Co-op Live · at Pelicans · Conference game
LineNo line yet
Total—
 SA | This season | NO |
|---|---|---|
| 4-2 | Record | 2-4 |
| 2-4 | ATS | 4-2 |
| 2-4 | O/U | 4-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects SA 121–112 · win probability SA 73%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 232.4
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 212-225 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: SA has more of the edges
SA 4, NO 3 · 2026-27 so far
SABigSA offense vs NO defense
Offense 5th of 30 against a defense 24th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
SA has played the 15th-hardest schedule, NO the 28th. A record against a soft schedule means less
SABigTurnovers
Turnover rate: SA 13.1%, NO 17.4%. Forced: SA 15.7%, NO 16.3%
SASmallNO offense vs SA defense
Offense 13th of 30 against a defense 7th, on the model’s ratings
NOSmallRecent form
Last 5: SA 2-3 ATS, margin +11.0; NO 4-1 ATS, margin +2.8
NOSmallThree-pointers
SA hits 34.9% and allows 37.3%; NO hits 31.2% and allows 30.5%. Threes are 39.0% and 32.8% of their shots
Context
Tempo
About 106 possessions: SA plays 104.3 a game (11th fastest), NO 108.0 (2nd). Faster games mean more points
NOSmallHome court
NO at home. This season: NO 2-2 at home, SA 2-0 away
SASmallRebounding
Offensive rebound rate: SA 27.2%, NO 24.3%. Defensive: SA 75.8%, NO 76.4%
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: SA 24.5, NO 35.3. Allowed: SA 21.7, NO 30.6
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: SA 53.3 and allows 52.1; NO 55.1 and allows 54.2
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: SA 100%, NO 100%. Transfers in: SA 0, NO 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelSA -8.6
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model232.4
Model edge—
Projected score
SA 120.5 · NO 111.9
Win probability
SA 73%
1st half
Spread
SA -5.0
Total
116.3
Projected score
SA 60.6 · NO 55.6
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAlast 6 | 4-2 67% | 2-4 33% | 2-4 33% |
| NOlast 6 | 2-4 33% | 4-2 67% | 4-2 67% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 21 since 2021-22
SA 9–12 NONO leads · 21 games since 2021-22 · SA 7-14 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025-26 | NO 104 @ SA 95 | SA -11.5 | NO W |
| Dec 8, 2025-26 | SA 135 @ NO 132 | NO +8.5 | NO W |
| Nov 8, 2025-26 | NO 119 @ SA 126 | SA -11.5 | NO W |
| Oct 24, 2025-26 | SA 120 @ NO 116 | NO +3.5 | SA W |
| Mar 15, 2024-25 | NO 115 @ SA 119 | SA -0.5 | SA W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Spurs
6 games played
Straight up
4-2
67% wins
Against the spread
2-4
33% covers · avg −3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
vs
OKC
OKCL 104-116
−10.5
23
vs
HOU
HOUL 110-114
−8.5
24
@
DAL
DALW 122-106
+1.5
27
vs
SAC
SACW 130-103
+7.5
28
@
UTAH
UTAHW 117-111
−7.5
31
vs
MIN
MINW 121-111
−2.5
covered 2didn’t cover 4avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
vsOKC
OKCL 104-116
−9.5
23
vsHOU
HOUL 110-114
−0.5
24
@DAL
DALW 122-106
−1.5
27
vsSAC
SACW 130-103
+0.5
28
@UTAH
UTAHW 117-111
−4.5
31
vsMIN
MINW 121-111
+1.5
over 2under 4avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Pelicans
6 games played
Straight up
2-4
33% wins
Against the spread
4-2
67% covers · avg +5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-2
67% overs · avg −1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
IND
INDL 120-123
−0.5
23
@UTAH
UTAHL 119-120
+0.5
24
@
DEN
DENL 135-141
+5.5
28
vsDEN
DENL 91-104
−8.5
29
vsSAC
SACW 132-120
+5.5
31
vs
ATL
ATLW 121-99
+27.5
covered 4didn’t cover 2avg +5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsIND
INDL 120-123
+4.5
23
@UTAH
UTAHL 119-120
+0.5
24
@DEN
DENL 135-141
+36.5
28
vsDEN
DENL 91-104
−46.5
29
vsSAC
SACW 132-120
+17.5
31
vsATL
ATLW 121-99
−19.5
over 4under 2avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Spurs has the better starters
Position by position: Spurs 3, Pelicans 0, even 2
SpursBetterPelicans
G D. Harper18.5 pts · 5.5 reb · 4.8 ast
Score 98
←SABig
G D. Murray17.8 pts · 5.8 reb · 6 ast
Score 45
G D. Vassell12 pts · 4.2 reb · 3.5 ast
Score 53
←SASmall
G J. Fears13 pts · 4.3 reb · 4.5 ast
Score 19
G D. Fox16.5 pts · 4.8 reb · 7 ast
Score 84
=Even
F Z. Williamson20.7 pts · 4.3 reb · 2.5 ast
Score 81
G S. Castle14.5 pts · 5.8 reb · 5.2 ast
Score 69
=Even
F H. Jones6.8 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.7 ast
Score 75
F V. Wembanyama28 pts · 10.7 reb · 3 ast
Score 98
←SABig
C D. Jordan6 pts · 6.5 reb · 1 ast
Score 52
SpursBetterPelicans
SA offense5th of 30 · +2.9
←SABig
NO defense24th of 30 · -3.7
SA defense7th of 30 · +3.7
←SASmall
NO offense13th of 30 · +1.1
Backcourt+42.2 · 4 players
←SABig
Backcourt-1.6 · 2 players
Frontcourt+17.3 · 1 player
←SASmall
Frontcourt+15.7 · 3 players
Bench+19.9 · 5 players
←SABig
Bench-16.0 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestSA betterNO betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
SpursGuards
D. Harper34 minD. Vassell33 minD. Fox32 minS. Castle29 minJ. McLaughlin6 minJ. Gillespie2 min
Forwards
V. Wembanyama33 minJ. Champagnie28 minK. Johnson22 minC. Bryant9 minH. Barnes8 minD. Jones Garcia6 min
Centers
L. Kornet15 minT. Reed4 min
PelicansGuards
D. Murray32 minJ. Fears25 minS. Bey25 minB. McGowens21 minB. Mathurin18 minA. Johnson10 min
Forwards
Z. Williamson32 minH. Jones21 minJ. Reese31 minT. Watford18 minK. Matkovic16 min
Centers
D. Jordan17 minD. Queen24 min
Out
J. PooleOutT. MurphyDay-To-DayY. MissiOut
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
Scoring
Points per game
SA117.3 #12NO119.7 #7Points per possession
SA1.12 #10NO1.10 #15Pace (possessions)
SA104.3 #11NO108.0 #2Shooting
Effective FG%
SA53.3 #16NO55.1 #93-point %
SA34.9 #17NO31.2 #253-point attempt rate
SA39.0 #24NO32.8 #30Free throw rate
SA24.5 #24NO35.3 #4Possessions
Turnover rate
SA13.1 #2NO17.4 #26Offensive rebound rate
SA27.2 #16NO24.3 #25Assists per game
SA27.5 #9NO25.5 #21Defense
Points allowed
SA110.2 #12NO117.8 #24Points allowed per possession
SA1.06 #6NO1.09 #16Opponent effective FG%
SA52.1 #11NO54.2 #21Opponent 3-point %
SA37.3 #23NO30.5 #5Turnovers forced
SA15.7 #14NO16.3 #10Defensive rebound rate
SA75.8 #7NO76.4 #6Steals per game
SA9.2 #10NO13.7 #1Blocks per game
SA7.0 #1NO4.8 #16| SA | NO | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 117.3 #12 | Points per game | 119.7 #7 |
| 1.12 #10 | Points per possession | 1.10 #15 |
| 104.3 #11 | Pace (possessions) | 108.0 #2 |
| Shooting | ||
| 53.3 #16 | Effective FG% | 55.1 #9 |
| 34.9 #17 | 3-point % | 31.2 #25 |
| 39.0 #24 | 3-point attempt rate | 32.8 #30 |
| 24.5 #24 | Free throw rate | 35.3 #4 |
| Possessions | ||
| 13.1 #2 | Turnover rate | 17.4 #26 |
| 27.2 #16 | Offensive rebound rate | 24.3 #25 |
| 27.5 #9 | Assists per game | 25.5 #21 |
| Defense | ||
| 110.2 #12 | Points allowed | 117.8 #24 |
| 1.06 #6 | Points allowed per possession | 1.09 #16 |
| 52.1 #11 | Opponent effective FG% | 54.2 #21 |
| 37.3 #23 | Opponent 3-point % | 30.5 #5 |
| 15.7 #14 | Turnovers forced | 16.3 #10 |
| 75.8 #7 | Defensive rebound rate | 76.4 #6 |
| 9.2 #10 | Steals per game | 13.7 #1 |
| 7.0 #1 | Blocks per game | 4.8 #16 |
Spurs
4-2 overall · 4-2 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Timberwolves121–111
- W@ Jazz117–111
- Wvs Kings130–103
- W@ Mavericks122–106
- Lvs Rockets110–114
A week or more of rest.
Pelicans
2-4 overall · 1-3 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Hawks121–99
- Wvs Kings132–120
- Lvs Nuggets91–104
- L@ Nuggets135–141
- L@ Jazz119–120
A week or more of rest.