Cameron Hall · at VMI · Conference game
Closing line
MER -8.5✓ MER covered by 1.5
MER -8.5✓ MER covered by 1.5Closing total153.5Under by 9.5
| MER | This season | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| 7-7 | Record | 3-11 |
| 12-2 | ATS | 6-8 |
| 7-7 | O/U | 6-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MER 82–73 VMI · ✓ MER (79%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MER | 36 | 41 | 77 |
| VMI | 33 | 34 | 67 |
1st half: MER 36, VMI 33 (MER by 3). The model had MER by 5.5 and a total of 72.3 (actual 69).
Team stats
| MER | VMI | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-63 44% | Field goals | 25-63 40% |
| 3-21 14% | 3-pointers | 14-36 39% |
| 18-24 75% | Free throws | 3-4 75% |
| 50 22 off | Rebounds | 26 11 off |
| 12 | Assists | 14 |
| 7 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 6 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 8 | Fouls | 22 |
| 50 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| MER | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baraka Okojie G | 38 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 2-6 | 1-2 |
| Brady Shoulders G | 36 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 9-17 | 0-2 |
| Armani Mighty C | 34 | 18 | 25 | 2 | 8-10 | 0-0 |
| Zaire Williams G | 29 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 3-12 | 2-8 |
| Kyle Cuffe Jr. G | 22 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-8 | 0-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Connor Serven F | 24 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-2 |
| Tristan Gross G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bendji Pierre F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaydon Cole, Pero Zubac, NJ Nganga, Braeden Carlsen, Alex Koch, Quinton Perkins II, Petras Padegimas, TJ Grant
| VMI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Johnson F | 35 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 6-13 | 3-8 |
| Linus Holmstrom G | 32 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 7-17 | 4-10 |
| AJ Clark G | 29 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Tan Yildizoglu G | 27 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Cal Liston F | 24 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4-5 | 4-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mario Tatum Jr. G | 25 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Kaden Stuckey F | 18 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Walker Andrews G | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
Did not play: Alexander Daushvili, Branford Edmonds III, Jaylen Pazon, Mason Lawson, Mason Hagedorn, Robert Peters, Rickey Bradley Jr.
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMER -8.5
ModelMER -9.1
Model edgeMER +0.6
W MER covered
Total
Market153.5
Model154.4
Model edgeOver 0.9
L Under
Projected score
MER 81.8 · VMI 72.7
MER 77 · VMI 67
Win probability
MER 79%
1st half
Spread
MER -5.5
MER -3.0
Total
72.3
69 points
Projected score
MER 38.9 · VMI 33.4
MER 36 · VMI 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMER -9.5
1 → VMI
CloseMER -8.5
1 pt toward VMI
Total
Open157.5
▼ 4
Close153.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
MER -470 · VMI +360
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MER -9.5 · closed MER -8.5 · moved 1 toward VMImodel MER -9
model MER -9
Opened 157.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 4 downmodel 154.5
model 154.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MER | 5-5 50% | 9-1 90% | 4-6 40% |
| VMI | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
MER 6–2 VMIMER leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · MER 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | VMI 80 @ MER 71 | MER -7.5 | VMI W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | MER 70 @ VMI 67 | VMI +5.5 | VMI W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | VMI 69 @ MER 90 | MER -11.5 | MER W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | MER 86 @ VMI 64 | VMI +5.5 | MER W |
| Feb 4, 2022-23 | VMI 54 @ MER 80 | MER -8.5 | MER W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Mercer
14 games played
Straight up
7-7
50% wins
Against the spread
12-2
86% covers · avg +4.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-7
50% overs · avg +4.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TENN | L 61-76 | +28.5 | W +13.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 9 | vs LIP | W 92-77 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 15 | @ WIN | L 69-105 | +2.5 | L −33.5 | 162.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 22 | @ EKU | W 95-83 | +4.5 | W +16.5 | 163.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 26 | vs APP | W 75-67 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | @ ELON | W 91-84 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 2 | vs GAST | W 78-67 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | @ CLEM | L 63-70 | +22.5 | W +15.5 | 152.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 17 | @ UCF | L 63-81 | +16.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 20 | @ WSU | L 78-84 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 31 | @ FUR | L 72-74 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 3 | @ ETSU | L 71-77 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 7 | vs CIT | W 101-63 | -16.5 | W +21.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 10 | vs WOF | W 109-97 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | O 206 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TENN
TENNL 61-76
+13.5
9
vsLIP
LIPW 92-77
+11.5
15
@WIN
WINL 69-105
−33.5
22
@EKU
EKUW 95-83
+16.5
26
vsAPP
APPW 75-67
+1.5
29
@ELON
ELONW 91-84
+9.5
2
vsGAST
GASTW 78-67
+0.5
13
@CLEM
CLEML 63-70
+15.5
17
@UCF
UCFL 63-81
−1.5
20
@WSU
WSUL 78-84
+1.5
31
@FUR
FURL 72-74
+0.5
3
@ETSU
ETSUL 71-77
+1.5
7
vsCIT
CITW 101-63
+21.5
10
vsWOF
WOFW 109-97
+8.5
covered 12didn’t cover 2avg +4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TENN
TENNL 61-76
−6.5
9
vsLIP
LIPW 92-77
+11.5
15
@WIN
WINL 69-105
+11.5
22
@EKU
EKUW 95-83
+14.5
26
vsAPP
APPW 75-67
−0.5
29
@ELON
ELONW 91-84
+15.5
2
vsGAST
GASTW 78-67
−10.5
13
@CLEM
CLEML 63-70
−19.5
17
@UCF
UCFL 63-81
−16.5
20
@WSU
WSUL 78-84
+10.5
31
@FUR
FURL 72-74
−8.5
3
@ETSU
ETSUL 71-77
−0.5
7
vsCIT
CITW 101-63
+16.5
10
vsWOF
WOFW 109-97
+49.5
over 7under 7avg +4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
VMI
14 games played
Straight up
3-11
21% wins
Against the spread
6-8
43% covers · avg −4.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-8
43% overs · avg −3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ USI | W 78-74 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 9 | @ MIZ | L 68-106 | +23.5 | L −14.5 | 161.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 15 | vs JAX | L 67-69 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 19 | @ RICH | L 54-87 | +14.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 22 | @ STET | L 80-99 | -2.5 | L −21.5 | 148.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 24 | vs BUF | L 70-78 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 26 | vs BGSU | L 48-81 | +11.5 | L −21.5 | 148.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 29 | @UCF | L 57-82 | +25.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | vs L-MD | W 86-70 | +2.5 | W +18.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 21 | @ RAD | L 90-97 | +11.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | O 187 |
| Jan 1 | vs SAM | L 58-78 | +6.5 | L −13.5 | 154.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 3 | vs UTC | W 79-71 | +6.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 7 | @ETSU | L 67-81 | +16.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 10 | @FUR | L 48-69 | +12.5 | L −8.5 | 149.5 | U 117 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@USI
USIW 78-74
+1.5
9
@MIZ
MIZL 68-106
−14.5
15
vsJAX
JAXL 67-69
−0.5
19
@RICH
RICHL 54-87
−18.5
22
@STET
STETL 80-99
−21.5
24
vsBUF
BUFL 70-78
−2.5
26
vsBGSU
BGSUL 48-81
−21.5
29
@UCF
UCFL 57-82
+0.5
9
vsL-MD
L-MDW 86-70
+18.5
21
@RAD
RADL 90-97
+4.5
1
vsSAM
SAML 58-78
−13.5
3
vsUTC
UTCW 79-71
+14.5
7
@ETSU
ETSUL 67-81
+2.5
10
@FUR
FURL 48-69
−8.5
covered 6didn’t cover 8avg −4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@USI
USIW 78-74
−1.5
9
@MIZ
MIZL 68-106
+12.5
15
vsJAX
JAXL 67-69
−15.5
19
@RICH
RICHL 54-87
−11.5
22
@STET
STETL 80-99
+30.5
24
vsBUF
BUFL 70-78
−2.5
26
vsBGSU
BGSUL 48-81
−19.5
29
@UCF
UCFL 57-82
−20.5
9
vsL-MD
L-MDW 86-70
+4.5
21
@RAD
RADL 90-97
+28.5
1
vsSAM
SAML 58-78
−18.5
3
vsUTC
UTCW 79-71
+0.5
7
@ETSU
ETSUL 67-81
+1.5
10
@FUR
FURL 48-69
−32.5
over 6under 8avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Mercer
7-7 overall · 2-2 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Wofford109–97
- Wvs The Citadel101–63
- L@ ETSU71–77
- L@ Furman72–74
- L@ Washington St78–84
5 days since their last game.
VMI
3-11 overall · 1-3 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Furman48–69
- L@ ETSU67–81
- Wvs Chattanooga79–71
- Lvs Samford58–78
- L@ Radford90–97
5 days since their last game.