Stan Sheriff Center · at Hawai'i · Conference game
Closing line
HAW -11.5✓ CP covered by 22.5
HAW -11.5✓ CP covered by 22.5Closing total160.5Over by 0.5
 CP | This season | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| 9-16 | Record | 16-6 |
| 13-12 | ATS | 9-11 |
| 14-11 | O/U | 7-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CP 76–87 HAW · ✗ HAW (84%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CP | 44 | 42 | 86 |
| HAW | 35 | 40 | 75 |
1st half: CP 44, HAW 35 (CP by 9). The model had HAW by 6.7 and a total of 75.9 (actual 79).
Team stats
| CP | HAW | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-62 45% | Field goals | 23-60 38% |
| 8-28 29% | 3-pointers | 3-23 13% |
| 22-27 81% | Free throws | 26-38 68% |
| 34 5 off | Rebounds | 44 13 off |
| 9 | Assists | 2 |
| 9 | Steals | 4 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 28 | Fouls | 24 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 23 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| CP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamad Mousa G | 36 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 5-17 | 2-7 |
| Peter Bandelj G | 34 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 3-6 | 0-3 |
| Cayden Ward G | 32 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 8-12 | 1-5 |
| Austin Goode F | 25 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3-8 | 2-4 |
| Guzman Vasilic G | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jake Davis G | 21 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Troy Plumtree F | 17 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Ali Assran F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jackson Mosley PG | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Eric Brown, Kieran Elliott, Jason Scott, Jess Esso Essis, Braden Freeman, Aaron Price Jr., Luka Tarlac
| HAW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Erickson G | 37 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
| Dre Bullock G | 31 | 22 | 9 | 0 | 8-19 | 2-8 |
| Isaac Finlinson F | 28 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 4-10 | 0-4 |
| Isaac Johnson C | 19 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-2 |
| Harry Rouhliadeff F | 17 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Gytis Nemeiksa F | 29 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-3 |
| Isaiah Kerr G | 16 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Yacine Toumi F | 15 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| AJ Economou G | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Tanner Cuff, Aaron Hunkin-Claytor, Jalen Myers, Hunter Carter
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketHAW -11.5
ModelHAW -11.4
Model edgeCP +0.1
W CP covered
Total
Market160.5
Model162.3
Model edgeOver 1.8
W Over
Projected score
CP 75.5 · HAW 86.9
CP 86 · HAW 75
Win probability
HAW 84%
1st half
Spread
HAW -6.7
CP -9.0
Total
75.9
79 points
Projected score
CP 34.6 · HAW 41.3
CP 44 · HAW 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHAW -12.5
1 → CP
CloseHAW -11.5
1 pt toward CP
Total
Open160.5
no move
Close160.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
CP +550 · HAW -800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HAW -12.5 · closed HAW -11.5 · moved 1 toward CPmodel HAW -11.5 matches the line
model HAW -11.5 = line ✓
Opened 160.5 · unchangedmodel 162.5
model 162.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CP | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| HAW | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
CP 1–8 HAWHAW leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · CP 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2025-26 | HAW 86 @ CP 66 | CP +5.5 | HAW W |
| Feb 6, 2024-25 | HAW 63 @ CP 79 | CP +1.5 | CP W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | CP 55 @ HAW 68 | HAW -5.5 | HAW W |
| Feb 15, 2023-24 | HAW 80 @ CP 51 | CP +8.5 | HAW W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | CP 73 @ HAW 83 | HAW -15.5 | CP W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Cal Poly
25 games played
Straight up
9-16
36% wins
Against the spread
13-12
52% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-11
56% overs · avg −0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ USC | L 64-94 | +24.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 8 | @ SEA | W 73-71 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 164.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 12 | @ CSU | L 79-93 | +18.5 | W +4.5 | 165.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 14 | @ MONT | L 82-90 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 20 | @ UTAH | W 92-85 | +14.5 | W +21.5 | 167.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 24 | @ NAU | L 87-93 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 25 | vs SEMO | L 68-84 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 170.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 4 | @ CSUF | W 94-91 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 177.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 6 | vs UCR | L 84-88 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 16 | vs MTST | L 80-83 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 19 | @ UCLA | L 87-108 | +24.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 21 | vs IDHO | L 80-83 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 167.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 1 | vs UCSD | W 67-65 | +8.5 | W +10.5 | 174.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 3 | @ LBSU | L 66-74 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 8 | @ CSUN | L 90-95 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 175.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 10 | vs UCD | W 84-78 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 168.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 15 | vsHAW | L 66-86 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 22 | @ UCSB | L 67-107 | +8.5 | L −31.5 | 159.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 24 | vsCSUF | L 78-93 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 173.5 | U 171 |
| Jan 29 | @ CSUB | W 104-79 | -1.5 | W +23.5 | 161.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 31 | @UCR | W 94-87 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 162.5 | O 181 |
| Feb 5 | vsCSUN | L 96-97 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 177.5 | O 193 |
| Feb 7 | @UCD | L 58-67 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 169.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 12 | vs UCI | W 79-73 | +5.5 | W +11.5 | 161.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 14 | vsUCSB | W 89-79 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 159.5 | O 168 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@USC
USCL 64-94
−5.5
8
@SEA
SEAW 73-71
+12.5
12
@CSU
CSUL 79-93
+4.5
14
@MONT
MONTL 82-90
−0.5
20
@UTAH
UTAHW 92-85
+21.5
24
@NAU
NAUL 87-93
−7.5
25
vsSEMO
SEMOL 68-84
−14.5
4
@CSUF
CSUFW 94-91
+4.5
6
vsUCR
UCRL 84-88
−9.5
16
vsMTST
MTSTL 80-83
−0.5
19
@UCLA
UCLAL 87-108
+3.5
21
vsIDHO
IDHOL 80-83
−1.5
1
vsUCSD
UCSDW 67-65
+10.5
3
@LBSU
LBSUL 66-74
−5.5
8
@CSUN
CSUNL 90-95
+1.5
10
vsUCD
UCDW 84-78
+7.5
15
vsHAW
HAWL 66-86
−14.5
22
@UCSB
UCSBL 67-107
−31.5
24
vsCSUF
CSUFL 78-93
−13.5
29
@CSUB
CSUBW 104-79
+23.5
31
@UCR
UCRW 94-87
+8.5
5
vsCSUN
CSUNL 96-97
+1.5
7
@UCD
UCDL 58-67
−3.5
12
vsUCI
UCIW 79-73
+11.5
14
vsUCSB
UCSBW 89-79
+13.5
covered 13didn’t cover 12avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@USC
USCL 64-94
−5.5
8
@SEA
SEAW 73-71
−20.5
12
@CSU
CSUL 79-93
+6.5
14
@MONT
MONTL 82-90
+3.5
20
@UTAH
UTAHW 92-85
+9.5
24
@NAU
NAUL 87-93
+15.5
25
vsSEMO
SEMOL 68-84
−18.5
4
@CSUF
CSUFW 94-91
+7.5
6
vsUCR
UCRL 84-88
+9.5
16
vsMTST
MTSTL 80-83
+3.5
19
@UCLA
UCLAL 87-108
+33.5
21
vsIDHO
IDHOL 80-83
−4.5
1
vsUCSD
UCSDW 67-65
−42.5
3
@LBSU
LBSUL 66-74
−22.5
8
@CSUN
CSUNL 90-95
+9.5
10
vsUCD
UCDW 84-78
−6.5
15
vsHAW
HAWL 66-86
−8.5
22
@UCSB
UCSBL 67-107
+14.5
24
vsCSUF
CSUFL 78-93
−2.5
29
@CSUB
CSUBW 104-79
+21.5
31
@UCR
UCRW 94-87
+18.5
5
vsCSUN
CSUNL 96-97
+15.5
7
@UCD
UCDL 58-67
−44.5
12
vsUCI
UCIW 79-73
−9.5
14
vsUCSB
UCSBW 89-79
+8.5
over 14under 11avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Hawai'i
22 games played
Straight up
16-6
73% wins
Against the spread
9-11
45% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-13
35% overs · avg −0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ ORE | L 59-60 | +11.5 | W +10.5 | 144.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 10 | vs ETAM | W 100-74 | -18.5 | W +7.5 | 145.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 12 | vs MVSU | W 88-56 | -41.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 14 | vs MAN | W 86-56 | -15.5 | W +14.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 15 | vs UTU | W 68-62 | -16.5 | L −10.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 20 | vs ASU | L 76-83 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 28 | vs UND | W 92-55 | -18.5 | W +18.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 4 | vsUCD | W 75-69 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 6 | vsCSUF | W 69-59 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13 | vs UTEP | W 66-61 | -12.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 1 | @UCR | W 88-45 | -8.5 | W +34.5 | 149.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 3 | @UCSD | L 73-83 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 10 | vsUCI | W 67-66 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 15 | @CP | W 86-66 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 17 | @UCSB | L 62-77 | -2.5 | L −17.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 22 | vsCSUB | W 98-71 | -17.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 24 | vsCSUN | W 89-68 | -10.5 | W +10.5 | 158.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 29 | @UCI | L 76-87 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 31 | @LBSU | W 89-82 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 7 | vsUCSD | W 72-67 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 12 | @CSUB | W 89-74 | -13.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 14 | @CSUN | L 60-84 | -2.5 | L −26.5 | 162.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@ORE
OREL 59-60
+10.5
10
vsETAM
ETAMW 100-74
+7.5
12
vsMVSU
MVSUW 88-56
−9.5
14
vsMAN
MANW 86-56
+14.5
15
vsUTU
UTUW 68-62
−10.5
20
vsASU
ASUL 76-83
−8.5
28
vsUND
UNDW 92-55
+18.5
13
vsUTEP
UTEPW 66-61
−7.5
1
@UCR
UCRW 88-45
+34.5
3
@UCSD
UCSDL 73-83
−7.5
10
vsUCI
UCIW 67-66
−3.5
15
@CP
CPW 86-66
+14.5
17
@UCSB
UCSBL 62-77
−17.5
22
vsCSUB
CSUBW 98-71
+9.5
24
vsCSUN
CSUNW 89-68
+10.5
29
@UCI
UCIL 76-87
−9.5
31
@LBSU
LBSUW 89-82
−1.5
7
vsUCSD
UCSDW 72-67
−1.5
12
@CSUB
CSUBW 89-74
+1.5
14
@CSUN
CSUNL 60-84
−26.5
covered 9didn’t cover 11avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@ORE
OREL 59-60
−25.5
10
vsETAM
ETAMW 100-74
+28.5
12
vsMVSU
MVSUW 88-56
−7.5
14
vsMAN
MANW 86-56
−14.5
15
vsUTU
UTUW 68-62
−19.5
20
vsASU
ASUL 76-83
+15.5
28
vsUND
UNDW 92-55
−2.5
13
vsUTEP
UTEPW 66-61
−11.5
1
@UCR
UCRW 88-45
−16.5
3
@UCSD
UCSDL 73-83
+7.5
10
vsUCI
UCIW 67-66
−7.5
15
@CP
CPW 86-66
−8.5
17
@UCSB
UCSBL 62-77
−4.5
22
vsCSUB
CSUBW 98-71
+24.5
24
vsCSUN
CSUNW 89-68
−1.5
29
@UCI
UCIL 76-87
+18.5
31
@LBSU
LBSUW 89-82
+26.5
7
vsUCSD
UCSDW 72-67
−10.5
12
@CSUB
CSUBW 89-74
+11.5
14
@CSUN
CSUNL 60-84
−18.5
over 7under 13avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Cal Poly
9-16 overall · 7-8 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Santa Barbara89–79
- Wvs UC Irvine79–73
- L@ UC Davis58–67
- Lvs CSU Northridge96–97
- W@ UC Riverside94–87
5 days since their last game.
Hawai'i
16-6 overall · 10-4 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ CSU Northridge60–84
- W@ Bakersfield89–74
- Wvs UC San Diego72–67
- W@ Long Beach St89–82
- L@ UC Irvine76–87
5 days since their last game.