Strahan Arena at the University Events Center · at Texas St · Conference game
Closing line
APP -1.5✓ TXST covered by 4.5
APP -1.5✓ TXST covered by 4.5Closing total135.5Under by 18.5
| APP | This season | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| 17-11 | Record | 16-12 |
| 17-11 | ATS | 13-15 |
| 11-17 | O/U | 15-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: APP 67–67 TXST · ✗ APP (51%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| APP | 33 | 24 | 57 |
| TXST | 34 | 26 | 60 |
1st half: APP 33, TXST 34 (TXST by 1). The model had APP by 0.3 and a total of 62.7 (actual 67).
Team stats
| APP | TXST | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-57 35% | Field goals | 24-51 47% |
| 5-29 17% | 3-pointers | 3-9 33% |
| 12-22 55% | Free throws | 9-15 60% |
| 43 20 off | Rebounds | 28 6 off |
| 7 | Assists | 9 |
| 4 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 14 | Fouls | 19 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| APP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alonzo Dodd G | 38 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6-15 | 1-7 |
| Kasen Jennings G | 37 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 4-13 | 1-5 |
| Jalen Tot G | 36 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 5-15 | 3-12 |
| Luke Wilson C | 34 | 11 | 13 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Michael Marcus Jr. F | 30 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eren Banks G | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Chad Moodie F | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Grant Clayton, Tre McKinnon, Ted Neal, Jacari Brim, KJ Vasser, Andrin Njock, Cameron O'Kelley, Jason Clarke Jr., Luke Ledford
| TXST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyndall Davis G | 38 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| Mark Drone G | 38 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 9-18 | 1-3 |
| DJ Hall F | 35 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 6-16 | 0-2 |
| Tay Knox C | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Kaden Gumbs G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Franck Emmou G | 25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jalen Bolden G | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Makai Willis C | 14 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Robert Fields C | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ky Pernell, Deke Thompson, Dimp Pernell, Cameron Simpson, Jaelyn Lee, Isaiah Barganier
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAPP -1.5
no move
CloseAPP -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open134.5
▲ 1
Close135.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
APP -115 · TXST -105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened APP -1.5 · unchangedmodel APP -0.5
model APP -0.5
Opened 134.5 · closed 135.5 · moved 1 upmodel 133.5
model 133.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | APP -1.5 | APP -0.3 | TXST +1.2 | W TXST covered |
| Total | 135.5 | 133.7 | Under 1.8 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | APP 67 · TXST 66.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | APP -0.3 | TXST -1.0 |
| 1H total | 62.7 | 67 |
| 1H projected score | APP 31.5 · TXST 31.2 | APP 33 · TXST 34 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| APP | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| TXST | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
APP 2–2 TXSTSeries tied · 4 games since 2021-22 · APP 3-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | TXST 61 @ APP 72 | APP -1.5 | APP W |
| Feb 7, 2023-24 | APP 56 @ TXST 63 | TXST +8.5 | TXST W |
| Feb 16, 2022-23 | TXST 75 @ APP 82 | APP -4.5 | APP W |
| Feb 3, 2021-22 | APP 66 @ TXST 68 | TXST -4.5 | APP W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
App State
28 games played
Straight up
17-11
61% wins
Against the spread
17-11
61% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-17
39% overs · avg −1.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CMU | L 66-82 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 9 | vs NCCU | W 76-54 | -10.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | @ OSU | L 53-75 | +23.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 16 | @ DART | W 85-77 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 21 | vs CLT | W 65-63 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 132.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 24 | vs ELON | L 53-88 | -5.5 | L −40.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 26 | @ MER | L 67-75 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 30 | vs UNCA | L 55-67 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 137.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 11 | @ ECU | W 67-54 | +4.5 | W +17.5 | 130.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 14 | vs HPU | W 86-78 | +12.5 | W +20.5 | 144.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 18 | vs CCU | W 67-49 | -4.5 | W +13.5 | 137.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 20 | vs GAST | L 63-70 | -7.5 | L −14.5 | 137.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | @ ODU | W 81-73 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 136.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 3 | @ MRSH | L 81-88 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 8 | @GAST | W 52-50 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | U 102 |
| Jan 10 | @CCU | L 62-67 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 133.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 15 | vs JMU | W 80-65 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 133.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 17 | vsODU | L 73-75 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 140.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 22 | vs UL | W 72-58 | -9.5 | W +4.5 | 124.5 | O 130 |
| Jan 23 | vs ULM | W 59-43 | -16.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 102 |
| Jan 29 | @ USM | W 70-63 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 31 | @ TROY | W 66-44 | +7.5 | W +29.5 | 137.5 | U 110 |
| Feb 4 | vs USA | W 65-57 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 131.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 7 | vs EMU | W 65-60 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 131.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 11 | @ GASO | W 81-65 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 14 | @JMU | L 58-69 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 134.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 19 | vsMRSH | L 93-94 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 187 |
| Feb 21 | vsGASO | W 89-74 | -7.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CMU
CMUL 66-82
−14.5
9
vsNCCU
NCCUW 76-54
+11.5
11
@OSU
OSUL 53-75
+1.5
16
@DART
DARTW 85-77
+6.5
21
vsCLT
CLTW 65-63
+0.5
24
vsELON
ELONL 53-88
−40.5
26
@MER
MERL 67-75
−1.5
30
vsUNCA
UNCAL 55-67
−10.5
11
@ECU
ECUW 67-54
+17.5
14
vsHPU
HPUW 86-78
+20.5
18
vsCCU
CCUW 67-49
+13.5
20
vsGAST
GASTL 63-70
−14.5
31
@ODU
ODUW 81-73
+9.5
3
@MRSH
MRSHL 81-88
+0.5
8
@GAST
GASTW 52-50
+0.5
10
@CCU
CCUL 62-67
−6.5
15
vsJMU
JMUW 80-65
+12.5
17
vsODU
ODUL 73-75
−9.5
22
vsUL
ULW 72-58
+4.5
23
vsULM
ULMW 59-43
−0.5
29
@USM
USMW 70-63
+5.5
31
@TROY
TROYW 66-44
+29.5
4
vsUSA
USAW 65-57
+2.5
7
vsEMU
EMUW 65-60
−2.5
11
@GASO
GASOW 81-65
+14.5
14
@JMU
JMUL 58-69
−12.5
19
vsMRSH
MRSHL 93-94
−4.5
21
vsGASO
GASOW 89-74
+7.5
covered 17didn’t cover 11avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CMU
CMUL 66-82
+5.5
9
vsNCCU
NCCUW 76-54
−6.5
11
@OSU
OSUL 53-75
−19.5
16
@DART
DARTW 85-77
+21.5
21
vsCLT
CLTW 65-63
−4.5
24
vsELON
ELONL 53-88
−2.5
26
@MER
MERL 67-75
−0.5
30
vsUNCA
UNCAL 55-67
−15.5
11
@ECU
ECUW 67-54
−9.5
14
vsHPU
HPUW 86-78
+19.5
18
vsCCU
CCUW 67-49
−21.5
20
vsGAST
GASTL 63-70
−4.5
31
@ODU
ODUW 81-73
+17.5
3
@MRSH
MRSHL 81-88
+27.5
8
@GAST
GASTW 52-50
−38.5
10
@CCU
CCUL 62-67
−4.5
15
vsJMU
JMUW 80-65
+11.5
17
vsODU
ODUL 73-75
+7.5
22
vsUL
ULW 72-58
+5.5
23
vsULM
ULMW 59-43
−42.5
29
@USM
USMW 70-63
−1.5
31
@TROY
TROYW 66-44
−27.5
4
vsUSA
USAW 65-57
−9.5
7
vsEMU
EMUW 65-60
−6.5
11
@GASO
GASOW 81-65
+2.5
14
@JMU
JMUL 58-69
−7.5
19
vsMRSH
MRSHL 93-94
+43.5
21
vsGASO
GASOW 89-74
+15.5
over 11under 17avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Texas St
28 games played
Straight up
16-12
57% wins
Against the spread
13-15
46% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-13
54% overs · avg +2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BGSU | L 48-83 | +5.5 | L −29.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 8 | @ TULN | L 71-79 | +12.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 12 | vs UTSA | W 80-69 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 15 | vs TXSO | W 77-67 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 18 | vs ACU | W 63-49 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 138.5 | U 112 |
| Nov 21 | vs LR | W 65-56 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 131.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 28 | vs SEA | L 52-66 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | U 118 |
| Nov 29 | vs LEH | L 74-78 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 135.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 3 | @ RICE | L 72-77 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 133.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 10 | vs SOU | W 86-83 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 17 | vs ARST | L 70-89 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 20 | vsUSA | W 67-65 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 31 | @TROY | L 80-100 | +8.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | @ULM | W 84-79 | -10.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 8 | @USM | L 70-80 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @ARST | L 82-83 | +11.5 | W +10.5 | 156.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 14 | vsUL | W 59-54 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 133.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 17 | vsUSM | W 74-67 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 22 | @CCU | L 70-72 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 24 | @JMU | L 57-82 | +5.5 | L −19.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 28 | vsMRSH | W 72-68 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 31 | vsODU | W 81-64 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 143.5 | O 145 |
| Feb 4 | @GASO | W 77-71 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 7 | vs WMU | W 77-61 | -6.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 11 | vsTROY | W 74-62 | +5.5 | W +17.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 14 | vsULM | W 95-84 | -14.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 19 | @USA | W 90-82 | +3.5 | W +11.5 | 137.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 21 | @UL | L 54-67 | -3.5 | L −16.5 | 134.5 | U 121 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BGSU
BGSUL 48-83
−29.5
8
@TULN
TULNL 71-79
+4.5
12
vsUTSA
UTSAW 80-69
+8.5
15
vsTXSO
TXSOW 77-67
+5.5
18
vsACU
ACUW 63-49
+12.5
21
vsLR
LRW 65-56
+3.5
28
vsSEA
SEAL 52-66
−6.5
29
vsLEH
LEHL 74-78
−10.5
3
@RICE
RICEL 72-77
−1.5
10
vsSOU
SOUW 86-83
−0.5
17
vsARST
ARSTL 70-89
−14.5
20
vsUSA
USAW 67-65
−1.5
31
@TROY
TROYL 80-100
−11.5
3
@ULM
ULMW 84-79
−5.5
8
@USM
USML 70-80
−7.5
10
@ARST
ARSTL 82-83
+10.5
14
vsUL
ULW 59-54
−3.5
17
vsUSM
USMW 74-67
+4.5
22
@CCU
CCUL 70-72
−0.5
24
@JMU
JMUL 57-82
−19.5
28
vsMRSH
MRSHW 72-68
+7.5
31
vsODU
ODUW 81-64
+14.5
4
@GASO
GASOW 77-71
+10.5
7
vsWMU
WMUW 77-61
+9.5
11
vsTROY
TROYW 74-62
+17.5
14
vsULM
ULMW 95-84
−3.5
19
@USA
USAW 90-82
+11.5
21
@UL
ULL 54-67
−16.5
covered 13didn’t cover 15avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BGSU
BGSUL 48-83
−15.5
8
@TULN
TULNL 71-79
+3.5
12
vsUTSA
UTSAW 80-69
+1.5
15
vsTXSO
TXSOW 77-67
−0.5
18
vsACU
ACUW 63-49
−26.5
21
vsLR
LRW 65-56
−10.5
28
vsSEA
SEAL 52-66
−18.5
29
vsLEH
LEHL 74-78
+16.5
3
@RICE
RICEL 72-77
+15.5
10
vsSOU
SOUW 86-83
+26.5
17
vsARST
ARSTL 70-89
+7.5
20
vsUSA
USAW 67-65
−4.5
31
@TROY
TROYL 80-100
+34.5
3
@ULM
ULMW 84-79
+12.5
8
@USM
USML 70-80
+5.5
10
@ARST
ARSTL 82-83
+8.5
14
vsUL
ULW 59-54
−20.5
17
vsUSM
USMW 74-67
+0.5
22
@CCU
CCUL 70-72
+1.5
24
@JMU
JMUL 57-82
−4.5
28
vsMRSH
MRSHW 72-68
−7.5
31
vsODU
ODUW 81-64
+1.5
4
@GASO
GASOW 77-71
−3.5
7
vsWMU
WMUW 77-61
−8.5
11
vsTROY
TROYW 74-62
−4.5
14
vsULM
ULMW 95-84
+29.5
19
@USA
USAW 90-82
+34.5
21
@UL
ULL 54-67
−13.5
over 15under 13avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
App State
17-11 overall · 11-6 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs GA Southern89–74
- Lvs Marshall93–94
- L@ James Madison58–69
- W@ GA Southern81–65
- Wvs E Michigan65–60
6 days since their last game.
Texas St
16-12 overall · 10-7 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Louisiana54–67
- W@ South Alabama90–82
- Wvs UL Monroe95–84
- Wvs Troy74–62
- Wvs W Michigan77–61
6 days since their last game.