Kia Center · at Magic
LineNo line yet
Total—
 UTAH | This season | ORL |
|---|---|---|
| 1-5 | Record | 2-4 |
| 1-5 | ATS | 2-4 |
| 2-4 | O/U | 3-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects ORL 120–112 · win probability ORL 71%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 231.1
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 212-225 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: ORL has more of the edges
UTAH 1, ORL 6 · 2026-27 so far
UTAHBigRebounding
Offensive rebound rate: UTAH 25.7%, ORL 23.4%. Defensive: UTAH 77.1%, ORL 68.9%
ORLBigThree-pointers
UTAH hits 32.6% and allows 37.6%; ORL hits 35.4% and allows 34.6%. Threes are 41.7% and 46.5% of their shots
ORLSmallShooting
Effective FG%: UTAH 51.0 and allows 53.9; ORL 53.4 and allows 53.0
ORLSmallORL offense vs UTAH defense
Offense 21st of 30 against a defense 27th, on the model’s ratings
ORLSmallFree throws
Free throw rate: UTAH 31.6, ORL 31.7. Allowed: UTAH 33.8, ORL 29.8
ORLSmallUTAH offense vs ORL defense
Offense 20th of 30 against a defense 15th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 103 possessions: UTAH plays 104.0 a game (12th fastest), ORL 101.9 (22nd). Faster games mean more points
ORLSmallHome court
ORL at home. This season: ORL 0-3 at home, UTAH 0-1 away
Context
Schedule so far
UTAH has played the 4th-hardest schedule, ORL the 1st. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Recent form
Last 5: UTAH 1-4 ATS, margin -8.2; ORL 2-3 ATS, margin -9.4
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: UTAH 17.0%, ORL 17.0%. Forced: UTAH 13.3%, ORL 13.6%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UTAH 100%, ORL 100%. Transfers in: UTAH 0, ORL 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelORL -7.9
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model231.1
Model edge—
Projected score
UTAH 111.6 · ORL 119.5
Win probability
ORL 71%
1st half
Spread
ORL -4.3
Total
115.6
Projected score
UTAH 55.6 · ORL 60
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTAHlast 6 | 1-5 17% | 1-5 17% | 2-4 33% |
| ORLlast 6 | 2-4 33% | 2-4 33% | 3-3 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
UTAH 5–5 ORLSeries tied · 10 games since 2021-22 · ORL has won the last 2 meetings · UTAH 6-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2025-26 | UTAH 117 @ ORL 120 | ORL -7.5 | UTAH W |
| Dec 20, 2025-26 | ORL 128 @ UTAH 127 | UTAH +7.5 | UTAH W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | ORL 99 @ UTAH 113 | UTAH +3.5 | UTAH W |
| Jan 5, 2024-25 | UTAH 105 @ ORL 92 | ORL -9.5 | UTAH W |
| Feb 29, 2023-24 | UTAH 107 @ ORL 115 | ORL -6.5 | ORL W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Jazz
6 games played
Straight up
1-5
17% wins
Against the spread
1-5
17% covers · avg −5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@
MEM
MEML 103-123
−18.5
23
vs
NO
NOW 120-119
−0.5
25
vs
LAL
LALL 123-132
−2.5
26
vsMEM
MEML 105-110
−3.5
28
vs
SA
SAL 111-117
+7.5
31
vs
POR
PORL 90-112
−15.5
covered 1didn’t cover 5avg −5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@MEM
MEML 103-123
−14.5
23
vsNO
NOW 120-119
+0.5
25
vsLAL
LALL 123-132
+17.5
26
vsMEM
MEML 105-110
−22.5
28
vsSA
SAL 111-117
−4.5
31
vsPOR
PORL 90-112
−30.5
over 2under 4avg −9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Magic
6 games played
Straight up
2-4
33% wins
Against the spread
2-4
33% covers · avg −5.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-3
50% overs · avg −3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
ATL
ATLL 125-132
−9.5
23
vs
MIN
MINL 93-115
−23.5
25
@
NY
NYW 111-102
+15.5
28
@
TOR
TORL 99-129
−24.5
30
@TOR
TORW 121-114
+12.5
1
vs
BOS
BOSL 97-108
−4.5
covered 2didn’t cover 4avg −5.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsATL
ATLL 125-132
+23.5
23
vsMIN
MINL 93-115
−26.5
25
@NY
NYW 111-102
−11.5
28
@TOR
TORL 99-129
+3.5
30
@TOR
TORW 121-114
+8.5
1
vsBOS
BOSL 97-108
−16.5
over 3under 3avg −3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Magic has the better starters
Position by position: Jazz 1, Magic 2, even 2
JazzBetterMagic
G K. George21.7 pts · 3.8 reb · 6.3 ast
Score 8
→ORLBig
G D. Bane17.5 pts · 3.7 reb · 2.5 ast
Score 62
G A. Bailey13.3 pts · 7.8 reb · 2.2 ast
Score 11
=Even
G J. Richardson5.3 pts · 2 reb · 2 ast
Score 3
G D. Peterson13.3 pts · 4.3 reb · 2.8 ast
Score 17
→ORLBig
F F. Wagner19.7 pts · 6.7 reb · 7.8 ast
Score 90
F L. Markkanen15.4 pts · 5.4 reb · 1.6 ast
Score 94
←UTAHBig
F T. da Silva14.8 pts · 3.3 reb · 1.5 ast
Score 35
C J. Hayes8 pts · 6.6 reb · 2.4 ast
Score 36
=Even
C W. Carter13.5 pts · 8.8 reb · 1.2 ast
Score 28
JazzBetterMagic
UTAH offense20th of 30 · -1.2
→ORLSmall
ORL defense15th of 30 · -0.1
UTAH defense27th of 30 · -6.0
→ORLSmall
ORL offense21st of 30 · -1.5
Backcourt-20.5 · 3 players
→ORLBig
Backcourt-2.5 · 2 players
Frontcourt+15.0 · 2 players
=Even
Frontcourt+14.7 · 3 players
Bench+2.1 · 5 players
←UTAHBig
Bench-1.8 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestUTAH betterORL betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
JazzGuards
K. George32 minA. Bailey31 minD. Peterson30 minI. Collier19 minS. Mykhailiuk17 minJ. Okogie16 min
Forwards
L. Markkanen29 minB. Hinson20 minB. Sensabaugh16 minK. Filipowski8 minH. Ingram4 min
Centers
J. Hayes26 minM. Bamba19 minT. Bradley11 min
Out
J. JacksonOut
MagicGuards
D. Bane35 minJ. Richardson20 minJ. Carter18 minA. Morales6 min
Forwards
F. Wagner35 minT. da Silva29 minJ. Cain15 min
Centers
W. Carter32 minG. Bitadze9 minN. Vucevic9 minC. Castleton5 min
Out
J. SuggsOutP. BancheroOutA. BlackOut
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
Scoring
Points per game
UTAH108.7 #24ORL107.7 #26Points per possession
UTAH1.05 #25ORL1.07 #21Pace (possessions)
UTAH104.0 #12ORL101.9 #22Shooting
Effective FG%
UTAH51.0 #24ORL53.4 #153-point %
UTAH32.6 #23ORL35.4 #113-point attempt rate
UTAH41.7 #21ORL46.5 #6Free throw rate
UTAH31.6 #10ORL31.7 #9Possessions
Turnover rate
UTAH17.0 #25ORL17.0 #24Offensive rebound rate
UTAH25.7 #22ORL23.4 #26Assists per game
UTAH26.2 #19ORL26.3 #16Defense
Points allowed
UTAH118.8 #25ORL116.7 #22Points allowed per possession
UTAH1.14 #25ORL1.13 #24Opponent effective FG%
UTAH53.9 #18ORL53.0 #13Opponent 3-point %
UTAH37.6 #25ORL34.6 #13Turnovers forced
UTAH13.3 #28ORL13.6 #26Defensive rebound rate
UTAH77.1 #4ORL68.9 #26Steals per game
UTAH6.2 #29ORL7.0 #26Blocks per game
UTAH6.5 #5ORL4.2 #23| UTAH | ORL | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 108.7 #24 | Points per game | 107.7 #26 |
| 1.05 #25 | Points per possession | 1.07 #21 |
| 104.0 #12 | Pace (possessions) | 101.9 #22 |
| Shooting | ||
| 51.0 #24 | Effective FG% | 53.4 #15 |
| 32.6 #23 | 3-point % | 35.4 #11 |
| 41.7 #21 | 3-point attempt rate | 46.5 #6 |
| 31.6 #10 | Free throw rate | 31.7 #9 |
| Possessions | ||
| 17.0 #25 | Turnover rate | 17.0 #24 |
| 25.7 #22 | Offensive rebound rate | 23.4 #26 |
| 26.2 #19 | Assists per game | 26.3 #16 |
| Defense | ||
| 118.8 #25 | Points allowed | 116.7 #22 |
| 1.14 #25 | Points allowed per possession | 1.13 #24 |
| 53.9 #18 | Opponent effective FG% | 53.0 #13 |
| 37.6 #25 | Opponent 3-point % | 34.6 #13 |
| 13.3 #28 | Turnovers forced | 13.6 #26 |
| 77.1 #4 | Defensive rebound rate | 68.9 #26 |
| 6.2 #29 | Steals per game | 7.0 #26 |
| 6.5 #5 | Blocks per game | 4.2 #23 |
Jazz
1-5 overall · 1-5 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Lvs Trail Blazers90–112
- Lvs Spurs111–117
- Lvs Grizzlies105–110
- Lvs Lakers123–132
- Wvs Pelicans120–119
A week or more of rest.
Magic
2-4 overall · 2-3 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Lvs Celtics97–108
- W@ Raptors121–114
- L@ Raptors99–129
- W@ Knicks111–102
- Lvs Timberwolves93–115
A week or more of rest.