When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
13 games · 2025 · Wake Forest · pick one to list those games
62% went over. Of the 8 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 25% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 8% of games.
All 13 games
2025 · Wake Forest · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
MSST -3 | 52.5 | 21245072 | Q4 | WAKE Q1 | 43–29 |
2025 · Week 14 |
DUKE -2.5 | 53.5 | 17386081 | Q3 | DUKE Q1 | 32–49 |
2025 · Week 13 |
WAKE -17.5 | 48.5 | 15425666 | Q3 | WAKE Q2 | 14–52 |
2025 · Week 12 |
WAKE -3.5 | 37.5 | 7203040 | Q4 | WAKE Q1 Late over |
12–28 |
2025 · Week 11 |
UVA -7.5 | 48.5 | 3162225 | U | WAKE Q1 | 16–9 |
2025 · Week 10 |
FSU -12.5 | 50.5 | 0142849 | U | FSU Q2 | 7–42 |
2025 · Week 9 |
SMU -5.5 | 52.5 | 3162225 | U | WAKE Q1 Lead lost |
12–13 |
2025 · Week 7 |
WAKE -1.5 | 47.5 | 15253253 | Q4 | WAKE Q1 Late over |
39–14 |
2025 · Week 6 |
VT -4.5 | 51.5 | 10385053 | Q4 | WAKE Q1 Late over |
30–23 |
2025 · Week 5 |
GT -11.5 | 53.5 | 320374659 | OT | WAKE Q1 Late over Lead lost |
30–29 |
2025 · Week 3 |
NCSU -7.5 | 52.5 | 28414858 | Q4 | NCSU Q4 | 34–24 |
 WCU @  WAKE2025 · Week 2 |
WAKE -17.5 | 59.5 | 21244552 | U | WAKE Q1 | 10–42 |
2025 · Week 1 |
WAKE -18.5 | 51.5 | 13131919 | U | KENN Q1 | 9–10 |
MSST
DUKE
DEL
UNC
UVA
FSU
SMU
ORST
VT
GT
NCSU
KENNWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 77% 10
Q2 15% 2
Q3 0% 0
Q4 8% 1
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 85% and covered 85% of 13 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 83% and covered 83% of 12 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 1–3 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 15–17 | 3 | 67% 2 |
| 22+ | 4 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.