Hornet Pavilion · at Sacramento St · Conference game
Closing line
UNCO -6.5✓ SAC covered by 10.5
UNCO -6.5✓ SAC covered by 10.5Closing total163.5Over by 18.5
| UNCO | This season | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| 8-7 | Record | 2-11 |
| 8-7 | ATS | 5-8 |
| 10-5 | O/U | 7-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNCO 84–80 SAC · ✗ UNCO (62%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNCO | 43 | 39 | 7 | 89 |
| SAC | 31 | 51 | 11 | 93 |
1st half: UNCO 43, SAC 31 (UNCO by 12). The model had UNCO by 2.3 and a total of 76.6 (actual 74).
Team stats
| UNCO | SAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 35-68 51% | Field goals | 29-69 42% |
| 8-28 29% | 3-pointers | 10-32 31% |
| 11-13 85% | Free throws | 25-34 74% |
| 39 8 off | Rebounds | 39 13 off |
| 20 | Assists | 17 |
| 5 | Steals | 11 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 25 | Fouls | 17 |
| 52 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 19 |
Players
| UNCO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Denker G | 43 | 29 | 6 | 11 | 11-18 | 0-3 |
| Zach Bloch G | 33 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3-9 | 3-9 |
| Ibu Yamazaki F | 31 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3-10 | 2-8 |
| Egan Shields C | 30 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Brock Wisne F | 26 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 4-8 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ring Nyeri F | 30 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 4-8 | 1-3 |
| Vincent Delano G | 28 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 6-10 | 1-2 |
| Ariik Mawien G | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Hunter Caldwell C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Walker Asp, Chancellor White, Kaden Ericksen, Steven Ramirez Jr., Tanner Braketa, Will Dixion III, William Humer
| SAC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Lavrenov F | 45 | 17 | 17 | 2 | 6-14 | 1-2 |
| Prophet Johnson G | 44 | 30 | 5 | 3 | 9-18 | 2-7 |
| Jahni Summers G | 33 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 6-12 | 3-6 |
| Shaqir O'Neal F | 26 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Taj Glover G | 23 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Arman Madi G | 31 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Jayden Teat G | 14 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2-8 | 2-7 |
| Romari Robinson G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Bear Cherry, Brandon Gardner, Mikey Williams, Davis Ambuehl, Zach Anderson, Isaiah Bronson, Jeremiah Nyarko
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUNCO -6.5
ModelUNCO -3.6
Model edgeSAC +2.9
W SAC covered
Total
Market163.5
Model163.5
Model edge—
Over
Projected score
UNCO 83.5 · SAC 80
UNCO 89 · SAC 93
Win probability
UNCO 62%
1st half
Spread
UNCO -2.3
UNCO -12.0
Total
76.6
74 points
Projected score
UNCO 39.4 · SAC 37.2
UNCO 43 · SAC 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNCO -5.5
1 → UNCO
CloseUNCO -6.5
1 pt toward UNCO
Total
Open161.5
▲ 2
Close163.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
UNCO -298 · SAC +240
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNCO -5.5 · closed UNCO -6.5 · moved 1 toward UNCOmodel UNCO -3.5
model UNCO -3.5
Opened 161.5 · closed 163.5 · moved 2 upmodel 163.5 matches the line
model 163.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNCO | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
| SAC | 1-9 10% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
UNCO 6–2 SACUNCO leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · UNCO has won the last 5 meetings · UNCO 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024-25 | UNCO 77 @ SAC 61 | SAC +7.5 | UNCO W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | SAC 64 @ UNCO 68 | UNCO -15.5 | SAC W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | UNCO 80 @ SAC 75 | SAC +6.5 | SAC W |
| Jan 18, 2023-24 | SAC 75 @ UNCO 77 | UNCO -9.5 | SAC W |
| Feb 11, 2022-23 | SAC 54 @ UNCO 70 | UNCO -5.5 | UNCO W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
N Colorado
15 games played
Straight up
8-7
53% wins
Against the spread
8-7
53% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-5
67% overs · avg +4.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15 | @ PEPP | W 88-81 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 21 | vs STMN | L 72-73 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 22 | @ PORT | W 86-80 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 23 | vs CSUF | W 97-93 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 164.5 | O 190 |
| Nov 26 | @ AF | W 71-53 | -4.5 | W +13.5 | 146.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 3 | @ OMA | W 75-70 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 6 | vs SDAK | W 89-87 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 162.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 16 | @ TTU | L 90-101 | +25.5 | W +14.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Dec 20 | vs DEN | L 79-86 | -8.5 | L −15.5 | 159.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 28 | @ COLO | W 86-81 | +15.5 | W +20.5 | 158.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 1 | @ MTST | L 75-89 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 154.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | @ MONT | L 79-88 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 161.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 8 | vs IDST | W 85-72 | -4.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 10 | vs WEB | L 71-76 | -6.5 | L −11.5 | 162.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 15 | @ PRST | L 73-76 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
15
@PEPP
PEPPW 88-81
+5.5
21
vsSTMN
STMNL 72-73
+3.5
22
@PORT
PORTW 86-80
+2.5
23
vsCSUF
CSUFW 97-93
−4.5
26
@AF
AFW 71-53
+13.5
3
@OMA
OMAW 75-70
+1.5
6
vsSDAK
SDAKW 89-87
−6.5
16
@TTU
TTUL 90-101
+14.5
20
vsDEN
DENL 79-86
−15.5
28
@COLO
COLOW 86-81
+20.5
1
@MTST
MTSTL 75-89
−11.5
3
@MONT
MONTL 79-88
−10.5
8
vsIDST
IDSTW 85-72
+8.5
10
vsWEB
WEBL 71-76
−11.5
15
@PRST
PRSTL 73-76
−0.5
covered 8didn’t cover 7avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
15
@PEPP
PEPPW 88-81
+15.5
21
vsSTMN
STMNL 72-73
−12.5
22
@PORT
PORTW 86-80
+8.5
23
vsCSUF
CSUFW 97-93
+25.5
26
@AF
AFW 71-53
−22.5
3
@OMA
OMAW 75-70
−12.5
6
vsSDAK
SDAKW 89-87
+13.5
16
@TTU
TTUL 90-101
+38.5
20
vsDEN
DENL 79-86
+5.5
28
@COLO
COLOW 86-81
+8.5
1
@MTST
MTSTL 75-89
+9.5
3
@MONT
MONTL 79-88
+5.5
8
vsIDST
IDSTW 85-72
+1.5
10
vsWEB
WEBL 71-76
−15.5
15
@PRST
PRSTL 73-76
−6.5
over 10under 5avg +4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Sacramento St
13 games played
Straight up
2-11
15% wins
Against the spread
5-8
38% covers · avg −1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-6
54% overs · avg +2.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 | vs UCSB | L 87-92 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 14 | @ UCD | L 73-77 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 16 | vs PRES | W 64-62 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 150.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 18 | @ UCLA | L 48-79 | +27.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | @ CAL | L 67-91 | +21.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 29 | @ PAC | L 54-68 | +10.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 2 | @ BAY | L 88-110 | +29.5 | W +7.5 | 158.5 | O 198 |
| Dec 20 | @ CBU | L 67-74 | +14.5 | W +7.5 | 158.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 22 | @ CSUN | L 88-100 | +8.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | O 188 |
| Jan 1 | @IDST | L 84-97 | +8.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 3 | @WEB | L 82-95 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 168.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 10 | @PRST | L 69-96 | +9.5 | L −17.5 | 160.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 15 | vs NAU | W 83-69 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
11
vsUCSB
UCSBL 87-92
+2.5
14
@UCD
UCDL 73-77
+0.5
16
vsPRES
PRESW 64-62
−4.5
18
@UCLA
UCLAL 48-79
−3.5
21
@CAL
CALL 67-91
−2.5
29
@PAC
PACL 54-68
−3.5
2
@BAY
BAYL 88-110
+7.5
20
@CBU
CBUL 67-74
+7.5
22
@CSUN
CSUNL 88-100
−3.5
1
@IDST
IDSTL 84-97
−4.5
3
@WEB
WEBL 82-95
−6.5
10
@PRST
PRSTL 69-96
−17.5
15
vsNAU
NAUW 83-69
+12.5
covered 5didn’t cover 8avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
11
vsUCSB
UCSBL 87-92
+17.5
14
@UCD
UCDL 73-77
−1.5
16
vsPRES
PRESW 64-62
−24.5
18
@UCLA
UCLAL 48-79
−19.5
21
@CAL
CALL 67-91
+3.5
29
@PAC
PACL 54-68
−24.5
2
@BAY
BAYL 88-110
+39.5
20
@CBU
CBUL 67-74
−17.5
22
@CSUN
CSUNL 88-100
+23.5
1
@IDST
IDSTL 84-97
+27.5
3
@WEB
WEBL 82-95
+8.5
10
@PRST
PRSTL 69-96
+4.5
15
vsNAU
NAUW 83-69
−1.5
over 7under 6avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
N Colorado
8-7 overall · 1-4 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Portland St73–76
- Lvs Weber St71–76
- Wvs Idaho St85–72
- L@ Montana79–88
- L@ Montana St75–89
2 days since their last game.
Sacramento St
2-11 overall · 1-3 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs N Arizona83–69
- L@ Portland St69–96
- L@ Weber St82–95
- L@ Idaho St84–97
- L@ CSU Northridge88–100
2 days since their last game.