Pete Mathews Coliseum · at Jax State · Conference game
Closing line
MTSU -1.5✓ JXST covered by 18.5
MTSU -1.5✓ JXST covered by 18.5Closing total133.5Under by 0.5
| MTSU | This season | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| 8-7 | Record | 6-9 |
| 7-8 | ATS | 4-11 |
| 6-9 | O/U | 9-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MTSU 70–67 JXST · ✗ MTSU (60%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU | 34 | 24 | 58 |
| JXST | 39 | 36 | 75 |
1st half: MTSU 34, JXST 39 (JXST by 5). The model had MTSU by 1.9 and a total of 64.3 (actual 73).
Team stats
| MTSU | JXST | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-55 38% | Field goals | 25-51 49% |
| 8-23 35% | 3-pointers | 9-15 60% |
| 8-14 57% | Free throws | 16-19 84% |
| 30 10 off | Rebounds | 33 7 off |
| 12 | Assists | 11 |
| 3 | Steals | 1 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 1 |
Players
| MTSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamari Lands G | 34 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 4-13 | 3-9 |
| Jahvin Carter G | 31 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 5-10 | 1-3 |
| Alec Oglesby G | 21 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Torey Alston F | 20 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Chris Loofe F | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Luka Jovanovic C | 26 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Tre Green G | 25 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4-14 | 4-9 |
| Sean Smith G | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| James Dent Jr. G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Marcus Whitlock Jr. G | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jarred Hall, Brandon Oloumou, Jax Howard, Charvez Ambrose, Savon Wykle
| JXST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacoby Hill G | 36 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| AC Bryant G | 35 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 7-9 | 6-7 |
| Mostapha El Moutaouakkil G | 31 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 5-14 | 2-4 |
| Iaroslav Niagu F | 21 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Jamar Franklin G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaye Nash G | 27 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Emondrek Erkins-Ford F | 26 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 6-11 | 0-1 |
| Marcus Fitzgerald Jr. G | 19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Connor Loy, Jordan Vick, Aidan Driggers, Aitor Anabitarte, Ben Vungo, Toby Nnadozie, Thomas Tut
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMTSU -1.5
ModelMTSU -2.9
Model edgeMTSU +1.4
L JXST covered
Total
Market133.5
Model137.3
Model edgeOver 3.8
L Under
Projected score
MTSU 70.1 · JXST 67.2
MTSU 58 · JXST 75
Win probability
MTSU 60%
1st half
Spread
MTSU -1.9
JXST -5.0
Total
64.3
73 points
Projected score
MTSU 33.1 · JXST 31.2
MTSU 34 · JXST 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenJXST -1.5
3 → MTSU
CloseMTSU -1.5
3 pts toward MTSU
Total
Open134.5
▼ 1
Close133.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
MTSU -130 · JXST +110
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened JXST -1.5 · closed MTSU -1.5 · moved 3 toward MTSUmodel MTSU -3
model MTSU -3
Opened 134.5 · closed 133.5 · moved 1 downmodel 137.5
model 137.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
| JXST | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MTSU 2–3 JXSTJXST leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · JXST has won the last 2 meetings · MTSU 2-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024-25 | MTSU 68 vs JXST 70 | JXST -1.5 | JXST W |
| Feb 6, 2024-25 | MTSU 63 @ JXST 77 | JXST -1.5 | JXST W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | JXST 64 @ MTSU 81 | MTSU -5.5 | MTSU W |
| Feb 21, 2023-24 | MTSU 68 @ JXST 76 | JXST -5.5 | JXST W |
| Jan 24, 2023-24 | JXST 67 @ MTSU 75 | MTSU -0.5 | MTSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
MTSU
15 games played
Straight up
8-7
53% wins
Against the spread
7-8
47% covers · avg +3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-9
40% overs · avg −3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12 | @ EVAN | W 77-72 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 140.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 19 | @ MICH | L 61-86 | +27.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 23 | vs MUR | W 90-87 | +6.5 | W +9.5 | 161.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 24 | vs GW | L 79-92 | +9.5 | L −3.5 | 158.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | vs MCN | L 62-72 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 1 | vs UAB | W 76-61 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 7 | vs BEL | L 62-83 | +3.5 | L −17.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 17 | vs KENN | W 68-67 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 29 | @ HOU | L 60-69 | +25.5 | W +16.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 2 | vs LT | W 88-51 | -6.5 | W +30.5 | 134.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 4 | vs SHSU | W 68-67 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 8 | @ UTEP | L 80-83 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 137.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 10 | @ NMSU | W 59-55 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 14 | @LT | L 58-59 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 131.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 17 | vs MOST | W 90-87 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 177 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
12
@EVAN
EVANW 77-72
+7.5
19
@MICH
MICHL 61-86
+2.5
23
vsMUR
MURW 90-87
+9.5
24
vsGW
GWL 79-92
−3.5
25
vsMCN
MCNL 62-72
−0.5
1
vsUAB
UABW 76-61
+16.5
7
vsBEL
BELL 62-83
−17.5
17
vsKENN
KENNW 68-67
−2.5
29
@HOU
HOUL 60-69
+16.5
2
vsLT
LTW 88-51
+30.5
4
vsSHSU
SHSUW 68-67
−3.5
8
@UTEP
UTEPL 80-83
−6.5
10
@NMSU
NMSUW 59-55
+7.5
14
@LT
LTL 58-59
−4.5
17
vsMOST
MOSTW 90-87
−2.5
covered 7didn’t cover 8avg +3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
12
@EVAN
EVANW 77-72
+8.5
19
@MICH
MICHL 61-86
−12.5
23
vsMUR
MURW 90-87
+15.5
24
vsGW
GWL 79-92
+12.5
25
vsMCN
MCNL 62-72
−13.5
1
vsUAB
UABW 76-61
−16.5
7
vsBEL
BELL 62-83
−8.5
17
vsKENN
KENNW 68-67
−25.5
29
@HOU
HOUL 60-69
−9.5
2
vsLT
LTW 88-51
+4.5
4
vsSHSU
SHSUW 68-67
−21.5
8
@UTEP
UTEPL 80-83
+25.5
10
@NMSU
NMSUW 59-55
−30.5
14
@LT
LTL 58-59
−14.5
17
vsMOST
MOSTW 90-87
+39.5
over 6under 9avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Jax State
15 games played
Straight up
6-9
40% wins
Against the spread
4-11
27% covers · avg −2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-6
60% overs · avg −2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14 | vs CCU | W 74-67 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 19 | vs USA | L 65-71 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 24 | @ ARST | L 63-74 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 26 | vs NDSU | L 43-56 | +3.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | U 99 |
| Dec 1 | vs UNA | L 66-73 | -6.5 | L −13.5 | 134.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 13 | @ GAST | L 73-77 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 139.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 17 | vs EKU | L 59-62 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 20 | @ ETSU | W 81-75 | +9.5 | W +15.5 | 134.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 29 | vs WKU | W 78-67 | +2.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 2 | @ DEL | W 67-64 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 126.5 | O 131 |
| Jan 4 | @ LIB | L 69-78 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 7 | vs FIU | W 71-64 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 10 | @KENN | L 82-88 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 14 | vsSHSU | L 62-77 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 17 | vsLT | W 64-60 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 127.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
14
vsCCU
CCUW 74-67
−0.5
19
vsUSA
USAL 65-71
−8.5
24
@ARST
ARSTL 63-74
−6.5
26
vsNDSU
NDSUL 43-56
−9.5
1
vsUNA
UNAL 66-73
−13.5
13
@GAST
GASTL 73-77
−7.5
17
vsEKU
EKUL 59-62
−5.5
20
@ETSU
ETSUW 81-75
+15.5
29
vsWKU
WKUW 78-67
+13.5
2
@DEL
DELW 67-64
−1.5
4
@LIB
LIBL 69-78
+0.5
7
vsFIU
FIUW 71-64
+5.5
10
@KENN
KENNL 82-88
−0.5
14
vsSHSU
SHSUL 62-77
−16.5
17
vsLT
LTW 64-60
−0.5
covered 4didn’t cover 11avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
14
vsCCU
CCUW 74-67
+1.5
19
vsUSA
USAL 65-71
+0.5
24
@ARST
ARSTL 63-74
−18.5
26
vsNDSU
NDSUL 43-56
−43.5
1
vsUNA
UNAL 66-73
+4.5
13
@GAST
GASTL 73-77
+10.5
17
vsEKU
EKUL 59-62
−21.5
20
@ETSU
ETSUW 81-75
+21.5
29
vsWKU
WKUW 78-67
+2.5
2
@DEL
DELW 67-64
+4.5
4
@LIB
LIBL 69-78
+12.5
7
vsFIU
FIUW 71-64
−15.5
10
@KENN
KENNL 82-88
+20.5
14
vsSHSU
SHSUL 62-77
−11.5
17
vsLT
LTW 64-60
−3.5
over 9under 6avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
MTSU
8-7 overall · 5-2 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Missouri St90–87
- L@ Louisiana Tech58–59
- W@ New Mexico St59–55
- L@ UTEP80–83
- Wvs Sam Houston68–67
6 days since their last game.
Jax State
6-9 overall · 4-3 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Louisiana Tech64–60
- Lvs Sam Houston62–77
- L@ Kennesaw St82–88
- Wvs FIU71–64
- L@ Liberty69–78
6 days since their last game.