Pan American Center · at New Mexico St · Conference game
Closing line
NMSU -1.5✓ NMSU covered by 1.5
Closing total157.5Under by 2.5
| This season | NMSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 15-12 | Record | 11-15 |
| 12-15 | ATS | 12-14 |
| 14-13 | O/U | 16-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: KENN 79–80 NMSU · ✓ NMSU (55%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| KENN | 33 | 43 | 76 |
| NMSU | 37 | 42 | 79 |
1st half: KENN 33, NMSU 37 (NMSU by 4). The model had NMSU by 0.8 and a total of 74.2 (actual 70).
Team stats
| KENN | NMSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-57 42% | Field goals | 26-60 43% |
| 10-28 36% | 3-pointers | 3-13 23% |
| 18-26 69% | Free throws | 24-29 83% |
| 29 10 off | Rebounds | 43 17 off |
| 12 | Assists | 13 |
| 6 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 1 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 20 | Fouls | 20 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 1 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| KENN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Johnson G | 39 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 5-15 | 1-5 |
| Amir Taylor F | 30 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Braedan Lue F | 30 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 5-11 | 1-2 |
| Frankquon Sherman F | 30 | 16 | 9 | 0 | 5-9 | 2-6 |
| Trey Simpson F | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaden Harris G | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 3-6 | 3-6 |
| Kaden Rickard G | 27 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3-5 | 2-3 |
| Perry Smith Jr. C | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ramone Seals F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chase Clemmons, Jamil Miller, Dozie Onyirimba, Davin Cosby Jr., Eric Holland, Darius Washington III, Charles Stone, Nigel Thomas, Simeon Cottle, Brendan Tousignaut
| NMSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jemel Jones G | 33 | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6-17 | 2-4 |
| Gabe Pickens G | 33 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Anthony Wrzeszcz G | 26 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Jae'Coby Osborne F | 25 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Julius Mims F | 19 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jayland Randall G | 27 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Elijah Elliott G | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Augustine Ekwe C | 11 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Kyrese Mullen F | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Chris Terrell G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Teysean Eaglestaff, Christian Villegas, Cyr Malonga, Omarr Smith, Amarco Doyle
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNMSU -1.5
ModelNMSU -1.6
Model edgeNMSU +0.1
W NMSU covered
Total
Market157.5
Model158.8
Model edgeOver 1.3
L Under
Projected score
KENN 78.6 · NMSU 80.2
KENN 76 · NMSU 79
Win probability
NMSU 55%
1st half
Spread
NMSU -0.8
NMSU -4.0
Total
74.2
70 points
Projected score
KENN 36.7 · NMSU 37.5
KENN 33 · NMSU 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNMSU -3.5
2 → KENN
CloseNMSU -1.5
2 pts toward KENN
Total
Open155.5
▲ 2
Close157.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
KENN +105 · NMSU -125
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NMSU -3.5 · closed NMSU -1.5 · moved 2 toward KENNmodel NMSU -1.5 matches the line
model NMSU -1.5 = line ✓
Opened 155.5 · closed 157.5 · moved 2 upmodel 159
model 159
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | |
| 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
KENN 3–1 NMSUKENN leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · KENN has won the last 2 meetings · KENN 3-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2025-26 | NMSU 53 @ KENN 76 | KENN -3.5 | KENN W |
| Mar 13, 2024-25 | NMSU 77 vs KENN 80 | KENN -0.5 | KENN W |
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | NMSU 60 @ KENN 49 | KENN -4.5 | NMSU W |
| Jan 23, 2024-25 | KENN 69 @ NMSU 56 | NMSU -6.5 | KENN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Kennesaw St
27 games played
Straight up
15-12
56% wins
Against the spread
12-15
44% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-13
52% overs · avg +1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ | W 92-72 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 166.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 16 | vs | L 89-108 | +7.5 | L −11.5 | 177.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 89-84 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 83-91 | -8.5 | L −16.5 | 166.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | @ | W 102-100 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | O 202 |
| Dec 2 | vs | W 88-73 | -15.5 | L −0.5 | 157.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 92-69 | -14.5 | W +8.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 17 | @ | L 67-68 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 21 | vs | L 81-92 | +20.5 | W +9.5 | 182.5 | U 173 |
| Jan 2 | @ | L 73-81 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 4 | @ | L 52-67 | -8.5 | L −23.5 | 148.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 7 | vs | W 90-80 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 10 | vs | W 88-82 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 14 | vs | W 89-86 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 175.5 | U 175 |
| Jan 17 | @ | W 81-65 | +7.5 | W +23.5 | 165.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 21 | @ | L 87-93 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 167.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 23 | @ | L 76-82 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 28 | vs | W 72-69 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 31 | vs | W 76-53 | -3.5 | W +19.5 | 159.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 7 | @ | L 58-77 | -1.5 | L −20.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 12 | vs | L 87-90 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 14 | vs | L 79-83 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | U 162 |
| Feb 18 | @ | W 91-87 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Feb 21 | vs | W 58-55 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | U 113 |
| Feb 26 | vs | W 74-65 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 28 | vs | W 90-82 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | O 172 |
| Mar 5 | @ | L 71-78 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 148.5 | O 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
FAMU
W 92-72
+8.5
16
vs
USF
L 89-108
−11.5
24
vs
RICE
W 89-84
+0.5
25
vs
ORU
L 83-91
−16.5
26
@
FGCU
W 102-100
+3.5
2
vs
JKST
W 88-73
−0.5
6
vs
GAST
W 92-69
+8.5
17
@
MTSU
L 67-68
+2.5
21
vs
ALA
L 81-92
+9.5
2
@
LIB
L 73-81
−0.5
4
@
DEL
L 52-67
−23.5
7
vs
MOST
W 90-80
+3.5
10
vs
JXST
W 88-82
+0.5
14
vs
FIU
W 89-86
−2.5
17
@
WKU
W 81-65
+23.5
21
@
SHSU
L 87-93
−0.5
23
@
LT
L 76-82
−7.5
28
vs
WKU
W 72-69
−1.5
31
vs
NMSU
W 76-53
+19.5
7
@
JXST
L 58-77
−20.5
12
vs
MTSU
L 87-90
−6.5
14
vs
SHSU
L 79-83
−5.5
18
@
MOST
W 91-87
+5.5
21
vs
LT
W 58-55
−2.5
26
vs
LIB
W 74-65
+10.5
28
vs
DEL
W 90-82
−3.5
5
@
UTEP
L 71-78
−10.5
covered 12didn’t cover 15avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@
FAMU
W 92-72
−2.5
16
vs
USF
L 89-108
+19.5
24
vs
RICE
W 89-84
+13.5
25
vs
ORU
L 83-91
+7.5
26
@
FGCU
W 102-100
+41.5
2
vs
JKST
W 88-73
+3.5
6
vs
GAST
W 92-69
+2.5
17
@
MTSU
L 67-68
−25.5
21
vs
ALA
L 81-92
−9.5
2
@
LIB
L 73-81
−4.5
4
@
DEL
L 52-67
−29.5
7
vs
MOST
W 90-80
+17.5
10
vs
JXST
W 88-82
+20.5
14
vs
FIU
W 89-86
−0.5
17
@
WKU
W 81-65
−19.5
21
@
SHSU
L 87-93
+12.5
23
@
LT
L 76-82
+13.5
28
vs
WKU
W 72-69
−19.5
31
vs
NMSU
W 76-53
−30.5
7
@
JXST
L 58-77
−14.5
12
vs
MTSU
L 87-90
+28.5
14
vs
SHSU
L 79-83
−0.5
18
@
MOST
W 91-87
+25.5
21
vs
LT
W 58-55
−34.5
26
vs
LIB
W 74-65
−13.5
28
vs
DEL
W 90-82
+28.5
5
@
UTEP
L 71-78
+0.5
over 14under 13avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
New Mexico St
26 games played
Straight up
11-15
42% wins
Against the spread
12-14
46% covers · avg −1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-10
62% overs · avg +4.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15 | vs | W 76-68 | +3.5 | W +11.5 | 139.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 21 | vs | W 81-72 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 25 | vs | W 57-45 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | U 102 |
| Nov 26 | vs | W 77-58 | -12.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 2 | vs | L 75-77 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 135.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 6 | @ | L 69-77 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 131.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 13 | vs | L 70-83 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 21 | vs | W 87-78 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 2 | @ | L 74-89 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 4 | @ | L 82-89 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 134.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 8 | vs | W 80-64 | -2.5 | W +13.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | vs | L 55-59 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 15 | @ | L 71-73 | +8.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | @ | W 97-68 | -4.5 | W +24.5 | 134.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 22 | vs | L 75-84 | -6.5 | L −15.5 | 144.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 24 | vs | L 78-81 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 28 | vs | L 64-73 | -13.5 | L −22.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 31 | @ | L 53-76 | +3.5 | L −19.5 | 159.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 4 | @ | W 72-63 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 135.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 7 | @ | L 88-91 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 11 | vs | L 75-77 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 14 | @ | W 79-70 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 139.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 21 | vs | W 67-63 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 26 | @ | L 70-93 | +4.5 | L −18.5 | 151.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 28 | @ | L 85-86 | +5.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | O 171 |
| Mar 5 | vs | W 77-75 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
15
vs
UNM
W 76-68
+11.5
21
vs
SAM
W 81-72
+0.5
25
vs
UCI
W 57-45
+14.5
26
vs
GAST
W 77-58
+6.5
2
vs
USA
L 75-77
−4.5
6
@
ACU
L 69-77
−9.5
13
vs
TLSA
L 70-83
−8.5
21
vs
SHSU
W 87-78
+3.5
2
@
FIU
L 74-89
−16.5
4
@
MOST
L 82-89
−5.5
8
vs
WKU
W 80-64
+13.5
10
vs
MTSU
L 55-59
−7.5
15
@
LIB
L 71-73
+6.5
17
@
DEL
W 97-68
+24.5
22
vs
MOST
L 75-84
−15.5
24
vs
FIU
L 78-81
−10.5
28
vs
DEL
L 64-73
−22.5
31
@
KENN
L 53-76
−19.5
4
@
LT
W 72-63
+10.5
7
@
UTEP
L 88-91
−4.5
11
vs
LIB
L 75-77
+1.5
14
@
JXST
W 79-70
+10.5
21
vs
UTEP
W 67-63
−3.5
26
@
WKU
L 70-93
−18.5
28
@
MTSU
L 85-86
+4.5
5
vs
JXST
W 77-75
−4.5
covered 12didn’t cover 14avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
15
vs
UNM
W 76-68
+4.5
21
vs
SAM
W 81-72
+7.5
25
vs
UCI
W 57-45
−37.5
26
vs
GAST
W 77-58
−1.5
2
vs
USA
L 75-77
+16.5
6
@
ACU
L 69-77
+14.5
13
vs
TLSA
L 70-83
+6.5
21
vs
SHSU
W 87-78
+11.5
2
@
FIU
L 74-89
+5.5
4
@
MOST
L 82-89
+36.5
8
vs
WKU
W 80-64
−10.5
10
vs
MTSU
L 55-59
−30.5
15
@
LIB
L 71-73
−1.5
17
@
DEL
W 97-68
+30.5
22
vs
MOST
L 75-84
+14.5
24
vs
FIU
L 78-81
−0.5
28
vs
DEL
L 64-73
−0.5
31
@
KENN
L 53-76
−30.5
4
@
LT
W 72-63
−0.5
7
@
UTEP
L 88-91
+40.5
11
vs
LIB
L 75-77
+7.5
14
@
JXST
W 79-70
+9.5
21
vs
UTEP
W 67-63
−12.5
26
@
WKU
L 70-93
+11.5
28
@
MTSU
L 85-86
+22.5
5
vs
JXST
W 77-75
+6.5
over 16under 10avg +4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Kennesaw St
15-12 overall · 10-9 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UTEP71–78
- Wvs Delaware90–82
- Wvs Liberty74–65
- Wvs Louisiana Tech58–55
- W@ Missouri St91–87
2 days since their last game.
New Mexico St
11-15 overall · 7-12 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Jax State77–75
- L@ MTSU85–86
- L@ Western KY70–93
- Wvs UTEP67–63
- W@ Jax State79–70
2 days since their last game.