When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
13 games · 2025 · TCU · pick one to list those games
54% went over. Of the 7 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 14% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 31% of games.
All 13 games
2025 · TCU · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
USC -4.5 | 56.5 | 327354857 | OT | TCU Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
27–30 |
2025 · Week 14 |
TCU -3 | 58.5 | 28485568 | Q4 | TCU Q1 | 23–45 |
2025 · Week 13 |
TCU -1.5 | 55.5 | 14212831 | U | TCU Q4 | 17–14 |
2025 · Week 12 |
BYU -2.5 | 51.5 | 10374357 | Q4 | BYU Q1 Late over |
13–44 |
2025 · Week 11 |
TCU -7.5 | 58.5 | 691637 | U | ISU Q1 | 20–17 |
2025 · Week 9 |
TCU -16.5 | 55.5 | 10273040 | U | WVU Q1 | 23–17 |
2025 · Week 8 |
TCU -3.5 | 67.5 | 7314678 | Q4 | TCU Q2 Late over |
36–42 |
2025 · Week 7 |
TCU -2.5 | 54.5 | 0214269 | Q4 | KSU Q1 | 28–41 |
2025 · Week 6 |
TCU -14.5 | 56.5 | 0282856 | U | COLO Q1 | 21–35 |
2025 · Week 5 |
ASU -2.5 | 54.5 | 7314151 | U | ASU Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
24–27 |
2025 · Week 4 |
TCU -6.5 | 63.5 | 10243859 | U | TCU Q4 | 24–35 |
 ACU @  TCU2025 · Week 3 |
TCU -41.5 | 58.5 | 14284463 | Q4 | ACU Q1 | 21–42 |
2025 · Week 1 |
TCU -3.5 | 54.5 | 14275562 | Q3 | TCU Q2 | 48–14 |
USC
CIN
HOU
BYU
ISU
WVU
BAY
KSU
COLO
ASU
SMU
UNCWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 54% 7
Q2 15% 2
Q3 0% 0
Q4 31% 4
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 92% and covered 75% of 12 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 73% and covered 55% of 11 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 11–14 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 15–17 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 22+ | 7 | 29% 2 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.