Great Southern Bank Arena · at Missouri St · Conference game
Closing line
MOST -4.5✓ MOST covered by 2.5
MOST -4.5✓ MOST covered by 2.5Closing total135.5Over by 5.5
 JXST | This season | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| 8-9 | Record | 9-9 |
| 6-11 | ATS | 10-8 |
| 10-7 | O/U | 9-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: JXST 67–69 MOST · ✓ MOST (58%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JXST | 31 | 36 | 67 |
| MOST | 39 | 35 | 74 |
1st half: JXST 31, MOST 39 (MOST by 8). The model had MOST by 1.3 and a total of 63.9 (actual 70).
Team stats
| JXST | MOST | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-54 41% | Field goals | 27-58 47% |
| 2-14 14% | 3-pointers | 8-24 33% |
| 21-27 78% | Free throws | 12-21 57% |
| 38 16 off | Rebounds | 28 12 off |
| 7 | Assists | 16 |
| 6 | Steals | 10 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 23 | Fouls | 22 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| JXST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacoby Hill G | 37 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 6-13 | 0-3 |
| Mostapha El Moutaouakkil G | 33 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 3-8 | 0-1 |
| Iaroslav Niagu F | 29 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| AC Bryant G | 22 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-4 |
| Jamar Franklin G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaye Nash G | 29 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Toby Nnadozie G | 20 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Emondrek Erkins-Ford F | 14 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4-8 | 1-1 |
| Thomas Tut F | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Connor Loy, Jordan Vick, Aidan Driggers, Ben Vungo, Aitor Anabitarte, Marcus Fitzgerald Jr.
| MOST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Palek III F | 38 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 6-14 | 1-4 |
| Kobi Williams G | 36 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 5-11 | 2-5 |
| Antwan Burnett G | 31 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Trey Williams Jr. G | 29 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 4-8 | 3-6 |
| Michael Osei-Bonsu F | 24 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Zaxton King G | 21 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-5 |
| Darrion Sutton F | 10 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Logan Epes G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Boone F | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Collin Clark, Ryder Cheesman, Melakih Cunningham, Tyrique Brooks, Amar Kuljuhovic
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMOST -4.5
no move
CloseMOST -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open135.5
no move
Close135.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
JXST +160 · MOST -192
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MOST -4.5 · unchangedmodel MOST -2.5
model MOST -2.5
Opened 135.5 · unchangedmodel 136.5
model 136.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MOST -4.5 | MOST -2.4 | JXST +2.1 | L MOST covered |
| Total | 135.5 | 136.4 | Over 0.9 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | JXST 67 · MOST 69.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MOST -1.3 | MOST -8.0 |
| 1H total | 63.9 | 70 |
| 1H projected score | JXST 31.3 · MOST 32.6 | JXST 31 · MOST 39 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JXST | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| MOST | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Jax State
17 games played
Straight up
8-9
47% wins
Against the spread
6-11
35% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-7
59% overs · avg −1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14 | vs CCU | W 74-67 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 19 | vs USA | L 65-71 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 24 | @ ARST | L 63-74 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 26 | vs NDSU | L 43-56 | +3.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | U 99 |
| Dec 1 | vs UNA | L 66-73 | -6.5 | L −13.5 | 134.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 13 | @ GAST | L 73-77 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 139.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 17 | vs EKU | L 59-62 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 20 | @ ETSU | W 81-75 | +9.5 | W +15.5 | 134.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 29 | vs WKU | W 78-67 | +2.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 2 | @ DEL | W 67-64 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 126.5 | O 131 |
| Jan 4 | @ LIB | L 69-78 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 7 | vs FIU | W 71-64 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 10 | @ KENN | L 82-88 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 14 | vs SHSU | L 62-77 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 17 | vs LT | W 64-60 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 127.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 23 | vs MTSU | W 75-58 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 28 | @FIU | W 78-74 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
14
vsCCU
CCUW 74-67
−0.5
19
vsUSA
USAL 65-71
−8.5
24
@ARST
ARSTL 63-74
−6.5
26
vsNDSU
NDSUL 43-56
−9.5
1
vsUNA
UNAL 66-73
−13.5
13
@GAST
GASTL 73-77
−7.5
17
vsEKU
EKUL 59-62
−5.5
20
@ETSU
ETSUW 81-75
+15.5
29
vsWKU
WKUW 78-67
+13.5
2
@DEL
DELW 67-64
−1.5
4
@LIB
LIBL 69-78
+0.5
7
vsFIU
FIUW 71-64
+5.5
10
@KENN
KENNL 82-88
−0.5
14
vsSHSU
SHSUL 62-77
−16.5
17
vsLT
LTW 64-60
−0.5
23
vsMTSU
MTSUW 75-58
+18.5
28
@FIU
FIUW 78-74
+7.5
covered 6didn’t cover 11avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
14
vsCCU
CCUW 74-67
+1.5
19
vsUSA
USAL 65-71
+0.5
24
@ARST
ARSTL 63-74
−18.5
26
vsNDSU
NDSUL 43-56
−43.5
1
vsUNA
UNAL 66-73
+4.5
13
@GAST
GASTL 73-77
+10.5
17
vsEKU
EKUL 59-62
−21.5
20
@ETSU
ETSUW 81-75
+21.5
29
vsWKU
WKUW 78-67
+2.5
2
@DEL
DELW 67-64
+4.5
4
@LIB
LIBL 69-78
+12.5
7
vsFIU
FIUW 71-64
−15.5
10
@KENN
KENNL 82-88
+20.5
14
vsSHSU
SHSUL 62-77
−11.5
17
vsLT
LTW 64-60
−3.5
23
vsMTSU
MTSUW 75-58
−0.5
28
@FIU
FIUW 78-74
+3.5
over 10under 7avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Missouri St
18 games played
Straight up
9-9
50% wins
Against the spread
10-8
56% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-9
50% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 | vsARST | L 85-86 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 15 | @ UTA | L 49-67 | +3.5 | L −14.5 | 143.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 22 | vs RGV | W 74-67 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 24 | vs LIU | L 61-75 | -4.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 6 | @ TLSA | L 74-98 | +7.5 | L −16.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 12 | @ XAV | L 57-75 | +18.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 16 | vs ORU | W 63-62 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 23 | vs LIN | W 70-65 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 29 | @DEL | W 61-43 | -1.5 | W +16.5 | 131.5 | U 104 |
| Jan 2 | vs UTEP | W 79-55 | -3.5 | W +20.5 | 131.5 | O 134 |
| Jan 4 | vs NMSU | W 89-82 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 7 | @KENN | L 80-90 | +6.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 10 | vsFIU | W 79-71 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 14 | @WKU | L 72-87 | +6.5 | L −8.5 | 148.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 17 | @MTSU | L 87-90 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 22 | @NMSU | W 84-75 | +6.5 | W +15.5 | 144.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 24 | @UTEP | W 62-57 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 139.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 28 | vsSHSU | L 71-80 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
11
vsARST
ARSTL 85-86
−2.5
15
@UTA
UTAL 49-67
−14.5
22
vsRGV
RGVW 74-67
+3.5
24
vsLIU
LIUL 61-75
−18.5
6
@TLSA
TLSAL 74-98
−16.5
12
@XAV
XAVL 57-75
+0.5
16
vsORU
ORUW 63-62
−3.5
23
vsLIN
LINW 70-65
+1.5
29
@DEL
DELW 61-43
+16.5
2
vsUTEP
UTEPW 79-55
+20.5
4
vsNMSU
NMSUW 89-82
+5.5
7
@KENN
KENNL 80-90
−3.5
10
vsFIU
FIUW 79-71
+5.5
14
@WKU
WKUL 72-87
−8.5
17
@MTSU
MTSUL 87-90
+2.5
22
@NMSU
NMSUW 84-75
+15.5
24
@UTEP
UTEPW 62-57
+3.5
28
vsSHSU
SHSUL 71-80
−10.5
covered 10didn’t cover 8avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
11
vsARST
ARSTL 85-86
+18.5
15
@UTA
UTAL 49-67
−27.5
22
vsRGV
RGVW 74-67
−8.5
24
vsLIU
LIUL 61-75
−9.5
6
@TLSA
TLSAL 74-98
+29.5
12
@XAV
XAVL 57-75
−19.5
16
vsORU
ORUW 63-62
−21.5
23
vsLIN
LINW 70-65
−10.5
29
@DEL
DELW 61-43
−27.5
2
vsUTEP
UTEPW 79-55
+2.5
4
vsNMSU
NMSUW 89-82
+36.5
7
@KENN
KENNL 80-90
+17.5
10
vsFIU
FIUW 79-71
−3.5
14
@WKU
WKUL 72-87
+10.5
17
@MTSU
MTSUL 87-90
+39.5
22
@NMSU
NMSUW 84-75
+14.5
24
@UTEP
UTEPW 62-57
−20.5
28
vsSHSU
SHSUL 71-80
+2.5
over 9under 9avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Jax State
8-9 overall · 6-3 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ FIU78–74
- Wvs MTSU75–58
- Wvs Louisiana Tech64–60
- Lvs Sam Houston62–77
- L@ Kennesaw St82–88
3 days since their last game.
Missouri St
9-9 overall · 6-4 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Sam Houston71–80
- W@ UTEP62–57
- W@ New Mexico St84–75
- L@ MTSU87–90
- L@ Western KY72–87
3 days since their last game.