Scheels Center · at N Dakota St · Conference game
Closing line
NDSU -5.5✓ NDSU covered by 5.5
NDSU -5.5✓ NDSU covered by 5.5Closing total151.5Under by 10.5
 SDST | This season | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| 6-9 | Record | 11-5 |
| 7-8 | ATS | 9-7 |
| 9-6 | O/U | 10-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SDST 75–80 NDSU · ✓ NDSU (66%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDST | 23 | 42 | 65 |
| NDSU | 35 | 41 | 76 |
1st half: SDST 23, NDSU 35 (NDSU by 12). The model had NDSU by 2.7 and a total of 72.4 (actual 58).
Team stats
| SDST | NDSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-55 44% | Field goals | 26-56 46% |
| 9-26 35% | 3-pointers | 14-31 45% |
| 8-12 67% | Free throws | 10-12 83% |
| 31 7 off | Rebounds | 31 6 off |
| 11 | Assists | 13 |
| 7 | Steals | 10 |
| 3 | Blocks | 1 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| SDST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Jackson G | 39 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 6-15 | 3-10 |
| Matthew Mors F | 32 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 4-6 | 2-2 |
| Kalen Garry G | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3-8 | 1-5 |
| Joe Sayler G | 30 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 4-11 | 2-5 |
| Damon Wilkinson F | 27 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Bubz Alvarez G | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Alec Squires C | 13 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Delzell F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Luke Haertle G | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Davis Kern, Jaden Rogers, Jadyn Cascio Jensen, Andrell Burton Jr., Trey Buchanan
| NDSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevian Carson G | 34 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4-7 | 3-5 |
| Damari Wheeler-Thomas G | 34 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 4-11 | 3-8 |
| Markhi Strickland G | 32 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Andy Stefonowicz G | 28 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
| Treyson Anderson F | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 7-12 | 4-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tay Smith G | 15 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Noah Feddersen C | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Riley Massey G | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Emil Skytt G | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Caleb Schoenrock, Dom Clay, Riley Saunders, Carson Smith, Max Majerle
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNDSU -5.5
ModelNDSU -4.8
Model edgeSDST +0.8
L NDSU covered
Total
Market151.5
Model154.7
Model edgeOver 3.2
L Under
Projected score
SDST 75 · NDSU 79.7
SDST 65 · NDSU 76
Win probability
NDSU 66%
1st half
Spread
NDSU -2.7
NDSU -12.0
Total
72.4
58 points
Projected score
SDST 34.9 · NDSU 37.6
SDST 23 · NDSU 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNDSU -5.5
no move
CloseNDSU -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open149.5
▲ 2
Close151.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
SDST +200 · NDSU -245
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NDSU -5.5 · unchangedmodel NDSU -5
model NDSU -5
Opened 149.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 2 upmodel 154.5
model 154.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDST | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% |
| NDSU | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
SDST 6–4 NDSUSDST leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · SDST 3-6-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024-25 | NDSU 77 @ SDST 68 | SDST -6.5 | NDSU W |
| Jan 30, 2024-25 | SDST 72 @ NDSU 62 | NDSU -2.5 | SDST W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | SDST 78 @ NDSU 61 | NDSU +3.5 | SDST W |
| Feb 1, 2023-24 | NDSU 74 @ SDST 73 | SDST -9.5 | NDSU W |
| Mar 6, 2022-23 | NDSU 89 vs SDST 79 | SDST -4.5 | NDSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
S Dakota St
15 games played
Straight up
6-9
40% wins
Against the spread
7-8
47% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-6
60% overs · avg +0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MRMK | W 75-66 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 9 | @ UNI | L 58-65 | +10.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 12 | @ ORE | L 69-83 | +16.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 21 | vs GAST | W 105-58 | -12.5 | W +34.5 | 143.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 25 | vs UVU | L 52-75 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 151.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 26 | vs UCI | L 52-64 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 3 | @ NAU | W 75-62 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | vs IDHO | L 81-84 | -5.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 9 | @ BALL | W 68-64 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 15 | vs WYO | L 72-87 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 19 | @ MILW | L 87-88 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 29 | @ ARIZ | L 71-99 | +31.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 1 | vs OMA | W 84-69 | -9.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 3 | @ UND | L 87-90 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 8 | vs DEN | W 87-79 | -8.5 | L −0.5 | 162.5 | O 166 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMRMK
MRMKW 75-66
+2.5
9
@UNI
UNIL 58-65
+3.5
12
@ORE
OREL 69-83
+2.5
21
vsGAST
GASTW 105-58
+34.5
25
vsUVU
UVUL 52-75
−21.5
26
vsUCI
UCIL 52-64
−9.5
3
@NAU
NAUW 75-62
+10.5
6
vsIDHO
IDHOL 81-84
−8.5
9
@BALL
BALLW 68-64
−1.5
15
vsWYO
WYOL 72-87
−11.5
19
@MILW
MILWL 87-88
−2.5
29
@ARIZ
ARIZL 71-99
+3.5
1
vsOMA
OMAW 84-69
+5.5
3
@UND
UNDL 87-90
−10.5
8
vsDEN
DENW 87-79
−0.5
covered 7didn’t cover 8avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMRMK
MRMKW 75-66
−2.5
9
@UNI
UNIL 58-65
−27.5
12
@ORE
OREL 69-83
+6.5
21
vsGAST
GASTW 105-58
+19.5
25
vsUVU
UVUL 52-75
−24.5
26
vsUCI
UCIL 52-64
−28.5
3
@NAU
NAUW 75-62
−11.5
6
vsIDHO
IDHOL 81-84
+17.5
9
@BALL
BALLW 68-64
−10.5
15
vsWYO
WYOL 72-87
+9.5
19
@MILW
MILWL 87-88
+23.5
29
@ARIZ
ARIZL 71-99
+10.5
1
vsOMA
OMAW 84-69
+0.5
3
@UND
UNDL 87-90
+24.5
8
vsDEN
DENW 87-79
+3.5
over 9under 6avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
N Dakota St
16 games played
Straight up
11-5
69% wins
Against the spread
9-7
56% covers · avg +2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-6
63% overs · avg +2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ ORST | L 65-67 | +9.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 5 | @ UCD | L 68-80 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 11 | vs CSUN | W 90-68 | -4.5 | W +17.5 | 156.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 17 | vs SIU | W 92-85 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs JXST | W 56-43 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 142.5 | U 99 |
| Nov 28 | @ ARST | L 80-85 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 3 | @ MONT | W 81-72 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 153.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 6 | vsNAU | W 69-68 | -12.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 11 | @ CSUB | W 80-69 | -7.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | @ DRKE | W 99-94 | +5.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 21 | vsUCI | L 73-74 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 22 | @ UTEP | L 66-76 | -2.5 | L −12.5 | 139.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 31 | vs SDAK | W 84-61 | -11.5 | W +11.5 | 164.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 3 | vs ORU | W 79-77 | -13.5 | L −11.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 8 | @ KC | W 97-73 | -9.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 10 | @OMA | W 78-76 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@ORST
ORSTL 65-67
+7.5
5
@UCD
UCDL 68-80
−10.5
11
vsCSUN
CSUNW 90-68
+17.5
17
vsSIU
SIUW 92-85
+5.5
26
vsJXST
JXSTW 56-43
+9.5
28
@ARST
ARSTL 80-85
−1.5
3
@MONT
MONTW 81-72
+12.5
6
vsNAU
NAUW 69-68
−11.5
11
@CSUB
CSUBW 80-69
+3.5
13
@DRKE
DRKEW 99-94
+10.5
21
vsUCI
UCIL 73-74
−2.5
22
@UTEP
UTEPL 66-76
−12.5
31
vsSDAK
SDAKW 84-61
+11.5
3
vsORU
ORUW 79-77
−11.5
8
@KC
KCW 97-73
+14.5
10
@OMA
OMAW 78-76
−3.5
covered 9didn’t cover 7avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@ORST
ORSTL 65-67
−12.5
5
@UCD
UCDL 68-80
+5.5
11
vsCSUN
CSUNW 90-68
+1.5
17
vsSIU
SIUW 92-85
+23.5
26
vsJXST
JXSTW 56-43
−43.5
28
@ARST
ARSTL 80-85
+4.5
3
@MONT
MONTW 81-72
−0.5
6
vsNAU
NAUW 69-68
−10.5
11
@CSUB
CSUBW 80-69
−0.5
13
@DRKE
DRKEW 99-94
+47.5
21
vsUCI
UCIL 73-74
+0.5
22
@UTEP
UTEPL 66-76
+2.5
31
vsSDAK
SDAKW 84-61
−19.5
3
vsORU
ORUW 79-77
+9.5
8
@KC
KCW 97-73
+25.5
10
@OMA
OMAW 78-76
+6.5
over 10under 6avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
S Dakota St
6-9 overall · 2-1 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Denver87–79
- L@ North Dakota87–90
- Wvs Omaha84–69
- L@ Arizona71–99
- L@ Milwaukee87–88
6 days since their last game.
N Dakota St
11-5 overall · 4-0 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Omaha78–76
- W@ Kansas City97–73
- Wvs Oral Roberts79–77
- Wvs South Dakota84–61
- L@ UTEP66–76
4 days since their last game.