Rocket Arena · at Cavaliers
LineNo line yet
Total—
 POR | This season | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | Record | 4-2 |
| 3-2 | ATS | 2-4 |
| 2-3 | O/U | 3-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects CLE 116–115 · win probability CLE 54%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 231.3
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 212-225 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it
POR 2, CLE 2 · 2026-27 so far
PORBigPOR offense vs CLE defense
Offense 10th of 30 against a defense 20th, on the model’s ratings
CLESmallCLE offense vs POR defense
Offense 2nd of 30 against a defense 11th, on the model’s ratings
PORSmallRebounding
Offensive rebound rate: POR 27.6%, CLE 26.7%. Defensive: POR 77.3%, CLE 73.9%
Context
Tempo
About 105 possessions: POR plays 103.5 a game (14th fastest), CLE 106.2 (3rd). Faster games mean more points
CLESmallHome court
CLE at home. This season: CLE 3-0 at home, POR 3-0 away
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: POR 56.2 and allows 51.3; CLE 55.3 and allows 52.5
Context
Schedule so far
POR has played the 27th-hardest schedule, CLE the 24th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Recent form
Last 5: POR 3-2 ATS, margin +11.4; CLE 2-3 ATS, margin +7.6
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: POR 14.6%, CLE 14.2%. Forced: POR 14.8%, CLE 14.1%
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: POR 35.9, CLE 28.9. Allowed: POR 27.8, CLE 23.2
Even
Three-pointers
POR hits 35.3% and allows 32.1%; CLE hits 37.0% and allows 33.7%. Threes are 51.5% and 43.6% of their shots
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: POR 100%, CLE 100%. Transfers in: POR 0, CLE 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelCLE -1.5
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model231.3
Model edge—
Projected score
POR 114.9 · CLE 116.4
Win probability
CLE 54%
1st half
Spread
CLE -0.7
Total
115.7
Projected score
POR 57.5 · CLE 58.2
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PORlast 5 | 4-1 80% | 3-2 60% | 2-3 40% |
| CLElast 6 | 4-2 67% | 2-4 33% | 3-3 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
POR 2–8 CLECLE leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · POR 3-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025-26 | CLE 130 @ POR 111 | POR +3.5 | CLE W |
| Dec 3, 2025-26 | POR 122 @ CLE 110 | CLE -10.5 | POR W |
| Mar 25, 2024-25 | CLE 122 @ POR 111 | POR +6.5 | CLE W |
| Mar 2, 2024-25 | POR 129 @ CLE 133 | CLE -10.5 | POR W |
| Nov 30, 2023-24 | POR 103 @ CLE 95 | CLE -12.5 | POR W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Trail Blazers
5 games played
Straight up
4-1
80% wins
Against the spread
3-2
60% covers · avg +6.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg −3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
PHX
PHXW 124-83
+37.5
23
@
SAC
SACW 128-120
−1.5
27
@
LAL
LALW 136-129
+8.5
29
vs
MEM
MEML 103-124
−28.5
31
@
UTAH
UTAHW 112-90
+15.5
covered 3didn’t cover 2avg +6.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsPHX
PHXW 124-83
−25.5
23
@SAC
SACW 128-120
+16.5
27
@LAL
LALW 136-129
+30.5
29
vsMEM
MEML 103-124
−6.5
31
@UTAH
UTAHW 112-90
−30.5
over 2under 3avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Cavaliers
6 games played
Straight up
4-2
67% wins
Against the spread
2-4
33% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-3
50% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
22
@
PHI
PHIL 106-114
−5.5
24
vs
BKN
BKNW 125-121
−7.5
26
vs
MIN
MINW 127-125
−1.5
28
vs
WSH
WSHW 121-111
+0.5
29
@
ATL
ATLL 111-114
−1.5
31
@
MIL
MILW 136-111
+16.5
covered 2didn’t cover 4avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
22
@PHI
PHIL 106-114
−17.5
24
vsBKN
BKNW 125-121
+17.5
26
vsMIN
MINW 127-125
+17.5
28
vsWSH
WSHW 121-111
−8.5
29
@ATL
ATLL 111-114
−12.5
31
@MIL
MILW 136-111
+12.5
over 3under 3avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Cavaliers has the better starters
Position by position: Trail Blazers 1, Cavaliers 2, even 2
Trail BlazersBetterCavaliers
G D. Lillard19.2 pts · 4 reb · 3.6 ast
Score 89
←PORBig
G J. Harden16.7 pts · 4.8 reb · 6.3 ast
Score 53
G S. Henderson8.8 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.4 ast
Score 34
→CLEBig
G D. Mitchell22.7 pts · 5.3 reb · 4.5 ast
Score 86
F D. Avdija23 pts · 6.8 reb · 5.6 ast
Score 82
=Even
G S. Merrill8.5 pts · 3 reb · 2.3 ast
Score 90
F T. Camara15.2 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.2 ast
Score 44
=Even
C E. Mobley19.7 pts · 8.2 reb · 3.5 ast
Score 30
C D. Clingan8.6 pts · 8.8 reb · 1.4 ast
Score 74
→CLESmall
C J. Allen15.3 pts · 9.2 reb · 1.5 ast
Score 100
Trail BlazersBetterCavaliers
POR offense10th of 30 · +1.4
←PORSmall
CLE defense20th of 30 · -1.2
POR defense11th of 30 · +1.8
→CLESmall
CLE offense2nd of 30 · +4.0
Backcourt+11.6 · 2 players
→CLEBig
Backcourt+25.3 · 3 players
Frontcourt+16.7 · 3 players
→CLESmall
Frontcourt+17.9 · 2 players
Bench+15.6 · 5 players
←PORBig
Bench+4.1 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestPOR betterCLE betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Trail BlazersGuards
D. Lillard29 minS. Henderson21 minJ. Holiday25 minS. Cissoko22 minV. Krejci11 minC. Youngblood6 min
Forwards
D. Avdija31 minT. Camara26 minJ. Tonje8 min
Centers
D. Clingan22 minM. Potter19 minR. Williams17 minB. Carlson12 minY. Hansen10 min
Out
J. MorantOut
CavaliersGuards
J. Harden34 minD. Mitchell33 minS. Merrill24 minM. Thomas21 minT. Proctor12 minC. Porter8 min
Forwards
M. Hezonja18 minT. Enaruna10 minR. Minix7 min
Centers
E. Mobley33 minJ. Allen28 minT. Bryant11 minE. UdehNew
Out
P. WatsonDay-To-DayJ. TysonOut
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
Scoring
Points per game
POR120.6 #4CLE121.0 #2Points per possession
POR1.16 #5CLE1.14 #7Pace (possessions)
POR103.5 #14CLE106.2 #3Shooting
Effective FG%
POR56.2 #4CLE55.3 #73-point %
POR35.3 #12CLE37.0 #83-point attempt rate
POR51.5 #1CLE43.6 #12Free throw rate
POR35.9 #3CLE28.9 #13Possessions
Turnover rate
POR14.6 #9CLE14.2 #6Offensive rebound rate
POR27.6 #14CLE26.7 #20Assists per game
POR26.2 #17CLE28.7 #4Defense
Points allowed
POR109.2 #10CLE116.0 #20Points allowed per possession
POR1.06 #10CLE1.09 #14Opponent effective FG%
POR51.3 #8CLE52.5 #12Opponent 3-point %
POR32.1 #8CLE33.7 #11Turnovers forced
POR14.8 #20CLE14.1 #25Defensive rebound rate
POR77.3 #3CLE73.9 #11Steals per game
POR8.6 #18CLE7.8 #22Blocks per game
POR4.2 #21CLE6.3 #6| POR | CLE | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 120.6 #4 | Points per game | 121.0 #2 |
| 1.16 #5 | Points per possession | 1.14 #7 |
| 103.5 #14 | Pace (possessions) | 106.2 #3 |
| Shooting | ||
| 56.2 #4 | Effective FG% | 55.3 #7 |
| 35.3 #12 | 3-point % | 37.0 #8 |
| 51.5 #1 | 3-point attempt rate | 43.6 #12 |
| 35.9 #3 | Free throw rate | 28.9 #13 |
| Possessions | ||
| 14.6 #9 | Turnover rate | 14.2 #6 |
| 27.6 #14 | Offensive rebound rate | 26.7 #20 |
| 26.2 #17 | Assists per game | 28.7 #4 |
| Defense | ||
| 109.2 #10 | Points allowed | 116.0 #20 |
| 1.06 #10 | Points allowed per possession | 1.09 #14 |
| 51.3 #8 | Opponent effective FG% | 52.5 #12 |
| 32.1 #8 | Opponent 3-point % | 33.7 #11 |
| 14.8 #20 | Turnovers forced | 14.1 #25 |
| 77.3 #3 | Defensive rebound rate | 73.9 #11 |
| 8.6 #18 | Steals per game | 7.8 #22 |
| 4.2 #21 | Blocks per game | 6.3 #6 |
Trail Blazers
4-1 overall · 4-1 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Jazz112–90
- Lvs Grizzlies103–124
- W@ Lakers136–129
- W@ Kings128–120
- Wvs Suns124–83
A week or more of rest.
Cavaliers
4-2 overall · 3-2 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Bucks136–111
- L@ Hawks111–114
- Wvs Wizards121–111
- Wvs Timberwolves127–125
- Wvs Nets125–121
A week or more of rest.