The Coliseum · at West Georgia · Conference game
Closing line
CARK -3.5✓ CARK covered by 17.5
CARK -3.5✓ CARK covered by 17.5Closing total154.5Under by 3.5
| CARK | This season | WGA |
|---|---|---|
| 7-10 | Record | 7-9 |
| 8-9 | ATS | 10-6 |
| 8-9 | O/U | 9-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CARK 78–76 WGA · ✓ CARK (58%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CARK | 43 | 43 | 86 |
| WGA | 34 | 31 | 65 |
1st half: CARK 43, WGA 34 (CARK by 9). The model had CARK by 1.4 and a total of 72.3 (actual 77).
Team stats
| CARK | WGA | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-57 58% | Field goals | 23-47 49% |
| 12-24 50% | 3-pointers | 7-20 35% |
| 8-11 73% | Free throws | 12-18 67% |
| 19 3 off | Rebounds | 34 10 off |
| 20 | Assists | 9 |
| 12 | Steals | 2 |
| 1 | Blocks | 8 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 22 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| CARK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Moore G | 32 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4-9 | 1-2 |
| Camren Hunter G | 29 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5-10 | 1-2 |
| Ty Robinson G | 29 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 8-12 | 4-5 |
| Javion Guy-King G | 21 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Malchiah Marable F | 16 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Truman Byrne F | 24 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 4-8 | 4-8 |
| Cole McCormick G | 20 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 6-7 | 1-2 |
| Harry Beauchamp G | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Parker Applegate G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Tyler Lee G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Owen Dehrmann G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: J.C. Shulman, Chris Mason, R.J. Newton, Rashad Bolden, Rylie Marshall, Ethan Thomas
| WGA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shelton Williams-Dryden F | 37 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 7-11 | 1-3 |
| Kolten Griffin F | 34 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Brady Hardewig G | 28 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 4-7 | 4-7 |
| Malcolm Noel G | 21 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Kenneth Chime PF | 12 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| JaVar Daniel F | 28 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Josh Smith G | 22 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 4-12 | 1-4 |
| Matija Zuzic G | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Xavier Shegog F | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Eric Baldassarre G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Max Young, Maddox Fowles, Chas Lewless, Cameron Merritt, Micah Smith, Nate Jones
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCARK -3.5
ModelCARK -2.2
Model edgeWGA +1.3
L CARK covered
Total
Market154.5
Model154.4
Model edgeUnder 0.1
W Under
Projected score
CARK 78.3 · WGA 76.1
CARK 86 · WGA 65
Win probability
CARK 58%
1st half
Spread
CARK -1.4
CARK -9.0
Total
72.3
77 points
Projected score
CARK 36.9 · WGA 35.4
CARK 43 · WGA 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCARK -4.5
1 → WGA
CloseCARK -3.5
1 pt toward WGA
Total
Open153.5
▲ 1
Close154.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
CARK -170 · WGA +142
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CARK -4.5 · closed CARK -3.5 · moved 1 toward WGAmodel CARK -2
model CARK -2
Opened 153.5 · closed 154.5 · moved 1 upmodel 154.5 matches the line
model 154.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CARK | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| WGA | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
CARK 2–0 WGACARK leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · CARK has won the last 2 meetings · CARK 2-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024-25 | CARK 82 @ WGA 71 | WGA -3.5 | CARK W |
| Jan 29, 2024-25 | WGA 70 @ CARK 75 | CARK -1.5 | CARK W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
C Arkansas
17 games played
Straight up
7-10
41% wins
Against the spread
8-9
47% covers · avg +5.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-9
47% overs · avg +1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ UNC | L 54-94 | +31.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ ARK | L 56-93 | +35.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 16 | vs SAM | L 77-84 | +6.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 20 | @ UNT | L 56-74 | +16.5 | L −1.5 | 134.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 23 | vs EWU | W 92-65 | +4.5 | W +31.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs EIU | W 81-60 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 29 | @ ETSU | L 57-80 | +12.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs LR | W 85-47 | -3.5 | W +34.5 | 138.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 7 | @ ETAM | L 68-75 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 13 | @ VAN | L 72-83 | +36.5 | W +25.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 21 | @ SMU | L 82-99 | +24.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 1 | vs FGCU | W 85-83 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 3 | vs STET | W 93-73 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 8 | @ BELL | L 78-84 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 10 | @ EKU | L 75-79 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 15 | vs JAX | W 62-60 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 17 | vs UNF | W 98-69 | -12.5 | W +16.5 | 164.5 | O 167 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@UNC
UNCL 54-94
−8.5
11
@ARK
ARKL 56-93
−1.5
16
vsSAM
SAML 77-84
−0.5
20
@UNT
UNTL 56-74
−1.5
23
vsEWU
EWUW 92-65
+31.5
25
vsEIU
EIUW 81-60
+15.5
29
@ETSU
ETSUL 57-80
−10.5
3
vsLR
LRW 85-47
+34.5
7
@ETAM
ETAML 68-75
−4.5
13
@VAN
VANL 72-83
+25.5
21
@SMU
SMUL 82-99
+7.5
1
vsFGCU
FGCUW 85-83
+4.5
3
vsSTET
STETW 93-73
+8.5
8
@BELL
BELLL 78-84
−8.5
10
@EKU
EKUL 75-79
−5.5
15
vsJAX
JAXW 62-60
−5.5
17
vsUNF
UNFW 98-69
+16.5
covered 8didn’t cover 9avg +5.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@UNC
UNCL 54-94
−9.5
11
@ARK
ARKL 56-93
−9.5
16
vsSAM
SAML 77-84
+9.5
20
@UNT
UNTL 56-74
−4.5
23
vsEWU
EWUW 92-65
+2.5
25
vsEIU
EIUW 81-60
+1.5
29
@ETSU
ETSUL 57-80
−7.5
3
vsLR
LRW 85-47
−6.5
7
@ETAM
ETAML 68-75
−2.5
13
@VAN
VANL 72-83
−3.5
21
@SMU
SMUL 82-99
+24.5
1
vsFGCU
FGCUW 85-83
+11.5
3
vsSTET
STETW 93-73
+18.5
8
@BELL
BELLL 78-84
+7.5
10
@EKU
EKUL 75-79
−2.5
15
vsJAX
JAXW 62-60
−14.5
17
vsUNF
UNFW 98-69
+2.5
over 8under 9avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
West Georgia
16 games played
Straight up
7-9
44% wins
Against the spread
10-6
63% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-7
56% overs · avg +4.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ NEB | L 53-86 | +24.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 10 | @ UCLA | L 62-83 | +30.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 14 | vs CIT | W 100-92 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | O 192 |
| Nov 17 | @ TNTC | W 61-59 | +4.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 21 | vs UPST | W 72-64 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 23 | @ GT | L 66-82 | +18.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 1 | @ TROY | W 93-89 | +17.5 | W +21.5 | 150.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 6 | vsTNTC | L 59-87 | -1.5 | L −29.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 13 | vs GASO | L 85-91 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 22 | @ UGA | L 74-103 | +36.5 | W +7.5 | 173.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 1 | vsBELL | W 87-85 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 3 | vsEKU | W 88-76 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 8 | @UNF | W 85-73 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 164.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 10 | @JAX | L 43-75 | +1.5 | L −30.5 | 141.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 15 | @STET | L 86-95 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 151.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 17 | @FGCU | L 72-90 | +9.5 | L −8.5 | 152.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@NEB
NEBL 53-86
−8.5
10
@UCLA
UCLAL 62-83
+9.5
14
vsCIT
CITW 100-92
+1.5
17
@TNTC
TNTCW 61-59
+6.5
21
vsUPST
UPSTW 72-64
+5.5
23
@GT
GTL 66-82
+2.5
1
@TROY
TROYW 93-89
+21.5
6
vsTNTC
TNTCL 59-87
−29.5
13
vsGASO
GASOL 85-91
−2.5
22
@UGA
UGAL 74-103
+7.5
1
vsBELL
BELLW 87-85
+3.5
3
vsEKU
EKUW 88-76
+13.5
8
@UNF
UNFW 85-73
+9.5
10
@JAX
JAXL 43-75
−30.5
15
@STET
STETL 86-95
−10.5
17
@FGCU
FGCUL 72-90
−8.5
covered 10didn’t cover 6avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@NEB
NEBL 53-86
−14.5
10
@UCLA
UCLAL 62-83
−1.5
14
vsCIT
CITW 100-92
+41.5
17
@TNTC
TNTCW 61-59
−32.5
21
vsUPST
UPSTW 72-64
−17.5
23
@GT
GTL 66-82
+3.5
1
@TROY
TROYW 93-89
+31.5
6
vsTNTC
TNTCL 59-87
−4.5
13
vsGASO
GASOL 85-91
+21.5
22
@UGA
UGAL 74-103
+3.5
1
vsBELL
BELLW 87-85
+20.5
3
vsEKU
EKUW 88-76
+7.5
8
@UNF
UNFW 85-73
−6.5
10
@JAX
JAXL 43-75
−23.5
15
@STET
STETL 86-95
+29.5
17
@FGCU
FGCUL 72-90
+9.5
over 9under 7avg +4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
C Arkansas
7-10 overall · 4-2 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs North Florida98–69
- Wvs Jacksonville62–60
- L@ E Kentucky75–79
- L@ Bellarmine78–84
- Wvs Stetson93–73
5 days since their last game.
West Georgia
7-9 overall · 3-3 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ FGCU72–90
- L@ Stetson86–95
- L@ Jacksonville43–75
- W@ North Florida85–73
- Wvs E Kentucky88–76
5 days since their last game.