When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
13 games · 2025 · Texas State · pick one to list those games
54% went over. Of the 7 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 29% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 8% of games.
All 13 games
2025 · Texas State · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
TXST -19.5 | 55.5 | 0173451 | U | TXST Q3 | 10–41 |
2025 · Week 14 |
TXST -9.5 | 62.5 | 17284275 | Q4 | TXST Q2 | 26–49 |
2025 · Week 13 |
TXST -20.5 | 60.5 | 032445 | U | ULM Q1 | 14–31 |
2025 · Week 12 |
USM -3.5 | 65.5 | 10273455 | U | TXST Q1 | 41–14 |
2025 · Week 11 |
TXST -3.5 | 63.5 | 17525581 | Q4 | UL Q1 | 39–42 |
2025 · Week 10 |
JMU -7.5 | 55.5 | 14486972 | Q3 | JMU Q1 | 52–20 |
2025 · Week 8 |
TXST -2.5 | 65.5 | 1430335477 | OT | MRSH Q3 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
37–40 |
2025 · Week 7 |
TXST -7.5 | 53.5 | 3548658289 | Q3 | TROY Q4 Lead lost |
48–41 |
2025 · Week 6 |
TXST -14.5 | 63.5 | 14202061 | U | ARST Q1 | 30–31 |
 NICH @  TXST2025 · Week 4 |
TXST -32.5 | 56.5 | 10313838 | U | NICH Q1 | 3–35 |
2025 · Week 3 |
ASU -18.5 | 61.5 | 6234349 | U | ASU Q3 | 15–34 |
2025 · Week 2 |
UTSA -4.5 | 64.5 | 2335779 | Q4 | TXST Q1 | 43–36 |
2025 · Week 1 |
TXST -13.5 | 56.5 | 17415579 | Q4 | TXST Q3 | 27–52 |
RICE
USA
ULM
USM
UL
JMU
MRSH
TROY
ARST
ASU
UTSA
EMUWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 54% 7
Q2 8% 1
Q3 31% 4
Q4 8% 1
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 83% and covered 67% of 12 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 83% and covered 67% of 12 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 8–10 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 18–21 | 3 | 33% 1 |
| 22+ | 5 | 20% 1 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.