Stegeman Coliseum · at Georgia · Conference game
Closing line
TENN -1.5✓ UGA covered by 0.5
TENN -1.5✓ UGA covered by 0.5Closing total157.5Over by 13.5
| TENN | This season | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| 13-6 | Record | 16-4 |
| 7-12 | ATS | 9-11 |
| 12-7 | O/U | 10-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TENN 81–82 UGA · ✗ UGA (54%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TENN | 28 | 46 | 12 | 86 |
| UGA | 34 | 40 | 11 | 85 |
1st half: TENN 28, UGA 34 (UGA by 6). The model had UGA by 0.6 and a total of 76.2 (actual 62).
Team stats
| TENN | UGA | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-71 44% | Field goals | 31-61 51% |
| 9-23 39% | 3-pointers | 9-28 32% |
| 15-25 60% | Free throws | 14-20 70% |
| 52 26 off | Rebounds | 27 7 off |
| 17 | Assists | 11 |
| 3 | Steals | 5 |
| 1 | Blocks | 7 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 18 | Fouls | 20 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| TENN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bishop Boswell G | 42 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 3-8 | 2-3 |
| Ja'Kobi Gillespie G | 41 | 21 | 3 | 6 | 7-19 | 4-11 |
| Nate Ament F | 38 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 7-18 | 2-5 |
| Felix Okpara F | 35 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| J.P. Estrella F | 31 | 17 | 9 | 1 | 8-12 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Amari Evans G | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| DeWayne Brown II F | 12 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Carey F | 11 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Amaree Abram G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Gavin Paull, Ethan Burg, Troy Henderson, Campbell Duncan, Clarence Massamba, Grant Hurst, Cade Phillips
| UGA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Cain G | 35 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 4-10 | 1-6 |
| Somto Cyril C | 32 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Kanon Catchings F | 32 | 22 | 7 | 0 | 8-14 | 4-8 |
| Jordan Ross G | 28 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Jeremiah Wilkinson G | 24 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3-10 | 0-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Marcus Millender G | 28 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 8-10 | 1-2 |
| Justin Abson F | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Justin Bailey G | 12 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Kareem Stagg F | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Jake Wilkins F | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Dylan James F | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Markel Jennings, Jackson McVey, Jaden Newell, Brandon Klatsky
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTENN -1.5
ModelUGA -1.3
Model edgeUGA +2.8
W UGA covered
Total
Market157.5
Model162.9
Model edgeOver 5.4
W Over
Projected score
TENN 80.8 · UGA 82.1
TENN 86 · UGA 85
Win probability
UGA 54%
1st half
Spread
UGA -0.6
UGA -6.0
Total
76.2
62 points
Projected score
TENN 37.8 · UGA 38.4
TENN 28 · UGA 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTENN -1.5
no move
CloseTENN -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open157.5
no move
Close157.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
TENN -115 · UGA -105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TENN -1.5 · unchangedmodel UGA -1.5
model UGA -1.5
Opened 157.5 · unchangedmodel 163
model 163
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TENN | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| UGA | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
TENN 4–0 UGATENN leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · TENN has won the last 4 meetings · TENN 2-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2024-25 | UGA 56 @ TENN 74 | TENN -12.5 | TENN W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | TENN 85 @ UGA 79 | UGA +7.5 | UGA W |
| Jan 25, 2022-23 | UGA 41 @ TENN 70 | TENN -16.5 | TENN W |
| Mar 1, 2021-22 | TENN 75 @ UGA 68 | UGA +16 | UGA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Tennessee
19 games played
Straight up
13-6
68% wins
Against the spread
7-12
37% covers · avg −2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-7
63% overs · avg +1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MER | W 76-61 | -28.5 | L −13.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 8 | vs NKU | W 95-56 | -27.5 | W +11.5 | 137.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 12 | vs UNF | W 99-66 | -41.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 17 | vs RICE | W 91-66 | -26.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 20 | vs TNST | W 89-60 | -31.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 24 | vs RUTG | W 85-60 | -14.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 25 | vs HOU | W 76-73 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 26 | vs KU | L 76-81 | -7.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 2 | @ SYR | L 60-62 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 6 | vs ILL | L 62-75 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 149.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 16 | vs LOU | W 83-62 | -4.5 | W +16.5 | 156.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 21 | vs GWEB | W 94-52 | -42.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 30 | vs SCST | W 105-54 | -44.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 3 | @ ARK | L 75-86 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 6 | vs TEX | W 85-71 | -12.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 10 | @ FLA | L 67-91 | +4.5 | L −19.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 13 | vs TA&M | W 87-82 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 159.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 17 | vs UK | L 78-80 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 24 | @ ALA | W 79-73 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 167.5 | U 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMER
MERW 76-61
−13.5
8
vsNKU
NKUW 95-56
+11.5
12
vsUNF
UNFW 99-66
−8.5
17
vsRICE
RICEW 91-66
−1.5
20
vsTNST
TNSTW 89-60
−2.5
24
vsRUTG
RUTGW 85-60
+10.5
25
vsHOU
HOUW 76-73
+5.5
26
vsKU
KUL 76-81
−12.5
2
@SYR
SYRL 60-62
−9.5
6
vsILL
ILLL 62-75
−14.5
16
vsLOU
LOUW 83-62
+16.5
21
vsGWEB
GWEBW 94-52
−0.5
30
vsSCST
SCSTW 105-54
+6.5
3
@ARK
ARKL 75-86
−12.5
6
vsTEX
TEXW 85-71
+1.5
10
@FLA
FLAL 67-91
−19.5
13
vsTA&M
TA&MW 87-82
−6.5
17
vsUK
UKL 78-80
−8.5
24
@ALA
ALAW 79-73
+10.5
covered 7didn’t cover 12avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMER
MERW 76-61
−6.5
8
vsNKU
NKUW 95-56
+13.5
12
vsUNF
UNFW 99-66
+9.5
17
vsRICE
RICEW 91-66
+13.5
20
vsTNST
TNSTW 89-60
−8.5
24
vsRUTG
RUTGW 85-60
+3.5
25
vsHOU
HOUW 76-73
+12.5
26
vsKU
KUL 76-81
+16.5
2
@SYR
SYRL 60-62
−25.5
6
vsILL
ILLL 62-75
−12.5
16
vsLOU
LOUW 83-62
−11.5
21
vsGWEB
GWEBW 94-52
−6.5
30
vsSCST
SCSTW 105-54
+11.5
3
@ARK
ARKL 75-86
+2.5
6
vsTEX
TEXW 85-71
+2.5
10
@FLA
FLAL 67-91
+6.5
13
vsTA&M
TA&MW 87-82
+9.5
17
vsUK
UKL 78-80
+12.5
24
@ALA
ALAW 79-73
−15.5
over 12under 7avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Georgia
20 games played
Straight up
16-4
80% wins
Against the spread
9-11
45% covers · avg +2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-10
50% overs · avg +5.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BELL | W 104-59 | -23.5 | W +21.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 5 | vs UMES | W 94-29 | -33.5 | W +31.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 9 | vs MORE | W 120-81 | -28.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 201 |
| Nov 14 | vs GT | W 92-87 | -15.5 | L −10.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 17 | vs FAMU | W 87-57 | -40.5 | L −10.5 | 170.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 21 | vs XAV | W 78-77 | -10.5 | L −9.5 | 165.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 23 | vs CLEM | L 94-97 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 29 | vs TNTC | W 123-81 | -34.5 | W +7.5 | 160.5 | O 204 |
| Dec 2 | @ FSU | W 107-73 | +1.5 | W +35.5 | 176.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 13 | vs CIN | W 84-65 | -5.5 | W +13.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 18 | vs WCU | W 112-82 | -32.5 | L −2.5 | 167.5 | O 194 |
| Dec 22 | vs WGA | W 103-74 | -36.5 | L −7.5 | 173.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 29 | vs LIU | W 89-74 | -30.5 | L −15.5 | 179.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 3 | vs AUB | W 104-100 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 173.5 | O 204 |
| Jan 6 | @FLA | L 77-92 | +9.5 | L −5.5 | 172.5 | U 169 |
| Jan 10 | @ SC | W 75-70 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 14 | vs MISS | L 95-97 | -10.5 | L −12.5 | 158.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 17 | vsARK | W 90-76 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 181.5 | U 166 |
| Jan 20 | @ MIZ | W 74-72 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 163.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 24 | @TEX | L 67-87 | +3.5 | L −16.5 | 168.5 | U 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBELL
BELLW 104-59
+21.5
5
vsUMES
UMESW 94-29
+31.5
9
vsMORE
MOREW 120-81
+10.5
14
vsGT
GTW 92-87
−10.5
17
vsFAMU
FAMUW 87-57
−10.5
21
vsXAV
XAVW 78-77
−9.5
23
vsCLEM
CLEML 94-97
−1.5
29
vsTNTC
TNTCW 123-81
+7.5
2
@FSU
FSUW 107-73
+35.5
13
vsCIN
CINW 84-65
+13.5
18
vsWCU
WCUW 112-82
−2.5
22
vsWGA
WGAW 103-74
−7.5
29
vsLIU
LIUW 89-74
−15.5
3
vsAUB
AUBW 104-100
−2.5
6
@FLA
FLAL 77-92
−5.5
10
@SC
SCW 75-70
+0.5
14
vsMISS
MISSL 95-97
−12.5
17
vsARK
ARKW 90-76
+11.5
20
@MIZ
MIZW 74-72
+3.5
24
@TEX
TEXL 67-87
−16.5
covered 9didn’t cover 11avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBELL
BELLW 104-59
+12.5
5
vsUMES
UMESW 94-29
−19.5
9
vsMORE
MOREW 120-81
+50.5
14
vsGT
GTW 92-87
+23.5
17
vsFAMU
FAMUW 87-57
−26.5
21
vsXAV
XAVW 78-77
−10.5
23
vsCLEM
CLEML 94-97
+38.5
29
vsTNTC
TNTCW 123-81
+43.5
2
@FSU
FSUW 107-73
+3.5
13
vsCIN
CINW 84-65
−8.5
18
vsWCU
WCUW 112-82
+26.5
22
vsWGA
WGAW 103-74
+3.5
29
vsLIU
LIUW 89-74
−16.5
3
vsAUB
AUBW 104-100
+30.5
6
@FLA
FLAL 77-92
−3.5
10
@SC
SCW 75-70
−18.5
14
vsMISS
MISSL 95-97
+33.5
17
vsARK
ARKW 90-76
−15.5
20
@MIZ
MIZW 74-72
−17.5
24
@TEX
TEXL 67-87
−14.5
over 10under 10avg +5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Tennessee
13-6 overall · 3-3 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Alabama79–73
- Lvs Kentucky78–80
- Wvs Texas A&M87–82
- L@ Florida67–91
- Wvs Texas85–71
4 days since their last game.
Georgia
16-4 overall · 4-3 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Texas67–87
- W@ Missouri74–72
- Wvs Arkansas90–76
- Lvs Ole Miss95–97
- W@ South Carolina75–70
4 days since their last game.