First National Bank Arena · at Arkansas St · Conference game
Closing line
ARST -3.5✓ MRSH covered by 12.5
Closing total165.5Under by 34.5
| This season | ARST | |
|---|---|---|
| 12-8 | Record | 11-9 |
| 7-13 | ATS | 11-9 |
| 10-10 | O/U | 11-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MRSH 80–85 ARST · ✗ ARST (65%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRSH | 41 | 29 | 70 |
| ARST | 38 | 23 | 61 |
1st half: MRSH 41, ARST 38 (MRSH by 3). The model had ARST by 2.6 and a total of 77.0 (actual 79).
Team stats
| MRSH | ARST | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-55 45% | Field goals | 19-58 33% |
| 8-20 40% | 3-pointers | 7-32 22% |
| 12-15 80% | Free throws | 16-25 64% |
| 36 11 off | Rebounds | 38 18 off |
| 17 | Assists | 13 |
| 10 | Steals | 8 |
| 5 | Blocks | 4 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 22 | Fouls | 17 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| MRSH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Speer G | 40 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 0-7 | 0-4 |
| Noah Otshudi G | 31 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 5-12 | 0-0 |
| Matt Van Komen C | 29 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Wyatt Fricks F | 14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Caleb Hollenbeck G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Wilson Dubinsky G | 35 | 23 | 8 | 2 | 7-10 | 6-9 |
| Shamarrie Hugie G | 20 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 6-9 | 1-2 |
| Bryce Slay G | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Landen Joseph G | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Erich Harding F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Drew Fuquay, Kai Spears, Grant Moore, Will Moore, Kaiden White
| ARST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Harmon G | 34 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 3-10 | 2-7 |
| Matt Hayman G | 32 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 6-15 | 4-9 |
| Jalen Hampton G | 26 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Chandler Jackson G | 24 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Aly Tounkara F | 19 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaxon Ellingsworth F | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-5 |
| T.J. Caldwell G | 19 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1-8 | 0-5 |
| Chudi Dioramma F | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Royal Blue Smith G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Joey Chammaa G | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Rho Omed, Fredy-Salam Sylla, Tim Matthews, Weston Honeycutt, CJ Geathers, Grayson Bennett
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenARST -3.5
no move
CloseARST -3.5
No change since the open
Total
Open164.5
▲ 1
Close165.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
MRSH +136 · ARST -162
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ARST -3.5 · unchangedmodel ARST -4.5
model ARST -4.5
Opened 164.5 · closed 165.5 · moved 1 upmodel 164.5
model 164.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ARST -3.5 | ARST -4.5 | ARST +1.0 | L MRSH covered |
| Total | 165.5 | 164.7 | Under 0.8 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | MRSH 80.1 · ARST 84.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ARST -2.6 | MRSH -3.0 |
| 1H total | 77.0 | 79 |
| 1H projected score | MRSH 37.2 · ARST 39.8 | MRSH 41 · ARST 38 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6-4 60% | 2-8 20% | 6-4 60% | |
| 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MRSH 2–1 ARSTMRSH leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · MRSH 2-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | MRSH 74 vs ARST 77 | ARST -8.5 | MRSH W |
| Feb 5, 2024-25 | ARST 72 @ MRSH 77 | MRSH +2.5 | MRSH W |
| Jan 21, 2022-23 | MRSH 87 @ ARST 78 | ARST +10.5 | ARST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Marshall
20 games played
Straight up
12-8
60% wins
Against the spread
7-13
35% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-10
50% overs · avg +1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | W 78-72 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 8 | @ | W 85-73 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 12 | vs | W 96-89 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 15 | @ | L 78-104 | +20.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 20 | vs | W 98-70 | -20.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 23 | vs | W 69-60 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 26 | vs | L 67-90 | -7.5 | L −30.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 3 | @ | L 69-70 | +8.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 6 | @ | L 81-88 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 10 | vs | W 77-61 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 159.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 76-74 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 20 | @ | L 63-70 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | vs | W 84-80 | -13.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | vs | W 88-81 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 7 | @ | W 66-64 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 73-81 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 14 | vs | L 83-85 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 17 | vs | W 77-72 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 22 | vs | W 115-60 | -18.5 | W +36.5 | 160.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 28 | @ | L 68-72 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
MASS
W 78-72
+10.5
8
@
TOL
W 85-73
+14.5
12
vs
ELON
W 96-89
−1.5
15
@
UVA
L 78-104
−5.5
20
vs
UAPB
W 98-70
+7.5
23
vs
MERC
W 69-60
−2.5
26
vs
LIP
L 67-90
−30.5
3
@
UNCW
L 69-70
+7.5
6
@
OHIO
L 81-88
−3.5
10
vs
WKU
W 77-61
+14.5
13
vs
WRST
W 76-74
−1.5
20
@
TROY
L 63-70
−2.5
31
vs
GAST
W 84-80
−9.5
3
vs
APP
W 88-81
−0.5
7
@
JMU
W 66-64
+3.5
10
@
GAST
L 73-81
−12.5
14
vs
CCU
L 83-85
−11.5
17
vs
JMU
W 77-72
−1.5
22
vs
ULM
W 115-60
+36.5
28
@
TXST
L 68-72
−7.5
covered 7didn’t cover 13avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
MASS
W 78-72
−2.5
8
@
TOL
W 85-73
−2.5
12
vs
ELON
W 96-89
+29.5
15
@
UVA
L 78-104
+26.5
20
vs
UAPB
W 98-70
+3.5
23
vs
MERC
W 69-60
−18.5
26
vs
LIP
L 67-90
−0.5
3
@
UNCW
L 69-70
−11.5
6
@
OHIO
L 81-88
+11.5
10
vs
WKU
W 77-61
−21.5
13
vs
WRST
W 76-74
+0.5
20
@
TROY
L 63-70
−22.5
31
vs
GAST
W 84-80
+12.5
3
vs
APP
W 88-81
+27.5
7
@
JMU
W 66-64
−22.5
10
@
GAST
L 73-81
+0.5
14
vs
CCU
L 83-85
+16.5
17
vs
JMU
W 77-72
−0.5
22
vs
ULM
W 115-60
+14.5
28
@
TXST
L 68-72
−7.5
over 10under 10avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Arkansas St
20 games played
Straight up
11-9
55% wins
Against the spread
11-9
55% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-9
55% overs · avg +3.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | W 89-85 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 159.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 7 | @ | L 65-90 | -1.5 | L −26.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 11 | @ | W 86-85 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 19 | @ | L 72-85 | +20.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 21 | @ | L 69-100 | +14.5 | L −16.5 | 172.5 | U 169 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 74-63 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 28 | vs | W 85-80 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 2 | vs | W 83-63 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 151.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | @ | W 90-78 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 13 | @ | L 76-77 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 17 | @ | W 89-70 | -4.5 | W +14.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 20 | @ | W 93-86 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 3 | vs | L 74-78 | -10.5 | L −14.5 | 158.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 7 | vs | W 86-74 | -4.5 | W +7.5 | 160.5 | U 160 |
| Jan 10 | vs | W 83-82 | -11.5 | L −10.5 | 156.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 15 | @ | L 87-91 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 154.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 17 | @ | L 74-99 | +3.5 | L −21.5 | 165.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 22 | @ | W 85-68 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 172.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 24 | @ | L 81-82 | -4.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 28 | vs | L 71-75 | -9.5 | L −13.5 | 159.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
OHIO
W 89-85
+7.5
7
@
SFA
L 65-90
−26.5
11
@
MOST
W 86-85
+2.5
19
@
SMC
L 72-85
+7.5
21
@
SMU
L 69-100
−16.5
24
vs
JXST
W 74-63
+6.5
28
vs
NDSU
W 85-80
+1.5
2
vs
UTA
W 83-63
+14.5
6
@
LR
W 90-78
+2.5
13
@
RICE
L 76-77
−3.5
17
@
TXST
W 89-70
+14.5
20
@
USM
W 93-86
+5.5
3
vs
JMU
L 74-78
−14.5
7
vs
TROY
W 86-74
+7.5
10
vs
TXST
W 83-82
−10.5
15
@
USA
L 87-91
−8.5
17
@
TROY
L 74-99
−21.5
22
@
GASO
W 85-68
+15.5
24
@
GAST
L 81-82
−5.5
28
vs
ODU
L 71-75
−13.5
covered 11didn’t cover 9avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
OHIO
W 89-85
+14.5
7
@
SFA
L 65-90
−0.5
11
@
MOST
W 86-85
+18.5
19
@
SMC
L 72-85
+7.5
21
@
SMU
L 69-100
−3.5
24
vs
JXST
W 74-63
−18.5
28
vs
NDSU
W 85-80
+4.5
2
vs
UTA
W 83-63
−5.5
6
@
LR
W 90-78
+20.5
13
@
RICE
L 76-77
−2.5
17
@
TXST
W 89-70
+7.5
20
@
USM
W 93-86
+23.5
3
vs
JMU
L 74-78
−6.5
7
vs
TROY
W 86-74
−0.5
10
vs
TXST
W 83-82
+8.5
15
@
USA
L 87-91
+23.5
17
@
TROY
L 74-99
+7.5
22
@
GASO
W 85-68
−19.5
24
@
GAST
L 81-82
+5.5
28
vs
ODU
L 71-75
−13.5
over 11under 9avg +3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Marshall
12-8 overall · 5-4 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Texas St68–72
- Wvs UL Monroe115–60
- Wvs James Madison77–72
- Lvs Coastal83–85
- L@ Georgia St73–81
3 days since their last game.
Arkansas St
11-9 overall · 5-5 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Old Dominion71–75
- L@ Georgia St81–82
- W@ GA Southern85–68
- L@ Troy74–99
- L@ South Alabama87–91
3 days since their last game.