Icardo Center · at Bakersfield · Conference game
Closing line
UCD -5.5✓ UCD covered by 2.5
UCD -5.5✓ UCD covered by 2.5Closing total152.5Under by 0.5
| UCD | This season | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| 10-9 | Record | 6-14 |
| 9-9 | ATS | 8-12 |
| 11-7 | O/U | 9-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCD 79–75 CSUB · ✓ UCD (67%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCD | 36 | 44 | 80 |
| CSUB | 35 | 37 | 72 |
1st half: UCD 36, CSUB 35 (UCD by 1). The model had UCD by 3.1 and a total of 72.0 (actual 71).
Team stats
| UCD | CSUB | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-54 44% | Field goals | 26-54 48% |
| 7-22 32% | 3-pointers | 6-16 38% |
| 25-31 81% | Free throws | 14-20 70% |
| 31 10 off | Rebounds | 30 8 off |
| 11 | Assists | 13 |
| 9 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 18 | Fouls | 24 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 18 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| UCD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carl Daughtery Jr. G | 36 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 5-12 | 2-4 |
| Connor Sevilla G | 35 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 5-9 | 3-6 |
| Niko Rocak F | 29 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Marcus Wilson G | 25 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Jalen Stokes G | 24 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brayden Fagbemi G | 18 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Nils Cooper G | 13 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Isaiah Chappell F | 11 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Omer Suljanovic F | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Chase Rawlins, Cyril Franklin Jr., Ylan Esso-Essis, Jonathan Noudjihidi, Abdullah Amzil
| CSUB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ George G | 33 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 3-7 | 0-3 |
| Pierre Geneste Jr. C | 30 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Mike Price G | 30 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 9-14 | 4-6 |
| Dailin Smith G | 29 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 5-11 | 1-4 |
| Ronald Jessamy F | 24 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kadar Waller G | 28 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Tom Mark F | 14 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bentley Waller G | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Colin Darby, CJ Hardy, Caleb McCarty, Dylan Purnell, TJ James Jr., Jaden Alexander
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCD -5.5
no move
CloseUCD -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open156.5
▼ 4
Close152.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
UCD -250 · CSUB +205
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCD -5.5 · unchangedmodel UCD -5
model UCD -5
Opened 156.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 4 downmodel 154
model 154
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UCD -5.5 | UCD -4.9 | CSUB +0.6 | L UCD covered |
| Total | 152.5 | 153.9 | Over 1.4 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | UCD 79.4 · CSUB 74.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UCD -3.1 | UCD -1.0 |
| 1H total | 72.0 | 71 |
| 1H projected score | UCD 37.6 · CSUB 34.5 | UCD 36 · CSUB 35 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCD | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| CSUB | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
UCD 4–4 CSUBSeries tied · 8 games since 2021-22 · CSUB has won the last 4 meetings · UCD 2-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025-26 | CSUB 81 @ UCD 79 | UCD -9.5 | CSUB W |
| Feb 20, 2024-25 | CSUB 71 @ UCD 66 | UCD -3.5 | CSUB W |
| Jan 2, 2024-25 | UCD 64 @ CSUB 75 | CSUB -1.5 | CSUB W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | UCD 56 @ CSUB 75 | CSUB +2.5 | CSUB W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | CSUB 71 @ UCD 78 | UCD -10.5 | CSUB W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UC Davis
19 games played
Straight up
10-9
53% wins
Against the spread
9-9
50% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-7
61% overs · avg +4.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs NDSU | W 80-68 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 9 | @ PORT | L 63-67 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | vs SAC | W 77-73 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 18 | @ NEV | W 75-71 | +12.5 | W +16.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 21 | @ COLO | L 79-95 | +14.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 24 | vs UL | W 77-56 | -9.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 4 | @ HAW | L 69-75 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13 | @ ORE | L 62-104 | +13.5 | L −28.5 | 146.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 17 | vs SEA | L 78-79 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 21 | @ IDST | W 93-83 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 143.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 1 | vs CSUN | W 89-80 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 3 | vsCSUB | L 79-81 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 8 | @ UCSB | W 93-86 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 10 | @ CP | L 78-84 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 168.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 15 | vs CSUF | W 74-69 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 166.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 17 | vs UCI | W 75-72 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 22 | vs UCSD | L 74-80 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 24 | vs UCR | W 74-66 | -9.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 29 | @CSUN | L 78-94 | +3.5 | L −12.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsNDSU
NDSUW 80-68
+10.5
9
@PORT
PORTL 63-67
−2.5
14
vsSAC
SACW 77-73
−0.5
18
@NEV
NEVW 75-71
+16.5
21
@COLO
COLOL 79-95
−1.5
24
vsUL
ULW 77-56
+11.5
13
@ORE
OREL 62-104
−28.5
17
vsSEA
SEAL 78-79
+1.5
21
@IDST
IDSTW 93-83
+15.5
1
vsCSUN
CSUNW 89-80
+5.5
3
vsCSUB
CSUBL 79-81
−11.5
8
@UCSB
UCSBW 93-86
+11.5
10
@CP
CPL 78-84
−7.5
15
vsCSUF
CSUFW 74-69
+1.5
17
vsUCI
UCIW 75-72
+6.5
22
vsUCSD
UCSDL 74-80
−4.5
24
vsUCR
UCRW 74-66
−1.5
29
@CSUN
CSUNL 78-94
−12.5
covered 9didn’t cover 9avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsNDSU
NDSUW 80-68
+5.5
9
@PORT
PORTL 63-67
−21.5
14
vsSAC
SACW 77-73
−1.5
18
@NEV
NEVW 75-71
+2.5
21
@COLO
COLOL 79-95
+21.5
24
vsUL
ULW 77-56
−3.5
13
@ORE
OREL 62-104
+19.5
17
vsSEA
SEAL 78-79
+13.5
21
@IDST
IDSTW 93-83
+32.5
1
vsCSUN
CSUNW 89-80
+6.5
3
vsCSUB
CSUBL 79-81
+8.5
8
@UCSB
UCSBW 93-86
+31.5
10
@CP
CPL 78-84
−6.5
15
vsCSUF
CSUFW 74-69
−23.5
17
vsUCI
UCIW 75-72
−1.5
22
vsUCSD
UCSDL 74-80
+1.5
24
vsUCR
UCRW 74-66
−9.5
29
@CSUN
CSUNL 78-94
+8.5
over 11under 7avg +4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Bakersfield
20 games played
Straight up
6-14
30% wins
Against the spread
8-12
40% covers · avg −3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-11
45% overs · avg +4.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CAL | L 60-87 | +15.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 11 | vs WIU | W 74-58 | -7.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 14 | @ MISS | L 60-82 | +23.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 17 | @ PRST | L 80-93 | +8.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 22 | vs MVSU | W 86-70 | -21.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 25 | @ FSU | L 59-89 | +26.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 30 | vs FRES | W 76-71 | +10.5 | W +15.5 | 150.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 4 | @CSUN | L 66-87 | +5.5 | L −15.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 6 | @UCSB | L 84-109 | +12.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 11 | vsNDSU | L 69-80 | +7.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | vs PEPP | L 62-70 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 147.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 23 | vs IDHO | W 64-63 | +7.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 1 | vsUCI | L 77-81 | +11.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 3 | @UCD | W 81-79 | +9.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 8 | vsUCR | W 67-66 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 10 | @ LBSU | L 75-81 | +6.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 15 | vsUCSB | L 69-75 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vsUCSD | L 62-83 | +8.5 | L −12.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 22 | @HAW | L 71-98 | +17.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 29 | vsCP | L 79-104 | +1.5 | L −23.5 | 161.5 | O 183 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CAL
CALL 60-87
−11.5
11
vsWIU
WIUW 74-58
+8.5
14
@MISS
MISSL 60-82
+1.5
17
@PRST
PRSTL 80-93
−4.5
22
vsMVSU
MVSUW 86-70
−5.5
25
@FSU
FSUL 59-89
−3.5
30
vsFRES
FRESW 76-71
+15.5
4
@CSUN
CSUNL 66-87
−15.5
6
@UCSB
UCSBL 84-109
−12.5
11
vsNDSU
NDSUL 69-80
−3.5
13
vsPEPP
PEPPL 62-70
−9.5
23
vsIDHO
IDHOW 64-63
+8.5
1
vsUCI
UCIL 77-81
+7.5
3
@UCD
UCDW 81-79
+11.5
8
vsUCR
UCRW 67-66
−2.5
10
@LBSU
LBSUL 75-81
+0.5
15
vsUCSB
UCSBL 69-75
+1.5
17
vsUCSD
UCSDL 62-83
−12.5
22
@HAW
HAWL 71-98
−9.5
29
vsCP
CPL 79-104
−23.5
covered 8didn’t cover 12avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CAL
CALL 60-87
−0.5
11
vsWIU
WIUW 74-58
−9.5
14
@MISS
MISSL 60-82
+1.5
17
@PRST
PRSTL 80-93
+31.5
22
vsMVSU
MVSUW 86-70
+17.5
25
@FSU
FSUL 59-89
−11.5
30
vsFRES
FRESW 76-71
−3.5
4
@CSUN
CSUNL 66-87
−2.5
6
@UCSB
UCSBL 84-109
+47.5
11
vsNDSU
NDSUL 69-80
−0.5
13
vsPEPP
PEPPL 62-70
−15.5
23
vsIDHO
IDHOW 64-63
−23.5
1
vsUCI
UCIL 77-81
+14.5
3
@UCD
UCDW 81-79
+8.5
8
vsUCR
UCRW 67-66
−14.5
10
@LBSU
LBSUL 75-81
+13.5
15
vsUCSB
UCSBL 69-75
−0.5
17
vsUCSD
UCSDL 62-83
−2.5
22
@HAW
HAWL 71-98
+24.5
29
vsCP
CPL 79-104
+21.5
over 9under 11avg +4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UC Davis
10-9 overall · 5-5 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ CSU Northridge78–94
- Wvs UC Riverside74–66
- Lvs UC San Diego74–80
- Wvs UC Irvine75–72
- Wvs Fullerton74–69
2 days since their last game.
Bakersfield
6-14 overall · 2-8 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Cal Poly79–104
- L@ Hawai'i71–98
- Lvs UC San Diego62–83
- Lvs Santa Barbara69–75
- L@ Long Beach St75–81
2 days since their last game.