Mott Athletics Center · at Cal Poly · Conference game
Closing line
CSUF -1.5✓ CSUF covered by 13.5
CSUF -1.5✓ CSUF covered by 13.5Closing total173.5Under by 2.5
| CSUF | This season | CP |
|---|---|---|
| 7-12 | Record | 5-13 |
| 10-8 | ATS | 8-10 |
| 9-9 | O/U | 10-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CSUF 86–86 CP · ✗ CP (52%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSUF | 46 | 47 | 93 |
| CP | 34 | 44 | 78 |
1st half: CSUF 46, CP 34 (CSUF by 12). The model had CP by 0.2 and a total of 80.4 (actual 80).
Team stats
| CSUF | CP | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-64 47% | Field goals | 27-62 44% |
| 12-32 38% | 3-pointers | 13-37 35% |
| 21-26 81% | Free throws | 11-15 73% |
| 33 13 off | Rebounds | 40 15 off |
| 20 | Assists | 17 |
| 10 | Steals | 3 |
| 4 | Blocks | 1 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 19 |
| 16 | Fouls | 24 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| CSUF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Ward G | 34 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 6-11 | 2-6 |
| Christian Williams G | 29 | 26 | 4 | 2 | 8-16 | 4-10 |
| Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro G | 29 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 3-10 | 1-4 |
| Kendrick De Luna F | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Davis White G | 14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Bryce Cofield G | 28 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Landon Seaman F | 15 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Henderson G | 14 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Bailey Nunn G | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
Did not play: Ben Winker, Matthew Quinlan, Nicholas Khatchikian, Cam Smith, Karan Kolappa, Yesan Warren, KJ Garris Jr., Kidus Tilahun
| CP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamad Mousa G | 35 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 6-13 | 1-6 |
| Cayden Ward G | 33 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 7-14 | 4-8 |
| Peter Bandelj G | 26 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Jake Davis G | 23 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1-7 | 1-6 |
| Kieran Elliott G | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jackson Mosley PG | 25 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 5-12 | 2-5 |
| Jess Esso Essis G | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| Troy Plumtree F | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Ali Assran F | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Luka Tarlac G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Guzman Vasilic, Austin Goode, Aaron Price Jr., Braden Freeman, Jason Scott, Eric Brown
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCSUF -1.5
no move
CloseCSUF -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open166.5
▲ 7
Close173.5
Up 7 since the open
Moneyline
CSUF -125 · CP +105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CSUF -1.5 · unchangedmodel CP -0.5
model CP -0.5
Opened 166.5 · closed 173.5 · moved 7 upmodel 172
model 172
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | CSUF -1.5 | CP -0.6 | CP +2.1 | L CSUF covered |
| Total | 173.5 | 171.9 | Under 1.6 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | CSUF 85.7 · CP 86.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | CP -0.2 | CSUF -12.0 |
| 1H total | 80.4 | 80 |
| 1H projected score | CSUF 40.1 · CP 40.3 | CSUF 46 · CP 34 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSUF | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| CP | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
CSUF 5–3 CPCSUF leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · CP has won the last 3 meetings · CSUF 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025-26 | CP 94 @ CSUF 91 | CSUF -1.5 | CP W |
| Mar 6, 2024-25 | CSUF 61 @ CP 100 | CP -14.5 | CP W |
| Feb 13, 2024-25 | CP 98 @ CSUF 83 | CSUF +5.5 | CP W |
| Feb 22, 2023-24 | CP 50 @ CSUF 68 | CSUF -9.5 | CSUF W |
| Jan 25, 2023-24 | CSUF 54 @ CP 51 | CP +5.5 | CP W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Fullerton
19 games played
Straight up
7-12
37% wins
Against the spread
10-8
56% covers · avg +2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-9
50% overs · avg +2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ WYO | L 82-92 | +15.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 10 | @ CAL | L 65-93 | +22.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 15 | vs PAC | L 73-85 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 21 | @ PORT | L 85-103 | +6.5 | L −11.5 | 164.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 22 | vs STMN | W 88-80 | +11.5 | W +19.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 23 | vs UNCO | L 93-97 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | O 190 |
| Nov 29 | vs PEPP | W 83-69 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 161.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 4 | vsCP | L 91-94 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 177.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 6 | @ HAW | L 59-69 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13 | @ DEN | W 105-86 | +3.5 | W +22.5 | 165.5 | O 191 |
| Dec 21 | @ OKST | L 89-94 | +19.5 | W +14.5 | 176.5 | O 183 |
| Dec 28 | @ SMU | L 63-110 | +21.5 | L −25.5 | 170.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 1 | vs UCSB | W 95-84 | +3.5 | W +14.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 3 | vs UCI | L 64-86 | +3.5 | L −18.5 | 160.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 8 | @ UCSD | W 88-71 | +13.5 | W +30.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 10 | vs CSUN | W 86-79 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 173.5 | U 165 |
| Jan 15 | @ UCD | L 69-74 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 166.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 17 | @ UCR | L 72-81 | -3.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 22 | vs LBSU | W 71-61 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 160.5 | U 132 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@WYO
WYOL 82-92
+5.5
10
@CAL
CALL 65-93
−5.5
15
vsPAC
PACL 73-85
−5.5
21
@PORT
PORTL 85-103
−11.5
22
vsSTMN
STMNW 88-80
+19.5
23
vsUNCO
UNCOL 93-97
+4.5
29
vsPEPP
PEPPW 83-69
+12.5
4
vsCP
CPL 91-94
−4.5
13
@DEN
DENW 105-86
+22.5
21
@OKST
OKSTL 89-94
+14.5
28
@SMU
SMUL 63-110
−25.5
1
vsUCSB
UCSBW 95-84
+14.5
3
vsUCI
UCIL 64-86
−18.5
8
@UCSD
UCSDW 88-71
+30.5
10
vsCSUN
CSUNW 86-79
+5.5
15
@UCD
UCDL 69-74
−1.5
17
@UCR
UCRL 72-81
−12.5
22
vsLBSU
LBSUW 71-61
+6.5
covered 10didn’t cover 8avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@WYO
WYOL 82-92
+19.5
10
@CAL
CALL 65-93
−4.5
15
vsPAC
PACL 73-85
−1.5
21
@PORT
PORTL 85-103
+23.5
22
vsSTMN
STMNW 88-80
+5.5
23
vsUNCO
UNCOL 93-97
+25.5
29
vsPEPP
PEPPW 83-69
−9.5
4
vsCP
CPL 91-94
+7.5
13
@DEN
DENW 105-86
+25.5
21
@OKST
OKSTL 89-94
+6.5
28
@SMU
SMUL 63-110
+2.5
1
vsUCSB
UCSBW 95-84
+23.5
3
vsUCI
UCIL 64-86
−10.5
8
@UCSD
UCSDW 88-71
−7.5
10
vsCSUN
CSUNW 86-79
−8.5
15
@UCD
UCDL 69-74
−23.5
17
@UCR
UCRL 72-81
−4.5
22
vsLBSU
LBSUW 71-61
−28.5
over 9under 9avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Cal Poly
18 games played
Straight up
5-13
28% wins
Against the spread
8-10
44% covers · avg −1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-8
56% overs · avg −0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ USC | L 64-94 | +24.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 8 | @ SEA | W 73-71 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 164.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 12 | @ CSU | L 79-93 | +18.5 | W +4.5 | 165.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 14 | @ MONT | L 82-90 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 20 | @ UTAH | W 92-85 | +14.5 | W +21.5 | 167.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 24 | @ NAU | L 87-93 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 25 | vs SEMO | L 68-84 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 170.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 4 | @CSUF | W 94-91 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 177.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 6 | vsUCR | L 84-88 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 16 | vs MTST | L 80-83 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 19 | @ UCLA | L 87-108 | +24.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 21 | vs IDHO | L 80-83 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 167.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 1 | vsUCSD | W 67-65 | +8.5 | W +10.5 | 174.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 3 | @LBSU | L 66-74 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 8 | @CSUN | L 90-95 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 175.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 10 | vsUCD | W 84-78 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 168.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 15 | vsHAW | L 66-86 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 22 | @UCSB | L 67-107 | +8.5 | L −31.5 | 159.5 | O 174 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@USC
USCL 64-94
−5.5
8
@SEA
SEAW 73-71
+12.5
12
@CSU
CSUL 79-93
+4.5
14
@MONT
MONTL 82-90
−0.5
20
@UTAH
UTAHW 92-85
+21.5
24
@NAU
NAUL 87-93
−7.5
25
vsSEMO
SEMOL 68-84
−14.5
4
@CSUF
CSUFW 94-91
+4.5
6
vsUCR
UCRL 84-88
−9.5
16
vsMTST
MTSTL 80-83
−0.5
19
@UCLA
UCLAL 87-108
+3.5
21
vsIDHO
IDHOL 80-83
−1.5
1
vsUCSD
UCSDW 67-65
+10.5
3
@LBSU
LBSUL 66-74
−5.5
8
@CSUN
CSUNL 90-95
+1.5
10
vsUCD
UCDW 84-78
+7.5
15
vsHAW
HAWL 66-86
−14.5
22
@UCSB
UCSBL 67-107
−31.5
covered 8didn’t cover 10avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@USC
USCL 64-94
−5.5
8
@SEA
SEAW 73-71
−20.5
12
@CSU
CSUL 79-93
+6.5
14
@MONT
MONTL 82-90
+3.5
20
@UTAH
UTAHW 92-85
+9.5
24
@NAU
NAUL 87-93
+15.5
25
vsSEMO
SEMOL 68-84
−18.5
4
@CSUF
CSUFW 94-91
+7.5
6
vsUCR
UCRL 84-88
+9.5
16
vsMTST
MTSTL 80-83
+3.5
19
@UCLA
UCLAL 87-108
+33.5
21
vsIDHO
IDHOL 80-83
−4.5
1
vsUCSD
UCSDW 67-65
−42.5
3
@LBSU
LBSUL 66-74
−22.5
8
@CSUN
CSUNL 90-95
+9.5
10
vsUCD
UCDW 84-78
−6.5
15
vsHAW
HAWL 66-86
−8.5
22
@UCSB
UCSBL 67-107
+14.5
over 10under 8avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Fullerton
7-12 overall · 4-5 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Long Beach St71–61
- L@ UC Riverside72–81
- L@ UC Davis69–74
- Wvs CSU Northridge86–79
- W@ UC San Diego88–71
2 days since their last game.
Cal Poly
5-13 overall · 3-5 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Santa Barbara67–107
- Lvs Hawai'i66–86
- Wvs UC Davis84–78
- L@ CSU Northridge90–95
- L@ Long Beach St66–74
2 days since their last game.