Thomas Assembly Center · at Louisiana Tech · Conference game
Closing line
LT -2.5✓ MOST covered by 0.5
LT -2.5✓ MOST covered by 0.5Closing total138.5Over by 3.5
 MOST | This season | LT |
|---|---|---|
| 10-14 | Record | 12-12 |
| 13-11 | ATS | 13-11 |
| 14-10 | O/U | 11-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MOST 66–69 LT · ✓ LT (61%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MOST | 38 | 32 | 70 |
| LT | 37 | 35 | 72 |
1st half: MOST 38, LT 37 (MOST by 1). The model had LT by 1.7 and a total of 63.3 (actual 75).
Team stats
| MOST | LT | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-54 41% | Field goals | 24-50 48% |
| 6-17 35% | 3-pointers | 9-25 36% |
| 20-24 83% | Free throws | 15-24 63% |
| 35 13 off | Rebounds | 29 8 off |
| 14 | Assists | 10 |
| 9 | Steals | 7 |
| 1 | Blocks | 11 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 16 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| MOST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobi Williams G | 37 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 3-5 | 2-4 |
| Keith Palek III F | 35 | 29 | 6 | 3 | 10-19 | 2-5 |
| Trey Williams Jr. G | 35 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Michael Osei-Bonsu F | 31 | 12 | 10 | 0 | 5-14 | 0-0 |
| Antwan Burnett G | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Zaxton King G | 18 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Darrion Sutton F | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Melakih Cunningham G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Boone F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Collin Clark, Ryder Cheesman, Tyrique Brooks, Logan Epes, Amar Kuljuhovic
| LT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Bates G | 38 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| DJ Dudley G | 38 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 10-19 | 3-9 |
| Will Allen F | 32 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4-8 | 3-6 |
| Melian Martinez C | 29 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Fenner G | 20 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 4-9 | 2-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kaden Cooper F | 26 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Scooter Williams G | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Kylan Howze F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: A'Meir Williams, Keegan Rowell, Avery Thomas II, Jermaurhiyun Anderson, Lachlan Thompson, Sir Issac Herron, Will Jeffress
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketLT -2.5
ModelLT -3.1
Model edgeLT +0.6
L MOST covered
Total
Market138.5
Model135.2
Model edgeUnder 3.3
L Over
Projected score
MOST 66 · LT 69.1
MOST 70 · LT 72
Win probability
LT 61%
1st half
Spread
LT -1.7
MOST -1.0
Total
63.3
75 points
Projected score
MOST 30.8 · LT 32.5
MOST 38 · LT 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLT -3.5
1 → MOST
CloseLT -2.5
1 pt toward MOST
Total
Open136.5
▲ 2
Close138.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
MOST +114 · LT -135
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LT -3.5 · closed LT -2.5 · moved 1 toward MOSTmodel LT -3
model LT -3
Opened 136.5 · closed 138.5 · moved 2 upmodel 135
model 135
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MOST | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 8-2 80% |
| LT | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MOST 0–1 LTLT leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · MOST 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2025-26 | LT 79 @ MOST 78 | MOST -3.5 | LT W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Missouri St
24 games played
Straight up
10-14
42% wins
Against the spread
13-11
54% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-10
58% overs · avg +3.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 | vs ARST | L 85-86 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 15 | @ UTA | L 49-67 | +3.5 | L −14.5 | 143.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 22 | vs RGV | W 74-67 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 24 | vs LIU | L 61-75 | -4.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 6 | @ TLSA | L 74-98 | +7.5 | L −16.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 12 | @ XAV | L 57-75 | +18.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 16 | vs ORU | W 63-62 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 23 | vs LIN | W 70-65 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 29 | @ DEL | W 61-43 | -1.5 | W +16.5 | 131.5 | U 104 |
| Jan 2 | vs UTEP | W 79-55 | -3.5 | W +20.5 | 131.5 | O 134 |
| Jan 4 | vs NMSU | W 89-82 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 7 | @ KENN | L 80-90 | +6.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 10 | vs FIU | W 79-71 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 14 | @ WKU | L 72-87 | +6.5 | L −8.5 | 148.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 17 | @ MTSU | L 87-90 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 22 | @NMSU | W 84-75 | +6.5 | W +15.5 | 144.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 24 | @UTEP | W 62-57 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 139.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 28 | vs SHSU | L 71-80 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 31 | vs JXST | W 74-67 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 7 | @ LIB | L 76-79 | +9.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 12 | vsLT | L 78-79 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 136.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 14 | vsDEL | L 67-76 | -9.5 | L −18.5 | 135.5 | O 143 |
| Feb 18 | vsKENN | L 87-91 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Feb 21 | @FIU | L 67-70 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
11
vsARST
ARSTL 85-86
−2.5
15
@UTA
UTAL 49-67
−14.5
22
vsRGV
RGVW 74-67
+3.5
24
vsLIU
LIUL 61-75
−18.5
6
@TLSA
TLSAL 74-98
−16.5
12
@XAV
XAVL 57-75
+0.5
16
vsORU
ORUW 63-62
−3.5
23
vsLIN
LINW 70-65
+1.5
29
@DEL
DELW 61-43
+16.5
2
vsUTEP
UTEPW 79-55
+20.5
4
vsNMSU
NMSUW 89-82
+5.5
7
@KENN
KENNL 80-90
−3.5
10
vsFIU
FIUW 79-71
+5.5
14
@WKU
WKUL 72-87
−8.5
17
@MTSU
MTSUL 87-90
+2.5
22
@NMSU
NMSUW 84-75
+15.5
24
@UTEP
UTEPW 62-57
+3.5
28
vsSHSU
SHSUL 71-80
−10.5
31
vsJXST
JXSTW 74-67
+2.5
7
@LIB
LIBL 76-79
+6.5
12
vsLT
LTL 78-79
−4.5
14
vsDEL
DELL 67-76
−18.5
18
vsKENN
KENNL 87-91
−5.5
21
@FIU
FIUL 67-70
+0.5
covered 13didn’t cover 11avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
11
vsARST
ARSTL 85-86
+18.5
15
@UTA
UTAL 49-67
−27.5
22
vsRGV
RGVW 74-67
−8.5
24
vsLIU
LIUL 61-75
−9.5
6
@TLSA
TLSAL 74-98
+29.5
12
@XAV
XAVL 57-75
−19.5
16
vsORU
ORUW 63-62
−21.5
23
vsLIN
LINW 70-65
−10.5
29
@DEL
DELW 61-43
−27.5
2
vsUTEP
UTEPW 79-55
+2.5
4
vsNMSU
NMSUW 89-82
+36.5
7
@KENN
KENNL 80-90
+17.5
10
vsFIU
FIUW 79-71
−3.5
14
@WKU
WKUL 72-87
+10.5
17
@MTSU
MTSUL 87-90
+39.5
22
@NMSU
NMSUW 84-75
+14.5
24
@UTEP
UTEPW 62-57
−20.5
28
vsSHSU
SHSUL 71-80
+2.5
31
vsJXST
JXSTW 74-67
+5.5
7
@LIB
LIBL 76-79
+14.5
12
vsLT
LTL 78-79
+20.5
14
vsDEL
DELL 67-76
+7.5
18
vsKENN
KENNL 87-91
+25.5
21
@FIU
FIUL 67-70
−17.5
over 14under 10avg +3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Louisiana Tech
24 games played
Straight up
12-12
50% wins
Against the spread
13-11
54% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-13
46% overs · avg −3.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ NEV | L 50-77 | +9.5 | L −17.5 | 136.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 15 | vs JKST | W 68-51 | -8.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 19 | @ INST | L 51-60 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 111 |
| Nov 26 | vsINST | W 75-73 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 29 | vs ALCN | W 83-58 | -16.5 | W +8.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Dec 3 | @ GASO | L 69-77 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 13 | vs UL | W 65-44 | -9.5 | W +11.5 | 126.5 | U 109 |
| Dec 17 | @ TULN | L 53-61 | +4.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 29 | vsUTEP | W 75-63 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 130.5 | O 138 |
| Jan 2 | @MTSU | L 51-88 | +6.5 | L −30.5 | 134.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 4 | @WKU | L 61-66 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 8 | vsLIB | L 56-72 | +4.5 | L −11.5 | 135.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 10 | vsDEL | W 70-68 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 123.5 | O 138 |
| Jan 14 | vsMTSU | W 59-58 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 131.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 17 | @JXST | L 60-64 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 127.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 23 | vsKENN | W 82-76 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 28 | @UTEP | W 69-59 | +2.5 | W +12.5 | 130.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 31 | @SHSU | L 67-83 | +7.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 4 | vsNMSU | L 63-72 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 135.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 7 | vsSHSU | W 87-78 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 143.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 12 | @MOST | W 79-78 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 136.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 14 | @FIU | L 64-77 | +3.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 18 | vsJXST | W 77-71 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 132.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 21 | @KENN | L 55-58 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | U 113 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@NEV
NEVL 50-77
−17.5
15
vsJKST
JKSTW 68-51
+8.5
19
@INST
INSTL 51-60
−5.5
26
vsINST
INSTW 75-73
−0.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 83-58
+8.5
3
@GASO
GASOL 69-77
−6.5
13
vsUL
ULW 65-44
+11.5
17
@TULN
TULNL 53-61
−3.5
29
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-63
+9.5
2
@MTSU
MTSUL 51-88
−30.5
4
@WKU
WKUL 61-66
+4.5
8
vsLIB
LIBL 56-72
−11.5
10
vsDEL
DELW 70-68
−4.5
14
vsMTSU
MTSUW 59-58
+4.5
17
@JXST
JXSTL 60-64
+0.5
23
vsKENN
KENNW 82-76
+7.5
28
@UTEP
UTEPW 69-59
+12.5
31
@SHSU
SHSUL 67-83
−8.5
4
vsNMSU
NMSUL 63-72
−10.5
7
vsSHSU
SHSUW 87-78
+12.5
12
@MOST
MOSTW 79-78
+4.5
14
@FIU
FIUL 64-77
−9.5
18
vsJXST
JXSTW 77-71
+3.5
21
@KENN
KENNL 55-58
+2.5
covered 13didn’t cover 11avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@NEV
NEVL 50-77
−9.5
15
vsJKST
JKSTW 68-51
−27.5
19
@INST
INSTL 51-60
−36.5
26
vsINST
INSTW 75-73
+6.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 83-58
+3.5
3
@GASO
GASOL 69-77
+0.5
13
vsUL
ULW 65-44
−17.5
17
@TULN
TULNL 53-61
−26.5
29
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-63
+7.5
2
@MTSU
MTSUL 51-88
+4.5
4
@WKU
WKUL 61-66
−18.5
8
vsLIB
LIBL 56-72
−7.5
10
vsDEL
DELW 70-68
+14.5
14
vsMTSU
MTSUW 59-58
−14.5
17
@JXST
JXSTL 60-64
−3.5
23
vsKENN
KENNW 82-76
+13.5
28
@UTEP
UTEPW 69-59
−2.5
31
@SHSU
SHSUL 67-83
+8.5
4
vsNMSU
NMSUL 63-72
−0.5
7
vsSHSU
SHSUW 87-78
+21.5
12
@MOST
MOSTW 79-78
+20.5
14
@FIU
FIUL 64-77
−5.5
18
vsJXST
JXSTW 77-71
+15.5
21
@KENN
KENNL 55-58
−34.5
over 11under 13avg −3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Missouri St
10-14 overall · 7-9 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ FIU67–70
- Lvs Kennesaw St87–91
- Lvs Delaware67–76
- Lvs Louisiana Tech78–79
- L@ Liberty76–79
5 days since their last game.
Louisiana Tech
12-12 overall · 8-8 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Kennesaw St55–58
- Wvs Jax State77–71
- L@ FIU64–77
- W@ Missouri St79–78
- Wvs Sam Houston87–78
5 days since their last game.