Delta Center · at Jazz · Conference game
LineNo line yet
Total—
 SA | This season | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| 4-2 | Record | 1-5 |
| 2-4 | ATS | 1-5 |
| 2-4 | O/U | 2-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects SA 122–109 · win probability SA 83%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 230.7
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 212-225 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: SA has more of the edges
SA 6, UTAH 1 · 2026-27 so far
SABigSA offense vs UTAH defense
Offense 5th of 30 against a defense 27th, on the model’s ratings
SABigTurnovers
Turnover rate: SA 13.1%, UTAH 17.0%. Forced: SA 15.7%, UTAH 13.3%
SABigUTAH offense vs SA defense
Offense 20th of 30 against a defense 7th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
SA has played the 15th-hardest schedule, UTAH the 4th. A record against a soft schedule means less
SASmallShooting
Effective FG%: SA 53.3 and allows 52.1; UTAH 51.0 and allows 53.9
SASmallFree throws
Free throw rate: SA 24.5, UTAH 31.6. Allowed: SA 21.7, UTAH 33.8
UTAHSmallHome court
UTAH at home. This season: UTAH 1-4 at home, SA 2-0 away
SASmallThree-pointers
SA hits 34.9% and allows 37.3%; UTAH hits 32.6% and allows 37.6%. Threes are 39.0% and 41.7% of their shots
Even
Recent form
Last 5: SA 2-3 ATS, margin +11.0; UTAH 1-4 ATS, margin -8.2
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: SA 27.2%, UTAH 25.7%. Defensive: SA 75.8%, UTAH 77.1%
Context
Tempo
About 104 possessions: SA plays 104.3 a game (11th fastest), UTAH 104.0 (12th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: SA 100%, UTAH 100%. Transfers in: SA 0, UTAH 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelSA -13.3
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model230.7
Model edge—
Projected score
SA 122 · UTAH 108.7
Win probability
SA 83%
1st half
Spread
SA -7.7
Total
115.5
Projected score
SA 61.6 · UTAH 53.9
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAlast 6 | 4-2 67% | 2-4 33% | 2-4 33% |
| UTAHlast 6 | 1-5 17% | 1-5 17% | 2-4 33% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 18 since 2021-22
SA 11–7 UTAHSA leads · 18 games since 2021-22 · SA has won the last 3 meetings · SA 10-8 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026-27 | SA 117 @ UTAH 111 | UTAH +13.5 | UTAH W |
| Jan 22, 2025-26 | SA 126 @ UTAH 109 | UTAH +12.5 | SA W |
| Jan 19, 2025-26 | UTAH 110 @ SA 123 | SA -16.5 | UTAH W |
| Dec 27, 2025-26 | UTAH 127 @ SA 114 | SA -14.5 | UTAH W |
| Nov 26, 2024-25 | SA 128 @ UTAH 115 | UTAH +1.5 | SA W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Spurs
6 games played
Straight up
4-2
67% wins
Against the spread
2-4
33% covers · avg −3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
vs
OKC
OKCL 104-116
−10.5
23
vs
HOU
HOUL 110-114
−8.5
24
@
DAL
DALW 122-106
+1.5
27
vs
SAC
SACW 130-103
+7.5
28
@UTAH
UTAHW 117-111
−7.5
31
vs
MIN
MINW 121-111
−2.5
covered 2didn’t cover 4avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
vsOKC
OKCL 104-116
−9.5
23
vsHOU
HOUL 110-114
−0.5
24
@DAL
DALW 122-106
−1.5
27
vsSAC
SACW 130-103
+0.5
28
@UTAH
UTAHW 117-111
−4.5
31
vsMIN
MINW 121-111
+1.5
over 2under 4avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Jazz
6 games played
Straight up
1-5
17% wins
Against the spread
1-5
17% covers · avg −5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@
MEM
MEML 103-123
−18.5
23
vs
NO
NOW 120-119
−0.5
25
vs
LAL
LALL 123-132
−2.5
26
vsMEM
MEML 105-110
−3.5
28
vsSA
SAL 111-117
+7.5
31
vs
POR
PORL 90-112
−15.5
covered 1didn’t cover 5avg −5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@MEM
MEML 103-123
−14.5
23
vsNO
NOW 120-119
+0.5
25
vsLAL
LALL 123-132
+17.5
26
vsMEM
MEML 105-110
−22.5
28
vsSA
SAL 111-117
−4.5
31
vsPOR
PORL 90-112
−30.5
over 2under 4avg −9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Spurs has the better starters
Position by position: Spurs 4, Jazz 1, even 0
SpursBetterJazz
G D. Harper18.5 pts · 5.5 reb · 4.8 ast
Score 98
←SABig
G K. George21.7 pts · 3.8 reb · 6.3 ast
Score 8
G D. Vassell12 pts · 4.2 reb · 3.5 ast
Score 53
←SABig
G A. Bailey13.3 pts · 7.8 reb · 2.2 ast
Score 11
G D. Fox16.5 pts · 4.8 reb · 7 ast
Score 84
←SABig
G D. Peterson13.3 pts · 4.3 reb · 2.8 ast
Score 17
G S. Castle14.5 pts · 5.8 reb · 5.2 ast
Score 69
→UTAHSmall
F L. Markkanen15.4 pts · 5.4 reb · 1.6 ast
Score 94
F V. Wembanyama28 pts · 10.7 reb · 3 ast
Score 98
←SABig
C J. Hayes8 pts · 6.6 reb · 2.4 ast
Score 36
SpursBetterJazz
SA offense5th of 30 · +2.9
←SABig
UTAH defense27th of 30 · -6.0
SA defense7th of 30 · +3.7
←SABig
UTAH offense20th of 30 · -1.2
Backcourt+42.2 · 4 players
←SABig
Backcourt-20.5 · 3 players
Frontcourt+17.3 · 1 player
←SASmall
Frontcourt+15.0 · 2 players
Bench+19.9 · 5 players
←SABig
Bench+2.1 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestSA betterUTAH betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
SpursGuards
D. Harper34 minD. Vassell33 minD. Fox32 minS. Castle29 minJ. McLaughlin6 minJ. Gillespie2 min
Forwards
V. Wembanyama33 minJ. Champagnie28 minK. Johnson22 minC. Bryant9 minH. Barnes8 minD. Jones Garcia6 min
Centers
L. Kornet15 minT. Reed4 min
JazzGuards
K. George32 minA. Bailey31 minD. Peterson30 minI. Collier19 minS. Mykhailiuk17 minJ. Okogie16 min
Forwards
L. Markkanen29 minB. Hinson20 minB. Sensabaugh16 minK. Filipowski8 minH. Ingram4 min
Centers
J. Hayes26 minM. Bamba19 minT. Bradley11 min
Out
J. JacksonOut
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
Scoring
Points per game
SA117.3 #12UTAH108.7 #24Points per possession
SA1.12 #10UTAH1.05 #25Pace (possessions)
SA104.3 #11UTAH104.0 #12Shooting
Effective FG%
SA53.3 #16UTAH51.0 #243-point %
SA34.9 #17UTAH32.6 #233-point attempt rate
SA39.0 #24UTAH41.7 #21Free throw rate
SA24.5 #24UTAH31.6 #10Possessions
Turnover rate
SA13.1 #2UTAH17.0 #25Offensive rebound rate
SA27.2 #16UTAH25.7 #22Assists per game
SA27.5 #9UTAH26.2 #19Defense
Points allowed
SA110.2 #12UTAH118.8 #25Points allowed per possession
SA1.06 #6UTAH1.14 #25Opponent effective FG%
SA52.1 #11UTAH53.9 #18Opponent 3-point %
SA37.3 #23UTAH37.6 #25Turnovers forced
SA15.7 #14UTAH13.3 #28Defensive rebound rate
SA75.8 #7UTAH77.1 #4Steals per game
SA9.2 #10UTAH6.2 #29Blocks per game
SA7.0 #1UTAH6.5 #5| SA | UTAH | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 117.3 #12 | Points per game | 108.7 #24 |
| 1.12 #10 | Points per possession | 1.05 #25 |
| 104.3 #11 | Pace (possessions) | 104.0 #12 |
| Shooting | ||
| 53.3 #16 | Effective FG% | 51.0 #24 |
| 34.9 #17 | 3-point % | 32.6 #23 |
| 39.0 #24 | 3-point attempt rate | 41.7 #21 |
| 24.5 #24 | Free throw rate | 31.6 #10 |
| Possessions | ||
| 13.1 #2 | Turnover rate | 17.0 #25 |
| 27.2 #16 | Offensive rebound rate | 25.7 #22 |
| 27.5 #9 | Assists per game | 26.2 #19 |
| Defense | ||
| 110.2 #12 | Points allowed | 118.8 #25 |
| 1.06 #6 | Points allowed per possession | 1.14 #25 |
| 52.1 #11 | Opponent effective FG% | 53.9 #18 |
| 37.3 #23 | Opponent 3-point % | 37.6 #25 |
| 15.7 #14 | Turnovers forced | 13.3 #28 |
| 75.8 #7 | Defensive rebound rate | 77.1 #4 |
| 9.2 #10 | Steals per game | 6.2 #29 |
| 7.0 #1 | Blocks per game | 6.5 #5 |
Spurs
4-2 overall · 4-2 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Timberwolves121–111
- W@ Jazz117–111
- Wvs Kings130–103
- W@ Mavericks122–106
- Lvs Rockets110–114
A week or more of rest.
Jazz
1-5 overall · 1-5 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Lvs Trail Blazers90–112
- Lvs Spurs111–117
- Lvs Grizzlies105–110
- Lvs Lakers123–132
- Wvs Pelicans120–119
A week or more of rest.