When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
13 games · 2025 · Tennessee · pick one to list those games
62% went over. Of the 8 overs, 13% had cashed by halftime and 63% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 8% of games.
All 13 games
2025 · Tennessee · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
TENN -3 | 61.5 | 14173858 | U | ILL Q1 | 28–30 |
2025 · Week 14 |
TENN -2.5 | 66.5 | 14425269 | Q4 | VAN Q1 | 45–24 |
2025 · Week 13 |
TENN -3.5 | 57.5 | 14313442 | U | TENN Q1 | 31–11 |
2025 · Week 12 |
TENN -41.5 | 60.5 | 14244551 | U | NMSU Q1 | 9–42 |
2025 · Week 10 |
TENN -2.5 | 55.5 | 17264060 | Q4 | OU Q2 Late over |
33–27 |
2025 · Week 9 |
TENN -7.5 | 54.5 | 28567690 | Q2 | TENN Q1 | 56–34 |
2025 · Week 8 |
ALA -8.5 | 60.5 | 7304357 | U | ALA Q2 | 20–37 |
2025 · Week 7 |
TENN -10.5 | 68.5 | 17344465 | U | ARK Q1 | 31–34 |
2025 · Week 5 |
TENN -7.5 | 63.5 | 1734446875 | Q4 | MSST Q1 Late over Lead lost |
41–34 |
2025 · Week 4 |
TENN -38.5 | 68.5 | 21497380 | Q3 | UAB Q4 Late cover flip |
24–56 |
2025 · Week 3 |
UGA -3.5 | 50.5 | 2838557685 | Q3 | TENN Q1 Lead lost |
44–41 |
 ETSU @  TENN2025 · Week 2 |
TENN -40.5 | 58.5 | 24557289 | Q3 | TENN Q2 | 17–72 |
2025 · Week 1 |
TENN -13.5 | 51.5 | 17455871 | Q3 | TENN Q1 Late cover flip |
26–45 |
ILL
VAN
FLA
NMSU
OU
UK
ALA
ARK
MSST
UAB
UGA
SYRWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 69% 9
Q2 23% 3
Q3 0% 0
Q4 8% 1
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 90% and covered 80% of 10 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 85% and covered 77% of 13 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 5 | 100% 5 |
| 15–17 | 3 | 67% 2 |
| 18–21 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 22+ | 3 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.