady II G | 21 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Jerome Palm F | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 7-11 | 0-0 |
| Jamaria Clark G | 14 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Addarin Scott F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Trey Booker-Lowery G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jason Hilliard, Cory Curtis Jr., Kernan Bundy, Max Sims, D'Andre Harrison
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSDAK -2.5
ModelSDAK -3.0
Model edgeSDAK +0.5
W SDAK covered
Total
Market156.5
Model161.3
Model edgeOver 4.8
W Over
Projected score
SDAK 82.2 · KC 79.1
SDAK 82 · KC 75
Win probability
SDAK 60%
1st half
Spread
SDAK -1.9
KC -8.0
Total
75.5
54 points
Projected score
SDAK 38.7 · KC 36.8
SDAK 23 · KC 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSDAK -1.5
1 → SDAK
CloseSDAK -2.5
1 pt toward SDAK
Total
Open157.5
▼ 1
Close156.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
SDAK -142 · KC +120
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SDAK -1.5 · closed SDAK -2.5 · moved 1 toward SDAKmodel SDAK -3
model SDAK -3
Opened 157.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 1 downmodel 161.5
model 161.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDAK | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| KC | 1-9 10% | 2-8 20% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
SDAK 4–6 KCKC leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · SDAK has won the last 2 meetings · SDAK 4-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2025-26 | KC 83 @ SDAK 99 | SDAK -7.5 | SDAK W |
| Feb 13, 2024-25 | KC 72 @ SDAK 79 | SDAK -2.5 | SDAK W |
| Jan 2, 2024-25 | SDAK 54 @ KC 68 | KC -4.5 | KC W |
| Feb 22, 2023-24 | KC 82 @ SDAK 78 | SDAK +3.5 | KC W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | SDAK 57 @ KC 81 | KC -6.5 | KC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
South Dakota
21 games played
Straight up
9-12
43% wins
Against the spread
12-9
57% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-11
48% overs · avg +1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UTU | L 79-81 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 5 | @ CREI | L 76-92 | +29.5 | W +13.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Nov 12 | vs USI | W 89-74 | -7.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | U 163 |
| Nov 16 | vs WMU | W 83-78 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 172.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 20 | @ MIZ | L 68-102 | +24.5 | L −9.5 | 171.5 | U 170 |
| Nov 23 | vs SCST | W 82-81 | -15.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 29 | vs AF | W 80-63 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 3 | vs PRST | L 71-77 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | @ UNCO | L 87-89 | +8.5 | W +6.5 | 162.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 9 | @ WYO | L 79-106 | +14.5 | L −12.5 | 161.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 13 | vs PV | W 97-85 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 168.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 20 | @ KSU | L 76-106 | +21.5 | L −8.5 | 176.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 31 | @ NDSU | L 61-84 | +11.5 | L −11.5 | 164.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 7 | @ STMN | L 86-99 | +14.5 | W +1.5 | 162.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 10 | vs DEN | W 82-72 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 169.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 15 | vsKC | W 99-83 | -7.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 17 | @ UND | L 80-96 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 21 | @ OMA | W 68-64 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 160.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 24 | vsSTMN | L 78-90 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 161.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 29 | vs ORU | W 77-69 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 31 | vsNDSU | L 84-89 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | O 173 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUTU
UTUL 79-81
−3.5
5
@CREI
CREIL 76-92
+13.5
12
vsUSI
USIW 89-74
+7.5
16
vsWMU
WMUW 83-78
+1.5
20
@MIZ
MIZL 68-102
−9.5
23
vsSCST
SCSTW 82-81
−14.5
29
vsAF
AFW 80-63
+13.5
3
vsPRST
PRSTL 71-77
−3.5
6
@UNCO
UNCOL 87-89
+6.5
9
@WYO
WYOL 79-106
−12.5
13
vsPV
PVW 97-85
+5.5
20
@KSU
KSUL 76-106
−8.5
31
@NDSU
NDSUL 61-84
−11.5
7
@STMN
STMNL 86-99
+1.5
10
vsDEN
DENW 82-72
+11.5
15
vsKC
KCW 99-83
+8.5
17
@UND
UNDL 80-96
−14.5
21
@OMA
OMAW 68-64
+10.5
24
vsSTMN
STMNL 78-90
−1.5
29
vsORU
ORUW 77-69
+4.5
31
vsNDSU
NDSUL 84-89
+3.5
covered 12didn’t cover 9avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUTU
UTUL 79-81
−4.5
5
@CREI
CREIL 76-92
−1.5
12
vsUSI
USIW 89-74
−1.5
16
vsWMU
WMUW 83-78
−11.5
20
@MIZ
MIZL 68-102
−1.5
23
vsSCST
SCSTW 82-81
+2.5
29
vsAF
AFW 80-63
−4.5
3
vsPRST
PRSTL 71-77
−10.5
6
@UNCO
UNCOL 87-89
+13.5
9
@WYO
WYOL 79-106
+23.5
13
vsPV
PVW 97-85
+13.5
20
@KSU
KSUL 76-106
+5.5
31
@NDSU
NDSUL 61-84
−19.5
7
@STMN
STMNL 86-99
+22.5
10
vsDEN
DENW 82-72
−15.5
15
vsKC
KCW 99-83
+25.5
17
@UND
UNDL 80-96
+15.5
21
@OMA
OMAW 68-64
−28.5
24
vsSTMN
STMNL 78-90
+6.5
29
vsORU
ORUW 77-69
−8.5
31
vsNDSU
NDSUL 84-89
+18.5
over 10under 11avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Kansas City
20 games played
Straight up
1-19
5% wins
Against the spread
5-15
25% covers · avg −4.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-9
55% overs · avg +0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ SIU | L 78-101 | +12.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 11 | vs IONA | L 91-105 | +4.5 | L −9.5 | 156.5 | O 196 |
| Nov 15 | @ TEX | L 55-71 | +31.5 | W +15.5 | 159.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 19 | @ TCU | L 45-81 | +23.5 | L −12.5 | 150.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 24 | @ LIN | L 67-80 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 152.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 29 | @ WEB | L 61-82 | +10.5 | L −10.5 | 155.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 3 | vs IDST | L 59-68 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 137.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 6 | @ EWU | L 66-90 | +9.5 | L −14.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 10 | vsWEB | L 60-64 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 16 | @ OU | L 67-89 | +30.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 18 | @ OKST | L 79-91 | +27.5 | W +15.5 | 161.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 31 | @DEN | L 74-87 | +9.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 3 | @OMA | W 73-66 | +8.5 | W +15.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 8 | vsNDSU | L 73-97 | +9.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 10 | vsUND | L 79-81 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 15 | @SDAK | L 83-99 | +7.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 17 | @ SDST | L 62-90 | +13.5 | L −14.5 | 151.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 24 | vsOMA | L 60-77 | +4.5 | L −12.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 28 | vsDEN | L 61-69 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 161.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 1 | @STMN | L 64-99 | +17.5 | L −17.5 | 151.5 | O 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@SIU
SIUL 78-101
−10.5
11
vsIONA
IONAL 91-105
−9.5
15
@TEX
TEXL 55-71
+15.5
19
@TCU
TCUL 45-81
−12.5
24
@LIN
LINL 67-80
−8.5
29
@WEB
WEBL 61-82
−10.5
3
vsIDST
IDSTL 59-68
−3.5
6
@EWU
EWUL 66-90
−14.5
10
vsWEB
WEBL 60-64
+3.5
16
@OU
OUL 67-89
+8.5
18
@OKST
OKSTL 79-91
+15.5
31
@DEN
DENL 74-87
−3.5
3
@OMA
OMAW 73-66
+15.5
8
vsNDSU
NDSUL 73-97
−14.5
10
vsUND
UNDL 79-81
−3.5
15
@SDAK
SDAKL 83-99
−8.5
17
@SDST
SDSTL 62-90
−14.5
24
vsOMA
OMAL 60-77
−12.5
28
vsDEN
DENL 61-69
−4.5
1
@STMN
STMNL 64-99
−17.5
covered 5didn’t cover 15avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@SIU
SIUL 78-101
+37.5
11
vsIONA
IONAL 91-105
+39.5
15
@TEX
TEXL 55-71
−33.5
19
@TCU
TCUL 45-81
−24.5
24
@LIN
LINL 67-80
−5.5
29
@WEB
WEBL 61-82
−12.5
3
vsIDST
IDSTL 59-68
−10.5
6
@EWU
EWUL 66-90
+4.5
10
vsWEB
WEBL 60-64
−26.5
16
@OU
OUL 67-89
+2.5
18
@OKST
OKSTL 79-91
+8.5
31
@DEN
DENL 74-87
+4.5
3
@OMA
OMAW 73-66
−9.5
8
vsNDSU
NDSUL 73-97
+25.5
10
vsUND
UNDL 79-81
+13.5
15
@SDAK
SDAKL 83-99
+25.5
17
@SDST
SDSTL 62-90
+0.5
24
vsOMA
OMAL 60-77
−11.5
28
vsDEN
DENL 61-69
−31.5
1
@STMN
STMNL 64-99
+11.5
over 11under 9avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
South Dakota
9-12 overall · 4-5 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs N Dakota St84–89
- Wvs Oral Roberts77–69
- Lvs St Thomas78–90
- W@ Omaha68–64
- L@ North Dakota80–96
4 days since their last game.
Kansas City
1-19 overall · 1-8 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ St Thomas64–99
- Lvs Denver61–69
- Lvs Omaha60–77
- L@ S Dakota St62–90
- L@ South Dakota83–99
3 days since their last game.