Frost Bank Center · at Spurs
LineNo line yet
Total—
 NY | This season | SA |
|---|---|---|
| 2-4 | Record | 4-2 |
| 1-5 | ATS | 2-4 |
| 1-5 | O/U | 2-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects SA 113–107 · win probability SA 66%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 220.1
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 212-225 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: SA has more of the edges
NY 2, SA 4 · 2026-27 so far
SABigNY offense vs SA defense
Offense 23rd of 30 against a defense 7th, on the model’s ratings
SABigTurnovers
Turnover rate: NY 15.2%, SA 13.1%. Forced: NY 13.2%, SA 15.7%
Context
Tempo
About 103 possessions: NY plays 101.0 a game (28th fastest), SA 104.3 (11th). Faster games mean more points
NYSmallRebounding
Offensive rebound rate: NY 30.3%, SA 27.2%. Defensive: NY 78.7%, SA 75.8%
SASmallShooting
Effective FG%: NY 49.5 and allows 53.1; SA 53.3 and allows 52.1
NYSmallThree-pointers
NY hits 35.2% and allows 35.5%; SA hits 34.9% and allows 37.3%. Threes are 43.2% and 39.0% of their shots
SASmallHome court
SA at home. This season: SA 2-2 at home, NY 1-2 away
Even
Recent form
Last 5: NY 1-4 ATS, margin +0.4; SA 2-3 ATS, margin +11.0
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: NY 24.5, SA 24.5. Allowed: NY 25.9, SA 21.7
Context
Schedule so far
NY has played the 13th-hardest schedule, SA the 15th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
SA offense vs NY defense
Offense 5th of 30 against a defense 3rd, on the model’s ratings
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: NY 100%, SA 100%. Transfers in: NY 0, SA 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelSA -5.6
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model220.1
Model edge—
Projected score
NY 107.2 · SA 112.9
Win probability
SA 66%
1st half
Spread
SA -3.0
Total
110.5
Projected score
NY 53.7 · SA 56.8
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYlast 6 | 2-4 33% | 1-5 17% | 1-5 17% |
| SAlast 6 | 4-2 67% | 2-4 33% | 2-4 33% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 16 since 2021-22
NY 11–5 SANY leads · 16 games since 2021-22 · NY has won the last 2 meetings · NY 9-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2025-26 | NY 94 @ SA 90 | SA -5.5 | NY W |
| Jun 10, 2025-26 | SA 106 @ NY 107 | NY -2.5 | SA W |
| Jun 8, 2025-26 | SA 115 @ NY 111 | NY -1.5 | SA W |
| Jun 5, 2025-26 | NY 105 @ SA 104 | SA -6.5 | NY W |
| Jun 3, 2025-26 | NY 105 @ SA 95 | SA -4.5 | NY W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Knicks
6 games played
Straight up
2-4
33% wins
Against the spread
1-5
17% covers · avg −3.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-5
17% overs · avg −11.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
vs
PHI
PHIL 100-106
−10.5
23
@
BOS
BOSL 103-107
−1.5
25
vs
ORL
ORLL 102-111
−15.5
27
vs
DET
DETW 111-97
+9.5
28
@
CHI
CHIW 133-127
−1.5
30
@PHI
PHIL 93-98
−2.5
covered 1didn’t cover 5avg −3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
vsPHI
PHIL 100-106
−25.5
23
@BOS
BOSL 103-107
−10.5
25
vsORL
ORLL 102-111
−11.5
27
vsDET
DETW 111-97
−12.5
28
@CHI
CHIW 133-127
+26.5
30
@PHI
PHIL 93-98
−33.5
over 1under 5avg −11.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Spurs
6 games played
Straight up
4-2
67% wins
Against the spread
2-4
33% covers · avg −3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
vs
OKC
OKCL 104-116
−10.5
23
vs
HOU
HOUL 110-114
−8.5
24
@
DAL
DALW 122-106
+1.5
27
vs
SAC
SACW 130-103
+7.5
28
@
UTAH
UTAHW 117-111
−7.5
31
vs
MIN
MINW 121-111
−2.5
covered 2didn’t cover 4avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
vsOKC
OKCL 104-116
−9.5
23
vsHOU
HOUL 110-114
−0.5
24
@DAL
DALW 122-106
−1.5
27
vsSAC
SACW 130-103
+0.5
28
@UTAH
UTAHW 117-111
−4.5
31
vsMIN
MINW 121-111
+1.5
over 2under 4avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
The starting fives are even
Position by position: Knicks 1, Spurs 1, even 3
KnicksBetterSpurs
G J. Brunson25.5 pts · 2.8 reb · 5.2 ast
Score 86
=Even
G D. Harper18.5 pts · 5.5 reb · 4.8 ast
Score 98
G J. Hart8.7 pts · 7.5 reb · 3.3 ast
Score 91
←NYBig
G D. Vassell12 pts · 4.2 reb · 3.5 ast
Score 53
G M. Bridges6.2 pts · 2.8 reb · 2 ast
Score 75
=Even
G D. Fox16.5 pts · 4.8 reb · 7 ast
Score 84
F O. Anunoby16.2 pts · 5.8 reb · 2.7 ast
Score 73
=Even
G S. Castle14.5 pts · 5.8 reb · 5.2 ast
Score 69
C K. Towns21.8 pts · 13.5 reb · 3.2 ast
Score 80
→SASmall
F V. Wembanyama28 pts · 10.7 reb · 3 ast
Score 98
KnicksBetterSpurs
NY offense23rd of 30 · -1.8
→SABig
SA defense7th of 30 · +3.7
NY defense3rd of 30 · +5.2
=Even
SA offense5th of 30 · +2.9
Backcourt+35.0 · 3 players
→SABig
Backcourt+42.2 · 4 players
Frontcourt+17.7 · 2 players
=Even
Frontcourt+17.3 · 1 player
Bench+5.0 · 5 players
→SABig
Bench+19.9 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestNY betterSA betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
KnicksGuards
J. Brunson35 minJ. Hart33 minM. Bridges28 minL. Shamet24 minM. McBride19 minT. Kolek14 min
Forwards
O. Anunoby34 minD. Knecht10 minM. Diawara9 minP. Dadiet5 minT. NickelNew
Centers
K. Towns32 minJ. Wiseman15 minA. Drummond13 min
Out
J. AlvaradoOut
SpursGuards
D. Harper34 minD. Vassell33 minD. Fox32 minS. Castle29 minJ. McLaughlin6 minJ. Gillespie2 min
Forwards
V. Wembanyama33 minJ. Champagnie28 minK. Johnson22 minC. Bryant9 minH. Barnes8 minD. Jones Garcia6 min
Centers
L. Kornet15 minT. Reed4 min
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
Scoring
Points per game
NY107.0 #27SA117.3 #12Points per possession
NY1.05 #24SA1.12 #10Pace (possessions)
NY101.0 #28SA104.3 #11Shooting
Effective FG%
NY49.5 #27SA53.3 #163-point %
NY35.2 #13SA34.9 #173-point attempt rate
NY43.2 #14SA39.0 #24Free throw rate
NY24.5 #23SA24.5 #24Possessions
Turnover rate
NY15.2 #14SA13.1 #2Offensive rebound rate
NY30.3 #6SA27.2 #16Assists per game
NY26.2 #18SA27.5 #9Defense
Points allowed
NY107.7 #6SA110.2 #12Points allowed per possession
NY1.07 #12SA1.06 #6Opponent effective FG%
NY53.1 #14SA52.1 #11Opponent 3-point %
NY35.5 #18SA37.3 #23Turnovers forced
NY13.2 #29SA15.7 #14Defensive rebound rate
NY78.7 #1SA75.8 #7Steals per game
NY7.3 #23SA9.2 #10Blocks per game
NY4.0 #28SA7.0 #1| NY | SA | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 107.0 #27 | Points per game | 117.3 #12 |
| 1.05 #24 | Points per possession | 1.12 #10 |
| 101.0 #28 | Pace (possessions) | 104.3 #11 |
| Shooting | ||
| 49.5 #27 | Effective FG% | 53.3 #16 |
| 35.2 #13 | 3-point % | 34.9 #17 |
| 43.2 #14 | 3-point attempt rate | 39.0 #24 |
| 24.5 #23 | Free throw rate | 24.5 #24 |
| Possessions | ||
| 15.2 #14 | Turnover rate | 13.1 #2 |
| 30.3 #6 | Offensive rebound rate | 27.2 #16 |
| 26.2 #18 | Assists per game | 27.5 #9 |
| Defense | ||
| 107.7 #6 | Points allowed | 110.2 #12 |
| 1.07 #12 | Points allowed per possession | 1.06 #6 |
| 53.1 #14 | Opponent effective FG% | 52.1 #11 |
| 35.5 #18 | Opponent 3-point % | 37.3 #23 |
| 13.2 #29 | Turnovers forced | 15.7 #14 |
| 78.7 #1 | Defensive rebound rate | 75.8 #7 |
| 7.3 #23 | Steals per game | 9.2 #10 |
| 4.0 #28 | Blocks per game | 7.0 #1 |
Knicks
2-4 overall · 2-4 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- L@ 76ers93–98
- W@ Bulls133–127
- Wvs Pistons111–97
- Lvs Magic102–111
- L@ Celtics103–107
A week or more of rest.
Spurs
4-2 overall · 4-2 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Timberwolves121–111
- W@ Jazz117–111
- Wvs Kings130–103
- W@ Mavericks122–106
- Lvs Rockets110–114
A week or more of rest.