Intuit Dome · at Clippers · Conference game
LineNo line yet
Total—
 POR | This season | LAC |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | Record | 1-5 |
| 3-2 | ATS | 3-3 |
| 2-3 | O/U | 3-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects POR 114–111 · win probability POR 60%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 225.0
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 212-225 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: POR has more of the edges
POR 6, LAC 1 · 2026-27 so far
PORBigLAC offense vs POR defense
Offense 28th of 30 against a defense 11th, on the model’s ratings
PORBigShooting
Effective FG%: POR 56.2 and allows 51.3; LAC 52.9 and allows 56.9
Context
Schedule so far
POR has played the 27th-hardest schedule, LAC the 10th. A record against a soft schedule means less
PORBigRebounding
Offensive rebound rate: POR 27.6%, LAC 26.5%. Defensive: POR 77.3%, LAC 70.9%
PORSmallThree-pointers
POR hits 35.3% and allows 32.1%; LAC hits 38.6% and allows 38.2%. Threes are 51.5% and 42.3% of their shots
PORSmallTurnovers
Turnover rate: POR 14.6%, LAC 20.4%. Forced: POR 14.8%, LAC 17.0%
PORSmallFree throws
Free throw rate: POR 35.9, LAC 28.0. Allowed: POR 27.8, LAC 24.7
Context
Tempo
About 103 possessions: POR plays 103.5 a game (14th fastest), LAC 101.7 (23rd). Faster games mean more points
LACSmallHome court
LAC at home. This season: LAC 1-1 at home, POR 3-0 away
Even
Recent form
Last 5: POR 3-2 ATS, margin +11.4; LAC 2-3 ATS, margin -13.8
Even
POR offense vs LAC defense
Offense 10th of 30 against a defense 12th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: POR 100%, LAC 100%. Transfers in: POR 0, LAC 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelPOR -3.6
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model225.0
Model edge—
Projected score
POR 114.3 · LAC 110.7
Win probability
POR 60%
1st half
Spread
POR -2.2
Total
112.8
Projected score
POR 57.5 · LAC 55.3
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PORlast 5 | 4-1 80% | 3-2 60% | 2-3 40% |
| LAClast 6 | 1-5 17% | 3-3 50% | 3-3 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 18 since 2021-22
POR 4–14 LACLAC leads · 18 games since 2021-22 · POR has won the last 2 meetings · POR 8-10 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2025-26 | LAC 97 @ POR 116 | POR -1.5 | POR W |
| Mar 31, 2025-26 | POR 114 @ LAC 104 | LAC -4.5 | POR W |
| Dec 26, 2025-26 | LAC 119 @ POR 103 | POR +2.5 | LAC W |
| Oct 26, 2025-26 | POR 107 @ LAC 114 | LAC -8.5 | POR W |
| Jan 16, 2024-25 | LAC 118 @ POR 89 | POR +7.5 | LAC W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Trail Blazers
5 games played
Straight up
4-1
80% wins
Against the spread
3-2
60% covers · avg +6.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg −3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
PHX
PHXW 124-83
+37.5
23
@
SAC
SACW 128-120
−1.5
27
@
LAL
LALW 136-129
+8.5
29
vs
MEM
MEML 103-124
−28.5
31
@
UTAH
UTAHW 112-90
+15.5
covered 3didn’t cover 2avg +6.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsPHX
PHXW 124-83
−25.5
23
@SAC
SACW 128-120
+16.5
27
@LAL
LALW 136-129
+30.5
29
vsMEM
MEML 103-124
−6.5
31
@UTAH
UTAHW 112-90
−30.5
over 2under 3avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Clippers
6 games played
Straight up
1-5
17% wins
Against the spread
3-3
50% covers · avg −3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-3
50% overs · avg −3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vsSAC
SACW 121-96
+19.5
23
@LAL
LALL 117-125
+0.5
25
@
OKC
OKCL 101-108
+9.5
28
vsLAL
LALL 87-103
−17.5
30
@
MIN
MINL 101-127
−19.5
1
@
GS
GSL 112-124
−10.5
covered 3didn’t cover 3avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsSAC
SACW 121-96
−9.5
23
@LAL
LALL 117-125
+16.5
25
@OKC
OKCL 101-108
−14.5
28
vsLAL
LALL 87-103
−34.5
30
@MIN
MINL 101-127
+5.5
1
@GS
GSL 112-124
+15.5
over 3under 3avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Trail Blazers has the better starters
Position by position: Trail Blazers 3, Clippers 1, even 1
Trail BlazersBetterClippers
G D. Lillard19.2 pts · 4 reb · 3.6 ast
Score 89
←PORBig
G D. Garland20.8 pts · 1.3 reb · 6.3 ast
Score 27
G S. Henderson8.8 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.4 ast
Score 34
=Even
G K. Dunn8.5 pts · 3.8 reb · 5.3 ast
Score 25
F D. Avdija23 pts · 6.8 reb · 5.6 ast
Score 82
←PORBig
G K. Sanders8.5 pts · 3 reb · 2 ast
Score 31
F T. Camara15.2 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.2 ast
Score 44
→LACBig
F R. Hachimura13.4 pts · 6 reb · 0.6 ast
Score 83
C D. Clingan8.6 pts · 8.8 reb · 1.4 ast
Score 74
←PORBig
F I. Jackson8 pts · 6.2 reb · 2.3 ast
Score 8
Trail BlazersBetterClippers
POR offense10th of 30 · +1.4
=Even
LAC defense12th of 30 · +1.7
POR defense11th of 30 · +1.8
←PORBig
LAC offense28th of 30 · -3.5
Backcourt+11.6 · 2 players
←PORBig
Backcourt-5.9 · 3 players
Frontcourt+16.7 · 3 players
←PORBig
Frontcourt+3.6 · 2 players
Bench+15.6 · 5 players
←PORBig
Bench+3.5 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestPOR betterLAC betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Trail BlazersGuards
D. Lillard29 minS. Henderson21 minJ. Holiday25 minS. Cissoko22 minV. Krejci11 minC. Youngblood6 min
Forwards
D. Avdija31 minT. Camara26 minJ. Tonje8 min
Centers
D. Clingan22 minM. Potter19 minR. Williams17 minB. Carlson12 minY. Hansen10 min
Out
J. MorantOut
ClippersGuards
D. Garland33 minK. Dunn30 minK. Sanders23 minK. Wagler25 minJ. Pickett16 minG. Dick14 min
Forwards
R. Hachimura30 minI. Jackson22 minB. Miller8 minN. Martinelli5 min
Centers
B. Lopez22 min
Out
D. JonesDay-To-Day
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
Scoring
Points per game
POR120.6 #4LAC106.5 #28Points per possession
POR1.16 #5LAC1.04 #27Pace (possessions)
POR103.5 #14LAC101.7 #23Shooting
Effective FG%
POR56.2 #4LAC52.9 #183-point %
POR35.3 #12LAC38.6 #53-point attempt rate
POR51.5 #1LAC42.3 #17Free throw rate
POR35.9 #3LAC28.0 #17Possessions
Turnover rate
POR14.6 #9LAC20.4 #30Offensive rebound rate
POR27.6 #14LAC26.5 #21Assists per game
POR26.2 #17LAC24.3 #26Defense
Points allowed
POR109.2 #10LAC113.8 #15Points allowed per possession
POR1.06 #10LAC1.13 #22Opponent effective FG%
POR51.3 #8LAC56.9 #28Opponent 3-point %
POR32.1 #8LAC38.2 #26Turnovers forced
POR14.8 #20LAC17.0 #8Defensive rebound rate
POR77.3 #3LAC70.9 #20Steals per game
POR8.6 #18LAC11.3 #3Blocks per game
POR4.2 #21LAC4.2 #22| POR | LAC | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 120.6 #4 | Points per game | 106.5 #28 |
| 1.16 #5 | Points per possession | 1.04 #27 |
| 103.5 #14 | Pace (possessions) | 101.7 #23 |
| Shooting | ||
| 56.2 #4 | Effective FG% | 52.9 #18 |
| 35.3 #12 | 3-point % | 38.6 #5 |
| 51.5 #1 | 3-point attempt rate | 42.3 #17 |
| 35.9 #3 | Free throw rate | 28.0 #17 |
| Possessions | ||
| 14.6 #9 | Turnover rate | 20.4 #30 |
| 27.6 #14 | Offensive rebound rate | 26.5 #21 |
| 26.2 #17 | Assists per game | 24.3 #26 |
| Defense | ||
| 109.2 #10 | Points allowed | 113.8 #15 |
| 1.06 #10 | Points allowed per possession | 1.13 #22 |
| 51.3 #8 | Opponent effective FG% | 56.9 #28 |
| 32.1 #8 | Opponent 3-point % | 38.2 #26 |
| 14.8 #20 | Turnovers forced | 17.0 #8 |
| 77.3 #3 | Defensive rebound rate | 70.9 #20 |
| 8.6 #18 | Steals per game | 11.3 #3 |
| 4.2 #21 | Blocks per game | 4.2 #22 |
Trail Blazers
4-1 overall · 4-1 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Jazz112–90
- Lvs Grizzlies103–124
- W@ Lakers136–129
- W@ Kings128–120
- Wvs Suns124–83
A week or more of rest.
Clippers
1-5 overall · 1-5 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- L@ Warriors112–124
- L@ Timberwolves101–127
- Lvs Lakers87–103
- L@ Thunder101–108
- L@ Lakers117–125
A week or more of rest.