Premier America Credit Union Arena · at CSU Northridge · Conference game
Closing line
CSUN -3.5✓ CSUN covered by 12.5
CSUN -3.5✓ CSUN covered by 12.5Closing total163.5Over by 8.5
 UCD | This season | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| 10-8 | Record | 9-10 |
| 9-8 | ATS | 8-11 |
| 10-7 | O/U | 12-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCD 80–81 CSUN · ✓ CSUN (54%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCD | 48 | 30 | 78 |
| CSUN | 44 | 50 | 94 |
1st half: UCD 48, CSUN 44 (UCD by 4). The model had CSUN by 0.6 and a total of 75.5 (actual 92).
Team stats
| UCD | CSUN | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-63 41% | Field goals | 36-68 53% |
| 10-26 38% | 3-pointers | 10-29 34% |
| 16-25 64% | Free throws | 12-23 52% |
| 39 10 off | Rebounds | 43 10 off |
| 18 | Assists | 30 |
| 7 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 19 | Fouls | 22 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 52 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 26 |
Players
| UCD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Wilson G | 29 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 4-9 | 2-4 |
| Isaiah Chappell F | 28 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 4-11 | 2-6 |
| Nils Cooper G | 27 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 4-11 | 0-3 |
| Connor Sevilla G | 26 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 4-7 | 2-3 |
| Niko Rocak F | 17 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Carl Daughtery Jr. G | 20 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2-7 | 2-6 |
| Brayden Fagbemi G | 20 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Stokes G | 13 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Omer Suljanovic F | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Chase Rawlins G | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Cyril Franklin Jr. G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Abdullah Amzil F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ylan Esso-Essis, Jonathan Noudjihidi
| CSUN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua O'Garro G | 34 | 21 | 10 | 8 | 9-15 | 2-4 |
| Larry Hughes II G | 33 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 6-10 | 4-7 |
| James Evans Jr. G | 30 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 4-10 | 3-6 |
| Mahmoud Fofana F | 26 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 8-10 | 0-0 |
| Josiah Davis G | 25 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Brinson G | 21 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Grady Lewis F | 14 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Davius Loury F | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-6 |
| Jai Chisolm G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Robert Thibiant G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Greg Gazarian G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jalen Barbee, Joseph Barrio, Quinton Webb, Max Rehl, Omer Dahan, Aleks Szymczyk
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCSUN -3.5
ModelCSUN -1.2
Model edgeUCD +2.3
L CSUN covered
Total
Market163.5
Model161.4
Model edgeUnder 2.1
L Over
Projected score
UCD 80.1 · CSUN 81.3
UCD 78 · CSUN 94
Win probability
CSUN 54%
1st half
Spread
CSUN -0.6
UCD -4.0
Total
75.5
92 points
Projected score
UCD 37.5 · CSUN 38
UCD 48 · CSUN 44
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCSUN -1.5
2 → CSUN
CloseCSUN -3.5
2 pts toward CSUN
Total
Open164.5
▼ 1
Close163.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
UCD +136 · CSUN -162
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CSUN -1.5 · closed CSUN -3.5 · moved 2 toward CSUNmodel CSUN -1
model CSUN -1
Opened 164.5 · closed 163.5 · moved 1 downmodel 161.5
model 161.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCD | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| CSUN | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
UCD 7–2 CSUNUCD leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · UCD 6-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2025-26 | CSUN 80 @ UCD 89 | UCD -3.5 | UCD W |
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | CSUN 65 @ UCD 62 | UCD +3.5 | UCD W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | UCD 61 @ CSUN 73 | CSUN -8.5 | CSUN W |
| Feb 22, 2023-24 | UCD 66 @ CSUN 65 | CSUN +1.5 | CSUN W |
| Jan 11, 2023-24 | CSUN 75 @ UCD 95 | UCD -4.5 | UCD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UC Davis
18 games played
Straight up
10-8
56% wins
Against the spread
9-8
53% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-7
59% overs · avg +4.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs NDSU | W 80-68 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 9 | @ PORT | L 63-67 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | vs SAC | W 77-73 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 18 | @ NEV | W 75-71 | +12.5 | W +16.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 21 | @ COLO | L 79-95 | +14.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 24 | vs UL | W 77-56 | -9.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 4 | @ HAW | L 69-75 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13 | @ ORE | L 62-104 | +13.5 | L −28.5 | 146.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 17 | vs SEA | L 78-79 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 21 | @ IDST | W 93-83 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 143.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 1 | vsCSUN | W 89-80 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 3 | vs CSUB | L 79-81 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 8 | @ UCSB | W 93-86 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 10 | @ CP | L 78-84 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 168.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 15 | vs CSUF | W 74-69 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 166.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 17 | vs UCI | W 75-72 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 22 | vs UCSD | L 74-80 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 24 | vs UCR | W 74-66 | -9.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsNDSU
NDSUW 80-68
+10.5
9
@PORT
PORTL 63-67
−2.5
14
vsSAC
SACW 77-73
−0.5
18
@NEV
NEVW 75-71
+16.5
21
@COLO
COLOL 79-95
−1.5
24
vsUL
ULW 77-56
+11.5
13
@ORE
OREL 62-104
−28.5
17
vsSEA
SEAL 78-79
+1.5
21
@IDST
IDSTW 93-83
+15.5
1
vsCSUN
CSUNW 89-80
+5.5
3
vsCSUB
CSUBL 79-81
−11.5
8
@UCSB
UCSBW 93-86
+11.5
10
@CP
CPL 78-84
−7.5
15
vsCSUF
CSUFW 74-69
+1.5
17
vsUCI
UCIW 75-72
+6.5
22
vsUCSD
UCSDL 74-80
−4.5
24
vsUCR
UCRW 74-66
−1.5
covered 9didn’t cover 8avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsNDSU
NDSUW 80-68
+5.5
9
@PORT
PORTL 63-67
−21.5
14
vsSAC
SACW 77-73
−1.5
18
@NEV
NEVW 75-71
+2.5
21
@COLO
COLOL 79-95
+21.5
24
vsUL
ULW 77-56
−3.5
13
@ORE
OREL 62-104
+19.5
17
vsSEA
SEAL 78-79
+13.5
21
@IDST
IDSTW 93-83
+32.5
1
vsCSUN
CSUNW 89-80
+6.5
3
vsCSUB
CSUBL 79-81
+8.5
8
@UCSB
UCSBW 93-86
+31.5
10
@CP
CPL 78-84
−6.5
15
vsCSUF
CSUFW 74-69
−23.5
17
vsUCI
UCIW 75-72
−1.5
22
vsUCSD
UCSDL 74-80
+1.5
24
vsUCR
UCRW 74-66
−9.5
over 10under 7avg +4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
CSU Northridge
19 games played
Straight up
9-10
47% wins
Against the spread
8-11
42% covers · avg −2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-7
63% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ UNI | L 57-86 | +9.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 9 | @ UND | W 93-85 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 11 | @NDSU | L 68-90 | +4.5 | L −17.5 | 156.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 16 | vs TROY | W 94-85 | +4.5 | W +13.5 | 157.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 26 | vs IDHO | L 64-78 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 28 | vsIDST | L 50-82 | +1.5 | L −30.5 | 148.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 4 | vsCSUB | W 87-66 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 6 | @UCI | L 71-85 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 10 | vs FRES | W 89-87 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 161.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 13 | @ DEL | W 88-66 | +1.5 | W +23.5 | 144.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 22 | vsSAC | W 100-88 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 164.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 27 | @ STAN | L 80-88 | +15.5 | W +7.5 | 160.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 1 | @UCD | L 80-89 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 3 | vsUCSB | W 74-65 | -2.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 8 | vsCP | W 95-90 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 175.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 10 | @CSUF | L 79-86 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 173.5 | U 165 |
| Jan 15 | @UCSD | W 84-79 | +7.5 | W +12.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 17 | vs LBSU | L 80-87 | -7.5 | L −14.5 | 158.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 24 | @HAW | L 68-89 | +10.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | U 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@UNI
UNIL 57-86
−19.5
9
@UND
UNDW 93-85
+1.5
11
@NDSU
NDSUL 68-90
−17.5
16
vsTROY
TROYW 94-85
+13.5
26
vsIDHO
IDHOL 64-78
−12.5
28
vsIDST
IDSTL 50-82
−30.5
4
vsCSUB
CSUBW 87-66
+15.5
6
@UCI
UCIL 71-85
−6.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 89-87
−1.5
13
@DEL
DELW 88-66
+23.5
22
vsSAC
SACW 100-88
+3.5
27
@STAN
STANL 80-88
+7.5
1
@UCD
UCDL 80-89
−5.5
3
vsUCSB
UCSBW 74-65
+6.5
8
vsCP
CPW 95-90
−1.5
10
@CSUF
CSUFL 79-86
−5.5
15
@UCSD
UCSDW 84-79
+12.5
17
vsLBSU
LBSUL 80-87
−14.5
24
@HAW
HAWL 68-89
−10.5
covered 8didn’t cover 11avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@UNI
UNIL 57-86
−10.5
9
@UND
UNDW 93-85
+19.5
11
@NDSU
NDSUL 68-90
+1.5
16
vsTROY
TROYW 94-85
+21.5
26
vsIDHO
IDHOL 64-78
−17.5
28
vsIDST
IDSTL 50-82
−16.5
4
vsCSUB
CSUBW 87-66
−2.5
6
@UCI
UCIL 71-85
+3.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 89-87
+14.5
13
@DEL
DELW 88-66
+9.5
22
vsSAC
SACW 100-88
+23.5
27
@STAN
STANL 80-88
+7.5
1
@UCD
UCDL 80-89
+6.5
3
vsUCSB
UCSBW 74-65
−17.5
8
vsCP
CPW 95-90
+9.5
10
@CSUF
CSUFL 79-86
−8.5
15
@UCSD
UCSDW 84-79
+3.5
17
vsLBSU
LBSUL 80-87
+8.5
24
@HAW
HAWL 68-89
−1.5
over 12under 7avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UC Davis
10-8 overall · 5-4 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UC Riverside74–66
- Lvs UC San Diego74–80
- Wvs UC Irvine75–72
- Wvs Fullerton74–69
- L@ Cal Poly78–84
5 days since their last game.
CSU Northridge
9-10 overall · 4-5 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Hawai'i68–89
- Lvs Long Beach St80–87
- W@ UC San Diego84–79
- L@ Fullerton79–86
- Wvs Cal Poly95–90
5 days since their last game.