Madison Square Garden · at Knicks
LineNo line yet
Total—
 NO | This season | NY |
|---|---|---|
| 2-4 | Record | 2-4 |
| 4-2 | ATS | 1-5 |
| 4-2 | O/U | 1-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects NY 118–109 · win probability NY 75%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 226.9
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 212-225 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it
NO 3, NY 3 · 2026-27 so far
Context
Schedule so far
NO has played the 28th-hardest schedule, NY the 13th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Context
Tempo
About 105 possessions: NO plays 108.0 a game (2nd fastest), NY 101.0 (28th). Faster games mean more points
NYBigRebounding
Offensive rebound rate: NO 24.3%, NY 30.3%. Defensive: NO 76.4%, NY 78.7%
NYBigNO offense vs NY defense
Offense 13th of 30 against a defense 3rd, on the model’s ratings
NOBigRecent form
Last 5: NO 4-1 ATS, margin +2.8; NY 1-4 ATS, margin +0.4
NOSmallShooting
Effective FG%: NO 55.1 and allows 54.2; NY 49.5 and allows 53.1
NOSmallFree throws
Free throw rate: NO 35.3, NY 24.5. Allowed: NO 30.6, NY 25.9
NYSmallHome court
NY at home. This season: NY 1-2 at home, NO 0-2 away
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: NO 17.4%, NY 15.2%. Forced: NO 16.3%, NY 13.2%
Even
NY offense vs NO defense
Offense 23rd of 30 against a defense 24th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Three-pointers
NO hits 31.2% and allows 30.5%; NY hits 35.2% and allows 35.5%. Threes are 32.8% and 43.2% of their shots
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: NO 100%, NY 100%. Transfers in: NO 0, NY 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelNY -9.4
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model226.9
Model edge—
Projected score
NO 108.7 · NY 118.1
Win probability
NY 75%
1st half
Spread
NY -5.2
Total
113.7
Projected score
NO 54.3 · NY 59.4
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOlast 6 | 2-4 33% | 4-2 67% | 4-2 67% |
| NYlast 6 | 2-4 33% | 1-5 17% | 1-5 17% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
NO 4–6 NYNY leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · NY has won the last 4 meetings · NO 5-4-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2025-26 | NO 116 @ NY 121 | NY -8.5 | NO W |
| Dec 29, 2025-26 | NY 130 @ NO 125 | NO +8.5 | NO W |
| Dec 21, 2024-25 | NY 104 @ NO 93 | NO +8.5 | NY W |
| Dec 1, 2024-25 | NO 85 @ NY 118 | NY -12.5 | NY W |
| Feb 27, 2023-24 | NO 115 @ NY 92 | NY +6.5 | NO W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Pelicans
6 games played
Straight up
2-4
33% wins
Against the spread
4-2
67% covers · avg +5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-2
67% overs · avg −1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
IND
INDL 120-123
−0.5
23
@
UTAH
UTAHL 119-120
+0.5
24
@
DEN
DENL 135-141
+5.5
28
vsDEN
DENL 91-104
−8.5
29
vs
SAC
SACW 132-120
+5.5
31
vs
ATL
ATLW 121-99
+27.5
covered 4didn’t cover 2avg +5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsIND
INDL 120-123
+4.5
23
@UTAH
UTAHL 119-120
+0.5
24
@DEN
DENL 135-141
+36.5
28
vsDEN
DENL 91-104
−46.5
29
vsSAC
SACW 132-120
+17.5
31
vsATL
ATLW 121-99
−19.5
over 4under 2avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Knicks
6 games played
Straight up
2-4
33% wins
Against the spread
1-5
17% covers · avg −3.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-5
17% overs · avg −11.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
vs
PHI
PHIL 100-106
−10.5
23
@
BOS
BOSL 103-107
−1.5
25
vs
ORL
ORLL 102-111
−15.5
27
vs
DET
DETW 111-97
+9.5
28
@
CHI
CHIW 133-127
−1.5
30
@PHI
PHIL 93-98
−2.5
covered 1didn’t cover 5avg −3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
vsPHI
PHIL 100-106
−25.5
23
@BOS
BOSL 103-107
−10.5
25
vsORL
ORLL 102-111
−11.5
27
vsDET
DETW 111-97
−12.5
28
@CHI
CHIW 133-127
+26.5
30
@PHI
PHIL 93-98
−33.5
over 1under 5avg −11.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Knicks has the better starters
Position by position: Pelicans 0, Knicks 3, even 2
PelicansBetterKnicks
G D. Murray17.8 pts · 5.8 reb · 6 ast
Score 45
→NYBig
G J. Brunson25.5 pts · 2.8 reb · 5.2 ast
Score 86
G J. Fears13 pts · 4.3 reb · 4.5 ast
Score 19
→NYBig
G J. Hart8.7 pts · 7.5 reb · 3.3 ast
Score 91
F Z. Williamson20.7 pts · 4.3 reb · 2.5 ast
Score 81
=Even
G M. Bridges6.2 pts · 2.8 reb · 2 ast
Score 75
F H. Jones6.8 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.7 ast
Score 75
=Even
F O. Anunoby16.2 pts · 5.8 reb · 2.7 ast
Score 73
C D. Jordan6 pts · 6.5 reb · 1 ast
Score 52
→NYSmall
C K. Towns21.8 pts · 13.5 reb · 3.2 ast
Score 80
PelicansBetterKnicks
NO offense13th of 30 · +1.1
→NYSmall
NY defense3rd of 30 · +5.2
NO defense24th of 30 · -3.7
=Even
NY offense23rd of 30 · -1.8
Backcourt-1.6 · 2 players
→NYBig
Backcourt+35.0 · 3 players
Frontcourt+15.7 · 3 players
→NYSmall
Frontcourt+17.7 · 2 players
Bench-16.0 · 5 players
→NYBig
Bench+5.0 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestNO betterNY betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
PelicansGuards
D. Murray32 minJ. Fears25 minS. Bey25 minB. McGowens21 minB. Mathurin18 minA. Johnson10 min
Forwards
Z. Williamson32 minH. Jones21 minJ. Reese31 minT. Watford18 minK. Matkovic16 min
Centers
D. Jordan17 minD. Queen24 min
Out
J. PooleOutT. MurphyDay-To-DayY. MissiOut
KnicksGuards
J. Brunson35 minJ. Hart33 minM. Bridges28 minL. Shamet24 minM. McBride19 minT. Kolek14 min
Forwards
O. Anunoby34 minD. Knecht10 minM. Diawara9 minP. Dadiet5 minT. NickelNew
Centers
K. Towns32 minJ. Wiseman15 minA. Drummond13 min
Out
J. AlvaradoOut
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
Scoring
Points per game
NO119.7 #7NY107.0 #27Points per possession
NO1.10 #15NY1.05 #24Pace (possessions)
NO108.0 #2NY101.0 #28Shooting
Effective FG%
NO55.1 #9NY49.5 #273-point %
NO31.2 #25NY35.2 #133-point attempt rate
NO32.8 #30NY43.2 #14Free throw rate
NO35.3 #4NY24.5 #23Possessions
Turnover rate
NO17.4 #26NY15.2 #14Offensive rebound rate
NO24.3 #25NY30.3 #6Assists per game
NO25.5 #21NY26.2 #18Defense
Points allowed
NO117.8 #24NY107.7 #6Points allowed per possession
NO1.09 #16NY1.07 #12Opponent effective FG%
NO54.2 #21NY53.1 #14Opponent 3-point %
NO30.5 #5NY35.5 #18Turnovers forced
NO16.3 #10NY13.2 #29Defensive rebound rate
NO76.4 #6NY78.7 #1Steals per game
NO13.7 #1NY7.3 #23Blocks per game
NO4.8 #16NY4.0 #28| NO | NY | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 119.7 #7 | Points per game | 107.0 #27 |
| 1.10 #15 | Points per possession | 1.05 #24 |
| 108.0 #2 | Pace (possessions) | 101.0 #28 |
| Shooting | ||
| 55.1 #9 | Effective FG% | 49.5 #27 |
| 31.2 #25 | 3-point % | 35.2 #13 |
| 32.8 #30 | 3-point attempt rate | 43.2 #14 |
| 35.3 #4 | Free throw rate | 24.5 #23 |
| Possessions | ||
| 17.4 #26 | Turnover rate | 15.2 #14 |
| 24.3 #25 | Offensive rebound rate | 30.3 #6 |
| 25.5 #21 | Assists per game | 26.2 #18 |
| Defense | ||
| 117.8 #24 | Points allowed | 107.7 #6 |
| 1.09 #16 | Points allowed per possession | 1.07 #12 |
| 54.2 #21 | Opponent effective FG% | 53.1 #14 |
| 30.5 #5 | Opponent 3-point % | 35.5 #18 |
| 16.3 #10 | Turnovers forced | 13.2 #29 |
| 76.4 #6 | Defensive rebound rate | 78.7 #1 |
| 13.7 #1 | Steals per game | 7.3 #23 |
| 4.8 #16 | Blocks per game | 4.0 #28 |
Pelicans
2-4 overall · 1-3 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Hawks121–99
- Wvs Kings132–120
- Lvs Nuggets91–104
- L@ Nuggets135–141
- L@ Jazz119–120
A week or more of rest.
Knicks
2-4 overall · 2-4 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- L@ 76ers93–98
- W@ Bulls133–127
- Wvs Pistons111–97
- Lvs Magic102–111
- L@ Celtics103–107
A week or more of rest.