Swisher Gymnasium · at Jacksonville · Conference game
Closing line
JAX -4.5✓ BELL covered by 11.5
JAX -4.5✓ BELL covered by 11.5Closing total138.5Over by 8.5
 BELL | This season | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| 4-12 | Record | 5-12 |
| 10-6 | ATS | 7-10 |
| 11-5 | O/U | 5-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BELL 71–74 JAX · ✗ JAX (61%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BELL | 38 | 39 | 77 |
| JAX | 37 | 33 | 70 |
1st half: BELL 38, JAX 37 (BELL by 1). The model had JAX by 1.7 and a total of 67.9 (actual 75).
Team stats
| BELL | JAX | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-52 54% | Field goals | 23-50 46% |
| 9-17 53% | 3-pointers | 7-21 33% |
| 12-14 86% | Free throws | 17-17 100% |
| 25 6 off | Rebounds | 23 5 off |
| 14 | Assists | 13 |
| 5 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| BELL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Doyle G | 35 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Kenyon Goodin G | 35 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 7-10 | 6-8 |
| Brian Waddell F | 32 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 5-9 | 0-1 |
| Jack Karasinski F | 30 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5-10 | 1-3 |
| Sam Donald F | 26 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Donovan Hunter F | 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Jacob Wassler F | 11 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Michael Wilson Jr. G | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Darrius Bolden G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Myles Watkins G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Grant Whitaker G | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tommy Clark, Ant McAfee, Dominique Murphy, Grant Neal, Luke Anderson
| JAX | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Sterck G | 33 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Jason Thirdkill Jr. F | 31 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6-7 | 0-1 |
| Hayden Wood G | 29 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 7-11 | 5-8 |
| Jaylen Jones G | 15 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Charles Caporaso C | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chris Lockett Jr. G | 27 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0-7 | 0-4 |
| Allen Udemadu F | 19 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Donovan Rivers F | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Chris Arias G | 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Jaylen Jordon F | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Anakin Brown, Lamont Jackson, Simon Wheeler, Enrico Borio, Tito Deng, Michael Harper Jr., Roman Loux
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketJAX -4.5
ModelJAX -3.1
Model edgeBELL +1.4
W BELL covered
Total
Market138.5
Model145.0
Model edgeOver 6.5
W Over
Projected score
BELL 71 · JAX 74
BELL 77 · JAX 70
Win probability
JAX 61%
1st half
Spread
JAX -1.7
BELL -1.0
Total
67.9
75 points
Projected score
BELL 33.1 · JAX 34.8
BELL 38 · JAX 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenJAX -3.5
1 → JAX
CloseJAX -4.5
1 pt toward JAX
Total
Open140.5
▼ 2
Close138.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
BELL +180 · JAX -218
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened JAX -3.5 · closed JAX -4.5 · moved 1 toward JAXmodel JAX -3
model JAX -3
Opened 140.5 · closed 138.5 · moved 2 downmodel 145
model 145
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BELL | 2-8 20% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
| JAX | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
BELL 4–2 JAXBELL leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · JAX has won the last 2 meetings · BELL 4-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | BELL 64 @ JAX 73 | JAX -11.5 | BELL W |
| Jan 9, 2024-25 | JAX 74 @ BELL 59 | BELL +7.5 | JAX W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | JAX 63 @ BELL 69 | BELL -3.5 | BELL W |
| Feb 22, 2022-23 | BELL 63 @ JAX 61 | JAX -3.5 | BELL W |
| Mar 8, 2021-22 | JAX 72 @ BELL 77 | BELL -2.5 | BELL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Bellarmine
16 games played
Straight up
4-12
25% wins
Against the spread
10-6
63% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-5
69% overs · avg +5.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ UGA | L 59-104 | +23.5 | L −21.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 8 | @ KSU | L 71-98 | +28.5 | W +1.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 15 | vs WOF | L 86-94 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 19 | @ ND | L 79-86 | +24.5 | W +17.5 | 150.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 24 | @ CIT | W 70-58 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 25 | vs HCU | W 74-69 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 6 | @ MUR | L 68-81 | +16.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | vs NKU | L 76-80 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 17 | vs UTC | W 79-64 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 146.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 23 | @ UK | L 85-99 | +34.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 1 | @ WGA | L 85-87 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 151.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 3 | @ QUC | L 76-98 | +7.5 | L −14.5 | 169.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 8 | vs CARK | W 84-78 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 10 | vs UNA | L 73-82 | -4.5 | L −13.5 | 146.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 15 | @ LIP | L 71-81 | +11.5 | W +1.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 17 | @ EKU | L 69-89 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | O 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@UGA
UGAL 59-104
−21.5
8
@KSU
KSUL 71-98
+1.5
15
vsWOF
WOFL 86-94
−4.5
19
@ND
NDL 79-86
+17.5
24
@CIT
CITW 70-58
+8.5
25
vsHCU
HCUW 74-69
+7.5
6
@MUR
MURL 68-81
+3.5
13
vsNKU
NKUL 76-80
+0.5
17
vsUTC
UTCW 79-64
+16.5
23
@UK
UKL 85-99
+20.5
1
@WGA
WGAL 85-87
−3.5
3
@QUC
QUCL 76-98
−14.5
8
vsCARK
CARKW 84-78
+8.5
10
vsUNA
UNAL 73-82
−13.5
15
@LIP
LIPL 71-81
+1.5
17
@EKU
EKUL 69-89
−14.5
covered 10didn’t cover 6avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@UGA
UGAL 59-104
+12.5
8
@KSU
KSUL 71-98
+0.5
15
vsWOF
WOFL 86-94
+23.5
19
@ND
NDL 79-86
+14.5
24
@CIT
CITW 70-58
−28.5
25
vsHCU
HCUW 74-69
−1.5
6
@MUR
MURL 68-81
−8.5
13
vsNKU
NKUL 76-80
+9.5
17
vsUTC
UTCW 79-64
−3.5
23
@UK
UKL 85-99
+31.5
1
@WGA
WGAL 85-87
+20.5
3
@QUC
QUCL 76-98
+4.5
8
vsCARK
CARKW 84-78
+7.5
10
vsUNA
UNAL 73-82
+8.5
15
@LIP
LIPL 71-81
−2.5
17
@EKU
EKUL 69-89
+1.5
over 11under 5avg +5.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Jacksonville
17 games played
Straight up
5-12
29% wins
Against the spread
7-10
41% covers · avg −1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-12
29% overs · avg −1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ MIA | L 69-86 | +18.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 11 | @ HPU | L 64-85 | +17.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 15 | @ VMI | W 69-67 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 18 | @ GMU | L 57-79 | +16.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 24 | vs BCU | W 69-64 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 25 | vs PAC | L 53-68 | +2.5 | L −12.5 | 135.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 2 | vs FAMU | W 85-82 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 6 | @ FIU | L 65-88 | +5.5 | L −17.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 14 | @ TA&M | L 75-112 | +26.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 187 |
| Dec 17 | @FAMU | L 65-72 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 22 | @ FSU | L 63-87 | +23.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 1 | @LIP | L 57-76 | +12.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 3 | @ APSU | L 68-71 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 140.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 8 | vsQUC | L 51-77 | +4.5 | L −21.5 | 154.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 10 | vsWGA | W 75-43 | -1.5 | W +30.5 | 141.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 15 | @CARK | L 60-62 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 17 | @UNA | W 90-68 | +1.5 | W +23.5 | 133.5 | O 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@MIA
MIAL 69-86
+1.5
11
@HPU
HPUL 64-85
−3.5
15
@VMI
VMIW 69-67
+0.5
18
@GMU
GMUL 57-79
−5.5
24
vsBCU
BCUW 69-64
+8.5
25
vsPAC
PACL 53-68
−12.5
2
vsFAMU
FAMUW 85-82
−7.5
6
@FIU
FIUL 65-88
−17.5
14
@TA&M
TA&ML 75-112
−10.5
17
@FAMU
FAMUL 65-72
−10.5
22
@FSU
FSUL 63-87
−0.5
1
@LIP
LIPL 57-76
−6.5
3
@APSU
APSUL 68-71
+7.5
8
vsQUC
QUCL 51-77
−21.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 75-43
+30.5
15
@CARK
CARKL 60-62
+5.5
17
@UNA
UNAW 90-68
+23.5
covered 7didn’t cover 10avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MIA
MIAL 69-86
+12.5
11
@HPU
HPUL 64-85
−7.5
15
@VMI
VMIW 69-67
−15.5
18
@GMU
GMUL 57-79
−0.5
24
vsBCU
BCUW 69-64
−10.5
25
vsPAC
PACL 53-68
−14.5
2
vsFAMU
FAMUW 85-82
+28.5
6
@FIU
FIUL 65-88
+7.5
14
@TA&M
TA&ML 75-112
+39.5
17
@FAMU
FAMUL 65-72
−2.5
22
@FSU
FSUL 63-87
−9.5
1
@LIP
LIPL 57-76
−14.5
3
@APSU
APSUL 68-71
−1.5
8
vsQUC
QUCL 51-77
−26.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 75-43
−23.5
15
@CARK
CARKL 60-62
−14.5
17
@UNA
UNAW 90-68
+24.5
over 5under 12avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Bellarmine
4-12 overall · 1-5 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ E Kentucky69–89
- L@ Lipscomb71–81
- Lvs North Alabama73–82
- Wvs C Arkansas84–78
- L@ Queens University Royals76–98
5 days since their last game.
Jacksonville
5-12 overall · 2-4 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ North Alabama90–68
- L@ C Arkansas60–62
- Wvs West Georgia75–43
- Lvs Queens University Royals51–77
- L@ Austin Peay68–71
5 days since their last game.