McGuirk Arena · at C Michigan · Conference game
Closing line
AKR -11.5✓ AKR covered by 1.5
AKR -11.5✓ AKR covered by 1.5Closing total158.5Under by 17.5
| AKR | This season | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| 22-5 | Record | 8-19 |
| 14-13 | ATS | 16-11 |
| 14-13 | O/U | 12-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: AKR 86–74 CMU · ✓ AKR (84%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AKR | 39 | 38 | 77 |
| CMU | 33 | 31 | 64 |
1st half: AKR 39, CMU 33 (AKR by 6). The model had AKR by 7.0 and a total of 74.6 (actual 72).
Team stats
| AKR | CMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-63 48% | Field goals | 25-58 43% |
| 11-33 33% | 3-pointers | 10-23 43% |
| 6-11 55% | Free throws | 4-6 67% |
| 41 14 off | Rebounds | 25 6 off |
| 17 | Assists | 16 |
| 12 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 1 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| AKR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Mahaffey F | 35 | 9 | 16 | 4 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Tavari Johnson G | 32 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 7-15 | 3-8 |
| Amani Lyles F | 31 | 13 | 11 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-2 |
| Bowen Hardman G | 21 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 5-10 | 5-10 |
| Zach Halligan F | 17 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Shammah Scott G | 30 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 4-10 | 0-5 |
| Sharron Young G | 25 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 4-9 | 3-6 |
| Marvin Musiime-Kamali F | 9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tai Perkins, Josh Henderson, Ognjen Stankovic, Conner Groce, Eric Mahaffey, Rich Brisco, Cody Head, Chabi Barre
| CMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phat Phat Brooks G | 34 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 3-11 | 1-2 |
| Tamario Adley G | 31 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 7-14 | 0-3 |
| Nathan Claerbaut C | 31 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Keenan Garner F | 30 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Logan McIntire G | 27 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 5-10 | 5-10 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaxson Whitaker G | 22 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 4-9 | 4-7 |
| Nick Mullen F | 17 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Jalen Kampen G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kayden Nation, Jorden Brooks, Kareem Aburashed, Nsikan Usen, Uchenna Amene, Will Ashford, Rodney Johnson Jr.
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketAKR -11.5
ModelAKR -11.5
Model edge—
AKR covered
Total
Market158.5
Model159.7
Model edgeOver 1.2
L Under
Projected score
AKR 85.6 · CMU 74.1
AKR 77 · CMU 64
Win probability
AKR 84%
1st half
Spread
AKR -7.0
AKR -6.0
Total
74.6
72 points
Projected score
AKR 40.8 · CMU 33.8
AKR 39 · CMU 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAKR -11.5
no move
CloseAKR -11.5
No change since the open
Total
Open160.5
▼ 2
Close158.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
AKR -750 · CMU +525
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened AKR -11.5 · unchangedmodel AKR -11.5 matches the line
model AKR -11.5 = line ✓
Opened 160.5 · closed 158.5 · moved 2 downmodel 159.5
model 159.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AKR | 9-1 90% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| CMU | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
AKR 7–0 CMUAKR leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · AKR has won the last 7 meetings · AKR 3-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2025-26 | CMU 69 @ AKR 82 | AKR -23.5 | CMU W |
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | AKR 85 @ CMU 82 | CMU +3.5 | CMU W |
| Jan 7, 2024-25 | CMU 71 @ AKR 87 | AKR -8.5 | AKR W |
| Feb 6, 2023-24 | CMU 47 @ AKR 68 | AKR -13.5 | AKR W |
| Jan 17, 2022-23 | AKR 69 @ CMU 51 | CMU +9.5 | AKR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Akron
27 games played
Straight up
22-5
81% wins
Against the spread
14-13
52% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-13
52% overs · avg +2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs JMU | W 85-71 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 8 | vs PRIN | W 104-69 | -13.5 | W +21.5 | 156.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 16 | @ PUR | L 79-97 | +18.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 21 | vs IONA | W 96-75 | -11.5 | W +9.5 | 173.5 | U 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs EVAN | W 97-59 | -11.5 | W +26.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs YALE | L 94-97 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 29 | vs MILW | W 105-81 | -12.5 | W +11.5 | 166.5 | O 186 |
| Dec 3 | vs BUCK | W 97-77 | -23.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 6 | @ TULN | W 88-71 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 162.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 13 | vs MUR | L 100-115 | -4.5 | L −19.5 | 168.5 | O 215 |
| Dec 19 | vs EMU | W 93-72 | -15.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 3 | @ M-OH | L 73-76 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 177.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 6 | vsCMU | W 82-69 | -23.5 | L −10.5 | 164.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 9 | @ BGSU | W 77-67 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 13 | vs BALL | W 87-77 | -20.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 17 | vs WMU | W 104-89 | -21.5 | L −6.5 | 163.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 20 | @ BUF | W 82-63 | -8.5 | W +10.5 | 166.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 23 | @ OHIO | W 86-65 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 167.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 27 | vs TOL | W 91-81 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 168.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 30 | vs KENT | W 69-52 | -10.5 | W +6.5 | 166.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 3 | @EMU | W 66-64 | -12.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 7 | @ TROY | L 69-79 | -2.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 13 | vs MASS | W 99-92 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | O 191 |
| Feb 17 | @WMU | W 90-73 | -14.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 20 | @BALL | W 78-65 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 24 | vsBUF | W 99-85 | -15.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | O 184 |
| Feb 27 | @KENT | W 92-70 | -3.5 | W +18.5 | 166.5 | U 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsJMU
JMUW 85-71
+5.5
8
vsPRIN
PRINW 104-69
+21.5
16
@PUR
PURL 79-97
+0.5
21
vsIONA
IONAW 96-75
+9.5
23
vsEVAN
EVANW 97-59
+26.5
24
vsYALE
YALEL 94-97
−4.5
29
vsMILW
MILWW 105-81
+11.5
3
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-77
−3.5
6
@TULN
TULNW 88-71
+10.5
13
vsMUR
MURL 100-115
−19.5
19
vsEMU
EMUW 93-72
+5.5
3
@M-OH
M-OHL 73-76
−7.5
6
vsCMU
CMUW 82-69
−10.5
9
@BGSU
BGSUW 77-67
+5.5
13
vsBALL
BALLW 87-77
−10.5
17
vsWMU
WMUW 104-89
−6.5
20
@BUF
BUFW 82-63
+10.5
23
@OHIO
OHIOW 86-65
+14.5
27
vsTOL
TOLW 91-81
−2.5
30
vsKENT
KENTW 69-52
+6.5
3
@EMU
EMUW 66-64
−10.5
7
@TROY
TROYL 69-79
−12.5
13
vsMASS
MASSW 99-92
−5.5
17
@WMU
WMUW 90-73
+2.5
20
@BALL
BALLW 78-65
−0.5
24
vsBUF
BUFW 99-85
−1.5
27
@KENT
KENTW 92-70
+18.5
covered 14didn’t cover 13avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsJMU
JMUW 85-71
+2.5
8
vsPRIN
PRINW 104-69
+16.5
16
@PUR
PURL 79-97
+12.5
21
vsIONA
IONAW 96-75
−2.5
23
vsEVAN
EVANW 97-59
−0.5
24
vsYALE
YALEL 94-97
+34.5
29
vsMILW
MILWW 105-81
+19.5
3
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-77
+16.5
6
@TULN
TULNW 88-71
−3.5
13
vsMUR
MURL 100-115
+46.5
19
vsEMU
EMUW 93-72
+9.5
3
@M-OH
M-OHL 73-76
−28.5
6
vsCMU
CMUW 82-69
−13.5
9
@BGSU
BGSUW 77-67
−19.5
13
vsBALL
BALLW 87-77
+11.5
17
vsWMU
WMUW 104-89
+29.5
20
@BUF
BUFW 82-63
−21.5
23
@OHIO
OHIOW 86-65
−16.5
27
vsTOL
TOLW 91-81
+3.5
30
vsKENT
KENTW 69-52
−45.5
3
@EMU
EMUW 66-64
−23.5
7
@TROY
TROYL 69-79
−9.5
13
vsMASS
MASSW 99-92
+27.5
17
@WMU
WMUW 90-73
+2.5
20
@BALL
BALLW 78-65
−4.5
24
vsBUF
BUFW 99-85
+23.5
27
@KENT
KENTW 92-70
−4.5
over 14under 13avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
C Michigan
27 games played
Straight up
8-19
30% wins
Against the spread
16-11
59% covers · avg +2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-15
44% overs · avg +0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs APP | W 82-66 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 8 | @ BRAD | L 54-85 | +9.5 | L −21.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 13 | vs USA | L 64-66 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | vs COPP | W 82-59 | -10.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 20 | vs NKU | L 66-90 | -4.5 | L −28.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 22 | @ MARQ | L 71-85 | +25.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 2 | @ LUC | L 72-83 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 7 | @ SLU | L 65-107 | +24.5 | L −17.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | @ STBK | L 55-78 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 20 | @ NIU | L 73-74 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 22 | @ WIS | L 61-88 | +26.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 30 | vsOHIO | L 64-80 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 3 | vsTOL | L 75-78 | +7.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 6 | @AKR | L 69-82 | +23.5 | W +10.5 | 164.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 10 | vsKENT | W 87-85 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 156.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 13 | @M-OH | L 61-100 | +15.5 | L −23.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 20 | vsBALL | L 67-68 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 24 | @WMU | L 65-77 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 27 | vsEMU | W 100-65 | +2.5 | W +37.5 | 139.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 31 | vsBGSU | W 62-59 | +8.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 3 | @MASS | L 89-95 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | O 184 |
| Feb 7 | @ UL | L 80-85 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 134.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 14 | vsNIU | W 88-46 | -4.5 | W +37.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 17 | @EMU | L 54-66 | +4.5 | L −7.5 | 140.5 | U 120 |
| Feb 21 | vsWMU | W 83-70 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 24 | @KENT | L 81-83 | +11.5 | W +9.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 28 | @BUF | W 75-70 | +5.5 | W +10.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsAPP
APPW 82-66
+14.5
8
@BRAD
BRADL 54-85
−21.5
13
vsUSA
USAL 64-66
+3.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPW 82-59
+12.5
20
vsNKU
NKUL 66-90
−28.5
22
@MARQ
MARQL 71-85
+11.5
2
@LUC
LUCL 72-83
−4.5
7
@SLU
SLUL 65-107
−17.5
13
@STBK
STBKL 55-78
−15.5
20
@NIU
NIUL 73-74
+1.5
22
@WIS
WISL 61-88
−0.5
30
vsOHIO
OHIOL 64-80
−9.5
3
vsTOL
TOLL 75-78
+4.5
6
@AKR
AKRL 69-82
+10.5
10
vsKENT
KENTW 87-85
+12.5
13
@M-OH
M-OHL 61-100
−23.5
20
vsBALL
BALLL 67-68
+0.5
24
@WMU
WMUL 65-77
−6.5
27
vsEMU
EMUW 100-65
+37.5
31
vsBGSU
BGSUW 62-59
+11.5
3
@MASS
MASSL 89-95
+5.5
7
@UL
ULL 80-85
−2.5
14
vsNIU
NIUW 88-46
+37.5
17
@EMU
EMUL 54-66
−7.5
21
vsWMU
WMUW 83-70
+9.5
24
@KENT
KENTL 81-83
+9.5
28
@BUF
BUFW 75-70
+10.5
covered 16didn’t cover 11avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsAPP
APPW 82-66
+5.5
8
@BRAD
BRADL 54-85
−8.5
13
vsUSA
USAL 64-66
−12.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPW 82-59
−1.5
20
vsNKU
NKUL 66-90
+9.5
22
@MARQ
MARQL 71-85
+3.5
2
@LUC
LUCL 72-83
+14.5
7
@SLU
SLUL 65-107
+11.5
13
@STBK
STBKL 55-78
−12.5
20
@NIU
NIUL 73-74
−2.5
22
@WIS
WISL 61-88
−3.5
30
vsOHIO
OHIOL 64-80
−7.5
3
vsTOL
TOLL 75-78
−5.5
6
@AKR
AKRL 69-82
−13.5
10
vsKENT
KENTW 87-85
+15.5
13
@M-OH
M-OHL 61-100
+2.5
20
vsBALL
BALLL 67-68
−7.5
24
@WMU
WMUL 65-77
−6.5
27
vsEMU
EMUW 100-65
+25.5
31
vsBGSU
BGSUW 62-59
−28.5
3
@MASS
MASSL 89-95
+31.5
7
@UL
ULL 80-85
+30.5
14
vsNIU
NIUW 88-46
−12.5
17
@EMU
EMUL 54-66
−20.5
21
vsWMU
WMUW 83-70
+2.5
24
@KENT
KENTL 81-83
+7.5
28
@BUF
BUFW 75-70
−6.5
over 12under 15avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Akron
22-5 overall · 15-1 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Kent State92–70
- Wvs Buffalo99–85
- W@ Ball State78–65
- W@ W Michigan90–73
- Wvs UMass99–92
4 days since their last game.
C Michigan
8-19 overall · 6-10 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Buffalo75–70
- L@ Kent State81–83
- Wvs W Michigan83–70
- L@ E Michigan54–66
- Wvs N Illinois88–46
3 days since their last game.