When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
13 games · 2025 · Washington State · pick one to list those games
31% went over. Of the 4 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 25% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 15% of games.
All 13 games
2025 · Washington State · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
USU -1.5 | 50.5 | 7142755 | Q4 | WSU Q1 Late over |
34–21 |
2025 · Week 14 |
WSU -14.5 | 42.5 | 3192540 | U | WSU Q2 | 8–32 |
2025 · Week 13 |
JMU -15.5 | 45.5 | 6273444 | U | WSU Q1 | 20–24 |
2025 · Week 12 |
WSU -10.5 | 43.5 | 7171731 | U | WSU Q2 | 3–28 |
2025 · Week 10 |
WSU -3.5 | 47.5 | 0101017 | U | ORST Q4 | 7–10 |
2025 · Week 9 |
TOL -1.5 | 45.5 | 0282835 | U | WSU Q1 | 7–28 |
2025 · Week 8 |
UVA -16.5 | 56.5 | 14243042 | U | WSU Q1 Lead lost |
20–22 |
2025 · Week 7 |
MISS -32.5 | 58.5 | 7173145 | U | WSU Q1 | 21–24 |
2025 · Week 5 |
CSU -6.5 | 48.5 | 13232323 | U | WSU Q1 | 20–3 |
2025 · Week 4 |
WASH -20.5 | 52.5 | 14345583 | Q3 | WASH Q4 | 59–24 |
2025 · Week 3 |
UNT -6.5 | 58.5 | 17455569 | Q4 | UNT Q1 | 10–59 |
2025 · Week 2 |
WSU -2.5 | 46.5 | 14264249 | Q4 | WSU Q2 Late over |
13–36 |
2025 · Week 1 |
WSU -16.5 | 50.5 | 071023 | U | IDHO Q1 | 10–13 |
When was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 62% 8
Q2 23% 3
Q3 0% 0
Q4 15% 2
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 77% and covered 77% of 13 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 83% and covered 75% of 12 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 11–14 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 18–21 | 2 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 7 | 14% 1 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.