Bren Events Center · at UC Irvine · Conference game
Closing line
UCI -9.5✓ UCI covered by 12.5
UCI -9.5✓ UCI covered by 12.5Closing total160.5Over by 31.5
 CP | This season | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| 11-17 | Record | 18-10 |
| 15-13 | ATS | 14-14 |
| 16-12 | O/U | 9-19 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CP 73–83 UCI · ✓ UCI (80%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CP | 42 | 43 | 85 |
| UCI | 52 | 55 | 107 |
1st half: CP 42, UCI 52 (UCI by 10). The model had UCI by 5.5 and a total of 72.9 (actual 94).
Team stats
| CP | UCI | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-75 39% | Field goals | 40-71 56% |
| 10-34 29% | 3-pointers | 6-19 32% |
| 17-21 81% | Free throws | 21-28 75% |
| 43 18 off | Rebounds | 43 11 off |
| 18 | Assists | 23 |
| 3 | Steals | 9 |
| 2 | Blocks | 7 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 5 |
| 22 | Fouls | 18 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 64 |
| 19 | Fast-break points | 19 |
Players
| CP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Bandelj G | 32 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2-8 | 2-6 |
| Hamad Mousa G | 32 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 5-14 | 1-4 |
| Cayden Ward G | 30 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 6-10 | 1-4 |
| Guzman Vasilic G | 25 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3-9 | 3-6 |
| Austin Goode F | 24 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 5-14 | 1-7 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jackson Mosley PG | 15 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Ali Assran F | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Jake Davis G | 13 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Troy Plumtree F | 13 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3-9 | 0-3 |
| Aaron Price Jr. PF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Braden Freeman, Jess Esso Essis, Jason Scott, Kieran Elliott, Eric Brown, Luka Tarlac
| UCI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derin Saran G | 30 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Jurian Dixon G | 29 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 8-16 | 2-6 |
| Kyle Evans F | 29 | 17 | 8 | 0 | 7-11 | 0-0 |
| Tama Isaac G | 25 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Akiva McBirney-Griffin F | 11 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Andre Henry G | 27 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 6-14 | 1-6 |
| Harrison Carrington F | 20 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6-7 | 0-0 |
| Jovan Jester Jr. G | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Elijah Chol F | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Nes Emeneke C | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Ben Egbo G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tishan Ahir G | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Josh Palmer, Luke Isaak, Mason Hodges, Bryce Goldman, Torian Lee, Langston Redfield
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCI -9.5
ModelUCI -9.5
Model edge—
UCI covered
Total
Market160.5
Model156.0
Model edgeUnder 4.5
L Over
Projected score
CP 73.2 · UCI 82.8
CP 85 · UCI 107
Win probability
UCI 80%
1st half
Spread
UCI -5.5
UCI -10.0
Total
72.9
94 points
Projected score
CP 33.7 · UCI 39.2
CP 42 · UCI 52
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCI -8.5
1 → UCI
CloseUCI -9.5
1 pt toward UCI
Total
Open155.5
▲ 5
Close160.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
CP +360 · UCI -470
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCI -8.5 · closed UCI -9.5 · moved 1 toward UCImodel UCI -9.5 matches the line
model UCI -9.5 = line ✓
Opened 155.5 · closed 160.5 · moved 5 upmodel 156
model 156
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CP | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
| UCI | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
CP 2–8 UCIUCI leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · CP 5-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2025-26 | UCI 73 @ CP 79 | CP +5.5 | CP W |
| Mar 14, 2024-25 | CP 78 vs UCI 96 | UCI -10.5 | UCI W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | CP 71 @ UCI 101 | UCI -14.5 | UCI W |
| Jan 2, 2024-25 | UCI 98 @ CP 89 | CP +7.5 | UCI W |
| Mar 7, 2023-24 | CP 68 @ UCI 82 | UCI -23.5 | CP W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Cal Poly
28 games played
Straight up
11-17
39% wins
Against the spread
15-13
54% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-12
57% overs · avg +0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ USC | L 64-94 | +24.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 8 | @ SEA | W 73-71 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 164.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 12 | @ CSU | L 79-93 | +18.5 | W +4.5 | 165.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 14 | @ MONT | L 82-90 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 20 | @ UTAH | W 92-85 | +14.5 | W +21.5 | 167.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 24 | @ NAU | L 87-93 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 25 | vs SEMO | L 68-84 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 170.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 4 | @ CSUF | W 94-91 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 177.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 6 | vs UCR | L 84-88 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 16 | vs MTST | L 80-83 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 19 | @ UCLA | L 87-108 | +24.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 21 | vs IDHO | L 80-83 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 167.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 1 | vs UCSD | W 67-65 | +8.5 | W +10.5 | 174.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 3 | @ LBSU | L 66-74 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 8 | @ CSUN | L 90-95 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 175.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 10 | vs UCD | W 84-78 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 168.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 15 | vs HAW | L 66-86 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 22 | @ UCSB | L 67-107 | +8.5 | L −31.5 | 159.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 24 | vsCSUF | L 78-93 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 173.5 | U 171 |
| Jan 29 | @ CSUB | W 104-79 | -1.5 | W +23.5 | 161.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 31 | @UCR | W 94-87 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 162.5 | O 181 |
| Feb 5 | vsCSUN | L 96-97 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 177.5 | O 193 |
| Feb 7 | @UCD | L 58-67 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 169.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 12 | vsUCI | W 79-73 | +5.5 | W +11.5 | 161.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 14 | vsUCSB | W 89-79 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 159.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 19 | @HAW | W 86-75 | +11.5 | W +22.5 | 160.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 26 | vsLBSU | W 102-92 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | O 194 |
| Feb 28 | @UCSD | L 64-80 | +7.5 | L −8.5 | 164.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@USC
USCL 64-94
−5.5
8
@SEA
SEAW 73-71
+12.5
12
@CSU
CSUL 79-93
+4.5
14
@MONT
MONTL 82-90
−0.5
20
@UTAH
UTAHW 92-85
+21.5
24
@NAU
NAUL 87-93
−7.5
25
vsSEMO
SEMOL 68-84
−14.5
4
@CSUF
CSUFW 94-91
+4.5
6
vsUCR
UCRL 84-88
−9.5
16
vsMTST
MTSTL 80-83
−0.5
19
@UCLA
UCLAL 87-108
+3.5
21
vsIDHO
IDHOL 80-83
−1.5
1
vsUCSD
UCSDW 67-65
+10.5
3
@LBSU
LBSUL 66-74
−5.5
8
@CSUN
CSUNL 90-95
+1.5
10
vsUCD
UCDW 84-78
+7.5
15
vsHAW
HAWL 66-86
−14.5
22
@UCSB
UCSBL 67-107
−31.5
24
vsCSUF
CSUFL 78-93
−13.5
29
@CSUB
CSUBW 104-79
+23.5
31
@UCR
UCRW 94-87
+8.5
5
vsCSUN
CSUNL 96-97
+1.5
7
@UCD
UCDL 58-67
−3.5
12
vsUCI
UCIW 79-73
+11.5
14
vsUCSB
UCSBW 89-79
+13.5
19
@HAW
HAWW 86-75
+22.5
26
vsLBSU
LBSUW 102-92
+4.5
28
@UCSD
UCSDL 64-80
−8.5
covered 15didn’t cover 13avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@USC
USCL 64-94
−5.5
8
@SEA
SEAW 73-71
−20.5
12
@CSU
CSUL 79-93
+6.5
14
@MONT
MONTL 82-90
+3.5
20
@UTAH
UTAHW 92-85
+9.5
24
@NAU
NAUL 87-93
+15.5
25
vsSEMO
SEMOL 68-84
−18.5
4
@CSUF
CSUFW 94-91
+7.5
6
vsUCR
UCRL 84-88
+9.5
16
vsMTST
MTSTL 80-83
+3.5
19
@UCLA
UCLAL 87-108
+33.5
21
vsIDHO
IDHOL 80-83
−4.5
1
vsUCSD
UCSDW 67-65
−42.5
3
@LBSU
LBSUL 66-74
−22.5
8
@CSUN
CSUNL 90-95
+9.5
10
vsUCD
UCDW 84-78
−6.5
15
vsHAW
HAWL 66-86
−8.5
22
@UCSB
UCSBL 67-107
+14.5
24
vsCSUF
CSUFL 78-93
−2.5
29
@CSUB
CSUBW 104-79
+21.5
31
@UCR
UCRW 94-87
+18.5
5
vsCSUN
CSUNL 96-97
+15.5
7
@UCD
UCDL 58-67
−44.5
12
vsUCI
UCIW 79-73
−9.5
14
vsUCSB
UCSBW 89-79
+8.5
19
@HAW
HAWW 86-75
+0.5
26
vsLBSU
LBSUW 102-92
+31.5
28
@UCSD
UCSDL 64-80
−20.5
over 16under 12avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
UC Irvine
28 games played
Straight up
18-10
64% wins
Against the spread
14-14
50% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-19
32% overs · avg −5.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs CBU | L 61-69 | -8.5 | L −16.5 | 147.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | vs WEB | W 79-70 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 19 | @ UVU | L 72-79 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 22 | vs UNI | L 69-70 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Nov 25 | vs NMSU | L 45-57 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | U 102 |
| Nov 26 | vs SDST | W 64-52 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 30 | @ SJSU | W 72-63 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 4 | vsUCR | W 73-60 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 6 | vsCSUN | W 85-71 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 19 | vs BEL | L 58-84 | -1.5 | L −27.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 21 | vs NDSU | W 74-73 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 22 | vs NORF | W 89-70 | -11.5 | W +7.5 | 136.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 1 | @CSUB | W 81-77 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 3 | @CSUF | W 86-64 | -3.5 | W +18.5 | 160.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 8 | vsLBSU | W 74-64 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 10 | @HAW | L 66-67 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 17 | @UCD | L 72-75 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 22 | @UCR | W 80-66 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 24 | @UCSD | W 61-59 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 29 | vsHAW | W 87-76 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 5 | vsCSUB | W 78-62 | -16.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 7 | @UCSB | L 79-84 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 12 | @CP | L 73-79 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 161.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 14 | vsCSUF | W 86-65 | -7.5 | W +13.5 | 154.5 | U 151 |
| Feb 19 | @LBSU | W 69-58 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 21 | vsUCSD | L 69-71 | -3.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 26 | @CSUN | W 68-67 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 28 | vsUCSB | W 64-60 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsCBU
CBUL 61-69
−16.5
15
vsWEB
WEBW 79-70
−2.5
19
@UVU
UVUL 72-79
−4.5
22
vsUNI
UNIL 69-70
−3.5
25
vsNMSU
NMSUL 45-57
−14.5
26
vsSDST
SDSTW 64-52
+9.5
30
@SJSU
SJSUW 72-63
+5.5
4
vsUCR
UCRW 73-60
−0.5
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 85-71
+6.5
19
vsBEL
BELL 58-84
−27.5
21
vsNDSU
NDSUW 74-73
+2.5
22
vsNORF
NORFW 89-70
+7.5
1
@CSUB
CSUBW 81-77
−7.5
3
@CSUF
CSUFW 86-64
+18.5
8
vsLBSU
LBSUW 74-64
−0.5
10
@HAW
HAWL 66-67
+3.5
17
@UCD
UCDL 72-75
−6.5
22
@UCR
UCRW 80-66
+5.5
24
@UCSD
UCSDW 61-59
+4.5
29
vsHAW
HAWW 87-76
+9.5
5
vsCSUB
CSUBW 78-62
−0.5
7
@UCSB
UCSBL 79-84
−2.5
12
@CP
CPL 73-79
−11.5
14
vsCSUF
CSUFW 86-65
+13.5
19
@LBSU
LBSUW 69-58
+5.5
21
vsUCSD
UCSDL 69-71
−5.5
26
@CSUN
CSUNW 68-67
+2.5
28
vsUCSB
UCSBW 64-60
+0.5
covered 14didn’t cover 14avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsCBU
CBUL 61-69
−17.5
15
vsWEB
WEBW 79-70
−2.5
19
@UVU
UVUL 72-79
+1.5
22
vsUNI
UNIL 69-70
+0.5
25
vsNMSU
NMSUL 45-57
−37.5
26
vsSDST
SDSTW 64-52
−28.5
30
@SJSU
SJSUW 72-63
−4.5
4
vsUCR
UCRW 73-60
−9.5
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 85-71
+3.5
19
vsBEL
BELL 58-84
−8.5
21
vsNDSU
NDSUW 74-73
+0.5
22
vsNORF
NORFW 89-70
+22.5
1
@CSUB
CSUBW 81-77
+14.5
3
@CSUF
CSUFW 86-64
−10.5
8
vsLBSU
LBSUW 74-64
−4.5
10
@HAW
HAWL 66-67
−7.5
17
@UCD
UCDL 72-75
−1.5
22
@UCR
UCRW 80-66
+3.5
24
@UCSD
UCSDW 61-59
−26.5
29
vsHAW
HAWW 87-76
+18.5
5
vsCSUB
CSUBW 78-62
−4.5
7
@UCSB
UCSBL 79-84
+21.5
12
@CP
CPL 73-79
−9.5
14
vsCSUF
CSUFW 86-65
−3.5
19
@LBSU
LBSUW 69-58
−17.5
21
vsUCSD
UCSDL 69-71
−3.5
26
@CSUN
CSUNW 68-67
−18.5
28
vsUCSB
UCSBW 64-60
−14.5
over 9under 19avg −5.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Cal Poly
11-17 overall · 9-9 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UC San Diego64–80
- Wvs Long Beach St102–92
- W@ Hawai'i86–75
- Wvs Santa Barbara89–79
- Wvs UC Irvine79–73
5 days since their last game.
UC Irvine
18-10 overall · 13-5 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Santa Barbara64–60
- W@ CSU Northridge68–67
- Lvs UC San Diego69–71
- W@ Long Beach St69–58
- Wvs Fullerton86–65
5 days since their last game.