Corbett Sports Center · at NC A&T · Conference game
Closing line
W&M -8.5✓ NCAT covered by 5.5
W&M -8.5✓ NCAT covered by 5.5Closing total163.5Over by 15.5
| W&M | This season | NCAT |
|---|---|---|
| 15-11 | Record | 9-16 |
| 15-11 | ATS | 15-10 |
| 10-16 | O/U | 13-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: W&M 84–78 NCAT · ✓ W&M (68%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| W&M | 46 | 45 | 91 |
| NCAT | 37 | 51 | 88 |
1st half: W&M 46, NCAT 37 (W&M by 9). The model had W&M by 3.3 and a total of 75.6 (actual 83).
Team stats
| W&M | NCAT | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-64 50% | Field goals | 35-55 64% |
| 7-29 24% | 3-pointers | 6-17 35% |
| 20-28 71% | Free throws | 12-17 71% |
| 22 7 off | Rebounds | 35 6 off |
| 17 | Assists | 21 |
| 11 | Steals | 2 |
| 0 | Blocks | 3 |
| 5 | Turnovers | 18 |
| 15 | Fouls | 20 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 19 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| W&M | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tunde Vahlberg Fasasi F | 30 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 4-10 | 2-5 |
| Chase Lowe G | 27 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 4-5 | 0-1 |
| Kilian Brockhoff F | 24 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 4-10 | 1-5 |
| Kyle Pulliam G | 11 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4-6 | 2-3 |
| Cade Haskins F | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jo'el Emanuel F | 28 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2-6 | 0-4 |
| Reese Miller G | 24 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 6-11 | 0-3 |
| Jhei-R Jones G | 19 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Ryan Jackson Jr. G | 15 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-1 |
| Finn Lally F | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Colin Lamine Ndaw, Kyle Frazier, Ethan Connery, Miles Hicks, Kaleb Spencer
| NCAT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zamoku Weluche-Ume F | 38 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 6-12 | 2-7 |
| Lewis Walker F | 37 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 11-16 | 1-3 |
| Trent Middleton Jr. G | 30 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 5-8 | 1-2 |
| Will Felton C | 29 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 6-7 | 0-0 |
| Dwayne Pierce G | 27 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mujahiid Burton G | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Bryson Ogletree G | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| KJ Debrick F | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Efstratios Kalliontzis, Chanler Montgomery, Amadou Doumbia, Lo Walker, Brooklyn Vick, Yancarlos Cueto, Jalal McKie, Uchenna Kellman-Nicholes
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketW&M -8.5
ModelW&M -5.3
Model edgeNCAT +3.2
W NCAT covered
Total
Market163.5
Model161.8
Model edgeUnder 1.7
L Over
Projected score
W&M 83.6 · NCAT 78.3
W&M 91 · NCAT 88
Win probability
W&M 68%
1st half
Spread
W&M -3.3
W&M -9.0
Total
75.6
83 points
Projected score
W&M 39.4 · NCAT 36.2
W&M 46 · NCAT 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenW&M -6.5
2 → W&M
CloseW&M -8.5
2 pts toward W&M
Total
Open162.5
▲ 1
Close163.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
W&M -360 · NCAT +285
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened W&M -6.5 · closed W&M -8.5 · moved 2 toward W&Mmodel W&M -5.5
model W&M -5.5
Opened 162.5 · closed 163.5 · moved 1 upmodel 162
model 162
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| W&M | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
| NCAT | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
W&M 3–2 NCATW&M leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · W&M has won the last 3 meetings · W&M 1-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2025-26 | NCAT 89 @ W&M 97 | W&M -13.5 | NCAT W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | NCAT 78 @ W&M 81 | W&M -12.5 | NCAT W |
| Mar 8, 2023-24 | W&M 79 vs NCAT 62 | NCAT +6.5 | W&M W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | W&M 69 @ NCAT 76 | NCAT +1.5 | NCAT W |
| Jan 21, 2022-23 | NCAT 90 @ W&M 86 | W&M -0.5 | NCAT W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
William & Mary
26 games played
Straight up
15-11
58% wins
Against the spread
15-11
58% covers · avg +2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-16
38% overs · avg −2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ NORF | W 81-78 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | @ RICH | L 86-90 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 164.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 15 | @ SJU | L 60-93 | +28.5 | L −4.5 | 179.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 19 | @ BGSU | W 82-74 | +8.5 | W +16.5 | 167.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs UTEP | W 74-63 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 159.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs ACU | W 92-58 | +1.5 | W +35.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 30 | vs ODU | W 88-75 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | U 163 |
| Dec 2 | @ DUQ | W 83-79 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 170.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 6 | @ GW | L 86-99 | +13.5 | W +0.5 | 174.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 18 | vs RAD | W 96-83 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 170.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 29 | vs TOW | W 84-70 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 157.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 31 | vs STBK | W 76-57 | -11.5 | W +7.5 | 159.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 5 | @ COFC | L 79-88 | +2.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 8 | @ MONM | L 70-81 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 156.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 10 | @ DREX | L 58-64 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 150.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 15 | vsNCAT | W 97-89 | -13.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 186 |
| Jan 22 | vs UNCW | W 77-70 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 24 | vs HOF | W 89-82 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 29 | @ ELON | L 76-79 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 169.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 31 | vs CAM | L 96-104 | -8.5 | L −16.5 | 168.5 | O 200 |
| Feb 5 | @UNCW | W 85-78 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 7 | @ HAMP | L 74-77 | -5.5 | L −8.5 | 152.5 | U 151 |
| Feb 12 | @ NE | W 94-67 | -5.5 | W +21.5 | 167.5 | U 161 |
| Feb 14 | vsELON | L 78-81 | -8.5 | L −11.5 | 165.5 | U 159 |
| Feb 19 | @CAM | L 83-84 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 167.5 | U 167 |
| Feb 26 | vsNE | W 84-77 | -11.5 | L −4.5 | 164.5 | U 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@NORF
NORFW 81-78
+0.5
11
@RICH
RICHL 86-90
+5.5
15
@SJU
SJUL 60-93
−4.5
19
@BGSU
BGSUW 82-74
+16.5
24
vsUTEP
UTEPW 74-63
+8.5
25
vsACU
ACUW 92-58
+35.5
30
vsODU
ODUW 88-75
+4.5
2
@DUQ
DUQW 83-79
+9.5
6
@GW
GWL 86-99
+0.5
18
vsRAD
RADW 96-83
+4.5
29
vsTOW
TOWW 84-70
+12.5
31
vsSTBK
STBKW 76-57
+7.5
5
@COFC
COFCL 79-88
−6.5
8
@MONM
MONML 70-81
−13.5
10
@DREX
DREXL 58-64
−9.5
15
vsNCAT
NCATW 97-89
−5.5
22
vsUNCW
UNCWW 77-70
+4.5
24
vsHOF
HOFW 89-82
+3.5
29
@ELON
ELONL 76-79
−4.5
31
vsCAM
CAML 96-104
−16.5
5
@UNCW
UNCWW 85-78
+11.5
7
@HAMP
HAMPL 74-77
−8.5
12
@NE
NEW 94-67
+21.5
14
vsELON
ELONL 78-81
−11.5
19
@CAM
CAML 83-84
−2.5
26
vsNE
NEW 84-77
−4.5
covered 15didn’t cover 11avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@NORF
NORFW 81-78
+0.5
11
@RICH
RICHL 86-90
+11.5
15
@SJU
SJUL 60-93
−26.5
19
@BGSU
BGSUW 82-74
−11.5
24
vsUTEP
UTEPW 74-63
−22.5
25
vsACU
ACUW 92-58
+2.5
30
vsODU
ODUW 88-75
−0.5
2
@DUQ
DUQW 83-79
−8.5
6
@GW
GWL 86-99
+10.5
18
vsRAD
RADW 96-83
+8.5
29
vsTOW
TOWW 84-70
−3.5
31
vsSTBK
STBKW 76-57
−26.5
5
@COFC
COFCL 79-88
+1.5
8
@MONM
MONML 70-81
−5.5
10
@DREX
DREXL 58-64
−28.5
15
vsNCAT
NCATW 97-89
+23.5
22
vsUNCW
UNCWW 77-70
−12.5
24
vsHOF
HOFW 89-82
+13.5
29
@ELON
ELONL 76-79
−14.5
31
vsCAM
CAML 96-104
+31.5
5
@UNCW
UNCWW 85-78
+3.5
7
@HAMP
HAMPL 74-77
−1.5
12
@NE
NEW 94-67
−6.5
14
vsELON
ELONL 78-81
−6.5
19
@CAM
CAML 83-84
−0.5
26
vsNE
NEW 84-77
−3.5
over 10under 16avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
NC A&T
25 games played
Straight up
9-16
36% wins
Against the spread
15-10
60% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-12
52% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ SC | L 72-91 | +22.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 10 | vs SCST | W 85-62 | -2.5 | W +20.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 18 | @ MORG | W 79-73 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 28 | @ DAV | L 74-90 | +13.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 2 | @ CLT | L 57-74 | +7.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 6 | @ NCCU | W 69-54 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 9 | vs HOW | L 69-73 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 12 | vs UMES | W 82-79 | -7.5 | L −4.5 | 130.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 16 | @ UNCG | W 71-65 | +6.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 29 | vsUNCW | L 78-87 | +10.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 31 | vsNE | L 74-85 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 3 | @STBK | L 80-81 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 8 | vsELON | L 64-69 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 15 | @W&M | L 89-97 | +13.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | O 186 |
| Jan 19 | @HAMP | L 61-82 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 22 | vsHOF | W 79-78 | +9.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 24 | vsTOW | W 80-73 | +7.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 29 | @MONM | L 81-83 | +9.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 31 | @DREX | L 60-61 | +7.5 | W +6.5 | 138.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 5 | @COFC | L 62-78 | +11.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 7 | vsCAM | L 71-79 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Feb 13 | vsHAMP | W 71-70 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 19 | vsCOFC | L 61-74 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 21 | @ELON | W 102-82 | +7.5 | W +27.5 | 151.5 | O 184 |
| Feb 26 | @UNCW | L 65-88 | +13.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@SC
SCL 72-91
+3.5
10
vsSCST
SCSTW 85-62
+20.5
18
@MORG
MORGW 79-73
+3.5
28
@DAV
DAVL 74-90
−2.5
2
@CLT
CLTL 57-74
−9.5
6
@NCCU
NCCUW 69-54
+12.5
9
vsHOW
HOWL 69-73
−6.5
12
vsUMES
UMESW 82-79
−4.5
16
@UNCG
UNCGW 71-65
+12.5
29
vsUNCW
UNCWL 78-87
+1.5
31
vsNE
NEL 74-85
−7.5
3
@STBK
STBKL 80-81
+3.5
8
vsELON
ELONL 64-69
+1.5
15
@W&M
W&ML 89-97
+5.5
19
@HAMP
HAMPL 61-82
−14.5
22
vsHOF
HOFW 79-78
+10.5
24
vsTOW
TOWW 80-73
+14.5
29
@MONM
MONML 81-83
+7.5
31
@DREX
DREXL 60-61
+6.5
5
@COFC
COFCL 62-78
−4.5
7
vsCAM
CAML 71-79
−4.5
13
vsHAMP
HAMPW 71-70
+4.5
19
vsCOFC
COFCL 61-74
−8.5
21
@ELON
ELONW 102-82
+27.5
26
@UNCW
UNCWL 65-88
−9.5
covered 15didn’t cover 10avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@SC
SCL 72-91
+19.5
10
vsSCST
SCSTW 85-62
−12.5
18
@MORG
MORGW 79-73
−9.5
28
@DAV
DAVL 74-90
+18.5
2
@CLT
CLTL 57-74
−13.5
6
@NCCU
NCCUW 69-54
−19.5
9
vsHOW
HOWL 69-73
−7.5
12
vsUMES
UMESW 82-79
+30.5
16
@UNCG
UNCGW 71-65
−11.5
29
vsUNCW
UNCWL 78-87
+18.5
31
vsNE
NEL 74-85
+7.5
3
@STBK
STBKL 80-81
+19.5
8
vsELON
ELONL 64-69
−25.5
15
@W&M
W&ML 89-97
+23.5
19
@HAMP
HAMPL 61-82
−0.5
22
vsHOF
HOFW 79-78
+10.5
24
vsTOW
TOWW 80-73
+13.5
29
@MONM
MONML 81-83
+19.5
31
@DREX
DREXL 60-61
−17.5
5
@COFC
COFCL 62-78
−15.5
7
vsCAM
CAML 71-79
−6.5
13
vsHAMP
HAMPW 71-70
+3.5
19
vsCOFC
COFCL 61-74
−12.5
21
@ELON
ELONW 102-82
+32.5
26
@UNCW
UNCWL 65-88
+6.5
over 13under 12avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
William & Mary
15-11 overall · 8-8 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Northeastern84–77
- L@ Campbell83–84
- Lvs Elon78–81
- W@ Northeastern94–67
- L@ Hampton74–77
2 days since their last game.
NC A&T
9-16 overall · 4-12 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UNC Wilmington65–88
- W@ Elon102–82
- Lvs Charleston61–74
- Wvs Hampton71–70
- Lvs Campbell71–79
2 days since their last game.