Mott Athletics Center · at Cal Poly · Conference game
Closing line
CP -5.5✓ CP covered by 4.5
CP -5.5✓ CP covered by 4.5Closing total162.5Over by 31.5
 LBSU | This season | CP |
|---|---|---|
| 6-20 | Record | 10-16 |
| 15-11 | ATS | 14-12 |
| 17-9 | O/U | 15-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LBSU 79–84 CP · ✓ CP (65%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LBSU | 40 | 52 | 92 |
| CP | 48 | 54 | 102 |
1st half: LBSU 40, CP 48 (CP by 8). The model had CP by 2.5 and a total of 76.1 (actual 88).
Team stats
| LBSU | CP | |
|---|---|---|
| 34-73 47% | Field goals | 34-73 47% |
| 9-27 33% | 3-pointers | 13-37 35% |
| 15-17 88% | Free throws | 21-22 95% |
| 38 9 off | Rebounds | 42 11 off |
| 16 | Assists | 14 |
| 5 | Steals | 5 |
| 5 | Blocks | 2 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 20 | Fouls | 15 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 27 |
Players
| LBSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaquil Bender G | 32 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 7-13 | 2-7 |
| Petar Majstorovic F | 30 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 7-13 | 0-3 |
| Gavin Sykes G | 29 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 9-22 | 5-11 |
| Cole Farrell G | 21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Shay Johnson Jr. F | 18 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Leopold Levillain F | 22 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Rob Diaz III G | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| Isaiah Lewis G | 15 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Dallas Washington F | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Christian Jones G | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Immanuel Lewis, JJ Chaikovsky, Grant Gondrezick II, Derrick Michael Xzavierro, Jayden Alexander
| CP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cayden Ward G | 30 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 11-18 | 2-8 |
| Hamad Mousa G | 28 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 8-14 | 4-7 |
| Austin Goode F | 28 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3-9 | 1-4 |
| Peter Bandelj G | 27 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Guzman Vasilic G | 21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jess Esso Essis G | 20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 5-11 | 3-7 |
| Troy Plumtree F | 17 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Jake Davis G | 13 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Jackson Mosley PG | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Ali Assran F | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kieran Elliott, Eric Brown, Jason Scott, Braden Freeman, Aaron Price Jr., Luka Tarlac
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCP -5.5
ModelCP -4.5
Model edgeLBSU +1.0
L CP covered
Total
Market162.5
Model162.8
Model edgeOver 0.3
W Over
Projected score
LBSU 79.2 · CP 83.7
LBSU 92 · CP 102
Win probability
CP 65%
1st half
Spread
CP -2.5
CP -8.0
Total
76.1
88 points
Projected score
LBSU 36.8 · CP 39.3
LBSU 40 · CP 48
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCP -5.5
no move
CloseCP -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open160.5
▲ 2
Close162.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
LBSU +200 · CP -245
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CP -5.5 · unchangedmodel CP -4.5
model CP -4.5
Opened 160.5 · closed 162.5 · moved 2 upmodel 163
model 163
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LBSU | 1-9 10% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| CP | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
LBSU 6–3 CPLBSU leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · LBSU 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025-26 | CP 66 @ LBSU 74 | LBSU -2.5 | LBSU W |
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | CP 83 @ LBSU 69 | LBSU +3.5 | CP W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | LBSU 69 @ CP 78 | CP -6.5 | CP W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | CP 68 @ LBSU 77 | LBSU -14.5 | CP W |
| Jan 4, 2023-24 | LBSU 89 @ CP 82 | CP +8.5 | CP W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Long Beach St
26 games played
Straight up
6-20
23% wins
Against the spread
15-11
58% covers · avg −0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-9
65% overs · avg +3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ SDSU | L 45-77 | +25.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 8 | @ FRES | L 62-82 | +6.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 12 | @ PAC | L 66-69 | +12.5 | W +9.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 16 | vs ILST | L 80-82 | +8.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 21 | vs MTST | L 72-78 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 140.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 26 | @ PORT | L 73-93 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 30 | vs USD | W 76-72 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 4 | @ UCSB | L 77-84 | +13.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 6 | vs UCSD | L 74-80 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 9 | @ SJSU | L 83-89 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 18 | vs PEPP | W 81-78 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 21 | @ ISU | L 60-91 | +37.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 3 | vsCP | W 74-66 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 8 | @ UCI | L 64-74 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 10 | vs CSUB | W 81-75 | -6.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 15 | vs UCR | W 88-73 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 17 | @ CSUN | W 87-80 | +7.5 | W +14.5 | 158.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 22 | @ CSUF | L 61-71 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 160.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 24 | vsUCSB | L 71-74 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 29 | @UCR | L 61-71 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 31 | vs HAW | L 82-89 | +8.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 5 | @UCSD | L 74-77 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 12 | vsCSUF | L 82-86 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 156.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 14 | @ UCD | L 54-71 | +4.5 | L −12.5 | 149.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 19 | vsUCI | L 58-69 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 21 | vsCSUN | L 76-78 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 157.5 | U 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@SDSU
SDSUL 45-77
−6.5
8
@FRES
FRESL 62-82
−13.5
12
@PAC
PACL 66-69
+9.5
16
vsILST
ILSTL 80-82
+6.5
21
vsMTST
MTSTL 72-78
−2.5
26
@PORT
PORTL 73-93
−14.5
30
vsUSD
USDW 76-72
+6.5
4
@UCSB
UCSBL 77-84
+6.5
6
vsUCSD
UCSDL 74-80
+2.5
9
@SJSU
SJSUL 83-89
+1.5
18
vsPEPP
PEPPW 81-78
−1.5
21
@ISU
ISUL 60-91
+6.5
3
vsCP
CPW 74-66
+5.5
8
@UCI
UCIL 64-74
+0.5
10
vsCSUB
CSUBW 81-75
−0.5
15
vsUCR
UCRW 88-73
+9.5
17
@CSUN
CSUNW 87-80
+14.5
22
@CSUF
CSUFL 61-71
−6.5
24
vsUCSB
UCSBL 71-74
+1.5
29
@UCR
UCRL 61-71
−11.5
31
vsHAW
HAWL 82-89
+1.5
5
@UCSD
UCSDL 74-77
+7.5
12
vsCSUF
CSUFL 82-86
−6.5
14
@UCD
UCDL 54-71
−12.5
19
vsUCI
UCIL 58-69
−5.5
21
vsCSUN
CSUNL 76-78
+0.5
covered 15didn’t cover 11avg −0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@SDSU
SDSUL 45-77
−13.5
8
@FRES
FRESL 62-82
+1.5
12
@PAC
PACL 66-69
−6.5
16
vsILST
ILSTL 80-82
+20.5
21
vsMTST
MTSTL 72-78
+9.5
26
@PORT
PORTL 73-93
+17.5
30
vsUSD
USDW 76-72
+0.5
4
@UCSB
UCSBL 77-84
+19.5
6
vsUCSD
UCSDL 74-80
+8.5
9
@SJSU
SJSUL 83-89
+30.5
18
vsPEPP
PEPPW 81-78
+17.5
21
@ISU
ISUL 60-91
+1.5
3
vsCP
CPW 74-66
−22.5
8
@UCI
UCIL 64-74
−4.5
10
vsCSUB
CSUBW 81-75
+13.5
15
vsUCR
UCRW 88-73
+19.5
17
@CSUN
CSUNW 87-80
+8.5
22
@CSUF
CSUFL 61-71
−28.5
24
vsUCSB
UCSBL 71-74
+0.5
29
@UCR
UCRL 61-71
−12.5
31
vsHAW
HAWL 82-89
+26.5
5
@UCSD
UCSDL 74-77
+6.5
12
vsCSUF
CSUFL 82-86
+11.5
14
@UCD
UCDL 54-71
−24.5
19
vsUCI
UCIL 58-69
−17.5
21
vsCSUN
CSUNL 76-78
−3.5
over 17under 9avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Cal Poly
26 games played
Straight up
10-16
38% wins
Against the spread
14-12
54% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-11
58% overs · avg −0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ USC | L 64-94 | +24.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 8 | @ SEA | W 73-71 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 164.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 12 | @ CSU | L 79-93 | +18.5 | W +4.5 | 165.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 14 | @ MONT | L 82-90 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 20 | @ UTAH | W 92-85 | +14.5 | W +21.5 | 167.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 24 | @ NAU | L 87-93 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 25 | vs SEMO | L 68-84 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 170.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 4 | @CSUF | W 94-91 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 177.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 6 | vsUCR | L 84-88 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 16 | vsMTST | L 80-83 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 19 | @ UCLA | L 87-108 | +24.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 21 | vs IDHO | L 80-83 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 167.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 1 | vsUCSD | W 67-65 | +8.5 | W +10.5 | 174.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 3 | @LBSU | L 66-74 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 8 | @CSUN | L 90-95 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 175.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 10 | vsUCD | W 84-78 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 168.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 15 | vsHAW | L 66-86 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 22 | @UCSB | L 67-107 | +8.5 | L −31.5 | 159.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 24 | vsCSUF | L 78-93 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 173.5 | U 171 |
| Jan 29 | @CSUB | W 104-79 | -1.5 | W +23.5 | 161.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 31 | @UCR | W 94-87 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 162.5 | O 181 |
| Feb 5 | vsCSUN | L 96-97 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 177.5 | O 193 |
| Feb 7 | @UCD | L 58-67 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 169.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 12 | vsUCI | W 79-73 | +5.5 | W +11.5 | 161.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 14 | vsUCSB | W 89-79 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 159.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 19 | @HAW | W 86-75 | +11.5 | W +22.5 | 160.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@USC
USCL 64-94
−5.5
8
@SEA
SEAW 73-71
+12.5
12
@CSU
CSUL 79-93
+4.5
14
@MONT
MONTL 82-90
−0.5
20
@UTAH
UTAHW 92-85
+21.5
24
@NAU
NAUL 87-93
−7.5
25
vsSEMO
SEMOL 68-84
−14.5
4
@CSUF
CSUFW 94-91
+4.5
6
vsUCR
UCRL 84-88
−9.5
16
vsMTST
MTSTL 80-83
−0.5
19
@UCLA
UCLAL 87-108
+3.5
21
vsIDHO
IDHOL 80-83
−1.5
1
vsUCSD
UCSDW 67-65
+10.5
3
@LBSU
LBSUL 66-74
−5.5
8
@CSUN
CSUNL 90-95
+1.5
10
vsUCD
UCDW 84-78
+7.5
15
vsHAW
HAWL 66-86
−14.5
22
@UCSB
UCSBL 67-107
−31.5
24
vsCSUF
CSUFL 78-93
−13.5
29
@CSUB
CSUBW 104-79
+23.5
31
@UCR
UCRW 94-87
+8.5
5
vsCSUN
CSUNL 96-97
+1.5
7
@UCD
UCDL 58-67
−3.5
12
vsUCI
UCIW 79-73
+11.5
14
vsUCSB
UCSBW 89-79
+13.5
19
@HAW
HAWW 86-75
+22.5
covered 14didn’t cover 12avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@USC
USCL 64-94
−5.5
8
@SEA
SEAW 73-71
−20.5
12
@CSU
CSUL 79-93
+6.5
14
@MONT
MONTL 82-90
+3.5
20
@UTAH
UTAHW 92-85
+9.5
24
@NAU
NAUL 87-93
+15.5
25
vsSEMO
SEMOL 68-84
−18.5
4
@CSUF
CSUFW 94-91
+7.5
6
vsUCR
UCRL 84-88
+9.5
16
vsMTST
MTSTL 80-83
+3.5
19
@UCLA
UCLAL 87-108
+33.5
21
vsIDHO
IDHOL 80-83
−4.5
1
vsUCSD
UCSDW 67-65
−42.5
3
@LBSU
LBSUL 66-74
−22.5
8
@CSUN
CSUNL 90-95
+9.5
10
vsUCD
UCDW 84-78
−6.5
15
vsHAW
HAWL 66-86
−8.5
22
@UCSB
UCSBL 67-107
+14.5
24
vsCSUF
CSUFL 78-93
−2.5
29
@CSUB
CSUBW 104-79
+21.5
31
@UCR
UCRW 94-87
+18.5
5
vsCSUN
CSUNL 96-97
+15.5
7
@UCD
UCDL 58-67
−44.5
12
vsUCI
UCIW 79-73
−9.5
14
vsUCSB
UCSBW 89-79
+8.5
19
@HAW
HAWW 86-75
+0.5
over 15under 11avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Long Beach St
6-20 overall · 4-12 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs CSU Northridge76–78
- Lvs UC Irvine58–69
- L@ UC Davis54–71
- Lvs Fullerton82–86
- L@ UC San Diego74–77
5 days since their last game.
Cal Poly
10-16 overall · 8-8 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Hawai'i86–75
- Wvs Santa Barbara89–79
- Wvs UC Irvine79–73
- L@ UC Davis58–67
- Lvs CSU Northridge96–97
A week or more of rest.