Bud Walton Arena · at Arkansas · Conference game
Closing line
TENN -1.5✓ ARK covered by 12.5
TENN -1.5✓ ARK covered by 12.5Closing total158.5Over by 2.5
| TENN | This season | ARK |
|---|---|---|
| 10-3 | Record | 10-3 |
| 5-8 | ATS | 9-4 |
| 7-6 | O/U | 7-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TENN 79–79 ARK · ✗ ARK (50%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TENN | 36 | 39 | 75 |
| ARK | 37 | 49 | 86 |
1st half: TENN 36, ARK 37 (ARK by 1). The model had TENN by 0.1 and a total of 73.8 (actual 73).
Team stats
| TENN | ARK | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-59 49% | Field goals | 25-59 42% |
| 5-13 38% | 3-pointers | 7-23 30% |
| 12-23 52% | Free throws | 29-33 88% |
| 33 11 off | Rebounds | 36 12 off |
| 13 | Assists | 7 |
| 11 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 10 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 22 | Fouls | 16 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 24 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| TENN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Kobi Gillespie G | 35 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 5-15 | 2-7 |
| Nate Ament F | 32 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 4-9 | 0-1 |
| Felix Okpara F | 31 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bishop Boswell G | 21 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| DeWayne Brown II F | 16 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Amari Evans G | 23 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 7-7 | 1-1 |
| Jaylen Carey F | 16 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-8 | 0-0 |
| Amaree Abram G | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| J.P. Estrella F | 10 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Ethan Burg G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Troy Henderson, Campbell Duncan, Gavin Paull, Clarence Massamba, Cade Phillips, Grant Hurst
| ARK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevon Brazile F | 38 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 3-10 | 0-5 |
| Darius Acuff Jr. G | 36 | 29 | 3 | 4 | 9-16 | 3-7 |
| Karter Knox G | 27 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-5 |
| DJ Wagner G | 14 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Nick Pringle F | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Meleek Thomas G | 30 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 6-13 | 3-4 |
| Malique Ewin F | 27 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Billy Richmond III G | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jaden Karuletwa, Elmir Dzafic, Karim Rtail, Paulo Semedo, Ayden Kelley, Amere Brown, Isaiah Sealy
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenARK -1.5
3 → TENN
CloseTENN -1.5
3 pts toward TENN
Total
Open153.5
▲ 5
Close158.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
TENN -130 · ARK +110
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ARK -1.5 · closed TENN -1.5 · moved 3 toward TENNmodel TENN -0
model TENN -0
Opened 153.5 · closed 158.5 · moved 5 upmodel 157.5
model 157.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | TENN -1.5 | TENN -0.0 | ARK +1.5 | W ARK covered |
| Total | 158.5 | 157.5 | Under 1.0 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | TENN 78.8 · ARK 78.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | TENN -0.1 | ARK -1.0 |
| 1H total | 73.8 | 73 |
| 1H projected score | TENN 37 · ARK 36.8 | TENN 36 · ARK 37 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TENN | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| ARK | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
TENN 4–1 ARKTENN leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · TENN has won the last 4 meetings · TENN 3-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | ARK 52 @ TENN 76 | TENN -12.5 | TENN W |
| Feb 14, 2023-24 | TENN 92 @ ARK 63 | ARK +8.5 | TENN W |
| Feb 28, 2022-23 | ARK 57 @ TENN 75 | TENN -5.5 | TENN W |
| Mar 5, 2021-22 | ARK 74 @ TENN 78 | TENN -6 | ARK W |
| Feb 19, 2021-22 | TENN 48 @ ARK 58 | ARK -2 | ARK W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Tennessee
13 games played
Straight up
10-3
77% wins
Against the spread
5-8
38% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-6
54% overs · avg +0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MER | W 76-61 | -28.5 | L −13.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 8 | vs NKU | W 95-56 | -27.5 | W +11.5 | 137.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 12 | vs UNF | W 99-66 | -41.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 17 | vs RICE | W 91-66 | -26.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 20 | vs TNST | W 89-60 | -31.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 24 | vs RUTG | W 85-60 | -14.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 25 | vs HOU | W 76-73 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 26 | vs KU | L 76-81 | -7.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 2 | @ SYR | L 60-62 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 6 | vs ILL | L 62-75 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 149.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 16 | vs LOU | W 83-62 | -4.5 | W +16.5 | 156.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 21 | vs GWEB | W 94-52 | -42.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 30 | vs SCST | W 105-54 | -44.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMER
MERW 76-61
−13.5
8
vsNKU
NKUW 95-56
+11.5
12
vsUNF
UNFW 99-66
−8.5
17
vsRICE
RICEW 91-66
−1.5
20
vsTNST
TNSTW 89-60
−2.5
24
vsRUTG
RUTGW 85-60
+10.5
25
vsHOU
HOUW 76-73
+5.5
26
vsKU
KUL 76-81
−12.5
2
@SYR
SYRL 60-62
−9.5
6
vsILL
ILLL 62-75
−14.5
16
vsLOU
LOUW 83-62
+16.5
21
vsGWEB
GWEBW 94-52
−0.5
30
vsSCST
SCSTW 105-54
+6.5
covered 5didn’t cover 8avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMER
MERW 76-61
−6.5
8
vsNKU
NKUW 95-56
+13.5
12
vsUNF
UNFW 99-66
+9.5
17
vsRICE
RICEW 91-66
+13.5
20
vsTNST
TNSTW 89-60
−8.5
24
vsRUTG
RUTGW 85-60
+3.5
25
vsHOU
HOUW 76-73
+12.5
26
vsKU
KUL 76-81
+16.5
2
@SYR
SYRL 60-62
−25.5
6
vsILL
ILLL 62-75
−12.5
16
vsLOU
LOUW 83-62
−11.5
21
vsGWEB
GWEBW 94-52
−6.5
30
vsSCST
SCSTW 105-54
+11.5
over 7under 6avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Arkansas
13 games played
Straight up
10-3
77% wins
Against the spread
9-4
69% covers · avg +1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-6
54% overs · avg +6.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SOU | W 109-77 | -26.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 186 |
| Nov 8 | @ MSU | L 66-69 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | vs CARK | W 93-56 | -35.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 14 | vs SAM | W 79-75 | -24.5 | L −20.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 18 | vs WIN | W 84-83 | -23.5 | L −22.5 | 168.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs JKST | W 115-61 | -29.5 | W +24.5 | 159.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 27 | vs DUKE | L 71-80 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 3 | vsLOU | W 89-80 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 166.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 6 | vs FRES | W 82-58 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | vs TTU | W 93-86 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 16 | vs QUC | W 108-80 | -23.5 | W +4.5 | 169.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 20 | vsHOU | L 85-94 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 29 | vs JMU | W 103-74 | -23.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSOU
SOUW 109-77
+5.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-69
−0.5
11
vsCARK
CARKW 93-56
+1.5
14
vsSAM
SAMW 79-75
−20.5
18
vsWIN
WINW 84-83
−22.5
21
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-61
+24.5
27
vsDUKE
DUKEL 71-80
+3.5
3
vsLOU
LOUW 89-80
+10.5
6
vsFRES
FRESW 82-58
+4.5
13
vsTTU
TTUW 93-86
+9.5
16
vsQUC
QUCW 108-80
+4.5
20
vsHOU
HOUL 85-94
−3.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 103-74
+5.5
covered 9didn’t cover 4avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSOU
SOUW 109-77
+35.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-69
−20.5
11
vsCARK
CARKW 93-56
−9.5
14
vsSAM
SAMW 79-75
−4.5
18
vsWIN
WINW 84-83
−1.5
21
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-61
+16.5
27
vsDUKE
DUKEL 71-80
−8.5
3
vsLOU
LOUW 89-80
+2.5
6
vsFRES
FRESW 82-58
−21.5
13
vsTTU
TTUW 93-86
+23.5
16
vsQUC
QUCW 108-80
+18.5
20
vsHOU
HOUL 85-94
+32.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 103-74
+17.5
over 7under 6avg +6.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Tennessee
10-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs SC State105–54
- Wvs Gardner-Webb94–52
- Wvs Louisville83–62
- Lvs Illinois62–75
- L@ Syracuse60–62
4 days since their last game.
Arkansas
10-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs James Madison103–74
- Lvs Houston85–94
- Wvs Queens University Royals108–80
- Wvs Texas Tech93–86
- Wvs Fresno St82–58
5 days since their last game.