When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
13 games · 2025 · Western Kentucky · pick one to list those games
46% went over. Of the 6 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 17% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 31% of games.
All 13 games
2025 · Western Kentucky · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
USM -2.5 | 59.5 | 10192943 | U | WKU Q4 | 27–16 |
2025 · Week 14 |
WKU -1.5 | 56.5 | 21526271 | Q3 | JXST Q3 | 34–37 |
2025 · Week 13 |
LSU -25.5 | 53.5 | 3101323 | U | WKU Q1 | 10–13 |
2025 · Week 12 |
WKU -13.5 | 51.5 | 7315168 | Q4 | WKU Q4 Late cover flip |
26–42 |
2025 · Week 10 |
WKU -7.5 | 54.5 | 3203751 | U | WKU Q2 | 16–35 |
2025 · Week 9 |
LT -4.5 | 48.5 | 1727344055 | OT | WKU Q1 Late over |
28–27 |
2025 · Week 8 |
WKU -9.5 | 55.5 | 9253131 | U | FIU Q1 | 25–6 |
2025 · Week 6 |
DEL -2.5 | 63.5 | 7274451 | U | WKU Q3 | 27–24 |
2025 · Week 5 |
WKU -3.5 | 59.5 | 0194049 | U | WKU Q3 | 27–22 |
2025 · Week 4 |
WKU -7.5 | 54.5 | 6132347 | U | WKU Q4 Late cover flip |
16–31 |
2025 · Week 2 |
TOL -7.5 | 56.5 | 28385266 | Q4 | TOL Q1 | 21–45 |
 UNA @  WKU2025 · Week 1 |
WKU -27.5 | 60.5 | 20485161 | Q4 | WKU Q2 | 6–55 |
2025 · Week 1 |
WKU -10.5 | 60.5 | 10305865 | Q4 | WKU Q4 | 24–41 |
USM
JXST
LSU
MTSU
NMSU
LT
FIU
DEL
MOST
NEV
TOL
SHSUWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 31% 4
Q2 15% 2
Q3 23% 3
Q4 31% 4
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 69% and covered 62% of 13 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 83% and covered 75% of 12 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 1–3 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 15–17 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 18–21 | 3 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 4 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.