Leede Arena · at Dartmouth · Conference game
Closing line
YALE -9.5✓ YALE covered by 3.5
YALE -9.5✓ YALE covered by 3.5Closing total151.5Over by 1.5
| YALE | This season | DART |
|---|---|---|
| 16-4 | Record | 8-11 |
| 9-11 | ATS | 10-9 |
| 11-9 | O/U | 8-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: YALE 82–73 DART · ✓ YALE (79%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| YALE | 38 | 45 | 83 |
| DART | 30 | 40 | 70 |
1st half: YALE 38, DART 30 (YALE by 8). The model had YALE by 5.5 and a total of 72.4 (actual 68).
Team stats
| YALE | DART | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-56 55% | Field goals | 25-55 45% |
| 7-15 47% | 3-pointers | 9-21 43% |
| 14-22 64% | Free throws | 11-13 85% |
| 28 5 off | Rebounds | 31 7 off |
| 21 | Assists | 18 |
| 9 | Steals | 1 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 5 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 48 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| YALE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Townsend F | 36 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 5-8 | 0-1 |
| Isaac Celiscar F | 34 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 5-9 | 1-1 |
| Casey Simmons G | 26 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4-7 | 2-3 |
| Samson Aletan C | 26 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Trevor Mullin G | 23 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 7-11 | 3-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Riley Fox F | 18 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4-8 | 1-3 |
| Jordan Brathwaite G | 16 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Devon Arlington G | 14 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Courtney Wallace G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Daniel Ogunyemi F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jeannot Basima G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Alvin Loving G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jack Sullivan F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jacob Tsai
| DART | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Mitchell-Day F | 30 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Kareem Thomas G | 30 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 2-8 | 2-4 |
| Jayden Williams F | 29 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 4-12 | 3-9 |
| Connor Amundsen G | 29 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 5-8 | 2-2 |
| Jackson Munro F | 27 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nikola Abusara G | 15 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Anton Strelnikov C | 13 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Cam Hiatt G | 13 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Cameron McNamee G | 13 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Ben Brown G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Shanon Simango, Patrick Tivnan Jr., Tyler Garrett, Khai Lockwood
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketYALE -9.5
ModelYALE -9.1
Model edgeDART +0.4
L YALE covered
Total
Market151.5
Model154.9
Model edgeOver 3.4
W Over
Projected score
YALE 82 · DART 72.9
YALE 83 · DART 70
Win probability
YALE 79%
1st half
Spread
YALE -5.5
YALE -8.0
Total
72.4
68 points
Projected score
YALE 39 · DART 33.4
YALE 38 · DART 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenYALE -8.5
1 → YALE
CloseYALE -9.5
1 pt toward YALE
Total
Open153.5
▼ 2
Close151.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
YALE -535 · DART +400
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened YALE -8.5 · closed YALE -9.5 · moved 1 toward YALEmodel YALE -9
model YALE -9
Opened 153.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 2 downmodel 155
model 155
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| YALE | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| DART | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
YALE 8–1 DARTYALE leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · YALE has won the last 6 meetings · YALE 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2025-26 | DART 68 @ YALE 83 | YALE -15.5 | DART W |
| Feb 28, 2024-25 | YALE 72 @ DART 67 | DART +8.5 | DART W |
| Jan 20, 2024-25 | DART 67 @ YALE 83 | YALE -17.5 | DART W |
| Mar 1, 2023-24 | DART 56 @ YALE 80 | YALE -19.5 | YALE W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | YALE 76 @ DART 51 | DART +12.5 | YALE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Yale
20 games played
Straight up
16-4
80% wins
Against the spread
9-11
45% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-9
55% overs · avg +3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ NAVY | W 97-68 | -5.5 | W +23.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 11 | @ QUIN | W 97-60 | -6.5 | W +30.5 | 156.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 15 | vs STBK | W 86-79 | -20.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 18 | vs URI | L 77-86 | -8.5 | L −17.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | vs GB | W 73-67 | -17.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 23 | vs COFC | W 74-63 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 24 | vs AKR | W 97-94 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 30 | @ UVM | W 77-74 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 7 | vs UIC | W 80-66 | -12.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 10 | vs UALB | W 93-82 | -17.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 29 | @ ALA | L 78-102 | +15.5 | L −8.5 | 171.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 5 | @ BRWN | W 70-53 | -8.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 10 | @ PRIN | L 60-76 | -7.5 | L −23.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 17 | vs COR | W 102-68 | -9.5 | W +24.5 | 174.5 | U 170 |
| Jan 19 | vs COLU | W 91-74 | -9.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | @ PENN | W 77-60 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 30 | vsDART | W 83-68 | -15.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 31 | vs HARV | L 65-67 | -11.5 | L −13.5 | 141.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 6 | vsBRWN | W 81-69 | -15.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 9 | @ HOW | W 87-81 | -6.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | O 168 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@NAVY
NAVYW 97-68
+23.5
11
@QUIN
QUINW 97-60
+30.5
15
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-79
−13.5
18
vsURI
URIL 77-86
−17.5
21
vsGB
GBW 73-67
−11.5
23
vsCOFC
COFCW 74-63
+4.5
24
vsAKR
AKRW 97-94
+4.5
30
@UVM
UVMW 77-74
−3.5
7
vsUIC
UICW 80-66
+1.5
10
vsUALB
UALBW 93-82
−6.5
29
@ALA
ALAL 78-102
−8.5
5
@BRWN
BRWNW 70-53
+8.5
10
@PRIN
PRINL 60-76
−23.5
17
vsCOR
CORW 102-68
+24.5
19
vsCOLU
COLUW 91-74
+7.5
24
@PENN
PENNW 77-60
+10.5
30
vsDART
DARTW 83-68
−0.5
31
vsHARV
HARVL 65-67
−13.5
6
vsBRWN
BRWNW 81-69
−3.5
9
@HOW
HOWW 87-81
−0.5
covered 9didn’t cover 11avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@NAVY
NAVYW 97-68
+17.5
11
@QUIN
QUINW 97-60
+0.5
15
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-79
+14.5
18
vsURI
URIL 77-86
+9.5
21
vsGB
GBW 73-67
−8.5
23
vsCOFC
COFCW 74-63
−11.5
24
vsAKR
AKRW 97-94
+34.5
30
@UVM
UVMW 77-74
+3.5
7
vsUIC
UICW 80-66
−2.5
10
vsUALB
UALBW 93-82
+29.5
29
@ALA
ALAL 78-102
+8.5
5
@BRWN
BRWNW 70-53
−19.5
10
@PRIN
PRINL 60-76
−6.5
17
vsCOR
CORW 102-68
−4.5
19
vsCOLU
COLUW 91-74
+14.5
24
@PENN
PENNW 77-60
−20.5
30
vsDART
DARTW 83-68
−4.5
31
vsHARV
HARVL 65-67
−9.5
6
vsBRWN
BRWNW 81-69
+9.5
9
@HOW
HOWW 87-81
+20.5
over 11under 9avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Dartmouth
19 games played
Straight up
8-11
42% wins
Against the spread
10-9
53% covers · avg +1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-11
42% overs · avg −0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | vs MRST | L 56-75 | -1.5 | L −20.5 | 138.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 12 | @ BRY | L 75-82 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 16 | vs APP | L 77-85 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 29 | @ SPU | W 87-61 | +3.5 | W +29.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 3 | vs UNH | W 69-68 | -8.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | @ WYO | L 80-93 | +14.5 | W +1.5 | 156.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 9 | @ CSU | L 55-76 | +20.5 | L −0.5 | 153.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 13 | vs BU | W 77-64 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 144.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 16 | @ HC | W 89-64 | -1.5 | W +23.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 19 | @ SHU | L 63-85 | -1.5 | L −23.5 | 155.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 29 | @ FLA | L 72-94 | +35.5 | W +13.5 | 160.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 5 | @HARV | W 76-68 | +7.5 | W +15.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @COR | W 102-91 | +9.5 | W +20.5 | 175.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 17 | vsPENN | L 74-84 | -2.5 | L −12.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 19 | vsPRIN | W 71-69 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 24 | vsCOLU | L 69-79 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 156.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 30 | @YALE | L 68-83 | +15.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 31 | @BRWN | W 77-70 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 7 | vsHARV | L 58-71 | +1.5 | L −11.5 | 140.5 | U 129 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
vsMRST
MRSTL 56-75
−20.5
12
@BRY
BRYL 75-82
−5.5
16
vsAPP
APPL 77-85
−6.5
29
@SPU
SPUW 87-61
+29.5
3
vsUNH
UNHW 69-68
−7.5
6
@WYO
WYOL 80-93
+1.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 55-76
−0.5
13
vsBU
BUW 77-64
+10.5
16
@HC
HCW 89-64
+23.5
19
@SHU
SHUL 63-85
−23.5
29
@FLA
FLAL 72-94
+13.5
5
@HARV
HARVW 76-68
+15.5
10
@COR
CORW 102-91
+20.5
17
vsPENN
PENNL 74-84
−12.5
19
vsPRIN
PRINW 71-69
+3.5
24
vsCOLU
COLUL 69-79
−7.5
30
@YALE
YALEL 68-83
+0.5
31
@BRWN
BRWNW 77-70
+8.5
7
vsHARV
HARVL 58-71
−11.5
covered 10didn’t cover 9avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
vsMRST
MRSTL 56-75
−7.5
12
@BRY
BRYL 75-82
+5.5
16
vsAPP
APPL 77-85
+21.5
29
@SPU
SPUW 87-61
+3.5
3
vsUNH
UNHW 69-68
−10.5
6
@WYO
WYOL 80-93
+16.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 55-76
−22.5
13
vsBU
BUW 77-64
−3.5
16
@HC
HCW 89-64
+5.5
19
@SHU
SHUL 63-85
−7.5
29
@FLA
FLAL 72-94
+5.5
5
@HARV
HARVW 76-68
−4.5
10
@COR
CORW 102-91
+17.5
17
vsPENN
PENNL 74-84
−5.5
19
vsPRIN
PRINW 71-69
−7.5
24
vsCOLU
COLUL 69-79
−8.5
30
@YALE
YALEL 68-83
−4.5
31
@BRWN
BRWNW 77-70
+4.5
7
vsHARV
HARVL 58-71
−11.5
over 8under 11avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Yale
16-4 overall · 6-2 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Howard87–81
- Wvs Brown81–69
- Lvs Harvard65–67
- Wvs Dartmouth83–68
- W@ Penn77–60
4 days since their last game.
Dartmouth
8-11 overall · 4-4 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Harvard58–71
- W@ Brown77–70
- L@ Yale68–83
- Lvs Columbia69–79
- Wvs Princeton71–69
6 days since their last game.