State Farm Arena · at Hawks · Conference game
LineNo line yet
Total—
 PHI | This season | ATL |
|---|---|---|
| 6-1 | Record | 3-4 |
| 4-3 | ATS | 3-4 |
| 2-5 | O/U | 4-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects ATL 115–111 · win probability ATL 59%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 225.8
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 212-225 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: ATL has more of the edges
PHI 2, ATL 3 · 2026-27 so far
Context
Schedule so far
PHI has played the 20th-hardest schedule, ATL the 9th. A record against a soft schedule means less
PHIBigFree throws
Free throw rate: PHI 28.7, ATL 23.4. Allowed: PHI 28.5, ATL 32.1
ATLSmallRebounding
Offensive rebound rate: PHI 19.9%, ATL 27.1%. Defensive: PHI 70.8%, ATL 70.9%
Context
Tempo
About 104 possessions: PHI plays 102.4 a game (19th fastest), ATL 105.6 (7th). Faster games mean more points
PHISmallShooting
Effective FG%: PHI 50.8 and allows 49.8; ATL 52.6 and allows 54.5
ATLSmallHome court
ATL at home. This season: ATL 1-2 at home, PHI 3-0 away
ATLSmallPHI offense vs ATL defense
Offense 22nd of 30 against a defense 18th, on the model’s ratings
Even
ATL offense vs PHI defense
Offense 7th of 30 against a defense 10th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Recent form
Last 5: PHI 2-3 ATS, margin +2.6; ATL 1-4 ATS, margin -9.6
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: PHI 12.3%, ATL 13.8%. Forced: PHI 17.0%, ATL 18.3%
Even
Three-pointers
PHI hits 34.0% and allows 32.1%; ATL hits 32.8% and allows 31.9%. Threes are 39.5% and 44.7% of their shots
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: PHI 100%, ATL 100%. Transfers in: PHI 0, ATL 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelATL -3.1
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model225.8
Model edge—
Projected score
PHI 111.3 · ATL 114.5
Win probability
ATL 59%
1st half
Spread
ATL -1.6
Total
113.2
Projected score
PHI 55.8 · ATL 57.4
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHIlast 7 | 6-1 86% | 4-3 57% | 2-5 29% |
| ATLlast 7 | 3-4 43% | 3-4 43% | 4-3 57% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 18 since 2021-22
PHI 7–11 ATLATL leads · 18 games since 2021-22 · ATL has won the last 9 meetings · PHI 8-9-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2025-26 | PHI 116 @ ATL 125 | ATL -6.5 | ATL W |
| Feb 19, 2025-26 | ATL 117 @ PHI 107 | PHI -1.5 | ATL W |
| Dec 14, 2025-26 | PHI 117 @ ATL 120 | ATL -4.5 | PHI W |
| Nov 30, 2025-26 | ATL 142 @ PHI 134 | PHI -2.5 | ATL W |
| Apr 11, 2024-25 | ATL 124 @ PHI 110 | PHI +11.5 | ATL W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
76ers
7 games played
Straight up
6-1
86% wins
Against the spread
4-3
57% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-5
29% overs · avg −15.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20 | @ NY | W 106-100 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 231.5 | U 206 |
| Oct 22 | vs CLE | W 114-106 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 237.5 | U 220 |
| Oct 24 | vs MIL | W 127-116 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 234.5 | O 243 |
| Oct 25 | vs DET | L 93-106 | +1.5 | L −11.5 | 228.5 | U 199 |
| Oct 28 | @ IND | W 114-109 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 234.5 | U 223 |
| Oct 30 | vsNY | W 98-93 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 224.5 | U 191 |
| Oct 31 | @ CHA | W 109-104 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 211.5 | O 213 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
@NY
NYW 106-100
+10.5
22
vsCLE
CLEW 114-106
+5.5
24
vsMIL
MILW 127-116
−1.5
25
vsDET
DETL 93-106
−11.5
28
@IND
INDW 114-109
−2.5
30
vsNY
NYW 98-93
+2.5
31
@CHA
CHAW 109-104
+3.5
covered 4didn’t cover 3avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
@NY
NYW 106-100
−25.5
22
vsCLE
CLEW 114-106
−17.5
24
vsMIL
MILW 127-116
+8.5
25
vsDET
DETL 93-106
−29.5
28
@IND
INDW 114-109
−11.5
30
vsNY
NYW 98-93
−33.5
31
@CHA
CHAW 109-104
+1.5
over 2under 5avg −15.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Hawks
7 games played
Straight up
3-4
43% wins
Against the spread
3-4
43% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-3
57% overs · avg −2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 | @ ORL | W 132-125 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 233.5 | O 257 |
| Oct 23 | @CHA | W 128-81 | -2.5 | W +44.5 | 226.5 | U 209 |
| Oct 24 | vs HOU | L 114-121 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 227.5 | O 235 |
| Oct 26 | @HOU | L 110-120 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 228.5 | O 230 |
| Oct 28 | vs MIA | L 117-129 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 243.5 | O 246 |
| Oct 29 | vsCLE | W 114-111 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 237.5 | U 225 |
| Oct 31 | @ NO | L 99-121 | -5.5 | L −27.5 | 239.5 | U 220 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@ORL
ORLW 132-125
+9.5
23
@CHA
CHAW 128-81
+44.5
24
vsHOU
HOUL 114-121
−5.5
26
@HOU
HOUL 110-120
−5.5
28
vsMIA
MIAL 117-129
−14.5
29
vsCLE
CLEW 114-111
+1.5
31
@NO
NOL 99-121
−27.5
covered 3didn’t cover 4avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@ORL
ORLW 132-125
+23.5
23
@CHA
CHAW 128-81
−17.5
24
vsHOU
HOUL 114-121
+7.5
26
@HOU
HOUL 110-120
+1.5
28
vsMIA
MIAL 117-129
+2.5
29
vsCLE
CLEW 114-111
−12.5
31
@NO
NOL 99-121
−19.5
over 4under 3avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
The starting fives are even
Position by position: 76ers 2, Hawks 2, even 1
76ersBetterHawks
G T. Maxey29.6 pts · 4.1 reb · 4.4 ast
Score 67
=Even
G N. Alexander-Walker19.3 pts · 3.1 reb · 2.6 ast
Score 67
G J. Brown19.8 pts · 6.2 reb · 4.2 ast
Score 35
→ATLBig
G D. Daniels10.3 pts · 5 reb · 4.1 ast
Score 87
G V. Edgecombe11.3 pts · 7.8 reb · 2.7 ast
Score 96
←PHIBig
G C. McCollum14.4 pts · 1.9 reb · 2.9 ast
Score 59
F L. James16.4 pts · 7 reb · 7 ast
Score 54
→ATLSmall
G A. Wiggins14.7 pts · 3.7 reb · 1.9 ast
Score 78
F D. Wade3.6 pts · 3 reb · 2.6 ast
Score 90
←PHIBig
F O. Okongwu11.9 pts · 7.1 reb · 2.6 ast
Score 30
76ersBetterHawks
PHI offense22nd of 30 · -1.7
=Even
ATL defense18th of 30 · -0.6
PHI defense10th of 30 · +3.0
=Even
ATL offense7th of 30 · +2.5
Backcourt+25.4 · 3 players
→ATLSmall
Backcourt+27.7 · 4 players
Frontcourt+14.0 · 2 players
←PHIBig
Frontcourt-1.3 · 1 player
Bench-19.8 · 5 players
→ATLBig
Bench-4.0 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestPHI betterATL betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
76ersGuards
T. Maxey38 minJ. Brown37 minV. Edgecombe33 minA. Simons25 minK. Caldwell-Pope24 minC. Love21 min
Forwards
L. James33 minD. Wade28 minJ. Edwards15 minJ. Walker10 min
Centers
A. Bona14 minT. FallNew
Out
J. EmbiidDay-To-Day
HawksGuards
N. Alexander-Walker30 minD. Daniels29 minC. McCollum26 minA. Wiggins26 minL. Dort24 min
Forwards
O. Okongwu28 minC. Kispert18 minD. Finney-Smith16 minA. Newell11 minZ. Ejiofor5 min
Out
J. LandaleOutJ. JohnsonDay-To-DayK. FlemingsSuspension
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
Scoring
Points per game
PHI108.7 #23ATL116.3 #13Points per possession
PHI1.06 #22ATL1.10 #16Pace (possessions)
PHI102.4 #19ATL105.6 #7Shooting
Effective FG%
PHI50.8 #25ATL52.6 #193-point %
PHI34.0 #20ATL32.8 #223-point attempt rate
PHI39.5 #23ATL44.7 #11Free throw rate
PHI28.7 #16ATL23.4 #26Possessions
Turnover rate
PHI12.3 #1ATL13.8 #4Offensive rebound rate
PHI19.9 #30ATL27.1 #18Assists per game
PHI25.1 #22ATL30.7 #1Defense
Points allowed
PHI104.9 #2ATL115.4 #19Points allowed per possession
PHI1.03 #3ATL1.10 #17Opponent effective FG%
PHI49.8 #4ATL54.5 #22Opponent 3-point %
PHI32.1 #9ATL31.9 #7Turnovers forced
PHI17.0 #9ATL18.3 #2Defensive rebound rate
PHI70.8 #21ATL70.9 #19Steals per game
PHI9.6 #7ATL9.4 #8Blocks per game
PHI5.0 #14ATL3.7 #29| PHI | ATL | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 108.7 #23 | Points per game | 116.3 #13 |
| 1.06 #22 | Points per possession | 1.10 #16 |
| 102.4 #19 | Pace (possessions) | 105.6 #7 |
| Shooting | ||
| 50.8 #25 | Effective FG% | 52.6 #19 |
| 34.0 #20 | 3-point % | 32.8 #22 |
| 39.5 #23 | 3-point attempt rate | 44.7 #11 |
| 28.7 #16 | Free throw rate | 23.4 #26 |
| Possessions | ||
| 12.3 #1 | Turnover rate | 13.8 #4 |
| 19.9 #30 | Offensive rebound rate | 27.1 #18 |
| 25.1 #22 | Assists per game | 30.7 #1 |
| Defense | ||
| 104.9 #2 | Points allowed | 115.4 #19 |
| 1.03 #3 | Points allowed per possession | 1.10 #17 |
| 49.8 #4 | Opponent effective FG% | 54.5 #22 |
| 32.1 #9 | Opponent 3-point % | 31.9 #7 |
| 17.0 #9 | Turnovers forced | 18.3 #2 |
| 70.8 #21 | Defensive rebound rate | 70.9 #19 |
| 9.6 #7 | Steals per game | 9.4 #8 |
| 5.0 #14 | Blocks per game | 3.7 #29 |
76ers
6-1 overall · 6-1 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Hornets109–104
- Wvs Knicks98–93
- W@ Pacers114–109
- Lvs Pistons93–106
- Wvs Bucks127–116
A week or more of rest.
Hawks
3-4 overall · 3-1 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- L@ Pelicans99–121
- Wvs Cavaliers114–111
- Lvs Heat117–129
- L@ Rockets110–120
- Lvs Rockets114–121
A week or more of rest.