Toyota Center (Houston) · at Rockets · Conference game
LineNo line yet
Total—
 UTAH | This season | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| 1-5 | Record | 6-1 |
| 1-5 | ATS | 6-1 |
| 2-4 | O/U | 5-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects HOU 123–106 · win probability HOU 89%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 229.2
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 212-225 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: HOU has more of the edges
UTAH 0, HOU 9 · 2026-27 so far
HOUBigHOU offense vs UTAH defense
Offense 6th of 30 against a defense 27th, on the model’s ratings
HOUBigThree-pointers
UTAH hits 32.6% and allows 37.6%; HOU hits 39.0% and allows 30.2%. Threes are 41.7% and 38.1% of their shots
HOUBigUTAH offense vs HOU defense
Offense 20th of 30 against a defense 4th, on the model’s ratings
HOUBigShooting
Effective FG%: UTAH 51.0 and allows 53.9; HOU 56.6 and allows 52.1
HOUBigTurnovers
Turnover rate: UTAH 17.0%, HOU 15.1%. Forced: UTAH 13.3%, HOU 15.7%
HOUBigFree throws
Free throw rate: UTAH 31.6, HOU 31.9. Allowed: UTAH 33.8, HOU 24.7
HOUBigRecent form
Last 5: UTAH 1-4 ATS, margin -8.2; HOU 4-1 ATS, margin +13.0
Context
Schedule so far
UTAH has played the 4th-hardest schedule, HOU the 12th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Context
Tempo
About 103 possessions: UTAH plays 104.0 a game (12th fastest), HOU 101.6 (24th). Faster games mean more points
HOUSmallRebounding
Offensive rebound rate: UTAH 25.7%, HOU 32.4%. Defensive: UTAH 77.1%, HOU 73.2%
HOUSmallHome court
HOU at home. This season: HOU 3-0 at home, UTAH 0-1 away
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UTAH 100%, HOU 100%. Transfers in: UTAH 0, HOU 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelHOU -17.1
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model229.2
Model edge—
Projected score
UTAH 106.1 · HOU 123.1
Win probability
HOU 89%
1st half
Spread
HOU -9.5
Total
114.8
Projected score
UTAH 52.6 · HOU 62.1
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTAHlast 6 | 1-5 17% | 1-5 17% | 2-4 33% |
| HOUlast 7 | 6-1 86% | 6-1 86% | 5-2 71% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 18 since 2021-22
UTAH 8–10 HOUHOU leads · 18 games since 2021-22 · HOU has won the last 2 meetings · UTAH 9-9 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025-26 | UTAH 106 @ HOU 140 | HOU -18.5 | HOU W |
| Feb 23, 2025-26 | UTAH 105 @ HOU 125 | HOU -13.5 | HOU W |
| Dec 1, 2025-26 | HOU 125 @ UTAH 133 | UTAH +11.5 | UTAH W |
| Nov 30, 2025-26 | HOU 129 @ UTAH 101 | UTAH +11.5 | HOU W |
| Apr 2, 2024-25 | UTAH 105 @ HOU 143 | HOU -15.5 | HOU W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Jazz
6 games played
Straight up
1-5
17% wins
Against the spread
1-5
17% covers · avg −5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@
MEM
MEML 103-123
−18.5
23
vs
NO
NOW 120-119
−0.5
25
vs
LAL
LALL 123-132
−2.5
26
vsMEM
MEML 105-110
−3.5
28
vs
SA
SAL 111-117
+7.5
31
vs
POR
PORL 90-112
−15.5
covered 1didn’t cover 5avg −5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@MEM
MEML 103-123
−14.5
23
vsNO
NOW 120-119
+0.5
25
vsLAL
LALL 123-132
+17.5
26
vsMEM
MEML 105-110
−22.5
28
vsSA
SAL 111-117
−4.5
31
vsPOR
PORL 90-112
−30.5
over 2under 4avg −9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Rockets
7 games played
Straight up
6-1
86% wins
Against the spread
6-1
86% covers · avg +8.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-2
71% overs · avg +3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 | vs DAL | W 128-110 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 230.5 | O 238 |
| Oct 23 | @SA | W 114-110 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 224.5 | U 224 |
| Oct 24 | @ ATL | W 121-114 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 227.5 | O 235 |
| Oct 26 | vsATL | W 120-110 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 228.5 | O 230 |
| Oct 28 | @ MIL | W 132-100 | -8.5 | W +23.5 | 226.5 | O 232 |
| Oct 30 | @DAL | L 111-116 | -5.5 | L −10.5 | 223.5 | O 227 |
| Oct 31 | vs OKC | W 119-98 | -2.5 | W +18.5 | 219.5 | U 217 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vsDAL
DALW 128-110
+8.5
23
@SA
SAW 114-110
+8.5
24
@ATL
ATLW 121-114
+5.5
26
vsATL
ATLW 120-110
+5.5
28
@MIL
MILW 132-100
+23.5
30
@DAL
DALL 111-116
−10.5
31
vsOKC
OKCW 119-98
+18.5
covered 6didn’t cover 1avg +8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsDAL
DALW 128-110
+7.5
23
@SA
SAW 114-110
−0.5
24
@ATL
ATLW 121-114
+7.5
26
vsATL
ATLW 120-110
+1.5
28
@MIL
MILW 132-100
+5.5
30
@DAL
DALL 111-116
+3.5
31
vsOKC
OKCW 119-98
−2.5
over 5under 2avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Rockets has the better starters
Position by position: Jazz 0, Rockets 4, even 1
JazzBetterRockets
G K. George21.7 pts · 3.8 reb · 6.3 ast
Score 8
→HOUBig
G A. Thompson16.3 pts · 6.6 reb · 3.7 ast
Score 60
G A. Bailey13.3 pts · 7.8 reb · 2.2 ast
Score 11
→HOUBig
G F. VanVleet13 pts · 4 reb · 6.4 ast
Score 94
G D. Peterson13.3 pts · 4.3 reb · 2.8 ast
Score 17
→HOUBig
F J. Smith19 pts · 5.9 reb · 2.7 ast
Score 79
F L. Markkanen15.4 pts · 5.4 reb · 1.6 ast
Score 94
=Even
F K. Durant22 pts · 5.6 reb · 3.3 ast
Score 82
C J. Hayes8 pts · 6.6 reb · 2.4 ast
Score 36
→HOUBig
C A. Sengun22.8 pts · 9 reb · 7.4 ast
Score 84
JazzBetterRockets
UTAH offense20th of 30 · -1.2
→HOUBig
HOU defense4th of 30 · +5.2
UTAH defense27th of 30 · -6.0
→HOUBig
HOU offense6th of 30 · +2.9
Backcourt-20.5 · 3 players
→HOUBig
Backcourt+19.1 · 2 players
Frontcourt+15.0 · 2 players
→HOUBig
Frontcourt+30.0 · 3 players
Bench+2.1 · 5 players
→HOUBig
Bench+16.2 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestUTAH betterHOU betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
JazzGuards
K. George32 minA. Bailey31 minD. Peterson30 minI. Collier19 minS. Mykhailiuk17 minJ. Okogie16 min
Forwards
L. Markkanen29 minB. Hinson20 minB. Sensabaugh16 minK. Filipowski8 minH. Ingram4 min
Centers
J. Hayes26 minM. Bamba19 minT. Bradley11 min
Out
J. JacksonOut
RocketsGuards
A. Thompson34 minF. VanVleet31 minM. Smart25 minB. Bogdanovic15 minS. Pedulla4 minB. Thornton3 min
Forwards
J. Smith34 minK. Durant34 minT. Eason24 minJ. Tate9 minI. Crawford7 min
Centers
A. Sengun34 minO. Tshiebwe17 min
Out
S. AdamsOutC. CapelaDay-To-DayR. SheppardDay-To-Day
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
Scoring
Points per game
UTAH108.7 #24HOU120.7 #3Points per possession
UTAH1.05 #25HOU1.20 #1Pace (possessions)
UTAH104.0 #12HOU101.6 #24Shooting
Effective FG%
UTAH51.0 #24HOU56.6 #33-point %
UTAH32.6 #23HOU39.0 #33-point attempt rate
UTAH41.7 #21HOU38.1 #26Free throw rate
UTAH31.6 #10HOU31.9 #8Possessions
Turnover rate
UTAH17.0 #25HOU15.1 #13Offensive rebound rate
UTAH25.7 #22HOU32.4 #3Assists per game
UTAH26.2 #19HOU28.1 #5Defense
Points allowed
UTAH118.8 #25HOU108.3 #7Points allowed per possession
UTAH1.14 #25HOU1.06 #8Opponent effective FG%
UTAH53.9 #18HOU52.1 #10Opponent 3-point %
UTAH37.6 #25HOU30.2 #4Turnovers forced
UTAH13.3 #28HOU15.7 #16Defensive rebound rate
UTAH77.1 #4HOU73.2 #14Steals per game
UTAH6.2 #29HOU9.7 #6Blocks per game
UTAH6.5 #5HOU5.9 #8| UTAH | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 108.7 #24 | Points per game | 120.7 #3 |
| 1.05 #25 | Points per possession | 1.20 #1 |
| 104.0 #12 | Pace (possessions) | 101.6 #24 |
| Shooting | ||
| 51.0 #24 | Effective FG% | 56.6 #3 |
| 32.6 #23 | 3-point % | 39.0 #3 |
| 41.7 #21 | 3-point attempt rate | 38.1 #26 |
| 31.6 #10 | Free throw rate | 31.9 #8 |
| Possessions | ||
| 17.0 #25 | Turnover rate | 15.1 #13 |
| 25.7 #22 | Offensive rebound rate | 32.4 #3 |
| 26.2 #19 | Assists per game | 28.1 #5 |
| Defense | ||
| 118.8 #25 | Points allowed | 108.3 #7 |
| 1.14 #25 | Points allowed per possession | 1.06 #8 |
| 53.9 #18 | Opponent effective FG% | 52.1 #10 |
| 37.6 #25 | Opponent 3-point % | 30.2 #4 |
| 13.3 #28 | Turnovers forced | 15.7 #16 |
| 77.1 #4 | Defensive rebound rate | 73.2 #14 |
| 6.2 #29 | Steals per game | 9.7 #6 |
| 6.5 #5 | Blocks per game | 5.9 #8 |
Jazz
1-5 overall · 1-5 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Lvs Trail Blazers90–112
- Lvs Spurs111–117
- Lvs Grizzlies105–110
- Lvs Lakers123–132
- Wvs Pelicans120–119
A week or more of rest.
Rockets
6-1 overall · 3-1 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Thunder119–98
- L@ Mavericks111–116
- W@ Bucks132–100
- Wvs Hawks120–110
- W@ Hawks121–114
A week or more of rest.