OceanFirst Bank Center · at Monmouth · Conference game
Closing line
MONM -3.5✓ MONM covered by 9.5
Closing total143.5Over by 5.5
| This season | MONM | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-11 | Record | 7-10 |
| 9-8 | ATS | 8-9 |
| 12-5 | O/U | 6-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NE 73–76 MONM · ✓ MONM (62%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NE | 38 | 30 | 68 |
| MONM | 30 | 51 | 81 |
1st half: NE 38, MONM 30 (NE by 8). The model had MONM by 1.9 and a total of 69.7 (actual 68).
Team stats
| NE | MONM | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-62 44% | Field goals | 32-69 46% |
| 4-24 17% | 3-pointers | 10-27 37% |
| 10-14 71% | Free throws | 7-12 58% |
| 40 13 off | Rebounds | 38 14 off |
| 8 | Assists | 21 |
| 8 | Steals | 9 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| NE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Loughnane G | 36 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6-12 | 2-4 |
| JB Frankel G | 32 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2-10 | 1-7 |
| William Kermoury G | 32 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5-11 | 1-5 |
| Luca Soroa Schaller F | 27 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Petar Pinter C | 15 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Xavier Abreu G | 24 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 5-11 | 0-5 |
| Liam Koelsch C | 21 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Williams G | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Haris Elezovic F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Miles Newton, Xander Alarie, Ty Francis, Youri Fritz, LA Pratt
| MONM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Rivera-Torres G | 39 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 8-16 | 1-5 |
| Justin Ray G | 33 | 27 | 5 | 4 | 9-19 | 7-14 |
| Jack Collins G | 23 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Cornelius Robinson III F | 23 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Stefanos Spartalis F | 16 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Andrew Ball F | 28 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-3 |
| Corey Miller G | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Dok Muordar C | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Zubayr Griffin G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Anthony Martinez G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jack Leahy G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Quinn Peters F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| O'Marion Harvey F | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Lucas Orchard G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jinup Dobuol, Kavion McClain
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMONM -3.5
ModelMONM -3.4
Model edgeNE +0.1
L MONM covered
Total
Market143.5
Model148.8
Model edgeOver 5.3
W Over
Projected score
NE 72.7 · MONM 76.1
NE 68 · MONM 81
Win probability
MONM 62%
1st half
Spread
MONM -1.9
NE -8.0
Total
69.7
68 points
Projected score
NE 33.9 · MONM 35.8
NE 38 · MONM 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMONM -3.5
no move
CloseMONM -3.5
No change since the open
Total
Open147.5
▼ 4
Close143.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
NE +160 · MONM -192
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MONM -3.5 · unchangedmodel MONM -3.5 matches the line
model MONM -3.5 = line ✓
Opened 147.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 4 downmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 8-2 80% | |
| 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
NE 2–2 MONMSeries tied · 4 games since 2021-22 · NE 2-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024-25 | NE 73 @ MONM 78 | MONM +1.5 | MONM W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | MONM 65 @ NE 77 | NE -3.5 | NE W |
| Jan 8, 2023-24 | NE 62 @ MONM 81 | MONM -2.5 | MONM W |
| Feb 16, 2022-23 | MONM 62 @ NE 77 | NE -5.5 | NE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Northeastern
17 games played
Straight up
6-11
35% wins
Against the spread
9-8
53% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-5
71% overs · avg +10.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | L 75-76 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 7 | @ | W 68-65 | +5.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 11 | @ | W 77-60 | +5.5 | W +22.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 15 | vs | L 74-85 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 134.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 20 | @ | L 57-70 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 22 | vs | W 93-86 | +7.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 28 | @ | L 73-86 | +17.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 3 | @ | L 59-76 | -8.5 | L −25.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | vs | W 73-56 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 20 | @ | L 83-91 | +14.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 22 | @ | L 77-85 | +10.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 29 | @ | L 91-103 | +4.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 194 |
| Dec 31 | @ | W 85-74 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 3 | @ | L 82-97 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 154.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 8 | vs | L 78-87 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 142.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 10 | vs | L 78-87 | +2.5 | L −6.5 | 143.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 15 | vs | W 85-78 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | O 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
BU
L 75-76
−3.5
7
@
COLG
W 68-65
+8.5
11
@
HARV
W 77-60
+22.5
15
vs
UVM
L 74-85
−12.5
20
@
PRIN
L 57-70
−10.5
22
vs
DUQ
W 93-86
+14.5
28
@
WAKE
L 73-86
+4.5
3
@
HC
L 59-76
−25.5
7
vs
CCSU
W 73-56
+15.5
20
@
SYR
L 83-91
+6.5
22
@
URI
L 77-85
+2.5
29
@
ELON
L 91-103
−7.5
31
@
NCAT
W 85-74
+7.5
3
@
CAM
L 82-97
−11.5
8
vs
UNCW
L 78-87
−4.5
10
vs
TOW
L 78-87
−6.5
15
vs
ELON
W 85-78
+10.5
covered 9didn’t cover 8avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
BU
L 75-76
+8.5
7
@
COLG
W 68-65
−14.5
11
@
HARV
W 77-60
−7.5
15
vs
UVM
L 74-85
+24.5
20
@
PRIN
L 57-70
−18.5
22
vs
DUQ
W 93-86
+31.5
28
@
WAKE
L 73-86
+4.5
3
@
HC
L 59-76
−10.5
7
vs
CCSU
W 73-56
−9.5
20
@
SYR
L 83-91
+33.5
22
@
URI
L 77-85
+17.5
29
@
ELON
L 91-103
+40.5
31
@
NCAT
W 85-74
+7.5
3
@
CAM
L 82-97
+24.5
8
vs
UNCW
L 78-87
+22.5
10
vs
TOW
L 78-87
+21.5
15
vs
ELON
W 85-78
+5.5
over 12under 5avg +10.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Monmouth
17 games played
Straight up
7-10
41% wins
Against the spread
8-9
47% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-11
35% overs · avg −2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ | L 60-73 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 13 | @ | L 58-70 | +15.5 | W +3.5 | 135.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 18 | @ | L 73-78 | +21.5 | W +16.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 23 | vs | W 71-70 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 28 | vs | W 80-73 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 136.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 29 | vs | L 79-83 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 30 | @ | W 88-74 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 63-58 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 6 | @ | L 67-79 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 14 | @ | L 65-73 | -2.5 | L −10.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | vs | L 75-85 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 21 | vs | W 76-62 | -9.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 31 | vs | L 65-68 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 3 | @ | W 62-48 | +8.5 | W +22.5 | 136.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 8 | vs | W 81-70 | +2.5 | W +13.5 | 156.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 64-67 | +7.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 15 | vs | L 51-73 | -5.5 | L −27.5 | 127.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
LAS
L 60-73
−8.5
13
@
HALL
L 58-70
+3.5
18
@
SYR
L 73-78
+16.5
23
vs
RMU
W 71-70
−1.5
28
vs
BALL
W 80-73
+4.5
29
vs
LEM
L 79-83
−10.5
30
@
LAF
W 88-74
+12.5
3
vs
PRIN
W 63-58
−0.5
6
@
GT
L 67-79
−1.5
14
@
FAIR
L 65-73
−10.5
17
vs
QUIN
L 75-85
−11.5
21
vs
LEH
W 76-62
+4.5
31
vs
CAM
L 65-68
−4.5
3
@
TOW
W 62-48
+22.5
8
vs
W&M
W 81-70
+13.5
10
@
HOF
L 64-67
+4.5
15
vs
DREX
L 51-73
−27.5
covered 8didn’t cover 9avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@
LAS
L 60-73
−10.5
13
@
HALL
L 58-70
−7.5
18
@
SYR
L 73-78
+5.5
23
vs
RMU
W 71-70
−7.5
28
vs
BALL
W 80-73
+16.5
29
vs
LEM
L 79-83
+16.5
30
@
LAF
W 88-74
+20.5
3
vs
PRIN
W 63-58
−18.5
6
@
GT
L 67-79
+1.5
14
@
FAIR
L 65-73
−5.5
17
vs
QUIN
L 75-85
+14.5
21
vs
LEH
W 76-62
−5.5
31
vs
CAM
L 65-68
−19.5
3
@
TOW
W 62-48
−26.5
8
vs
W&M
W 81-70
−5.5
10
@
HOF
L 64-67
−8.5
15
vs
DREX
L 51-73
−3.5
over 6under 11avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Northeastern
6-11 overall · 2-4 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Elon85–78
- Lvs Towson78–87
- Lvs UNC Wilmington78–87
- L@ Campbell82–97
- W@ NC A&T85–74
4 days since their last game.
Monmouth
7-10 overall · 2-3 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Drexel51–73
- L@ Hofstra64–67
- Wvs William & Mary81–70
- W@ Towson62–48
- Lvs Campbell65–68
4 days since their last game.